ken6199 wrote:Neutral 123 wrote:ken6199 wrote:Latest projection from the WH.
Great info. They've put the number out there. 2 million. That was the number projected by the CDC for an outbreak with a similar kill rate.
Now the onus has been dumped in the people. Don't listen and it's 2 million. What do you think is more likely?
At this point honestly nobody knows. As those data scientists say, we don't have a model yet but once we have a model that model probably won't be much helpful anyway (because it means we will have already passed the peak).
One thing I do know is, extending the lockdown to 4/30 helps reducing the total number.
The mechanism I see reducing the number is that as long as hospital systems aren't overwhelmed more people will be treated properly and can be saved. But with current treatment, those gains seem marginal.
I wonder how this will reduce the total significantly when this is pretty well impossible to get rid of completely and when lockdowns end, this will continue to ramp up.
To me, social distancing only serves to prolong.
From what I've read, getting a small viral load gives one a much better chance of experiencing mild to no symptoms. One of the reasons I wear a mask is because even though infection may be inevitable, a small viral load will make this as painless as possible. It also buys more time, in case there is a treatment protocol that actually works.
Everything now is speculation and everyone getting sick are guinea pigs at this point.
.