The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7)

Moderators: Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal, Clyde Frazier

70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,228
And1: 25,495
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1641 » by 70sFan » Fri Oct 2, 2020 10:50 am

limbo wrote:Here goes 70sFan blowing everything out of proportion again...

It's not me who is saying this:

You know that spin-cycle layup LeBron abuses now. That wasn't in his bag 5 years ago. He would've just bee line it to the rim and hope he doesn't get a charge or gets blocked. Now with the the spin cycle, he just slowly gets the defender leaning one way, and uses his massive body to shield him off. Easy bucket.


..about spin move that was James signature move for over a decade:



This is blowing something out of proportion. I think that a lot of people look at LeBron now and think "wow, how skilled he became", but they don't realize that he was extremely skilled and refined player for over a decade. You can argue that late 2000s LeBron lacked some polish, but by 2013 he had all the moves he needed.

Outside a more consistent long range shooting stroke, 13/14 LeBron is not more skilled than he is now... That doesn't mean 13/14 was 'Russell Westbrook' in terms of skill or whatever that was suppose to mean...

Because you're acting like the difference is huge, when in reality the difference is very small and in nuances.

No one is acting like the skill gap is huge, but it's definitely noticeable in certain areas and makes logical sense as well.

Well, your previous post basically said that James became much more skilled player than in Miami years, so yes someone acted like that.

Tell me how do you rationalize that 2013 LeBron would be 'more skilled' than now? What, did he not pick up anything in 7 years of going to the Finals and playing GOAT level teams? Did he got dumber on defense? Did his eyes got worse in 5 years so his vision became worse?

The only skill attribute that you could argue is worse now than it was in 2013 is his shooting, because LeBron is known as a guy that constantly tinkers his form on top of being a very selective/streaky shooter. This enables a larger variance in how well he's able to shoot. And better/more consistent shooting is definitely not a negligible advantage. But as far as reading and reacting he's gotten more skilled in that area because he's simply smarter and has picked up more tools to add in his collection in the last 7 years.

Yes, I'd say that James was better shooter in 2013 and 2014, but it's not only about efficiency. He was much more comfortable off the dribble, he had smoother form and was better from the catch (not only with threes, but also after off-ball movement). His footwork isn't necessarily worse, but it's also more mechanical. I also like his off-ball movement much more in Miami, but it could be due to the role differences. I also think that James used his left hand far more.

I think that the biggest difference between 2013 and 2020 James is his passing - he became more versatile passer and he reads the game a bit better. Is it enough to call him more skilled, despite being worse shooter? I don't know, but the gap is very small in either way.

The other differences are just forced by lesser physical capabilites - it's not like 2014 James couldn't break down defense in methodological way, he was always smart and crafty player (at least after 2011). So much is taken from James struggling in the 2013 finals, but in the end he destroyed us in the last two games. I don't think James ever played such a good defensive team again (yes, inlcuding Warriors who didn't have size to contain James). James operates now with far better spacing (the same in 2nd Cavs career) and he usually faces smaller frontcourts - that has to be taken into account when we compare his productivity in 2013 and in 2020.

And yes, MJ was the same in a way. Except i think MJ's athletic decline was more instrumental to his impact than LeBron's is. MJ relied on his GOAT level explosiveness far more. He did bulk up during 1996-1998 to give him more bullying power, but he's not a 6'8, 250 pound monster that sleeps in a cryogenic chamber like LeBron. Jordan went to smoke a cigars and gamble before and after he was playing... LeBron actually puts in the time to make sure his body is operating at the best possible level it can.

Jordan was more skilled and stronger in 1996-1998. But the lost of athleticism/explosiveness had a bigger impact on his overall output. That's why the gap between 1991 MJ and 1998 MJ is bigger than the gap between 2013 LeBron and 2020 LeBron.

So what exactly did Jordan do better in 1998 than in 1993? He wasn't a better shooter at this point, he didn't pass better either. Maybe he was slightly more refined in the post, but I'm not sure.
User avatar
Dupp
RealGM
Posts: 112,394
And1: 67,145
Joined: Aug 16, 2009
Location: Lifelong Nuggets Fan
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1642 » by Dupp » Fri Oct 2, 2020 11:32 am

I think there’s a clear mental difference in how lebron approached scoring from the 14 finals to the 15 finals. That then Carried over for the successive finals
Firebird1
Sophomore
Posts: 169
And1: 75
Joined: Sep 24, 2020
   

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1643 » by Firebird1 » Fri Oct 2, 2020 11:44 am



This guy is amazing really. 10+ years of total dominance.

:o
User avatar
Mos_Heat
RealGM
Posts: 10,623
And1: 36,993
Joined: Jan 12, 2016
Location: Meh
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1644 » by Mos_Heat » Fri Oct 2, 2020 12:45 pm

zimpy27 wrote:
Dupp wrote:
dreamshake wrote:Could be wrong, but I suspect other teams are going to be pretty aggressive trying to lure Dwight away from the Lakers. Both because he's played well enough to be valuable to them, and also to weaken the Lakers. Would it be worth the full MLE if thats what it takes to keep him?

As far as offseason moves in general I think the priority will rightfully be on continuity and keeping all the key pieces aboard. The one thing I'd love to see is somehow adding a shooter that's not a total zero on defense. Joe Harris would be the dream for me but doubt that will happen.



Been thinking about this too. Definitely think losing Dwight is a huge possibility. Which would be bad for LA.


Lakers have 8m/2 year BAE to give Dwight. They also have a 10m MLE. The danger would be if Rondo opts out of their $2m contract.

Lakers should use the 10m MLE on Markieff and another guard.

With AD extension they will have only 15 mil below the apron. Considering that KCP, Howard and Rondo will get raises, I don't see them using full MLE
:reporter:
User avatar
Mos_Heat
RealGM
Posts: 10,623
And1: 36,993
Joined: Jan 12, 2016
Location: Meh
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1645 » by Mos_Heat » Fri Oct 2, 2020 12:58 pm

Homer38 wrote:
Spoiler:
Read on Twitter


Bill Simmons predicted Heat in 6

That was before the injuries. Lakers fans need to tone it down a bit, get a chip first
:reporter:
User avatar
zimpy27
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 45,789
And1: 44,051
Joined: Jul 13, 2014

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1646 » by zimpy27 » Fri Oct 2, 2020 1:09 pm

Mos_Heat wrote:
zimpy27 wrote:
Dupp wrote:

Been thinking about this too. Definitely think losing Dwight is a huge possibility. Which would be bad for LA.


Lakers have 8m/2 year BAE to give Dwight. They also have a 10m MLE. The danger would be if Rondo opts out of their $2m contract.

Lakers should use the 10m MLE on Markieff and another guard.

With AD extension they will have only 15 mil below the apron. Considering that KCP, Howard and Rondo will get raises, I don't see them using full MLE

I could see KCP and Rondo opting in, Howard should be had for the BAE. Are your expecting them to keep Boogie?
"Let's play some basketball!" - Fergie
User avatar
Heej
General Manager
Posts: 8,469
And1: 9,171
Joined: Jan 14, 2011

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1647 » by Heej » Fri Oct 2, 2020 2:24 pm

I'm all for saying that 2013 and 14 LeBron was very skilled, but cmon man let's not act like the technique and precision of his footwork hasn't significantly improved since then. Go watch film from even 2015 vs now and see how much sharper LeBron's 'gallop' step type move that he uses on most of his drives (we've all seen it, the one where he rumbles up, slightly pauses, scissors his feet and takes off) looks in comparison. He's just sharper in all these little things that contributes to an overall far more effective skills package.

If you wanna say the baseline skills were already there forever, then yes. LeBron didn't suddenly learn how to dribble drive better or learn how to shoot from 3 like he did in 2013, but that's highly undervaluing how advanced his skillset has gotten and how much improving those fundamental nuances have improved his skill game. There's no true upper limit for how much sharper you can make your moves, therefore you can't really say the skill improvement is minimal like 70sFan is making it seem
LeBron's NBA Cup MVP is more valuable than either of KD's Finals MVPs. This is the word of the Lord
User avatar
Mos_Heat
RealGM
Posts: 10,623
And1: 36,993
Joined: Jan 12, 2016
Location: Meh
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1648 » by Mos_Heat » Fri Oct 2, 2020 2:25 pm

zimpy27 wrote:
Mos_Heat wrote:
zimpy27 wrote:
Lakers have 8m/2 year BAE to give Dwight. They also have a 10m MLE. The danger would be if Rondo opts out of their $2m contract.

Lakers should use the 10m MLE on Markieff and another guard.

With AD extension they will have only 15 mil below the apron. Considering that KCP, Howard and Rondo will get raises, I don't see them using full MLE

I could see KCP and Rondo opting in, Howard should be had for the BAE. Are your expecting them to keep Boogie?

Why would KCP opt in when he can milk his Bird rights? Same thing with Rondo and early birds.

Boogie IDK. He's probably a dead body at this point, but AD and Lebron will get him another contract
:reporter:
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 11,527
And1: 18,922
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1649 » by homecourtloss » Fri Oct 2, 2020 2:31 pm

Homer38 wrote:
Read on Twitter


Bill Simmons predicted Heat in 6


LeBron’s runs through the East were always looked at in hindsight. WHILE he’s making the run, it’s NEVER seen as a sure thing but once he does makes his run, it’s seen as, oh, of course.

2018–Cavs vs Toronto ZERO PERCENT chance that Cavs win in 4 or 5 against Toronto according to statistical models but it’s just, “LOOL, TORONTO. THEY WERE SCARED.” Toronto had a superior team in every way and so much so that forecasting models literally gave the Cavs zero chance to win in 4 or even 5. After they win, oh, of course. If you bet Cavs in 4, you could have made a **** ton of money. There were threads in here about how the Cavs shouldn’t have even beaten the Pacers (good point) BUT THEN a few weeks later, “oh, the East sucks.”

http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/23364079/espn-forecast-nba-playoffs-predicting-makes-east-finals

Raps were favored in this series. Raps were 7 point favorites in game 1 and 6.5 in game 2. Everyone everywhere felt that it was the end of the road for Lebron and the team was toast against Toronto and if not them then the Sixers would destroy them who wound up losing anyway.

Take a look at these predictions that were then forgotten in hindsight:

2015

Hawks vs. Cavs—5 people picked the Hawks and not a SINGLE person picked the series to go less than 6/7 games. Love was ouT, Kyrie was hobbled and wound up playing on 49 minutes, and still the Cavs swept a 60 win team but in hindsight, “Of course the Hawks suck, lol,”

http://www.espn.com/nba/playoffs/2015/story/_/id/12904540/experts-predictions-conference-finals

Bulls vs. Cavs: 5 people picked the Bulls, nobody picked a series shorter than 6/7 but when it was over, it was, “Of course the Cavs won because thr Bulls suck. Kenny Smith at halftime of game one (without Love or JR) said the Bulls were just better but afterwards, he talks about “How easy the East is for LeBron”

http://www.espn.com/nba/playoffs/2015/story/_/id/12802517/experts-predictions-round-2

2016

Pistons vs Cavs: One person predicted a sweep, the majority were split between a 5/6 game series.
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/playoffs15206459/experts-predictions-east-round-1

Hawks vs. Cavs —lots of 6/7 game predictions, but after the fact, it was, “Oh of course it was gonna be easy” disregarding the fact that it was a sweep because the Cavs put on the greatest shooting display ever in that series.

http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/ATLCLE-15445136/experts-predictions-cavaliers-hawks

2017—just more of the same

Raptors vs. Cavs: https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/19279167/2017-nba-playoffs-expert-predictions-conference-semifinal-matchups

If you picked the series to be tough, don’t turn around and talk about how easy the runs were AFTER the fact. Every team begins to wear down after a two/three year stretch. We saw it with the Bulls in both runs, we saw it with the Celtics in the ‘80s, we saw it with the Heat, we saw it with the Warriors in 2019. Steve Kerr talked about how draining the constant winning is and how tired exhausted emotionally his players are and he mentioned it was the case with the Bulls as well in the 1990s.

At the same time, people just assume it’s so easy for LeBron to do it, that he won’t break down.

LeBron 1) is a machine who will automatically lead ANOTHER team to the final for the how many ever consecutive year because of the East and then as the season progresses

2) Talk about how his team doesn’t look good enough (in at least 6 of those seasons) to do so and

3) predict that some series will be tough or that the Cavs won’t win and then

4) AFTER the FACT, write/talk about how it’s all so easy to win in the East, no big accomplishment even though Jordan had to take time off, Kerr talking about his team being tired after 3 straight years of winning, yet it’s no big deal for this 35 year old guy with 50,000+ minutes to do it again for an eight year in a row with some otherwise non-championship caliber players.

And now they’re doing it when he’s in the west.

Portland is a toughest #8 seed to nothing. Same with the Rockets and the threes and Harden. And so on.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
User avatar
Baski
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,533
And1: 3,950
Joined: Feb 09, 2017
   

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1650 » by Baski » Fri Oct 2, 2020 2:33 pm

Firebird1 wrote:

This guy is amazing really. 10+ years of total dominance.

:o

35 is too small a number to capture this man's entire career
Firebird1
Sophomore
Posts: 169
And1: 75
Joined: Sep 24, 2020
   

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1651 » by Firebird1 » Fri Oct 2, 2020 2:36 pm

LeBron is a goat for sure.

:thumbsup:
thebigbird
General Manager
Posts: 7,581
And1: 20,494
Joined: Jul 11, 2018
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1652 » by thebigbird » Fri Oct 2, 2020 3:45 pm

Bill Simmons continues to embarrass himself more and more.

Read on Twitter
?s=21
User avatar
RCM88x
RealGM
Posts: 15,239
And1: 19,171
Joined: May 31, 2015
Location: Lebron Ball
     

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1653 » by RCM88x » Fri Oct 2, 2020 4:20 pm

thebigbird wrote:Bill Simmons continues to embarrass himself more and more.

Read on Twitter
?s=21


I know everyone likes to dump on Simmons as far as ESPN personalities go. But Stugotz is so much worse. I remember back when I'd listen to ESPN radio 2015-2017, him coming on would be an instant channel swap or mute. Dude is basically of that annoying middle aged man at the end of the bar who yells constantly at the TV to try to get attention. Awful.
Image

LookToShoot wrote:Melo is the only player that makes the Rockets watchable for the basketball purists. Otherwise it would just be three point shots and pick n roll.
dontcalltimeout
Senior
Posts: 508
And1: 547
Joined: Nov 21, 2013
Location: city of the big shoulders
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1654 » by dontcalltimeout » Fri Oct 2, 2020 4:31 pm

RCM88x wrote:
thebigbird wrote:Bill Simmons continues to embarrass himself more and more.

Read on Twitter
?s=21


I know everyone likes to dump on Simmons as far as ESPN personalities go. But Stugotz is so much worse. I remember back when I'd listen to ESPN radio 2015-2017, him coming on would be an instant channel swap or mute. Dude is basically of that annoying middle aged man at the end of the bar who yells constantly at the TV to try to get attention. Awful.


You folks know Stugotz is doing a parody of a sports radio guy, right?
User avatar
RCM88x
RealGM
Posts: 15,239
And1: 19,171
Joined: May 31, 2015
Location: Lebron Ball
     

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1655 » by RCM88x » Fri Oct 2, 2020 4:53 pm

dontcalltimeout wrote:
RCM88x wrote:
thebigbird wrote:Bill Simmons continues to embarrass himself more and more.

Read on Twitter
?s=21


I know everyone likes to dump on Simmons as far as ESPN personalities go. But Stugotz is so much worse. I remember back when I'd listen to ESPN radio 2015-2017, him coming on would be an instant channel swap or mute. Dude is basically of that annoying middle aged man at the end of the bar who yells constantly at the TV to try to get attention. Awful.


You folks know Stugotz is doing a parody of a sports radio guy, right?


If so that explains a lot.

It does not explain why he's on ESPN radio or why he's doing that at all. Do people find it entertaining?
Image

LookToShoot wrote:Melo is the only player that makes the Rockets watchable for the basketball purists. Otherwise it would just be three point shots and pick n roll.
dontcalltimeout
Senior
Posts: 508
And1: 547
Joined: Nov 21, 2013
Location: city of the big shoulders
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1656 » by dontcalltimeout » Fri Oct 2, 2020 4:59 pm

RCM88x wrote:
dontcalltimeout wrote:
RCM88x wrote:
I know everyone likes to dump on Simmons as far as ESPN personalities go. But Stugotz is so much worse. I remember back when I'd listen to ESPN radio 2015-2017, him coming on would be an instant channel swap or mute. Dude is basically of that annoying middle aged man at the end of the bar who yells constantly at the TV to try to get attention. Awful.


You folks know Stugotz is doing a parody of a sports radio guy, right?


If so that explains a lot.

It does not explain why he's on ESPN radio or why he's doing that at all. Do people find it entertaining?


The way I'd explain it is that the Le Batard Show is part actual sports radio overlayed with meta/parody/self-awareness that what they're doing is pretty silly. Dan is the "Straight man" and Stugotz is the guy who idolized Mike and Mad Dog. Once you get used to it and get "into the joke" it's pretty funny but YMMV, and if you think he's just a regular gasbag or hear Stugotz out of context I can see how it would be annoying.
JLei
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,579
And1: 3,000
Joined: Aug 25, 2009
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1657 » by JLei » Fri Oct 2, 2020 5:31 pm

70sFan wrote:
limbo wrote:Here goes 70sFan blowing everything out of proportion again...

It's not me who is saying this:

You know that spin-cycle layup LeBron abuses now. That wasn't in his bag 5 years ago. He would've just bee line it to the rim and hope he doesn't get a charge or gets blocked. Now with the the spin cycle, he just slowly gets the defender leaning one way, and uses his massive body to shield him off. Easy bucket.


..about spin move that was James signature move for over a decade:





He didn't quite spam it as much has he does now. And with good reason. The league downsized and went to midget ball and it stops these little guys from taking charges on him.

I think the 2016 season when all he did was bum rush the rim since his jumper left him in 2015 was when he started to just use it non stop but also coincides with Curry moving the league smaller.

Then most people really started noticing in that 2017 Finals when he just pressed square twice every possession and scored in the lane.

Back when the league had size and rim protectors didn't make sense to spin as much as you lose your view of the help defender while also not being able to elevate as high.

When you are playing against little dudes it stops them from being able to take a charge/ being able to swipe across his gigantic body since they have no shot at blocking his shot anyways. It also allows him to move them out of the way without an offensive foul since he's going in a different direction.
Modern Era Fantasy Game Champ! :king:
PG: Ricky Rubio 16
SG: Brandon Roy 09
SF: Danny Green 14
PF: Rasheed Wallace 06
C: Shaquille O'Neal 01

G: George Hill 14
F: Anthony Parker 10
C: Amir Johnson 12
kayess
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,807
And1: 1,000
Joined: Sep 29, 2013

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1658 » by kayess » Fri Oct 2, 2020 6:21 pm

The inverse of "LeBron haters holding him to such a high standard because even they know deep down he's the GOAT" is his fans arguing and bickering about which version of LeBron is better, what year's his overall peak, what year specific skills peaked. It's hilarious. Even in that project some time ago there were clearly divided lines between the 2012, 2013 and 2009 camps
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,228
And1: 25,495
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1659 » by 70sFan » Fri Oct 2, 2020 6:38 pm

JLei wrote:
70sFan wrote:
limbo wrote:Here goes 70sFan blowing everything out of proportion again...

It's not me who is saying this:

You know that spin-cycle layup LeBron abuses now. That wasn't in his bag 5 years ago. He would've just bee line it to the rim and hope he doesn't get a charge or gets blocked. Now with the the spin cycle, he just slowly gets the defender leaning one way, and uses his massive body to shield him off. Easy bucket.


..about spin move that was James signature move for over a decade:





He didn't quite spam it as much has he does now. And with good reason. The league downsized and went to midget ball and it stops these little guys from taking charges on him.

I think the 2016 season when all he did was bum rush the rim since his jumper left him in 2015 was when he started to just use it non stop but also coincides with Curry moving the league smaller.

Then most people really started noticing in that 2017 Finals when he just pressed square twice every possession and scored in the lane.

Back when the league had size and rim protectors didn't make sense to spin as much as you lose your view of the help defender while also not being able to elevate as high.

When you are playing against little dudes it stops them from being able to take a charge/ being able to swipe across his gigantic body since they have no shot at blocking his shot anyways. It also allows him to move them out of the way without an offensive foul since he's going in a different direction.

Interesting observation, it may be a factor as well. My point is that he always had that move in his repertoire and he used it extremely well in Miami. The combination of lost athleticism and smaller league could make him decide to use it more often, but it didn't make him invent this move - he had it perfected for years.
kayess
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,807
And1: 1,000
Joined: Sep 29, 2013

Re: The Lebron '20 Thread (Pt. 7) 

Post#1660 » by kayess » Fri Oct 2, 2020 6:40 pm

https://www.theringer.com/2020/10/2/21498449/lebron-james-heat-index-miami-heat-espn

Holy ****, what a blast from the past. I can't actually think of a time when Haberstroh and Arnovitz were new and not well established guys

Return to Player Comparisons