2003 Duncan Defensive Tracking: Meniscus Magic?

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OhayoKD
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2003 Duncan Defensive Tracking: Meniscus Magic? 

Post#1 » by OhayoKD » Fri Feb 7, 2025 12:00 am

I have been paid money to track Duncan pre and post injury to see to what extent his 2000 meniscus injury hurt him. Please do note, if you are looking for me to track a specific thing, money is a great motivator. Here’s the tracking for the first game:

https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?t=2430970

Now we’re looking at the 2nd:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/16HJpl7cVegvjHlavz1DecoJwCRB7JFit/view?usp=drive_link


We’re just going to stick to perimeter stuff for counting.


Spoiler:
PPDs - Primary Perimeter defendings - This credits a player as the primary or co-primary perimeter defender for a possession

EPPD - Effective Primary Perimeter defendings - When a PPD is deemed effective
IPPD - Ineffective Primary Perimeter defendings - When a PPD is deemed ineffective



Going to add

SPDs - Secondary Perimeter defendings - This credits a player as the secondary or co-secondary perimeter defender for a possession
ESPDs - Effective secondary perimeter defendings - Infer this you can
ISPDs - Ineffective secondary perimeter defendings - Infer this you can


Let’s begin.

(2000 Pheonix vs The Suns)

Possession 1 - 0:52

Duncan hangs around the free-throw line and moves to help on a drive.

Possession 2 - 1:40

Duncan spends the possession at the rim and gets a block as two of his teammates stop #3.

Possession 3 - 1:50

Duncan waits by the edge of the paint. Robinson is the primary


Possession 4 - 2:55

Duncan waits near the basket and meets Shawn Marion on the strongside

Possession 5 - 3:28

Duncan starts at the free-throw line and then comes to the basket to intercept the diver weakside and swats it away, fouling.

(Duncan - 1 SPD, 1 ISPD)

Possession 6 - 4:40

Possession ends quickly with errant pass


Possession 7 - 5:38

Duncan gets his first PPD coming out to meet Marbury after a screen and then switching to Williams who misses the rim completely.

(Duncan 1 - PPD, 1 EPPD)

Possession 8 - 5:57

Fastbreak. Duncan is too far up the court and watches as Robinson is helpless in a 3 v 1.


Possession 9 - 6:21

Duncan chases from behind as Stoudemire makes 2 spurs defenders part seas before dunking.

Possession 10 - 6:51

Duncan starts the possession in the paint and then moves to Williams who misses the jumper.

(Duncan - 2 SPD, 1 ESPD)

Possession 11 - 7:41

Duncan picks up the ball-handler and stops the drive. The ball is swung to Stevenson who blows by his man for an easy layup.

(Duncan - 2 PPD)

Possession 12 - 9:50

This possession makes me wonder about the Meniscus. Second time we see Duncan chasing a ball-handler and not being able to keep space. In the close-up for this one he seems to be struggling as opposed to just letting the guy go. 99 Duncan seems to move up and down the court faster.

Possession 13 - 10:24

Duncan is pretty involved this possession. Comes out at the start to meet someone receiving the ball, helps on a drive, and helps a bit in the extended extra-possession battle.

(Duncan - 3 SPD, 2 ESPD)

Possession 14 - 11:21

Duncan is the slowest man running back. Pheonix scores.

Possession 15 - 12:15

Rotates to elbow to meet ball-handler, funnels him into Robinson and helps get the ball out of 4bound. Waits near the rim for the rest of the possession.

(Duncan - 4 SPD, 3 ESPD)

Possession 16 - 13:10

Duncan does well on an island near the basket, initially blocking Stoudemire and then forcing a bad shot as he re-engages at the low post. Gets an SPD mostly by default.

(Duncan - 5 SPD, 4 ESPD)

Possession 17 - 14:05

Duncan D’s up Stevenson as he drives and then gets backdoored at the rim.

(Duncan - 6 SPD)

Possession 18 - 14:45

Duncan forgets which team he’s playing for and screens his own teammate assisting Phoenix with a basket.

Possession 19 - 15:15

Duncan waits by the rim and then creates an easy rebound by sealing off his man.

Possession 20 - 18:30

Duncan gets a block strongside after hovering on an island near the rim.

(Duncan - 3 PPD, 1 IPPD)

Possession 21 - 18:45

The Suns score in seconds with Duncan near the opposing basket. Doesn’t bother trying to catchup.

Possession 22 - 19:10

Duncan on an island in the paint again. Stuffs his man again. Generational paint-protecting stretch right now. A shame I’m not tracking PPs. (Open invitation for a reader to sort through these notes for that)

Possession 23 - 20:00

According to a nurse who shan’t be named Meniscus damage affects turn-of-direction more than sprinting so I wonder if that factors in here. Duncan rushes out to the perimeter, is blown by, and falls heavy on his left leg and is slow to turn and recover. Phoenix exploits the void at the basket to score.

(Duncan 7 SPD, 2 ISPD)

Possession 24 - 20:16

Caught ball-watching a bit and the contest comes too late.

Possession 25 - 21:00

Duncan hangs at the basket.

Possession 26 - 25:25

Duncan ventures out to the key to intercept the ball-handler then comes back to help his team win the board.

(Duncan - 8 SPD)

Possession 27 - 27:35

Duncan starts near the basket and comes out to deter the drive but Brown dumps it to a teammate who gets sent to the line just as the shotclock expires.

(Duncan leaves during the free-throws)
(Duncan returns)

Possession 28 - 32:43

Duncan starts at the free-throw line and then works his way to the basket where he wins his teammate a board while falling down.

Possession 29 - 33:40

Duncan channels Syspheas starting the possession at the basket and then jumping 4 times to try bring an end to the possession only for a Sun to hit it back up until it finally settles in.

Possession 30 - 34:19

Duncan again runs back slower than everyone but makes it in-time to see the ball bounce off the rim onto the hands of a teammate.

Possession 31 - 35:17

Duncan backs his way to the basket where he stops two attempts at the basket to help force a shot-clock violation.

Possession 32 - 36:08

Duncan floats in the paint and is in the way of a potential offensive rebounder.

Possession 33 - 38:50

Duncan picks up a ball-handler mid-post and dances with him before pressuring him into a miss. Spurs foul on the rebound. On the inbound Duncan helps prevents an offensive board only get beat at the rim.

(9 SPD, 5 ESPD)

Possession 34 - 40:30

Duncan is at the basket and leaps to win a contested rebound.

Possession 35 - 43:05

Duncan comes to meet the ball-handler on a drive but is caught flat-footed. Robinson comes to the rescue.

(Duncan - 10 SPD, 3 ISPD)

Possession 36 - 44:08

Duncan gets over a screen from Outlaw and then matches up with Stoudimire at the elbow. He then slides with him towards the basket and forces a miss. Outlaw gets the board and is fouled. Duncan is beat for an offensive putback on the second free-throw.

(Duncan - 4 PPD, 3 EPPD)

Possession 37 - 45:50

Duncan starts near the basket, helps at the corner, and then goes back to the basket where he watches a jumper swish in.

Possession 38 - 46:10

Fastbreak, Duncan runs back the slowest. Suns score.

(Duncan - 5 PPD, 4 EPPD)

Possession 39 - 49:53

Duncan stops a drive at the rim deflecting the ball to another Suns player who bricks a jumper.


Possession 40 - 50:21

Duncan gets back to the basket and then goes towards the free-throw to help on the ball-handler. A jumper is fired and it bricks.



Final Tally - Duncan vs the Suns (2003)

5 PPD
4 EPPD
1 IPPD

10 SPD
5 ESPD
3 ISPD


Final Tally - Duncan vs Jazz (2000)

5 PPD
4 EPPD
1 IPPD

13 SPD
6 ESPD
5 ISPD


General observations:
-> Less movement and but seems alot more positionally sound
-> 6 defensive fastbreaks for the 2003 game where Duncan is on the other side of the court and he runs the slowest and doesn't accelerate near the end
-> Clunkier turning?
-> Seems like the Spurs primary paint-protector for both though it would be neat if anyone is willing to apply the paint-tracking stuff using the notes/time-stamps jotted
-> Less usage I guess, but alot less tracked ineffective possessions. Caveat; Duncan was not penalized for any of the aforementioned fastbreaks

More later.
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
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Re: 2003 Duncan Defensive Tracking: Meniscus Magic? 

Post#2 » by 70sFan » Fri Feb 7, 2025 5:14 pm

I'm glad someone finally decided to do some tracking on Duncan, I want to touch a few possessions here:

OhayoKD wrote:Possession 14 - 11:21

Duncan is the slowest man running back. Pheonix scores.

He's not the slowest here, he's just slower than Marbury, which is expected (especially because Stephan started his run earlier and had better start).


Possession 16 - 13:10

Duncan does well on an island near the basket, initially blocking Stoudemire and then forcing a bad shot as he re-engages at the low post. Gets an SPD mostly by default.

Duncan didn't block Amar'e here, he blocked Scott Williams.

Possession 18 - 14:45

Duncan forgets which team he’s playing for and screens his own teammate assisting Phoenix with a basket.

This is not the first time I have seen a play like this from peak Duncan. Spurs relied heavily on hedge defense in P&R situations and that scheme didn't suit Duncan's strengths at all. He was cooked in such situations very often, especially against quality creator like Kobe. I do remember him doing well against Nash in the playoffs when he didn't use that, will have to check my notes from the series.

Possession 20 - 18:30

Duncan gets a block strongside after hovering on an island near the rim.

Here you can see the same scheme with Rose being fooled this time, great ply by Duncan BTW.


Possession 23 - 20:00

According to a nurse who shan’t be named Meniscus damage affects turn-of-direction more than sprinting so I wonder if that factors in here. Duncan rushes out to the perimeter, is blown by, and falls heavy on his left leg and is slow to turn and recover. Phoenix exploits the void at the basket to score.

It's definitely him being less mobile because of injuries after 2000. Again, I don't understand why the Spurs insisted on playing such scheme with Duncan. Timmy was better on switches in such situations, even though that's not optimal either.

Take a look at these plays:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxqfsaeJE7MWBod62BhwXZpqSlv7pCLt3H?si=ag730JjCuBIU3T8H

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxDfhUGrmN3cFhsf2q8xsM5IChyhdoZVBH?si=CoPiAvtCjTNoGKOu

Now compare him in WCF, when Spurs abandoned this way of defending P&Rs:

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxy2fEiWIx0d6UZByrM4oe2zN-8ZpqCGif?si=oDC33o3fMFQ1TwXW
https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxmPpc7AGwDFfi59wKWQlzvk4d0CVoX1zU?si=JtCLeXZzigBm60Ab

Of course it didn't always work, Duncan wasn't elite perimeter defender:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxUElP6mTtScQKBVs66AujfACgsLvZ020F?si=yp5vZxkuftOqRRCU

It was still a better option than this ridiculous hedge they kept trying... and of course Duncan could just play drop defense at elite level.

General observations:
-> Less movement and but seems alot more positionally sound

I also noticed that compared to 1999 games, when Duncan wasn't nearly as good at positioning himself inside as he became later. He also played significantly "bigger" in 2003, he was just huge and long under the basket.

-> 6 defensive fastbreaks for the 2003 game where Duncan is on the other side of the court and he runs the slowest and doesn't accelerate near the end

Duncan was never a speedster, but he definitely lost some acceleration after the injury. At the same time though, he always put up effort to come back, which is something that's rarely seen among the top offensive rebounders in that era. Shaq looks like he doesn't care in comparison and peak Hakeem had more lazy plays than Duncan in transition (though he had much more effective ones, as he's way more athletic than Timmy).

-> Seems like the Spurs primary paint-protector for both though it would be neat if anyone is willing to apply the paint-tracking stuff using the notes/time-stamps jotted

I didn't track paint tracking stuff like you did, but I tracked this game a few years ago and I came out with 10 good contests at the rim by Timmy, which is very high.

More later.

I can share my notes on the 2nd half of the game if you want (but it's your thread, so I don't want to interfere).
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Re: 2003 Duncan Defensive Tracking: Meniscus Magic? 

Post#3 » by 70sFan » Fri Feb 7, 2025 5:43 pm

My Duncan tracking work for this game:

Defense:

10 good rim contests
1 weak rim contest
1 good P&R D possessions
5 bad P&R D possessions
1 good perimeter ISO D
2 blown by'es

Shot chart:

Image

Shot type:

Post Game: 7/9
Driving Game: 2/4
ISO Midrange Game: 3/4
Offensive Rebounding: 0/2
Own Shots Putbacks
Catch and Shoot
P&R Game: 2/3
Transition Game
Deep Catches and Cuts: 2/3
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Re: 2003 Duncan Defensive Tracking: Meniscus Magic? 

Post#4 » by OhayoKD » Fri Feb 7, 2025 5:45 pm

More later.

I can share my notes on the 2nd half of the game if you want (but it's your thread, so I don't want to interfere).

Nah, post. Might compile both into a reddit post if you're okay with that.

70sFan wrote:I'm glad someone finally decided to do some tracking on Duncan, I want to touch a few possessions here:

OhayoKD wrote:Possession 14 - 11:21

Duncan is the slowest man running back. Pheonix scores.

He's not the slowest here, he's just slower than Marbury, which is expected (especially because Stephan started his run earlier and had better start).

Okay will correct.


Possession 16 - 13:10

Duncan does well on an island near the basket, initially blocking Stoudemire and then forcing a bad shot as he re-engages at the low post. Gets an SPD mostly by default.

Duncan didn't block Amar'e here, he blocked Scott Williams.

Will correct.

Possession 18 - 14:45

Duncan forgets which team he’s playing for and screens his own teammate assisting Phoenix with a basket.

This is not the first time I have seen a play like this from peak Duncan. Spurs relied heavily on hedge defense in P&R situations and that scheme didn't suit Duncan's strengths at all. He was cooked in such situations very often, especially against quality creator like Kobe. I do remember him doing well against Nash in the playoffs when he didn't use that, will have to check my notes from the series.

]Possession 20 - 18:30

Duncan gets a block strongside after hovering on an island near the rim.

Here you can see the same scheme with Rose being fooled this time, great ply by Duncan BTW.


It's definitely him being less mobile because of injuries after 2000. Again, I don't understand why the Spurs insisted on playing such scheme with Duncan. Timmy was better on switches in such situations, even though that's not optimal either.



Take a look at these plays:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxqfsaeJE7MWBod62BhwXZpqSlv7pCLt3H?si=ag730JjCuBIU3T8H

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxDfhUGrmN3cFhsf2q8xsM5IChyhdoZVBH?si=CoPiAvtCjTNoGKOu

Now compare him in WCF, when Spurs abandoned this way of defending P&Rs:

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxy2fEiWIx0d6UZByrM4oe2zN-8ZpqCGif?si=oDC33o3fMFQ1TwXW
https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxmPpc7AGwDFfi59wKWQlzvk4d0CVoX1zU?si=JtCLeXZzigBm60Ab

Of course it didn't always work, Duncan wasn't elite perimeter defender:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxUElP6mTtScQKBVs66AujfACgsLvZ020F?si=yp5vZxkuftOqRRCU

It was still a better option than this ridiculous hedge they kept trying... and of course Duncan could just play drop defense at elite level.

Interesting. Tim Duncan more scalable than KG intensifies.

General observations:
-> Less movement and but seems alot more positionally sound

I also noticed that compared to 1999 games, when Duncan wasn't nearly as good at positioning himself inside as he became later. He also played significantly "bigger" in 2003, he was just huge and long under the basket.

Makes sense.

-> 6 defensive fastbreaks for the 2003 game where Duncan is on the other side of the court and he runs the slowest and doesn't accelerate near the end

Duncan was never a speedster, but he definitely lost some acceleration after the injury. At the same time though, he always put up effort to come back, which is something that's rarely seen among the top offensive rebounders in that era. Shaq looks like he doesn't care in comparison and peak Hakeem had more lazy plays than Duncan in transition (though he had much more effective ones, as he's way more athletic than Timmy).

Yeah, he only "gives up" once here and that's just because he has no chance of affecting the play with how fast the ball goes lol. That's an interesting general note actually.

-> Seems like the Spurs primary paint-protector for both though it would be neat if anyone is willing to apply the paint-tracking stuff using the notes/time-stamps jotted

I didn't track paint tracking stuff like you did, but I tracked this game a few years ago and I came out with 10 good contests at the rim by Timmy, which is very high.

Hmm could you give a general baseline for what different tallies mean like lebrony did?

ex:
10 - high
5 - mid
1 - low
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL

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