ImageImageImageImageImage

would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the jays??

Moderator: JaysRule15

User avatar
diddykong
Sophomore
Posts: 242
And1: 13
Joined: Jul 20, 2012

would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the jays?? 

Post#1 » by diddykong » Thu Aug 9, 2012 2:04 am

The Rockies have been pulling starters after 75 pitches and using a "piggyback" reliever as part of Project 5,183.

The plan is called Project 5,183 because that is the altitude at Coors Field.

The Rockies could become the first team in baseball history without a single pitcher logging at least 100 innings due to the unorthodox plan.

It was implemented in mid-June when the season was already a lost cause and things have only gotten worse.



Read more: http://baseball.realgm.com/src_wiretap_ ... z230iXMNnE


the season is pretty much over, come september i hope we can see deck mcguire and more of chad jenkins in the starters role.
User avatar
Secueritae
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,712
And1: 2,453
Joined: Apr 23, 2009
   

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#2 » by Secueritae » Thu Aug 9, 2012 2:30 am

why not? since the season is over, why not put in Romero as the piggyback reliever on multiple days, so when he does pitch the game might not matter as much and he can work on his mechanical and mental issues for next season.
limegameboy
Junior
Posts: 258
And1: 10
Joined: May 16, 2012

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#3 » by limegameboy » Thu Aug 9, 2012 4:47 am

no, the rockies have the worst rotation in MLB history
Two wrongs don't make a right, and three rights... make a left.
User avatar
Lateral Quicks
RealGM
Posts: 20,539
And1: 16,674
Joined: Dec 05, 2002
   

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#4 » by Lateral Quicks » Thu Aug 9, 2012 1:18 pm

No, I think starting pitchers are babied enough as it is.

Injury risk occurs when a pitcher gets tired and stops repeating their normal mechanics. I think we should consign pitch count to the dustbin of history, and instead focus on whether a pitcher is repeating his normal mechanics. If he tires and starts cheating in his mechanics, that's the time to get him out of there asap.

Of course, if your mechanics suck to begin with, you have a higher probability of being injured at any time.
Nick Nurse recounting his first meeting with Kawhi:
“We could have gone forever. (Raptors management) kept knocking on the door and I was like, ‘A couple more minutes.’ Because we were really into it."
dagger
RealGM
Posts: 41,307
And1: 14,333
Joined: Aug 19, 2002
         

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#5 » by dagger » Thu Aug 9, 2012 1:45 pm

I'd say no, we're talking about a 25-pitch difference, basically an inning or two, from the 100 pitch cutoff the team works with most of our guys already. It might be interesting to try it in a minor injury situation where a starter is out for one game (as opposed to a long DL stint). Designate two long relievers to throw three innings each. We've seen Lincoln go 3.1 innings (scoreless) in a blowout. We can certainly do that with a few of our guys. But as a regular part of the rotation? No. What happens in crucial series or playoffs? We're going to pull Brandon Morrow after three innings of shutout ball because we're on Project 5183?
Michael Bradley
General Manager
Posts: 9,443
And1: 2,140
Joined: Feb 25, 2004

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#6 » by Michael Bradley » Thu Aug 9, 2012 1:46 pm

I think at this point the Jays should just stop caring about pitch counts and innings. Their starters get hurt regardless and have been getting hurt at a rapid rate since 2008. As mentioned by Lateral Quicks, a closer eye should be paid to if/when a pitcher is tiring on the mound and whether their mechanics are being repeated. That could be at 75 pitches one night and 125 pitches the next. Regardless, use that to determine when to pull a starter. Pitchers get hurt when they throw while tired and I’m not sure if I trust Farrell determining that (his use of Drabek in particular was dubious), but at this rate babying starters has not lead the Jays anywhere and throwing pitchers off their routine is asking for trouble. Didn’t Syndergaard mention how he hated coming in relief? And that’s a kid in low-A ball.

Follow whatever routine the Rays have going. I don’t care what it is, just follow it.
User avatar
diddykong
Sophomore
Posts: 242
And1: 13
Joined: Jul 20, 2012

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#7 » by diddykong » Thu Aug 9, 2012 2:11 pm

dagger wrote:I'd say no, we're talking about a 25-pitch difference, basically an inning or two, from the 100 pitch cutoff the team works with most of our guys already. It might be interesting to try it in a minor injury situation where a starter is out for one game (as opposed to a long DL stint). Designate two long relievers to throw three innings each. We've seen Lincoln go 3.1 innings (scoreless) in a blowout. We can certainly do that with a few of our guys. But as a regular part of the rotation? No. What happens in crucial series or playoffs? We're going to pull Brandon Morrow after three innings of shutout ball because we're on Project 5183?


clearly you never read the wiretap or my statement. the rockies are doing this because of injuries and want to see what their young guys can do. something we can do as well since the playoffs are a longshot. obviously in the playoffs you aren't gonna implement this process.
Modern_epic
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,458
And1: 4
Joined: Jul 03, 2003

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#8 » by Modern_epic » Thu Aug 9, 2012 2:25 pm

Lateral Quicks wrote:No, I think starting pitchers are babied enough as it is.

Injury risk occurs when a pitcher gets tired and stops repeating their normal mechanics. I think we should consign pitch count to the dustbin of history, and instead focus on whether a pitcher is repeating his normal mechanics. If he tires and starts cheating in his mechanics, that's the time to get him out of there asap.

Of course, if your mechanics suck to begin with, you have a higher probability of being injured at any time.


This is a 10 year old theory, and the point of it isn't to baby the pitchers. They throw about the same number of pitches overall by throwing every 4 days instead of 5. The point is that a pitcher's performance degrades each time they go through the order, a bit more from batter familiarity than fatigue.

It is a strong enough effect that you are generally better with an average reliever than a #2 starter by the 4th time through. Bad starters shouldn't even see a 3rd time. Pulling a pitcher after 75 pitches is normally somewhere between 2 and 3 times through the order.
Fairview4Life
RealGM
Posts: 69,973
And1: 33,837
Joined: Jul 25, 2005
     

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#9 » by Fairview4Life » Thu Aug 9, 2012 4:46 pm

It's an interesting idea. Do you need more pitchers on the roster?
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
User avatar
satyr9
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,892
And1: 563
Joined: Aug 09, 2006
     

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#10 » by satyr9 » Thu Aug 9, 2012 6:47 pm

Modern_epic wrote:
Lateral Quicks wrote:No, I think starting pitchers are babied enough as it is.

Injury risk occurs when a pitcher gets tired and stops repeating their normal mechanics. I think we should consign pitch count to the dustbin of history, and instead focus on whether a pitcher is repeating his normal mechanics. If he tires and starts cheating in his mechanics, that's the time to get him out of there asap.

Of course, if your mechanics suck to begin with, you have a higher probability of being injured at any time.


This is a 10 year old theory, and the point of it isn't to baby the pitchers. They throw about the same number of pitches overall by throwing every 4 days instead of 5. The point is that a pitcher's performance degrades each time they go through the order, a bit more from batter familiarity than fatigue.

It is a strong enough effect that you are generally better with an average reliever than a #2 starter by the 4th time through. Bad starters shouldn't even see a 3rd time. Pulling a pitcher after 75 pitches is normally somewhere between 2 and 3 times through the order.


I do think we'll start to see more experimentation in this direction going forward because it relies on fewer premium guys (very hard to come by) and handles injuries a bit better (your relievers are potentially far closer to be re-trained as starters). Making pitching staff parts closer to interchangeable can only help with the rise of like 50% injury rate on pitching staffs.

That being said, I would be 100% against doing something like this midseason. IMO if you want to head in this direction you spend years ramping up to it and planning. If you want to experiment first before starting that process, do it in the minors. Don't mess with your major leaguers on a whim, that's total madness. At most I could see a team taking the 4th and 5th spot, splitting them up and using 3-4 guys for it in the short term at the major league level.

Still, in the long run, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if pitchers become 3+ times through the lineup, 2 times through the lineup, 1 time through the lineup, and OOGY's. It won't do away with pitch counts, but IMO where through the lineup you are and the number of 20+ pitch innings is more important than 90 or 100 or 110 pitches.
User avatar
kwamebargnani
General Manager
Posts: 9,470
And1: 2,479
Joined: Jun 23, 2008
     

Re: would you like to see project 5183 implemented by the ja 

Post#11 » by kwamebargnani » Thu Aug 9, 2012 6:56 pm

limegameboy wrote:no, the rockies have the worst rotation in MLB history

We don't?

Return to Toronto Blue Jays