My buddy told me my Raptors article was blowing up on Real GM and linked me, so I want to join the discussion. I didn't read through all the comments but understand the hate on the first couple pages. This comment pretty much nails the premise of the article:
tecumseh18 wrote:It starts with the premise that Masai is a gangsta who could do anything. It quotes him admitting at the Sloan Conference that the Raptors' window could be "3 months or 3 years". The writer is suggesting that we may see a Nene-esque delayed sign and trade with Lowry. Maybe Lakers would take DeMar. I'm sure the Knicks would.
The Raptors have a GM in Masai Ujiri unafraid of making big moves all in the name of winning championships. It doesn't matter how it looks. Some of the things he said at Sloan in regards to winning were illuminating. I wish those quotes made the cut of the piece. He said he wants his teams to be like the Warriors and Cavaliers, except I think Masai wants to do even better than the Cavs do it -- the backend of Cleveland's roster is trash (and that's partially what I'm writing about next week). The Warriors understand sustainability. So do the Spurs. So does Masai. The point is that if Ujiri sense there's no hope for a title with the DeMar-Kyle core, then changes might be necessary. No matter how they're perceived by fans or media. As tecumseh18 said, Masai is a gangsta. That might mean trading one. It might mean trading both.
One of the common counterarguments to my article I've read is: the Raptors should at least give it a run for 2-3 more years. I think that's fair, but my response would be: What happens at the end of that 2–3 years? The Raptors currently have a nice collection of young talent on their bench. I love Norman Powell. Bebe is a good rotational center. Cory Joseph is exciting. Pascal Siakam is a energy big. All down the line, they have solid talent. But none of them have star qualities, in my opinion. They will also soon all become expensive. Bebe, Powell, and Caboclo are restricted free-agents in 2019. This ties into my point about the cap becoming an issue. Look at how the Cavaliers need to add vet minimum level free-agents. That's what the Raptors will have to do if they keep this core (including the Ibaka and Patterson types). Their backend talent is good, but it probably isn't quite good enough to bring back highly impactful players through trades.
Sure, the Raptors would make some more strong runs, they'd hang a few more division banners, and that's great. This core is incredibly fun. But when those 2-3 years are up, and you maybe don’t have a single Finals appearance to show for it, where is your team? Lowry is a 34-year-old $40 million point guard. DeRozan is a 30-year-old unrestricted free-agent in 2020. That's not a good spot to be in. If you decide to retool or rebuild then, their value is diminished, and therefore your ability to maximize a return is inhibited unless a team is really desperate for a guy about to be a free-agent (DeRozan) and an aging point guard (Lowry).
However, if you decide to retool or rebuild prior to the 2018 trade deadline, you maximize a return, can still have a competitive team because your young core has talent, and you can infuse top talent through two loaded draft classes in 2017 and 2018. Then, hopefully by 2020, the Raptors are ascending to an even higher level than it is today. The risks to any rebuild go without saying. The young talent you draft may become busts (like Anthony Bennett). They may become blossoming stars that get hurt (like Joel Embiid).
But I think Masai Ujiri is a unique talent evaluator and his track record of nailing draft picks and winning trades would bode well. Again, as tecumseh18 said, Masai is a gangsta. He's also an incredibly smart man and basketball talent evaluator. He will be an innovator in how teams use the new two-way contracts. Just watch. And if you don't think the thought of reshaping the roster, even in the way I imagined it for this article, trust me: you are sorely mistaken because NBA GMs go through every single possible scenario with their rosters.
Also, one last thought: like you guys, I wish opinion pieces or "takes" didn't get as many eyes as they do. I wish stuff like this did:
https://theringer.com/nba-footwork-demar-derozan-giannis-antetokounmpo-jj-redick-c7819c1289b9#.va0utxzwtThat article did well and a lot of people liked it, but it didn't generate conversation like this. So, while I read a lot of complaints about my "take," I would rather have seen seven pages for the DeRozan footwork article. That's one of my favorite articles I did this year and hope you enjoy it. And thanks for commenting and reading on this article, even if you disagree with it.