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Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24

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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#141 » by Spotter » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:24 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter

I read that as Boston being under the second tax apron by 2.4 with a 14 player roster. It also says the Celtics have three non guaranteed contracts and eleven guaranteed. Unsure which player is non guaranteed beyond Kornet and Champagnie.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#142 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:24 am

Hal14 wrote:
Celts17Pride wrote:
GoCeltics123 wrote:The Raptors would never do that because Jaylen wouldn't stay there and also it's a bad trade for us.

Boucher is bad and OG is a way worse offensive player than Jaylen

Your missing the point, posters are trying to make the Celtics worse this year. Must be because the Celtics have their own 1st round pick for 2024.

I just edited my post above to include this, but here is some explanation as to why this benefits Boston:

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense. OG had higher EPM and higher TS% last season than JB..and he comes at a fraction of the cost
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time

As for JB resigning in Toronto, I don't see why not? He'd have an entire country to market his brand and the 7uice brand too, with the raptors being the only NBA team in Canada. He's be THE primary scorer and #1 option there. They'd have a good team, a playoff team with JB/Siakam/Barnes. And he'd be going to the team where he is most wanted.


Does 66th in BPM = 66th best player in the league.

What is Jaylen's true value?
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#143 » by Andrew McCeltic » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:28 am

GoCeltics123 wrote:I saw this too on twitter, kinda weird and feels like BS but something to note. Dude essentially says we tried to get a 3rd team to take Jaylen for Dame and couldn't

Read on Twitter


The syntax here makes no sense. We've tried to trade him but he's made it clear he won't extend with whoever gets him - the Siakam strategy - so now we're offering him less money because we think he doesn't want to be here?

i.e., both sides maximizing leverage
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#144 » by fallguy » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:28 am

Hal14 wrote:hmmm....

Image

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense. OG had higher EPM and higher TS% last season than JB..and he comes at a fraction of the cost
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time


If you're trading JB it's for optimal value. This is not close to it.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#145 » by zoyathedestroya » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:33 am

Spotter wrote:
zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter

I read that as Boston being under the second tax apron by 2.4 with a 14 player roster. It also says the Celtics have three non guaranteed contracts and eleven guaranteed. Unsure which player is non guaranteed beyond Kornet and Champagnie.

Maybe Banton, whose official signing hasn't been announced yet.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#146 » by sam_I_am » Thu Jul 13, 2023 2:48 am

Celts17Pride wrote:
Hal14 wrote:
Celts17Pride wrote:Your missing the point, posters are trying to make the Celtics worse this year. Must be because the Celtics have their own 1st round pick for 2024.

I just edited my post above to include this, but here is some explanation as to why this benefits Boston:

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time

As for JB resigning in Toronto, I don't see why not? He'd have an entire country to market his brand and the 7uice brand too, with the raptors being the only NBA team in Canada. He's be THE primary scorer and #1 option there. They'd have a good team, a playoff team with JB/Siakam/Barnes. And he'd be going to the team where he is most wanted.

Explain it any way you want, it’s bad. It doesn’t make the Celtics a better team


Remarkably he managed to come up with an even worse trade idea than Brown/Brogdon for Siakam/Bey.

Brown is getting extended. Next summer, have at it with crazy trade ideas. It’s just not happening this year.
"I think the criticism's stupid," Stevens said. "So I don't care. I'm with Jaylen (Brown) on that. Those two had achieved more than most 25 and 26 year olds ever had. I'd rather be in the mix and have my guts ripped out than suck."
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#147 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:02 am

If Jaylen isn't worth 35% of the salary cap, then what's he worth 32%? 30%?

$4-8 million more than "what he's worth" isn't going to move the needle much imo. $4-8 million doesn't get you much in the NBA nowadays....
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#148 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:06 am

Also, I recall numerous posters complaining about Jaylen being overpaid on his last deal, with Cave leading the charge. In 2023-2024, Jaylen will be around 40th in pay. Not a bad deal whatsoever...
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#149 » by Hal14 » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:13 am

fallguy wrote:
Hal14 wrote:hmmm....

Image

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense. OG had higher EPM and higher TS% last season than JB..and he comes at a fraction of the cost
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time


If you're trading JB it's for optimal value. This is not close to it.

JB has 1 year left on his contract, was 66th in the league in BPM and gets injured pretty often..this is good value imo. And I outlined why in my post..
Nothing wrong with having a different opinion - as long as it's done respectfully. It'd be lame if we all agreed on everything :)
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#150 » by ajones9219 » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:14 am

CelticFaninLBC wrote:Also, I recall numerous posters complaining about Jaylen being overpaid on his last deal, with Cave leading the charge. In 2023-2024, Jaylen will be around 40th in pay. Not a bad deal whatsoever...


People are underestimating how much the cap is about to explode. We will be up near a 200m cap by the end of that extension.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#151 » by djFan71 » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:32 am

ajones9219 wrote:
CelticFaninLBC wrote:Also, I recall numerous posters complaining about Jaylen being overpaid on his last deal, with Cave leading the charge. In 2023-2024, Jaylen will be around 40th in pay. Not a bad deal whatsoever...


People are underestimating how much the cap is about to explode. We will be up near a 200m cap by the end of that extension.

Cap is limited to 10% growth, contract will be 8%. So, it’s going to be less of a % of cap by the end, but not as staggeringly less as one would hope.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#152 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:53 am

djFan71 wrote:
ajones9219 wrote:
CelticFaninLBC wrote:Also, I recall numerous posters complaining about Jaylen being overpaid on his last deal, with Cave leading the charge. In 2023-2024, Jaylen will be around 40th in pay. Not a bad deal whatsoever...


People are underestimating how much the cap is about to explode. We will be up near a 200m cap by the end of that extension.

Cap is limited to 10% growth, contract will be 8%. So, it’s going to be less of a % of cap by the end, but not as staggeringly less as one would hope.


Isn't there supposed to be a big cap jump in 2025-2026 due to a new tv deal or is this no longer happening?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryantoporek/2022/08/05/why-nba-teams-should-already-be-planning-for-the-2025-offseason/?sh=71b0736627c4
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#153 » by fallguy » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:02 am

Hal14 wrote:
fallguy wrote:
Hal14 wrote:hmmm....

Image

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense. OG had higher EPM and higher TS% last season than JB..and he comes at a fraction of the cost
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time


If you're trading JB it's for optimal value. This is not close to it.

JB has 1 year left on his contract, was 66th in the league in BPM and gets injured pretty often..this is good value imo. And I outlined why in my post..


His market value is higher than this. It's not about BPM. It's about how he's perceived.
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#154 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:03 am

Hal14 wrote:
fallguy wrote:
Hal14 wrote:hmmm....

Image

Why for Boston:
-You avoid having to pay JB (66th in the league last season in BPM) that insane contract which would make him the highest paid player in the league..
-You get a player (OG) who is comparable in talent, comparable in age. OG is a much better defender, has more size/length while being less of a ball stopper, less ball dominant on offense. OG had higher EPM and higher TS% last season than JB..and he comes at a fraction of the cost
-You have more clearly defined pecking order. Tatum is THE 1, Porzingis is THE 2, and OG is THE 3
-Add front court depth with Boucher, who gives us a legit 4th big to back up KP, Rob, Al since all 3 of those guys are old or injury prone. That 4 headed monster up front (with Kornet as 5th big) allows us to load manage and keep everyone fresh/healthy come playoff time


If you're trading JB it's for optimal value. This is not close to it.

JB has 1 year left on his contract, was 66th in the league in BPM and gets injured pretty often..this is good value imo. And I outlined why in my post..


OG can opt out of his deal next year, so basically swapping a top 25 guy for top 50 guy, who could leave next year... 

Also, Porzingis was Luka's #2 guy in Dallas and they never got out of the first round...
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#155 » by djFan71 » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:04 am

CelticFaninLBC wrote:
djFan71 wrote:
ajones9219 wrote:
People are underestimating how much the cap is about to explode. We will be up near a 200m cap by the end of that extension.

Cap is limited to 10% growth, contract will be 8%. So, it’s going to be less of a % of cap by the end, but not as staggeringly less as one would hope.


Isn't there supposed to be a big cap jump in 2025-2026 due to a new tv deal or is this no longer happening?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryantoporek/2022/08/05/why-nba-teams-should-already-be-planning-for-the-2025-offseason/?sh=71b0736627c4

I think the new CBA added the 10% thing. Will see if I can find a link later
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#156 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:09 am

djFan71 wrote:
CelticFaninLBC wrote:
djFan71 wrote:Cap is limited to 10% growth, contract will be 8%. So, it’s going to be less of a % of cap by the end, but not as staggeringly less as one would hope.


Isn't there supposed to be a big cap jump in 2025-2026 due to a new tv deal or is this no longer happening?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryantoporek/2022/08/05/why-nba-teams-should-already-be-planning-for-the-2025-offseason/?sh=71b0736627c4

I think the new CBA added the 10% thing. Will see if I can find a link later


Ok. I can't find much on the 2025-26 cap. Sportstrac has the salary cap at $156m for 2025-2026, which is quite a jump from 2024-2025.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/boston-celtics/cap/2025/
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#157 » by CelticFaninLBC » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:16 am

If BPM is the best measure for player value, then Brad needs to trade Brogdon #33 for Bam #62 and a Miami FRP.

Also, the board should be happy that Smart #138 and Grant #143 are gone. :)
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#158 » by sam_I_am » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:17 am

fallguy wrote:
Hal14 wrote:
fallguy wrote:
If you're trading JB it's for optimal value. This is not close to it.

JB has 1 year left on his contract, was 66th in the league in BPM and gets injured pretty often..this is good value imo. And I outlined why in my post..


His market value is higher than this. It's not about BPM. It's about how he's perceived.


Why would you trade him for Siakam who cannot be extended nor signed for more than competition and is free to walk at end of season? The only move is to sign him - even if you agree with Hal’s low opinion of JB. JB’s on court value is unlikely to be worse and very likely even goes up with Porzingas out there. Signed to 5 years…..his trade value will be through the roof next year if at age 27 he maintains his current level of play.
"I think the criticism's stupid," Stevens said. "So I don't care. I'm with Jaylen (Brown) on that. Those two had achieved more than most 25 and 26 year olds ever had. I'd rather be in the mix and have my guts ripped out than suck."
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#159 » by zoyathedestroya » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:21 am

We replaced Gallo, Smart, and Grant with Porzingis, Banton, and Walsh and we'll win 10 more games in the RS. :o
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Re: Trade/Free Agency Thread, whose NINE is it anyways?? 2023-24 

Post#160 » by djFan71 » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:24 am

CelticFaninLBC wrote:
djFan71 wrote:
CelticFaninLBC wrote:
Isn't there supposed to be a big cap jump in 2025-2026 due to a new tv deal or is this no longer happening?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryantoporek/2022/08/05/why-nba-teams-should-already-be-planning-for-the-2025-offseason/?sh=71b0736627c4

I think the new CBA added the 10% thing. Will see if I can find a link later


Ok. I can't find much on the 2025-26 cap. Sportstrac has the salary cap at $156m for 2025-2026, which is quite a jump from 2024-2025.

https://www.spotrac.com/nba/boston-celtics/cap/2025/

That’s less than 10% twice from this year. Roughly 136, 149.6, 164.5.

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