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Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!)

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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1561 » by Note30 » Sat Oct 12, 2024 6:00 am

Colbinii wrote:
Note30 wrote:
Klomp wrote:This idea is pretty clunky, but what do people think of the idea of trading Julius Randle for Jarrett Allen?

My reasoning is if they feel good about getting a new deal with Naz Reid, but decide Gobert will cost too much to retain. That would leave a potential hole at center. Allen is on a great value contract, but Cleveland might feel they need to slide Mobley to center longterm. This balances out Cleveland's offensive production, and gives Minnesota an heir apparent at C who is just 26 years old.


So we trade for Gobert whose contract ends up costing so much we have to trade KAT, and then because we're even more cheap we realize we couldn't hang on to Gobert either and so we move Randle knowing Gobert will leave and then we basically went from two All NBA centers to none?


1) Jarrett Allen is an All-NBA Center.

2) This means we now have salary and asset(s) to acquire an all-star level player at the guard/wing position, to compliment ANT.


Pretty sure Jarrett Allen is a one time All-star. Two years ago. Which is pretty free from All NBA.

What salary what assets? We blew most of that to acquire Gobert, then we traded KAT and in this scenario, Gobert walks and Randle is traded for a player with even less accolades. We have 1 tradable pick for the next three years. Maybe Dillignham or TSJ, but if they are good enough to be tradable chances are we keep em.

McDaniels? After the lack of improvement I'm not sure he's enough to land a star.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1562 » by Colbinii » Sat Oct 12, 2024 4:29 pm

Note30 wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
Note30 wrote:
So we trade for Gobert whose contract ends up costing so much we have to trade KAT, and then because we're even more cheap we realize we couldn't hang on to Gobert either and so we move Randle knowing Gobert will leave and then we basically went from two All NBA centers to none?


1) Jarrett Allen is an All-NBA Center.

2) This means we now have salary and asset(s) to acquire an all-star level player at the guard/wing position, to compliment ANT.


Pretty sure Jarrett Allen is a one time All-star. Two years ago. Which is pretty free from All NBA.

What salary what assets? We blew most of that to acquire Gobert, then we traded KAT and in this scenario, Gobert walks and Randle is traded for a player with even less accolades. We have 1 tradable pick for the next three years. Maybe Dillignham or TSJ, but if they are good enough to be tradable chances are we keep em.

McDaniels? After the lack of improvement I'm not sure he's enough to land a star.


We would be acquiring value from trading Gobert.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1563 » by shrink » Sat Oct 12, 2024 6:40 pm

Klomp wrote:This idea is pretty clunky, but what do people think of the idea of trading Julius Randle for Jarrett Allen?

My reasoning is if they feel good about getting a new deal with Naz Reid, but decide Gobert will cost too much to retain. That would leave a potential hole at center. Allen is on a great value contract, but Cleveland might feel they need to slide Mobley to center longterm. This balances out Cleveland's offensive production, and gives Minnesota an heir apparent at C who is just 26 years old.

I think the Cavs have been considering their duplication at center with Allen and Mobley for a while now. Since Mobley is better than Allen, psychologically this makes Allen a bit more available. Randle-Mobley could be a good pairing, and if CLE looks like a contender at the Trade Deadline, Dan Gilbert might bite the bullet and add Randle’s salary. And keep in mind, the Knicks are a direct competitor to the Cavs. This could turn into last year’s Jrue Holiday trade, where we hear the Knicks say, “but we never would have included Randle if we knew he would end up on the Cavs!” Randle is eligible to be traded immediately, if he’s not combined with another player.

To get a trade between a $33 mil Randle and a $20 mil Allen to work financially, the Cavs would need to make it Jarret Allen + Dean Wade + 1st round SG Jaylon Tyson, or Allen + George Niang + a small contract. That means a third team. As for value, while I think the Trade Board undervalues successful expensive players like Randle (4 All Star Games vs 1, 2 All NBA vs 0), my TB Bias still makes me think Allen has more trade value. I agree we would need to get something from a Rudy trade to incentivize both CLE and Team Three.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1564 » by shrink » Sat Oct 12, 2024 7:07 pm

Does anyone know about Portland’s Duop Reath? Is he good enough to be MIN’s back up center?

Someone on the Trade Board mentioned that the Trailblazers would be a good trade partner for us, because they have four centers (Ayton, Clingan, Robert Williams III and Reath), and as a tanking team, they would value our prospects, and have the minutes to try them out.

Unfortunately, even if Reath is the guy, it would take sending our Terrence Smith Jr to make the trade legal, because we can’t aggregate salaries, and we can’t take back more than we send out with our apron constrictions. I also see TSJ as the heir-apparent in the likely event we lose Nickiel Alexander-Walker. I don’t know how much Reath is worth, but TSJ is probably worth more, and POR doesn’t even own it’s 2025 first rounder.

Reath + 2027 POR 1st, top 14 protected for Shannon + Dozier?
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1565 » by Neeva » Sat Oct 12, 2024 8:33 pm

We ain’t trading TJ, that portland fan offer is delusional. Wolves will need cheap bench depth like TJ in upcoming seasons and I doubt Reath is better than Garza anyway.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1566 » by younggunsmn » Sat Oct 12, 2024 10:45 pm

shrink wrote:
Klomp wrote:This idea is pretty clunky, but what do people think of the idea of trading Julius Randle for Jarrett Allen?

My reasoning is if they feel good about getting a new deal with Naz Reid, but decide Gobert will cost too much to retain. That would leave a potential hole at center. Allen is on a great value contract, but Cleveland might feel they need to slide Mobley to center longterm. This balances out Cleveland's offensive production, and gives Minnesota an heir apparent at C who is just 26 years old.

I think the Cavs have been considering their duplication at center with Allen and Mobley for a while now. Since Mobley is better than Allen, psychologically this makes Allen a bit more available. Randle-Mobley could be a good pairing, and if CLE looks like a contender at the Trade Deadline, Dan Gilbert might bite the bullet and add Randle’s salary. And keep in mind, the Knicks are a direct competitor to the Cavs. This could turn into last year’s Jrue Holiday trade, where we hear the Knicks say, “but we never would have included Randle if we knew he would end up on the Cavs!” Randle is eligible to be traded immediately, if he’s not combined with another player.

To get a trade between a $33 mil Randle and a $20 mil Allen to work financially, the Cavs would need to make it Jarret Allen + Dean Wade + 1st round SG Jaylon Tyson, or Allen + George Niang + a small contract. That means a third team. As for value, while I think the Trade Board undervalues successful expensive players like Randle (4 All Star Games vs 1, 2 All NBA vs 0), my TB Bias still makes me think Allen has more trade value. I agree we would need to get something from a Rudy trade to incentivize both CLE and Team Three.


Randle for Allen is intriguing on paper.
But trading for him would mean we would either trade Gobert or play the 2 together for 2 seasons.

Cleveland's cap sheet is SCARY going forward.
They have 200 million guaranteed already for next year including 1 supermax for Mitchell and 2 regular maxes for Garland and Mobley.
Allen's contract is an incredible value compared to the rest of their cap sheet for the next 2 years at 20 million per, and debatable the final 3 years at 28,30, and 32.5.
And they are in the same situation as we were in this offseason with limited ability to upgrade the roster in the future with the cap restrictions and still owing so many draft picks from the Mitchell trade.

If they traded for Randle, it would almost certainly be as a rental.

Mitchell isn't going anywhere, they couldn't give away Garland with that contract.
Other than age I really don't think Evan Mobley is that much better of a player than Jarret Allen. I just don't see it.
Allen isn't exciting, but he's better offensively than Gobert and more switchable on defense.
He's not an insane rim protector but he also never fouls (1.9 per game compared to 3.1 for Gobert and 3.3 for KAT last year).

I don't think it's a deal the Cavs would make. They would try to stick us with a Garland instead of Allen.
I don't think we would do Randle for Allen. We would have to move Gobert, because the writing would be on the wall he wasn't in our long term plans. We could do a three way where Cavs gets Randle and Allen goes to a 3rd team for something really nice for us though. That clears the way for us to re-sign Naz as our 4 going forward, but a whole season of starting probably inflates his value.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1567 » by younggunsmn » Sat Oct 12, 2024 10:48 pm

shrink wrote:Does anyone know about Portland’s Duop Reath? Is he good enough to be MIN’s back up center?

Someone on the Trade Board mentioned that the Trailblazers would be a good trade partner for us, because they have four centers (Ayton, Clingan, Robert Williams III and Reath), and as a tanking team, they would value our prospects, and have the minutes to try them out.

Unfortunately, even if Reath is the guy, it would take sending our Terrence Smith Jr to make the trade legal, because we can’t aggregate salaries, and we can’t take back more than we send out with our apron constrictions. I also see TSJ as the heir-apparent in the likely event we lose Nickiel Alexander-Walker. I don’t know how much Reath is worth, but TSJ is probably worth more, and POR doesn’t even own it’s first rounder.

Reath + 2026 POR 1st, top 14 protected for Shannon + Dozier?


I would rather play Garza than Reath. They're both scrap heap 2-way finds and I'll take the guy who's been in our system for a couple years and is a walking bucket.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1568 » by younggunsmn » Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:18 am

To CLE: Julius Randle, Caleb Houstan
To MIN: Wendell Carter Jr, Anthony Black, Gary Harris
To ORL: Jarret Allen, Georges Niang

Separate Trades because we can't aggregate salaries:
Keita Bates-Diop to CLE for a protected 2nd round pick.
Leonard Miller to ORL for a future 2nd round pick.

ORL puts a defensive minded rebound guzzling C next to Banchero.
CLE shifts Mobley to C and adds scoring punch to their frontcourt.

MIN continues the trend of stacking value contract role players around Ant by adding Carter Jr, who can backup Rudy and play limited minutes next to him in a twin towers lineup. Carter is signed for 5 years at 11.9, 10.8,18,19,21. He's 25 and gives us some center depth out beyond Rudy's contract.
Harris has a player option for next year, and we can either keep Black to develop or move him for future picks.

Moving Randle for Carter drops the ceiling of this years team, but if we are looking at a long term play something like this could make sense if we think we will lose him for nothing.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1569 » by shrink » Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:29 am

I like the idea, but I don’t think WCJ is trade-eligible with his new extension.

Does the new, heavier, Jonathan Isaac work as a center? His defensive advantage was always quickness, so I don’t know about the new Isaac. His contract has a number of protections for injuries, if I recall. Although CLE might just cut us out of the deal, preferring the cheaper Isaac over Randle.

Along with the added muscle, Isaac stated that he's entering the 2024-25 season fully healthy after missing numerous games in the past four years. Jonathan Isaac ended last season weighing 219 lbs, but after working on his body during the summer, he revealed he now weighs in at 250 lbs
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1570 » by Note30 » Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:51 am

Colbinii wrote:
Note30 wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
1) Jarrett Allen is an All-NBA Center.

2) This means we now have salary and asset(s) to acquire an all-star level player at the guard/wing position, to compliment ANT.


Pretty sure Jarrett Allen is a one time All-star. Two years ago. Which is pretty free from All NBA.

What salary what assets? We blew most of that to acquire Gobert, then we traded KAT and in this scenario, Gobert walks and Randle is traded for a player with even less accolades. We have 1 tradable pick for the next three years. Maybe Dillignham or TSJ, but if they are good enough to be tradable chances are we keep em.

McDaniels? After the lack of improvement I'm not sure he's enough to land a star.


We would be acquiring value from trading Gobert.


At best it would be a sign and trade which wouldn't net you anything too crazy, at most a 1st round pick.

And that's assuming he doesn't just walk.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1571 » by BlacJacMac » Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:55 am

Note30 wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
Note30 wrote:
Pretty sure Jarrett Allen is a one time All-star. Two years ago. Which is pretty free from All NBA.

What salary what assets? We blew most of that to acquire Gobert, then we traded KAT and in this scenario, Gobert walks and Randle is traded for a player with even less accolades. We have 1 tradable pick for the next three years. Maybe Dillignham or TSJ, but if they are good enough to be tradable chances are we keep em.

McDaniels? After the lack of improvement I'm not sure he's enough to land a star.


We would be acquiring value from trading Gobert.


At best it would be a sign and trade which wouldn't net you anything too crazy, at most a 1st round pick.

And that's assuming he doesn't just walk.


I assume we'd be looking to trade Rudy now if we made the deal for Allen, as neither guy should be coming off the bench.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1572 » by younggunsmn » Sun Oct 13, 2024 1:41 am

shrink wrote:I like the idea, but I don’t think WCJ is trade-eligible with his new extension.

Does the new, heavier, Jonathan Isaac work as a center? His defensive advantage was always quickness, so I don’t know about the new Isaac. His contract has a number of protections for injuries, if I recall. Although CLE might just cut us out of the deal, preferring the cheaper Isaac over Randle.

Along with the added muscle, Isaac stated that he's entering the 2024-25 season fully healthy after missing numerous games in the past four years. Jonathan Isaac ended last season weighing 219 lbs, but after working on his body during the summer, he revealed he now weighs in at 250 lbs


Good catch.
I thought about substituting Suggs for Black but thought that would be too much for Orlando to give up.

Not really interested in Isaac with his brutal injury history.
250 lbs seems a lot too heavy for him, but it would be interesting to see him reinvent himself as a shotblocking 5.

90% sure we just roll with Randle but it's interesting to think of possibilities if we are looking to extract long term value from him.
Even if he has a good season with us, I'm not in love with giving him a big long term contract in the offseason.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1573 » by shrink » Sun Oct 13, 2024 4:00 am

I thought this was a very useful post that might give some of the Wolves fans some ideas.

While our young bench players may have more value to these teams, the apron rules are going to hurt us here. Vets usually have bigger deals, and we can’t aggregate salaries to reach those numbers. Our biggest likely put-going salary is likely Nickiel at $4.3. However, if anyone wants to delve into a Gobert or Randle trade, there might be parts here that make sense, particularly if these lottery teams are used as the third team in a deal.

babyjax13 wrote:Was thinking about veteran role players on clear tanking teams as a way to think about trades that might happen now, or once some of these guys are eligible to be dealt. Maybe the list is helpful? Did not include Charlotte, because I don't think they believe they are tanking, and if they are healthy I do think they can make the play-in.

These are teams I anticipate are both tanking and would be interested in moving on from some or most of their veterans (so, this post is not looking at guys under 25). This post is only looking at clear role players rather than stars, clear starters on most teams, or clear albatross contracts.

East - Brooklyn, Chicago, Detroit (iffy, they may want to hold their veterans), Washington, Toronto
West - Portland, Utah

Players:
Dorian Finney-Smith
Bojan Bogdanovic
Nikola Vucevic
Jevon Carter
Chris Duarte
Torrey Craig
Tim Hardaway
Simone Fontecchio
Robert Williams
Matisse Thybulle
Duop Reath
Bruce Brown
Jakob Poeltl
Kelly Olynyk
Chris Boucher
Davion Mitchell
Garrett Temple
Jordan Clarkson
Svi Mykhailiuk
Drew Eubanks
Kyle Kuzma
Malcolm Brogdon
Jonas Valanciunas
Saddiq Bey (injured)
Corey Kispert

Some are obviously more valuable than others.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1574 » by younggunsmn » Mon Oct 14, 2024 10:55 pm

We kind of have a hole in the roster when it comes to a backup big-bodied rebounding C.
Luka is fine as a 3rd stringer, but if Rudy misses time the rebounding in particular will really suffer.

One guy we could target is Jonas Valanciunas from the Wizards.
May not be feasible this season because it will be impossible to salary match without moving Naz or a player making more than him.

But next summer, if Naz or Randle walk in free agency, we could easily slide him into a sign and trade, and we have the Detroit pick we got in the KAT trade.

Just a long term thought with it being very financially punishing to keep both Naz and Randle next year with them both hitting the unrestricted free agent market, we may need to supplement our big man rotation.

I'm not really seeing a vet minimum guy out there that I like in trade or someone making slightly less than NAW.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1575 » by younggunsmn » Mon Oct 14, 2024 11:04 pm

Maybe KBD to San Antonio for Charles Bassey?

Defense and Rebounding center.
KBD played well for Pop maybe he would want him back?

Bassey also tore his ACL last december and might not be ready to return just yet.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1576 » by Klomp » Mon Oct 14, 2024 11:50 pm

younggunsmn wrote:We kind of have a hole in the roster when it comes to a backup big-bodied rebounding C.
Luka is fine as a 3rd stringer, but if Rudy misses time the rebounding in particular will really suffer.

One guy we could target is Jonas Valanciunas from the Wizards.
May not be feasible this season because it will be impossible to salary match without moving Naz or a player making more than him.

But next summer, if Naz or Randle walk in free agency, we could easily slide him into a sign and trade, and we have the Detroit pick we got in the KAT trade.

Just a long term thought with it being very financially punishing to keep both Naz and Randle next year with them both hitting the unrestricted free agent market, we may need to supplement our big man rotation.

I'm not really seeing a vet minimum guy out there that I like in trade or someone making slightly less than NAW.

I think the idea that I keep going back to is NAW and that DET 1st for Walker Kessler. Utah might not want NAW, but they should be able to find a taker for him easily enough...
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1577 » by winforlose » Tue Oct 15, 2024 12:21 am

Klomp wrote:
younggunsmn wrote:We kind of have a hole in the roster when it comes to a backup big-bodied rebounding C.
Luka is fine as a 3rd stringer, but if Rudy misses time the rebounding in particular will really suffer.

One guy we could target is Jonas Valanciunas from the Wizards.
May not be feasible this season because it will be impossible to salary match without moving Naz or a player making more than him.

But next summer, if Naz or Randle walk in free agency, we could easily slide him into a sign and trade, and we have the Detroit pick we got in the KAT trade.

Just a long term thought with it being very financially punishing to keep both Naz and Randle next year with them both hitting the unrestricted free agent market, we may need to supplement our big man rotation.

I'm not really seeing a vet minimum guy out there that I like in trade or someone making slightly less than NAW.

I think the idea that I keep going back to is NAW and that DET 1st for Walker Kessler. Utah might not want NAW, but they should be able to find a taker for him easily enough...


I like the idea, but I am not sure that is enough for them, and I am not sure we don’t get a second or two back.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1578 » by Neeva » Tue Oct 15, 2024 12:43 am

Utah fans are done with Kessler, he has regressed since rookie year not sure why people here still have a hard on for him.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1579 » by winforlose » Tue Oct 15, 2024 1:00 am

Neeva wrote:Utah fans are done with Kessler, he has regressed since rookie year not sure why people here still have a hard on for him.


He has the size and his rookie year showed the potential. Now you just need to get him back to that level.
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Re: Trade Talk (Part 15): Trade Deadline Day (and onwards!) 

Post#1580 » by Neeva » Tue Oct 15, 2024 1:11 am

winforlose wrote:
Neeva wrote:Utah fans are done with Kessler, he has regressed since rookie year not sure why people here still have a hard on for him.


He has the size and his rookie year showed the potential. Now you just need to get him back to that level.


One year wonder, he looks out of shape too he doesn’t take basketball seriously . I predicted his rookie year was a fluke.

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