Tha Cynic wrote:vulture wrote:Raps in 4 wrote:
This team sucks, just like the Knicks sucked before this season.
Bad teams can afford to give their young players bigger roles.
Sure but he has better players ahead of him. Scottie has to put in the work to improve his game and show them he deserves the bigger load. He can’t even handle the role he’s in.
Are they really that much better as players? They have definitely been featured more to get this team nowhere while putting up stats. What are we losing by pivoting and letting someone with more upside do essentially the same thing while having more opportunities to run this team in a different way?
Also there's literally an article a page back that shows that Barnes is one of the best passers in the entire league that goes much deeper into why he is based on actual analysis instead of generic stats some of you like to use.
I think it's pretty safe to say Siakam and FVV are better players right now lol. They have done more with more usage on higher efficiency for years. We should be putting the ball in Scottie's hands to create for others a bit more...but the problem is we have a large enough sample size over the course of the season that points to Scottie being a pretty mediocre offensive player outside of his passing and there's no reason to believe even more opportunities are going to magically make him a more efficient or effective player in the short term. Clearly the team is invested in him long-term and they want/hope for him to become the star of the team, but they are also not going to just turf the season at this point after they've already gone out and traded for a guy like Poeltl who has drastically improved the starting lineup as they try to make the playoffs.
Scottie is 248th among 271 qualified players (at least 2/3 GP of team's total) when it comes to TS% – and the majority of players worse than him are undersized guards and/or rookies. He is bad as a PnR ball handler (0.70 PPP and 18th percentile) and he is bad in transition (0.97 PPP and 20th percentile) while he hasn't been very good in ISOs (0.82 PPP and 32nd percentile) or post-ups (0.87 PPP and 35th percentile) either. By far, he has been at his best as a PnR roll man (1.33 PPP and 85th percentile) while he has been decent spotting up (1.01 PPP and 51st percentile). He averages 6.7 drives per game (4th on the team behind Siakam, FVV and OG) with 4.0 PTS (3rd) and 0.5 AST (4th) on those drives. Does any of that scream "he needs more touches and opportunities"? Everything points to Scottie being a pretty average offensive player this season all things considered yet he has more opportunities than most (95th in USG%, 25th in touches and 21st in MPG among those same 271 qualified players) despite being a worse all-around offensive player than the majority in the upper half of those categories.
The article about Scottie's passing was excellent. It was a deep dive into his abilities that showed what many people on this forum believe – Scottie has the best vision on the team and he reads the floor like a vet for the most part. The idea of advantage assists and high-reward turnovers leaves a lot of room for debate though. For instance, Tatum is one of the most prolific scorers in the league though he is just a decent passer at best. Looking at a 5-game sample size for Tatum (where he was averaging 33 PPG and 5 AST) compared to Scottie's entire season (where he is averaging 16 PPG and 5 AST) is a bit misleading. Obviously one can't do a deep dive into every single player in the league (and Samson clarified the point that it's not a perfect comparison), but it's pretty important to note that even a so-so passer in Tatum is generating more points off his passes (12.1 points per game) than Scottie (11.6 points per game) despite averaging marginally less assists and passes. There are other factors (mainly Boston being a significantly better three-point shooting team), but it's still worthwhile to mention.
Regarding the high-reward turnovers, there is no comparison to other players (on other teams or on our team) to see how Scottie stacks up when it comes to high-reward turnovers on passes vs low-reward turnovers on passes. Upon doing some of my own research on the bus this morning, I came to the conclusion that 23 (or 24-27 depending on how picky one wants to be) of FVV's 59 bad pass turnovers could be classified as high-reward turnovers (a dozen picked off passes to cutters in tight, 7 failed lobs, 3 or 4 cross-court passes picked off after collapsing the defence and 3 pitch-ahead passes in transition that ended up as empty trips). 23 of 59 (39%) for FVV isn't far off from 32 of 74 (43%) for Scottie. Considering the fact that FVV also has 80 more assists than Scottie, it's probably safe to assume that he has
at least as many advantage assists. And this is why it's unreasonable to say Scottie is by far the best passer on the team. Other players (like FVV) are making just as many risky passes on a per game basis yet the difference in assists and bad pass turnovers is sizable. People seem to remember the 2-3 flashy passes that Scottie makes per game while also remembering the 2-3 times that FVV missed someone on the roll then take those few possessions as gospel.