montestewart wrote:The Consiglieri wrote:Now I get it, yes, I think the board overreacted a bit to the top 5, max contract player thing, ut honestly Wall had never played up to that level in his career when he said that. Not even close, and even though he definitely had all the excuses and explanations I listed, and mentioned repeatedly in 2011 and 2012, he still hadn't come close to earning such monetary respect. It made it all the more ironic that immediately following the ludicrous statement, he played exactly like a max contract, top 5 PG. And btw, I will own that I posted after hearing the contract quote, that I'd immediately look into dealing him before that contract was due if we could get the right offer, as it was insane to invest that much money in him a that time (now, not so much). We've seen too many mega contracts blow up in the teams face, particularly in salary cap leagues.
As far as I remember, it was those two statements in relatively rapid succession that brought out an avalanche of hand wringing. Far from EG beating out the board, which most certainly did not contain a "trade John Wall now" majority, EG likely saw the same thing that many fans here were seeing, a player with the confidence (arrogance, insecurity, whatever) to term himself a top-5 PG meriting a max contract, who so far had not shown that he was worth it. If EG wasn't starting to make contingency plans to either trade Wall or try and secure him for substantially less than the max, he was living in a dream world. And perhaps he was living in a dream world.
Looking at the John Wall Appreciation Thread and the Amazingly Sucky John Wall thread from February, I really don't see many calls for his immediate trade. What I do see is a lot of worried but clear analysis of the way his game looked prior to his surge in March. With the benefit of hindsight, I think that analysis and worry holds up very well. Even Jonathan Joseph, who seemed certain that Wall would never improve, repeatedly said that he hoped Wall improved, and I think will acknowledge his improvement.
It kind of feels like perhaps some loyal John Wall supporters have created from memory, out of the significant, quite varied, and largely legitimate criticisms of John Wall's game earlier in the season, a huge and unified (and in fact never really existing) TRADE JOHN WALL NOW movement. This is as great a revisionism regarding John Wall as any other I'm seeing.
It could have been that Ernie knows a lot more about Wall than we do and knew how good he is and how dominant he could be.
My opinion is that, despite what a lot of people thought at the time, trading Wall was NEVER a realistic option and was never even considered by the FO. It would have meant totally starting the rebuild over. That was something that was just never going to happen. We were married to Wall the day we picked him.
And whatever the reasons people had for wanting to try and trade Wall, no matter how justifiable they seem then and now, the fact is a lot of the fan base was ready to cut bait on him before he really started to realize his potential. That doesn't really speak well for our team building chops. And most of it came from him having a big slump in February.
The fan base has limited information to work with so we overreact to the recent events on the court. It's not just Wizards fans either, I think every fan base for every team does the same.
I'm not trying to put myself above anyone either because I am just as limited in the info I've got access too. I probably would have done a terrible job if I'd have been in charge. Confession time: I was fine with Ves and Singleton at the time and thought we had a great draft considering how bad the class was and where we picked. I wanted Valanciunas or Kanter at 6, they went beforehand, so I was fine with Vesely because I thought he was a BPA pick. I remember liking Leonard but specifically not wanting him at 6 because I thought he would have been a reach at the time. I wanted Klay Thompson or Singleton specifically with the second pick, or maybe Marshon Brooks. I liked Faried and would have been fine with him too, but I only saw the one tourney game of him and I had no clue he was going to be so good. I thought Singleton was going to be our answer to defending Carmelo and LeBron down the road and thought he was a great pick. I had never seen Ves play, only caught youtube highlights, and I'd only seen Singleton play one game against VT. I had miniscule information to go on with them and everything I knew about them was basically draftnik talk.
Last year I liked Beal, saw him play a couple times, and was probably a little ahead of the curve on identifying him as a top prospect and a better player than Rivers and Lamb. A lot of people liked those guys at the time. A lot of people still liked Lamb and thought he should have been the pick either at 3 or in a trade down into the season. Smart people I respect too. A lot of people didn't really see it with Beal and he wasn't a no brainer despite what people think now. Again, smart people. And a lot of people were ready to proclaim Waiters the better prospect after opening night in Cleveland. Not necessarily on this board, just within the fan base. The fan base is just very reactionary.
BTW, another confession: I loved TRob, thought he was a total stud, and probably would have picked him over Beal gun to my head.
Though I want to give myself some credit and say Beal was my second choice and the pick felt right the moment after we made it. I've been a Beal man since then. I was very outspoken that I would not have traded Beal for Harden and I got killed for that. Not here, I've kept that opinion to myself on here, but on another forum I post in.
Anyway, my point is these decisions are extremely hard to make in real time and we fans have so little information to go on. I know I personally couldn't do a better job than Ernie, and I say that knowing Ernie is not a very good GM. Hell, I've agreed with his individual personnel decisions more often than not. The only one I hated at the time was the Shard for Okariza trade and that one actually seems great in hindsight.
EDIT: wanted to point out I hated the 2009 Miller/Foye trade too, I think everyone knew that trade was turrible. I was talking about the EG moves in the Leonsis era.
















