GoBobs wrote:facothomas22 wrote:GoBobs wrote:I see him averaging at lest 15/10/1 as a rookie, but even more scoring wouldn't surprise me. That will break down to 5 fgs and 5 fts per game. He will also be able to really limit the scoring of other post threat centers like Jokic in iso situations, but will have some problems defending the pick and roll as he will be strictly a drop coverage big.
This is quite a ridiculous prediction. He's likely not going to get the playing time needed to get this sort of production in his rookie season and his mobility issues could prevent him from any big minutes in general. If scouts saw he could be 15/10 guy or even more right away, then he would've mocked to be a top 5 pick, instead of at best a late lottery pick to at worst a pick in the low 20s in what's viewed as a weak draft class.
Playing time is going to depend on situation he gets drafted into. What people are missing though is he played in a very crowded paint during his time at Purdue. The spacing in the NBA is going to make things easier for him.
Lopez averaged 13 pts his rookie year at 20 years old, and jumped to 18 pts his second year. Edey is bigger, better and coming into the league with more experience than Lopez.
The people saying he won't get post touches ect because the game is different are overthinking it. He puts the ball in the basket. Guys are going to pass him the ball when they figure that out. He is going to get touches as the roll man in the pick and roll and he is going to get touches on offensive rebounds. He is going to get fouled because it is hard to guard a guy that is 7'5'' 300 lbs.
I don't see any team giving Zack Edey more than maybe 15 minutes per game in his rookie year,unless they're going all in to tank for Cooper Flagg. He's non mobile big that can get played off the court when being dragged out to the perimeter, which will happen often in the NBA. Outside of the combine, he hasn't shown any real signs that he going to develop a 3pt shot at any point in his career, which is far from ideal in today's NBA.
Brook Lopez is a bad comparison. He came to the NBA when before 3pt shooting became such a massive priority that it is today and the post up big man wasn't seen as ancient . Even then, he had to eventually develop the 3pt shot, otherwise his use in the NBA would be more and more diminished as the game became more perimeter based. Post up big men who can't shoot and has mobility issues in the perimeter focused league that the NBA usually don't get a ton a minutes. Ask Boban Marjanović.
With that said, he think he going to be Ivica Zubic level player. Below average starter, but still serviceable. He's great rebounder as you would expect from someone his size. Good rim protector and a great post up game. More mobile than Boban Marjanovic. Those traits should be enough keep him in the NBA long term. However those traits do not make him a 15/10 guy right way and a rookie of the year contender.
