Kerrsed wrote:saintEscaton wrote:Kerrsed wrote:
I dont think we will be a bottom feeder, but i am realistic when i say i believe that it will ba 2 years before we are a real playoff team, and probably 5 years before we are considered a "REAL" contender for a title.
So at best late lottery next year?
I believe so. I think we will be the proud owners of a pick somewhere in the #12-#14 range. I also think this team was better than we showed. From tanking games on purpose to sitting Booker unnecessarily for weeks on end to switching coaches/systems and learning on the fly, i really believe we could have been around the 7th or 8th pick this season (But am super glad we arnt). Remember the anti-tanking advocates early on in the season with the "Its too early to be tanking games" and all the way up to march with the newly revised "Its too late to be tanking games"....oh god, those were the days!
But yeah, after moves made this offseason, new coach, new system, building chemistry with new players, i think with the correct core in place we will be set up for 2 more seasons of late lotto picks, then playoff runs from there on out.
I think the West will probably still kind of be a bloodbath, depending on a few things, like the Lakers and who they sign in FA, who Memphis drafts and if Conley/Gasol are healthy...like if they have those two and Doncic and keep Evans I think they will be competitive.
The Clippers will probably be pretty competitive. All the playoff teams will probably be pretty tough...the Spurs if Kawhi returns. If he doesn't they probably still will be fringe playoff unless they intentionally start a rebuild.
OKC will likely regress but who knows if Presti puts something together again.
And of course the Kings and Mavs will add top five picks. I think we will probably be better than 2-5 of the teams int he west maybe and probably better than 4-6 in the east. So my guess is somewhere between 7th-12th in reverse standings next year. And that's not because I don't think we will be making progress...it's just tough to make a big move.
There is always a chance we could pull a turnaround year like we did with KJ's first full year or Nash's return or even the 13-14 crazy year but those types of years are pretty rare, and the key in the former two were elite floor generals with great court vision and scoring and then in the 13-14, having two of them with the Dragic/Bledsoe combo, but mainly the crazy successful pick n roll/pop game of Dragic and Frye that was so successful.
That might be our biggest problem. Not having that elite floor general or even a pick n roll maestro.
However, I really do believe in Kokoskov so maybe we do run something crazy good that surprises everyone. The biggest key though will be that primary ball handler and there are not many options.