Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots

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Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#1 » by 70sFan » Wed Oct 1, 2025 8:17 pm

Welcome to the new iteration of the greatest peaks project with the new format! This time, we will rank the greatest 25 peaks of the last 25 seasons:

2000/01 - 2024/25.

Just to remind the rules:

1. Official ballots must include 4 different player seasons (name + year) with the (at least short) explanation for each of them. We will conclude the 2 best peaks in this thread based on the results of the voting, using Kemeny method.

2. The thread will be open for 7 days (up to August 31st), unless the longer period will be necessary. I am open to make it longer, but we have to make it through all the threads and all the eras.

3. The participation criteria are the following:

1. Account creation before August 2024.
2. At least 100 posts on RealGM forums.


Of course I recommend everyone who doesn't meet the criteria to contribute on these threads without voting, that would help us adding you in the later stages of the project.

Remember to pick the year for your choices and please, provide all the seasons worth the place IN ORDER - that would help us to conclude the year for a winning player.

The criteria are up to you, but you need to briefly explain it for the rest of the voting panel. It is good to take into account the data from surrounding seasons to evaluate players, but remember to pick a specific season.

Deadline: 12:00 am Wednesday 8th October

Here is the voting panel:

Spoiler:
Djoker wrote:.

iggymcfrack wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

DraymondGold wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

ZeppelinPage wrote:.

One_and_Done wrote:.

tsherkin wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

Sign5 wrote:.

trelos6 wrote:.

lessthanjake wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

f4p wrote:.

rk2023 wrote:.

homecourtloss wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

babyjax13 wrote:.

TheGOATRises007 wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.


If anyone wants to join in, please let me know.

The list:


#1. 2008/09 LeBron James
#2. 2002/03 Tim Duncan

#3. 2022/23 Nikola Jokic
#4. 2016/17 Stephen Curry

#5. 2000/01 Shaquille O'Neal
#6. 2003/04 Kevin Garnett

#7. 2020/21 Giannis Antetokumpo
#8. 2005/06 Dwyane Wade

#9. 2016/17 Kawhi Leonard
#10. 2024/25 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#2 » by babyjax13 » Wed Oct 1, 2025 8:25 pm

Alright, I'll be able to participate again! I will have an extended post next week.

Currently, I think Durant's peak is being underrated. I am also considering Chris Paul and Kobe Bryant (before looking at numbers). I'd probably have Durant in the top-10, but some of his peak is a bit muted, IMO, because of being in Golden State. He has a better player next to him (hard to do) and we just never see any kind of run like he had in his last couple of years in OKC. But, I do think there is a good stretch where he is the second best player in the league behind LeBron. I'll see how far off I am on the numbers, though.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#3 » by One_and_Done » Wed Oct 1, 2025 9:09 pm

KD is an easy #1 for me here.

After that there are a bunch of names I need to sift through, like Luka, Harden, Nash, CP3, T-Mac, Dirk, AD and J.Butler.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#4 » by ReggiesKnicks » Wed Oct 1, 2025 11:18 pm

KD should definitely start getting love, but I'm not so sure how he stacks up against Dirk/Kobe as offensive wings/bigs.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#5 » by One_and_Done » Wed Oct 1, 2025 11:31 pm

ReggiesKnicks wrote:KD should definitely start getting love, but I'm not so sure how he stacks up against Dirk/Kobe as offensive wings/bigs.

He's better than both of them on both ends of the floor.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#6 » by trelos6 » Thu Oct 2, 2025 1:44 am

I want to keep the length of time as short as possible for "peaks", so looking at 2 year 6 factor RAPM for each of the candidates for 11-12. Also making my cutoff 5k possessions.

off ts val
Nash06-08+6.3
Nash07-09+5.8
KD20-22+5.3
Embiid22-24+5.2
Dirk10-12+5.2
Nash08-10+5.1
Embiid21-23+5
Nash05-07+5
Nash04-06+5
KD21-23+4.7



off tov val
Paul17-19+2.5
Paul18-20+2.1
Paul16-18+2.1
Paul09-11+2
Kobe06-08+1.9
Nash04-06+1.8
Dirk02-04+1.7
Paul10-12+1.7
Dirk07-09+1.7
Kobe07-09+1.7


off reb val
Kobe00-01+0.8
AD22-24+0.8
Embiid18-20+0.8
Paul06-08+0.7
Dirk05-07+0.7
KD10-11+0.6
Kobe04-06+0.6
Harden13-15+0.6
Paul12-14+0.6
AD19-21+0.6


orapm
James Harden13-156.2
Steve Nash04-066.1
James Harden14-166
Steve Nash06-085.8
Chris Paul07-095.6
Steve Nash03-055.6
Chris Paul14-165.5
Steve Nash08-105.5
Steve Nash07-095.5
James Harden11-135.2
Manu Ginobili10-125.2
Dirk Nowitzki10-125.2
Chris Paul18-205.2
Manu Ginobili04-065.1
Steve Nash05-075.1
Dirk Nowitzki01-034.9
Chris Paul17-194.9
Kevin Durant09-114.8
Kobe Bryant04-064.8
James Harden16-184.8


def ts val
Joel Embiid17-194.1
Joel Embiid18-204
Draymond Green14-163.9
Joel Embiid16-183.8
Draymond Green15-173.6
Anthony Davis16-183.5
Joel Embiid20-223.2
Joel Embiid21-233.2
Anthony Davis22-243.1
Joel Embiid22-242.9


Got lazy. From here the years are season ends. So 2007 is 05-07.
def tov val
Manu Ginobili20072.1
Draymond Green20152
Chris Paul20121.8
Manu Ginobili20171.7
Manu Ginobili20061.6
Manu Ginobili20041.6
Draymond Green20141.5
Draymond Green20181.4
Manu Ginobili20161.4
Manu Ginobili20151.4


def reb val
Dirk Nowitzki20131.3
Anthony Davis20211.2
Chris Paul20061.1
Dirk Nowitzki20141.1
Dirk Nowitzki20121.1
Dirk Nowitzki20181.1
Anthony Davis20241
Chris Paul20200.9
Dirk Nowitzki20150.9
Joel Embiid20240.9


drapm
Draymond Green20165
Draymond Green20174.8
Anthony Davis20244.2
Joel Embiid20243.7
Draymond Green20153.7
Draymond Green20183.6
Joel Embiid20203.5
Joel Embiid20193.3
Anthony Davis20183.3
Anthony Davis20233.2
Draymond Green20233.2
Joel Embiid20183.2
Draymond Green20243.1
Dirk Nowitzki20113
Joel Embiid20232.9
Dirk Nowitzki20122.8
Joel Embiid20222.7
Joel Embiid20212.6


rapm
Draymond Green20168.8
Dirk Nowitzki20127.9
Draymond Green20177.8
Manu Ginobili20067.2
Joel Embiid20246.9
Dirk Nowitzki20116.7
Chris Paul20186.6
Joel Embiid20236.3
Dirk Nowitzki20046.3
Dirk Nowitzki20036.3
Chris Paul20166.3
Joel Embiid20226.2
Chris Paul20156.2
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#7 » by 70sFan » Thu Oct 2, 2025 6:02 am

One_and_Done wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:KD should definitely start getting love, but I'm not so sure how he stacks up against Dirk/Kobe as offensive wings/bigs.

He's better than both of them on both ends of the floor.

He's easily the least proven first option on offense. Doesn't mean he's worse overall, but it's not like Dirk and Kobe struggled to fit next to more offensive talent either.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#8 » by iggymcfrack » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:08 am

One_and_Done wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:KD should definitely start getting love, but I'm not so sure how he stacks up against Dirk/Kobe as offensive wings/bigs.

He's better than both of them on both ends of the floor.


I don't buy this at all. Dirk got a bad reputation for defense early in his career, but he turned into a very solid defender over time. He was extremely positionally aware and he used his size to box out and rebounded tremendously well for a power forward. If you look at the chart that trelos posted, Dirk had 4 of the 6 best seasons of all the players left for how well he affected the team's defensive rebounding.

Meanwhile, here's his defensive on/off for the 3 years surrounding his peak season:

2010: -5.5 (92nd percentile)
2011: -8.2 (96th percentile)
2012: -5.8 (89th percentile)

Tyson Chandler's typically given the lion's share of the credit for the Mavs' defense in 2011 and rightfully so, but as you can see, Dirk was showing very strong impact signals as well. Furthermore, the Mavs' defensive quality didn't actually fluctuate much whether Chandler was there or not, going from 12th the year before he arrived to 8th the season they played with him to 8th the year after he left.

KD's peak season is a little more controversial than Dirk's with 2014 and 2017 both having strong cases so let's look at his defensive on/off numbers from 2013 all the way to 2018:

2013: +1.9 (32nd percentile)
2014: +3.7 (21st percentile)
2015: -4.0 (82nd percentile)
2016: -3.1 (79th percentile)
2017: -2.0 (69th percentile)
2018: +7.4 (6th percentile)

These numbers are much more all over the map and it's hard to even say whether he has a positive impact. The 6 seasons surrounding his peaks average out to +0.7 while the 2 peak seasons average out to +0.9. Even in his best individual year, he doesn't approach the impact Dirk shows surrounding the 2011 season.

What happens if we perform the same analysis on the offensive side of the ball? First here's Dirk:

2010: +5.2 (89th percentile)
2011: +8.7 (96th percentile)
2012: +8.0 (93rd percentile)

And now Durant over the same 6 year span from before:

2013: +7.7 (93rd percentile)
2014: +9.5 (99th percentile)
2015: +7.9 (93rd percentile)
2016: +8.1 (96th percentile)
2017: +7.2 (92nd percentile)
2018: +9.0 (96th percentile)

This is much more inconclusive and it's hard to find a real edge either way. KD has an edge averaging all 6 seasons while Dirk has an edge averaging the actual peak seasons only, but either way it's close enough that it's hard to say anything definitive other than that they were both very good offensive players.

I've often though KD's defense was quite overrated at times as while he had all the tools to be an elite wing defender, most of the time he'd just tend to guard one of the weaker players on the other team over taking much responsibility. Now in Phoenix, or even Brooklyn when everyone was injured, he'd take on more responsibility by necessity and all of a sudden all those defensive tools would get put to use and become legitimate weapons. But during his peak years in Golden State and Oklahoma City, I don't know that he was really doing enough to provide a lot of value. Meanwhile, Dirk by nature of his position was usually in the paint using his big frame to block off driving lanes and always being in excellent position to prevent second shots. I'd say that during their peak years, Dirk was significantly more valuable on the defensive end.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#9 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:13 am

Forget stats. Defensive stats especially are noisy. Just think about this; how would Dirk or Kobe fit on the 2017 Warriors from a defensive point of view. They wouldn't fit well, especially Dirk.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#10 » by Jaivl » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:23 am

Voting to forbid every "b-but how does X player fit on the 2017 Warriors" argument, from everyone.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#11 » by 70sFan » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:30 am

One_and_Done wrote:Forget stats. Defensive stats especially are noisy. Just think about this; how would Dirk or Kobe fit on the 2017 Warriors from a defensive point of view. They wouldn't fit well, especially Dirk.

Dirk would just allow to play them Iguodala full starter minutes, which ironically could turn them into a better defensive team.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#12 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:30 am

Jaivl wrote:Voting to forbid every "b-but how does X player fit on the 2017 Warriors" argument, from everyone.

Dirk and KD are both forwards. If Dirk's D was half decent, you should be able to imagine him substituting for KD pretty well on that team. In reality he wouldn't have. KD's excellent athleticism, insane length, and solid defensive game, was essential to his fit on the Warriors.

I don't even think Dirk is a bad guy to have on your ballot, I had him on mine last time, but it seems ridiculous to claim his D was comparable to KD, a guy who not only guards both forward positions quite well, but can give you short spells at the 5.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#13 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 7:31 am

70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Forget stats. Defensive stats especially are noisy. Just think about this; how would Dirk or Kobe fit on the 2017 Warriors from a defensive point of view. They wouldn't fit well, especially Dirk.

Dirk would just allow to play them Iguodala full starter minutes, which ironically could turn them into a better defensive team.

There was a reason Iggy came off the bench. Dirk doesn't change that reason.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#14 » by 70sFan » Thu Oct 2, 2025 8:46 am

One_and_Done wrote:
70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Forget stats. Defensive stats especially are noisy. Just think about this; how would Dirk or Kobe fit on the 2017 Warriors from a defensive point of view. They wouldn't fit well, especially Dirk.

Dirk would just allow to play them Iguodala full starter minutes, which ironically could turn them into a better defensive team.

There was a reason Iggy came off the bench. Dirk doesn't change that reason.

What was that reason? Why did Iggy start the vast majority of playoff games played in 2018 if that's the case?

Also, Durant at center is a disaster for your team's defense. The only reason why Durant functioned reasonably well as a bigman in limited time in GSW is because he played next to the best defender of the generation.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#15 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 8:54 am

70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:
70sFan wrote:Dirk would just allow to play them Iguodala full starter minutes, which ironically could turn them into a better defensive team.

There was a reason Iggy came off the bench. Dirk doesn't change that reason.

What was that reason? Why did Iggy start the vast majority of playoff games played in 2018 if that's the case?

Because guys were hurt in 2018? That's why he started zero games in 2017.

Draymond is the primary reason there's no room for Dirk to start. Draymond didn't play all game at the 5 because it would wear him out, and they wanted to save the so called 'death line-up' for key stretches. That's why even with the injuries in 2018, Looney or McGee started most playoff games.

Do you think Dirk can play the 4 and Draymond is the 3? That won't work. Dirk's lack of D or mobility also takes away exactly what made the death line-up special; that everyone was a switchable 2 way guy.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#16 » by 70sFan » Thu Oct 2, 2025 10:16 am

One_and_Done wrote:Because guys were hurt in 2018? That's why he started zero games in 2017.

I am talking about postseason, who was hurt in the Pelicans and Rockets series? Iggy started until he got injured.

Draymond is the primary reason there's no room for Dirk to start. Draymond didn't play all game at the 5 because it would wear him out, and they wanted to save the so called 'death line-up' for key stretches. That's why even with the injuries in 2018, Looney or McGee started most playoff games.

You know that's not the reason, right? The Warriors started with a bigman in the first round, because Curry missed it and they didn't have a good PG backup. When Curry came back, they started with their death lineup with Green at the center and Iggy against the Pelicans and the Rockets. Everything changed with Iggy's injury, which forced them to play another big again.

Dirk would actually help Green in the one aspect he's not elite at, which is defensive rebounding.

Do you think Dirk can play the 4 and Draymond is the 3? That won't work. Dirk's lack of D or mobility also takes away exactly what made the death line-up special; that everyone was a switchable 2 way guy.

No, Dirk and Green would play as bigs and I see no problem with that at all.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#17 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 10:40 am

When you make these sorts of points, I really start to doubt your understanding of how Golden State played.

A starting line-up of Curry, Klay, Iggy, Dirk, and Draymond wouldn’t be nearly as good as having KD instead of Dirk, and would pose all manner of problems. The first and biggest problem is the team loses all the defensive switchability that made the death line-up special. One weak link breaks the chain, and Dirk is just not going to be able to cover guys out on the perimeter. Nor does he provide rim protection, not even the supplementary kind KD does.

The GSW coaches weren’t stupid. They knew that Draymond at the 5 was their best line-up… but they also knew it wasn’t sustainable for the whole game, which is why Zaza started in 2017, and then Zaza/McGee/Looney shared the duties in 2018. I find your example of the Rockets and Pelicans to be quite disingenuous. Yeh, sure, if the opposing team plays small then you can run Draymond out at the 5 for half a series, or even a whole series, but then what happens in most of the games? Is Dirk going to be coming off the bench for 82 games, so they can start him in these targeted playoff match-ups when Draymond has the stamina to start at the 5? Obviously he’s not going to be ok with that, and by definition it makes him a worse fit than KD who doesn’t need to come off the bench at all.

Honestly, the Warriors would have been better served starting OG Anunoby over Dirk. Before anyone says “so are you taking OK over Dirk”, this was about their respective defensive fits; and yes, on D I am taking OG over Dirk by a long way. I can say the same for KD (though not by as much obviously).

There are arguments for peak Dirk. I don’t buy them, but they can be made. “He was just as good on D” is not one of them, and the “would Dirk even start in place of KD in 2017” thought experiment is a obvious test of that. Even if you did start him, he’d unquestionably make the Warriors much worse defensively.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#18 » by 70sFan » Thu Oct 2, 2025 10:54 am

Tell me more about the Pelicans playing small with Anthony Davis at the center...

The idea that Kerr would bench Dirk is so stupid on all accounts that I don't even have the patience to break down its stupidity.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#19 » by One_and_Done » Thu Oct 2, 2025 11:35 am

70sFan wrote:Tell me more about the Pelicans playing small with Anthony Davis at the center...

The idea that Kerr would bench Dirk is so stupid on all accounts that I don't even have the patience to break down its stupidity.

Davis wasn't small, but the rest of the Pelicans sure were. Davis also had a monster series. Thankfully for the Warriors he had no help. Draymond could play the 5 in bursts, but not all season.
Warspite wrote:Billups was a horrible scorer who could only score with an open corner 3 or a FT.
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Re: Top 25 peaks of the 2001-25: #11-#12 Spots 

Post#20 » by lessthanjake » Thu Oct 2, 2025 12:26 pm

The question of whether Dirk would fit as well as Durant on the 2017 Warriors seems really silly to me. The answer is likely that Dirk wouldn’t fit as well, but that’s because Dirk is primarily a PF, Durant is primarily a SF, and one of the Warriors other major stars was primarily a PF (Draymond). It makes no sense whatsoever to determine who you’d vote for based on thinking a player who typically played a different position would fit less well on a team that already had a star at his position.

As for Durant’s defense, I think it’s pretty obvious that there’s a pretty big gap between the physical tools he had and how well he applied them. Easily the most important thing in terms of defense is how much a player focuses/concentrates and puts in effort, and Durant had issues in that regard that made him a far less effective defender than one would think he’d be if you just looked at his physical tools. The result is that Dirk was probably a bit more impactful on defense than Durant was. There’s not a big difference and both were probably just slight positives, but Dirk was a little better despite having less physical tools to work with.
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