Daffy wrote:MorbidHEAT wrote:AirP. wrote:
He has said a lot and hasn’t followed through on some of it. I’ll wait to see how he comes out.
I mean let's be real. What do you want him to say? If he declines media availability it's probably a fine.
To me these comments are very telling, I read between the lines. Right now their mindset is we just need to play harder, more focused, tighter, and push through it for a full 48 minutes. They believe that's the only way they can win, not because of talent, or schemes. Its because of their mindset to will them through this. That tells me they know they are outmatched and have a an opponent they may not be able to match in scoring. Its going to take the type of perfect game which means they have to somehow make Denver have a less than perfect, because when both teams play evenly were simply outmatched.
The keys to game 2 for a win.
1. One of either Jokic or Murray must have a less than stellar game. If they both have a good game we in trouble.
2. Miami role players must hit their three pointers at a decent clip, above 40%.
3. Jimmy and Bam both need to be efficient, they don't need to score 30+ each, they can both in the low 20's in scoring but its needs to come at a 55%FG rate.
4. Miami needs to be great on Defense to force turn overs, and score off of them.
Do the above and we win or a combination of some of them.
Additionally, Miami's 90+ rating on 4th quarter comebacks is not an advantage in these series like previous ones.
The top three teams in the playoffs were: Miami Heat, then LA Lakers, Then Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets dispatched the Lakers even with this advantage, so Nuggets are not far behind with close to 70+ Rating in the 4th quarter. These means Miami is actually in theory only a +20 Rating over Denver which equates to about 8 points over a 12 minute clock duration. If Miami falls behind for more than 8 points analytics show that Denver will not let them make that up.
