2026 NBA Playoffs - West First Round - #3 Denver Nuggets vs #6 Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN WINS 4-2)

ReggiesKnicks · Post #61 » by **ReggiesKnicks** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 5:11 pm

I think this series is 50/50, which puts Denver at 75-80% for each of the next 3 games.

Vegas agrees as well.

nbafan38 · Post #62 » by **nbafan38** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 5:14 pm

ReggiesKnicks wrote:I think this series is 50/50, which puts Denver at 75-80% for each of the next 3 games.

Vegas agrees as well.

Yep I agree this is anyones series although I lean Minnesota closes it out at home in game 6.

Mrakar · Post #63 » by **Mrakar** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 5:20 pm

Nuggs probably bend over tonight, it hurts less like that.

Post #64 » by **Michael Jackson** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 5:23 pm

nbafan38 wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:I think this series is 50/50, which puts Denver at 75-80% for each of the next 3 games.

Vegas agrees as well.

Yep I agree this is anyones series although I lean Minnesota closes it out at home in game 6.

I think Minny has to close it out tonight or they lose the series. They have to strike now. The lack of DD and Ant can only be covered for so long.

Tnasty4l · Post #65 » by **Tnasty4l** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:06 pm

WINNER
WOLVES:
AYO: 23+pts 5+asts 4+rbs
JULES: 20+pts 7+rbs 4+asts

LOSER
NUGGETS:
JOKER: 23+pts 10+rbs 7+asts
JAMAL: 22+pts 6+asts 3+rbs

Focal · Post #66 » by **Focal** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:09 pm

Nugs in 7.

Jokic sees red.

SkyHook · Post #67 » by **SkyHook** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:13 pm

nbafan38 wrote:Tonight is a must win for Denver IMO. If the nuggets can't at least show pride and force a game 6 against this version of the timberwolves they may as well break up their team.

Tautological, being down 3-1.

Post #68 » by **bisme37** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:34 pm

It's the big game you guys

canada_dry · Post #69 » by **canada_dry** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:58 pm

The 3-1 comeback against a hobbled wolves team begins now.

flow · Post #70 » by **flow** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:02 pm

Despite the injuries, Minny is still -140 to win the series as of now.

If you're keen on Denver winning 3 straight, jump on the +120 price now. Once (if) they win tonight, the odds will become much different.

.

Woodsanity · Post #71 » by **Woodsanity** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:04 pm

Nuggets from top to bottom have been a embarassment.

Jokic and Murray playing way below par. Coaching is a joke. Aaron Gordon and Cam Johnson mia. So much blame to go around when it comes to the Nuggets. From stars, coaching and role players.

shrink · Post #72 » by **shrink** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:05 pm

bisme37 wrote:It's the big game you guys

I love that Ayo is getting his picture there!

MikRay · Post #73 » by **MikRay** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:21 pm

The putz who scored 40 something isn’t going to even get 20 again. Fluke. Denver wins the next three games with ease.

levon · Post #74 » by **levon** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:30 pm

shrink wrote:
nbafan38 wrote:
levon wrote:Denver by 11.5 is kind of crazy.

I agree I think Denver wins tonight but 11.5 is too high for this matchup.

The Nuggets have been favored in every game this series.

MIN is weird though. They do better when they are told they’re the underdogs, than when they are the favorites.

For comparison, OKC over Phoenix is -10.5. Like what?

Doranku · Post #75 » by **Doranku** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:40 pm

BlacJacMac wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=46

Again, I have to tip my hat to Gobert this series. He has cratered Jokic's offensive output and efficiency

Regular season Joker: 27.7ppg on 67.0% TS, 10.7 assists / 3.7 turnovers per game.

1st round Joker: 25.0ppg on 50.6%TS, 7.8 assists / 4.0 turnovers per game.

shrink · Post #76 » by **shrink** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:46 pm

Doranku wrote:
BlacJacMac wrote:

Read on Twitter
?s=46

Again, I have to tip my hat to Gobert this series. He has cratered Jokic's offensive output and efficiency

Regular season Joker: 27.7ppg on 67.0% TS, 10.7 assists / 3.7 turnovers per game.

1st round Joker: 25.0ppg on 50.6%TS, 7.8 assists / 4.0 turnovers per game.

So Jokic must be doing great against Naz when he tries to guard him, to even reach these averages.

The-Power · Post #77 » by **The-Power** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:46 pm

levon wrote:Denver by 11.5 is kind of crazy.

I don't think so. Denver plays at home, Denver is the desperate team, Denver still has the best player in the series and Minnesota is without their starting backcourt. Nobody should be surprised if this becomes a blowout victory for Denver to be honest.

JXL · Post #78 » by **JXL** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:52 pm

I think the main issue for Denver is how Gobert is keeping Jokic in check, while McDaniels has Murray in a straightjacket.

If both Denver teammates can get going, especially without Edwards to take the bulk of the scoring, Denver's back in the series.

Post #79 » by **Clav** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 8:16 pm

Damnit if the Nuggets lose I need to write their post mortem and I haven't even started on it... still at work.

chudak · Post #80 » by **chudak** » Mon Apr 27, 2026 8:19 pm

Obviously without Ant and DVV the Nuggets have a chance - and they did enter this as favourites.

But I dont trust Denver right now.

Jokic has been shooting poorly from outside since January.

Be it weight (lack of it for this matchup), shooting or just Gobert stepping up to guard Jokic 1:1 and Minny having athletic defenders that are playing hungry Jokic playmaking is not as good as expected, no one is getting open and offense seems too stale (which is also on coaching).

Without Gordon (and even Payton Watson a bit) this Nuggets team is defending the rim terribly, so they are not going to win without scoring 110+ points per game.

Then again - hey how the things started I would not be surprised if Jokic or Gobert get injured too and that is what ends the series in either direction.

I am rooting for the Nuggets, but as it stands right now Minnesota deserves this more.

Who wins Game 6?