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Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1781 » by SUPERBALLMAN » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:09 am

gambitx777 wrote:Jake layman and Stanley Johnson as well as Johannes Voigtmann, remain on the top of my wish list. If we get that exception it make that easier to pull off. Bringing in those three and cutting McRae, TP, Simmons and getting howard off the books valences the team out nicely

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Maybe we can do some sort of S&T Layman for Howard/Simmons ?
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1782 » by payitforward » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:14 am

Stanley Johnson? So far that guy has been bad.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1783 » by payitforward » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:16 am

80sballboy wrote:
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3 or 4 best...?

What an idea!
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1784 » by gambitx777 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:46 am

He's a decent defender and 2 years for 6 mill bi exception money wouldn't hurt. He's 23.
payitforward wrote:Stanley Johnson? So far that guy has been bad.


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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1785 » by Rainwater » Wed Jul 3, 2019 3:40 am

nate33 wrote:
Rainwater wrote:I don't see Jabari coming back. I have been trying to deny the fact they are rebuilding but it really looks like it after the sign and trade. I believe Beal will be dealt at some point as well, maybe by mid season.

I don't think they have any intention whatsoever of trading Beal. Beal is hanging out at the gym watching the team workout prospects in the offseason. The dude is invested in this team.

I think Beal is fully on board with a 1-year tank and reload strategy.

I don't think the team is all that enamored with Jabari Parker. But I do think there's a chance he comes back simply because we have Bird Rights and can pay him more. We can't sign anyone else for more than $3M or so. If Jabari slips through the cracks in free agency and nobody wants him for $8M a year or more, I could see the Wizards retaining him as an asset.


I am just being honest here but they are fully rebuilding. They are currently building this team with scraps and and young guys. This might be a 3 to 4 year process until the Wiz compete again. I just don't see the Wiz wasting cash on another guy when they aren't winning and by the time they are ready to compete Beal will be 29, 30. And I don't think Beal wants waste his prime not completing. That is just me.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1786 » by FAH1223 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 7:00 am

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Diallo has good advanced numbers but cant shoot 3s
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1787 » by gambitx777 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 7:32 am

Jefferson and layman are guys I'd like to see! Jake can shoot better but Jefferson is a really good defender , we need some lock down.

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1788 » by nate33 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 1:00 pm

Rainwater wrote:I am just being honest here but they are fully rebuilding. They are currently building this team with scraps and and young guys. This might be a 3 to 4 year process until the Wiz compete again. I just don't see the Wiz wasting cash on another guy when they aren't winning and by the time they are ready to compete Beal will be 29, 30. And I don't think Beal wants waste his prime not completing. That is just me.

Call it what you want. But I think we need to get out of this mindset that you are either competing or you are tanking for years and years to land high picks until you build a base of talent and then you try and compete again. With the exception of Philly, nearly all of the currently good teams did not spend years and years in the lottery in a long term rebuilding strategy. They maybe dipped into the mid-to-late lottery once and then, through smart and steady improvement, got better and better.

  • Boston traded the vets for picks and never had to bottom out.
  • Toronto had no high picks on their roster.
  • Milwaukee had one trip to the top of the lottery and got Jabari Parker. The built their team with smart late picks.
  • Indiana got Paul George in the late lottery and later Miles Turner. They never picked below 10th.
  • Portland got Dame with the 6th pick and McCollum with the 10th and never looked back
  • Denver struck out with Mudiay at 7th and picked Murray at 7th, all their other good players were picked late.
  • In Utah's one trip to the high lottery, they got Exum. They're good because they found Mitchell, Ingles and Gobert late.
  • Houston hasn't had a top 7 pick since Yao Ming in 2002.
  • San Antonio hasn't had a lotto pick since Tim Duncan.
  • Brooklyn built this team with no high picks because they traded them all to Boston.

Most of the teams that have tried to tank and rebuild over multiple years have failed: Phoenix, New York, Orlando, Lakers. Among the good teams, only Philly, OKC and arguably Golden State had any type of "rebuild" where they intentionally sucked for multiple years in an effort to accumulate talent. And Philly is showing the folly of that strategy. Brand has already traded away most of the fruits of their trips to the lottery. It's just Simmons, Embiid and some highly overpaid free agents now. They're going to be a luxtax team with no depth, and probably still won't win.

The way to get good is consistency. Draft wisely, don't overpay free agents, trade money for more picks when you have the chance, avoid losing assets for nothing, develop your talent. You don't need to tank. And with the current rule change for the lottery, tanking is even less useful.

I feel like the Wizards are doing things the right way now. Sheppard is maximizing all of his assets. He's using TPE's to get picks and young guys (Lakers trade, Simmons trade). He isn't overpaying for free agents (well, maybe Ish Smith, but that's only a 2-year deal). They're not squandering assets (turning Sato into future 2nd rounders instead of letting him go for nothing). They're developing home grown talent (Bryant).

I think they will take the opportunity of Wall's injury to tank one year while developing their young players, but I really think they will be on a steady upward trend after that. The one thing they need to get right is drafting well. We won't know how that's going until next season plays out. If Brown and Hachimura develop into legit starting caliber players, they'll have their starting 5 in place as soon as 2020: Wall, Beal, Brown, Hachimura, Bryant, plus a high lotto pick from the 2020 draft.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1789 » by Rafael122 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 1:02 pm

Lakers are going to clean up on vet minimum guys. Noah Vonleh got the minimum, so did Cauley-Stein. The money is drying up. I think Parker is waiting on the Lakers to see what they do because they're really the only team left that has to fill roster spots and has money.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1790 » by daSwami » Wed Jul 3, 2019 1:19 pm

Rafael122 wrote:Lakers are going to clean up on vet minimum guys. Noah Vonleh got the minimum, so did Cauley-Stein. The money is drying up. I think Parker is waiting on the Lakers to see what they do because they're really the only team left that has to fill roster spots and has money.


Say we get the injury exception for Wall - will there be anyone left worth giving the full MLE ($9M)? Danny Green maybe? Doubt he comes here, but maybe???
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1791 » by Rafael122 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 1:21 pm

daSwami wrote:
Rafael122 wrote:Lakers are going to clean up on vet minimum guys. Noah Vonleh got the minimum, so did Cauley-Stein. The money is drying up. I think Parker is waiting on the Lakers to see what they do because they're really the only team left that has to fill roster spots and has money.


Say we get the injury exception for Wall - will there be anyone left worth giving the full MLE ($9M)? Danny Green maybe? Doubt he comes here, but maybe???


Green is waiting on Kawhi but apparently he's Dallas bound...potentially (Green, not Kawhi). There's no one left that's worth $9 mil a year. Parker, arguably, isn't. Cousins isn't either, we're essentially bidding against ourselves.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1792 » by gtn130 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:04 pm

nate33 wrote:But I think we need to get out of this mindset that you are either competing or you are tanking for years and years to land high picks until you build a base of talent and then you try and compete again.


I used to be extremely pro-tanking, but with the lottery odds now being flattened, it really doesn't make much sense to go hard with tanking anymore.

A far better option is to try to focus on building a winning culture and trying to be competitive every game. That may result in winning 32 games, which IMO used to be the worst position imaginable, but your odds of getting the #1 pick only go from like 14% to 7%. That tradeoff seems worth it to me.

Phoenix is a dumpster fire and they've been tanking for years now. Part of that is bad drafting, but I think it goes deeper than that.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1793 » by long suffrin' boulez fan » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:14 pm

Savior alert.

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1794 » by doclinkin » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:21 pm

FAH1223 wrote:
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Diallo has good advanced numbers but cant shoot 3s


I'd rather look at a player like G League rebounding beast Alan Williams. He needs better conditioning, but on a squad with workhorse weight room guys, and if the team hires a chef and a nutritionist for their practice facilities I expect we could lean him up into a monster. He was a fatty coming out of college and has remained a round mound of rebound, but the guy knows basketball and is one of those Kyle O'Quinn types who may never be recognized but has a positive effect on the stat sheet.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1795 » by doclinkin » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:25 pm

Get me also guard Troy Caupain of the Magic's G Squad. A 6'4" guard who defends rebounds passes and hits the three ball for 38% at the G level.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1796 » by nate33 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:29 pm

daSwami wrote:
Rafael122 wrote:Lakers are going to clean up on vet minimum guys. Noah Vonleh got the minimum, so did Cauley-Stein. The money is drying up. I think Parker is waiting on the Lakers to see what they do because they're really the only team left that has to fill roster spots and has money.


Say we get the injury exception for Wall - will there be anyone left worth giving the full MLE ($9M)? Danny Green maybe? Doubt he comes here, but maybe???

If they use the injury exception, my guess is that it will be in the middle of the season to help some team get under the tax in exchange for a pick.

Also, understand that the injury exception can only be used to sign 1-year deals or trade for guys with just 1 year remaining on their contract. Danny Green is presumably trying to get multiple years.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1797 » by gtn130 » Wed Jul 3, 2019 2:31 pm

Jake Layman would be my #1 choice among the minimum guys
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1798 » by payitforward » Wed Jul 3, 2019 3:21 pm

nate33 wrote:
Rainwater wrote:I am just being honest here but they are fully rebuilding. They are currently building this team with scraps and and young guys. This might be a 3 to 4 year process until the Wiz compete again. I just don't see the Wiz wasting cash on another guy when they aren't winning and by the time they are ready to compete Beal will be 29, 30. And I don't think Beal wants waste his prime not completing. That is just me.

Call it what you want. But I think we need to get out of this mindset that you are either competing or you are tanking for years and years to land high picks until you build a base of talent and then you try and compete again. With the exception of Philly, nearly all of the currently good teams did not spend years and years in the lottery in a long term rebuilding strategy. They maybe dipped into the mid-to-late lottery once and then, through smart and steady improvement, got better and better.

  • Boston traded the vets for picks and never had to bottom out.
  • Toronto had no high picks on their roster.
  • Milwaukee had one trip to the top of the lottery and got Jabari Parker. The built their team with smart late picks.
  • Indiana got Paul George in the late lottery and later Miles Turner. They never picked below 10th.
  • Portland got Dame with the 6th pick and McCollum with the 10th and never looked back
  • Denver struck out with Mudiay at 7th and picked Murray at 7th, all their other good players were picked late.
  • In Utah's one trip to the high lottery, they got Exum. They're good because they found Mitchell, Ingles and Gobert late.
  • Houston hasn't had a top 7 pick since Yao Ming in 2002.
  • San Antonio hasn't had a lotto pick since Tim Duncan.
  • Brooklyn built this team with no high picks because they traded them all to Boston.

Most of the teams that have tried to tank and rebuild over multiple years have failed: Phoenix, New York, Orlando, Lakers. Among the good teams, only Philly, OKC and arguably Golden State had any type of "rebuild" where they intentionally sucked for multiple years in an effort to accumulate talent. And Philly is showing the folly of that strategy. Brand has already traded away most of the fruits of their trips to the lottery. It's just Simmons, Embiid and some highly overpaid free agents now. They're going to be a luxtax team with no depth, and probably still won't win.

The way to get good is consistency. Draft wisely, don't overpay free agents, trade money for more picks when you have the chance, avoid losing assets for nothing, develop your talent. You don't need to tank. And with the current rule change for the lottery, tanking is even less useful.

I feel like the Wizards are doing things the right way now. Sheppard is maximizing all of his assets. He's using TPE's to get picks and young guys (Lakers trade, Simmons trade). He isn't overpaying for free agents (well, maybe Ish Smith, but that's only a 2-year deal). They're not squandering assets (turning Sato into future 2nd rounders instead of letting him go for nothing). They're developing home grown talent (Bryant).

I think they will take the opportunity of Wall's injury to tank one year while developing their young players, but I really think they will be on a steady upward trend after that. The one thing they need to get right is drafting well. We won't know how that's going until next season plays out. If Brown and Hachimura develop into legit starting caliber players, they'll have their starting 5 in place as soon as 2020: Wall, Beal, Brown, Hachimura, Bryant, plus a high lotto pick from the 2020 draft.

I think it's going to take a little longer than you do, nate -- mostly because of the particularly ugly mess Ernie created the last few years -- but in principle I believe you have it exactly right:

1. Pick well.
2. Trade $$ for picks.
3. Pick well again.

If you do that you wind up with a lot of tradable assets. Use those to balance the roster, keep getting younger, & keep adding to your tradable assets. Do all those things, & you are guaranteed to become a highly successful organization.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1799 » by payitforward » Wed Jul 3, 2019 3:22 pm

gtn130 wrote:Jake Layman would be my #1 choice among the minimum guys

Why will he be available at the minimum? He played very well last year; he is restricted; Portland's got smart management. I think they'll wind up keeping him.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1800 » by payitforward » Wed Jul 3, 2019 3:25 pm

doclinkin wrote:...G League rebounding beast Alan Williams. He needs better conditioning, but on a squad with workhorse weight room guys, and if the team hires a chef and a nutritionist for their practice facilities I expect we could lean him up into a monster. He was a fatty coming out of college and has remained a round mound of rebound, but the guy knows basketball and is one of those Kyle O'Quinn types who may never be recognized but has a positive effect on the stat sheet.

Love the guy! CCJ & I were plumping for him to be signed post-draft.

He was 2-way for the Nets last year; is he unrestricted? Grab him for the vet min.

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