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Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion

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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#261 » by F N 11 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:12 pm

mpharris36 wrote:
Fury wrote:


Thanks. As efficient as Burks is, I don’t think he draws as much to allow better shooting like Rose. Barrett should have similar (like with Rose) and most likely better numbers with Brunson.


Yes, I wouldn't call Brunson an elite level playmaker but he alone should do wonders for RJ. He becomes the best playmaker RJ has ever played with.

I forgot about this. Man dealt with IQ, Payton twice and Burks.

Wow
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#262 » by Polk377 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:17 pm

F N 11 wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Fury wrote:
Thanks. As efficient as Burks is, I don’t think he draws as much to allow better shooting like Rose. Barrett should have similar (like with Rose) and most likely better numbers with Brunson.


Yes, I wouldn't call Brunson an elite level playmaker but he alone should do wonders for RJ. He becomes the best playmaker RJ has ever played with.

I forgot about this. Man dealt with IQ, Payton twice and Burks.

Wow

Where Brunson really stands out is elite level self creation. Has moves on top of moves that lure a help defender in that just creates enough room for good shots. He is not going to be Jason Kidd or anything.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#263 » by Chanel Bomber » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:18 pm

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Chanel Bomber wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Again you are moving the goal posts...no one is saying he is a star or even needs to be a star. And its tough to take your argument seriously when you say a name like KCP who never has even hit 15ppg before and never been tasked with any level of shot creation on a team in his career.

And your ignore that for this 1st two years of his career he started alongside Elfrid Payton...and for his entire career he has played alongside Randle and a center that can't shoot either.

So again. Is that simply just RJ or simply the knicks haven't played in a modern offense with modern spacing. Do you think its by dumb luck the Bucks don't but not shooting players next to Giannis? Again I'm not even remotely comparing the two. I'm simply talking about roster contruction. Why do they value bigs that can shoot? Why do they value complimentary players that can shoot. So Giannis has easier decisions to make when he drives. Why does dallas put shooters around Luka.

They even tried to improve the spacing this year with Kemba/Fournier but it backfired so much because it was such a disaster defensively. You will say RJ is part of that problem but you even admitted that the only EFF part of RJ's game is hitting open 3's...so is he hurting the spacing or is it the other guys?

KCP never hit 20ppg because he was never allowed by an organization to chuck as much as he wanted regardless of whether or not he met the threshold of respectability in terms of efficiency. Almost every NBA player can average 20ppg if you give him an unlimited amount of opportunities.

I'm not moving the goal posts. You said you viewed RJ as a secondary shot creator down the line, which is essentially a star.

You mention Payton. RJ sucked OFFENSIVELY with Kemba and Burks too, and both guys are good/elite 3-point shooters. So was it all on Payton? Or was it RJ too?

But I get it, if you move all your resources towards bringing in floor spacers 1-through-5 just to tailor a team around RJ, he might improve a little bit as a shot creator. And where does that leave you? Absolutely nowhere, because he still won't be good enough as a shot creator, let alone as a playmaker. Meanwhile, you've spent a tangible of resources to bring a stretch 4 and a stretch 5 (those don't exactly grow on trees) to accommodate a player who's not worth building around, when you could've spent those resources to bring in a proper shot creator.

RJ doesn't hurt the spacing if he's used strictly as a wide-open C&S guy. But any semblance of a contest and it's a brick. He was the worst shooter from the corners in the entire NBA, by the way.

Again, you're deflecting the blame to protect these young players when they're simply not as good as you want them to be. They contribute to our suckitude as much as if not more than the players around them.


You keep complaining about him being a 1st option and I keep telling you I don't want him to be a first option. And I'm not deflecting blame. He has never played with a good playmaker at all in his career (the best is a old shell of himself Derrick Rose). We shall see the brunson impact. The difference is I am saying there are weakness in his game but there are signs that he can improve which I have brought to the table and you just call them "ifs". What 21 year old player in year 3 doesn't have ifs. And before you go down the route of the super star young players. I don't think RJ has to be a super-star to be a good player for this team and worth extending. I think there is a middle ground there.

I never said you wanted him to be a first option, I don't know where you took that from.

You said you envision him as a secondary shot creator, right?

And I'm saying that is an unrealistic expectation for him.

Theoretically, every young player can improve. That's a truism that applies to all young players, not just RJ. Some of them do improve, some of them don't. But even those who do improve don't necessarily become stars, or secondary shot creators. Some see success in a lesser role. Which is I believe the most realistic path for RJ.

I never said that you presented RJ as a superstar, so you're not arguing against me here, but an exaggeration of my critique.

I think the only way for RJ to become a net positive in this league is to scale down his role to a role player, or a bench player, with his long-term ceiling being a third option who doesn't provide much in any other area of the game besides scoring (e.g. Jrue Holiday without the elite defense or the point guard play).

He has played as a role player, as a tertiary option, as a secondary and a primary for the Knicks over the last two seasons. He hasn't been efficient or impactful in any of these roles. The role he was the least damaging in - by being merely mediocre - was last year as a 3&Drive wing who was mostly effective as a C&S guy. That's by far his best role, because he hasn't proven to be merely respectable with any other shot type.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#264 » by Chanel Bomber » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:28 pm

Fury wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Chanel Bomber wrote:He has a knack for getting into the paint but at what cost? How many failed drives, bad finishes, and forced passes to get to this outcome? The volume of possessions that it takes him to reach those per game averages is immense, which is why you can't just look at FTAs a game in a vacuum and conclude that he's great a going to the line. You're ignoring all the waste that comes along with it to focus on the raw volume outcome.

Think of all the "ifs" that are in your post. Your optimism rests mainly upon wishful thinking. If he does this, if he does that. Meanwhile he hasn't shown any of it. You don't pay a player north of $100 million when they haven't proven to be worth it. It's how you sign players to albatross contracts. Which goes back to my point - if Lu Dort is ridiculously overpaid at $17 million a year, then so is RJ. Anything more than $10-12 million a year would be an overpay.

RJ doesn't have the skill set of a star. If he works on his defense and on his shot, he could become a valuable role player, à la KCP but with a bit more playmaking. That's how he should be developed, and how he should be paid.


Again you are moving the goal posts...no one is saying he is a star or even needs to be a star. And its tough to take your argument seriously when you say a name like KCP who never has even hit 15ppg before and never been tasked with any level of shot creation on a team in his career.

And your ignore that for this 1st two years of his career he started alongside Elfrid Payton...and for his entire career he has played alongside Randle and a center that can't shoot either.

So again. Is that simply just RJ or simply the knicks haven't played in a modern offense with modern spacing. Do you think its by dumb luck the Bucks don't but not shooting players next to Giannis? Again I'm not even remotely comparing the two. I'm simply talking about roster contruction. Why do they value bigs that can shoot? Why do they value complimentary players that can shoot. So Giannis has easier decisions to make when he drives. Why does dallas put shooters around Luka.

They even tried to improve the spacing this year with Kemba/Fournier but it backfired so much because it was such a disaster defensively. You will say RJ is part of that problem but you even admitted that the only EFF part of RJ's game is hitting open 3's...so is he hurting the spacing or is it the other guys?


Does anyone have RJ’s numbers with Derrick Rose?

This past season, RJ's stats were mostly the same with and without Rose.

With Rose: 50.7 TS% and 24.3 USG (on 4.6 FGAs and 1.2 FTAs in 9.5 minutes per game)
Without Rose: 51.1 TS% and 27.0 USG (on 15.6 FGAs and 5.4 FTAs without Rose in 31.6 minutes per game)

The net rating is obviously better with Rose because Rose is our best player and they presumably played against staggered line-ups when Rose wasn't closing games in the 4th quarter.

RJ's efficiency and usage was basically the same with and without Rose.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#265 » by Dave DaButcher » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:35 pm

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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#266 » by Fury » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:35 pm

Chanel Bomber wrote:
Fury wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
Again you are moving the goal posts...no one is saying he is a star or even needs to be a star. And its tough to take your argument seriously when you say a name like KCP who never has even hit 15ppg before and never been tasked with any level of shot creation on a team in his career.

And your ignore that for this 1st two years of his career he started alongside Elfrid Payton...and for his entire career he has played alongside Randle and a center that can't shoot either.

So again. Is that simply just RJ or simply the knicks haven't played in a modern offense with modern spacing. Do you think its by dumb luck the Bucks don't but not shooting players next to Giannis? Again I'm not even remotely comparing the two. I'm simply talking about roster contruction. Why do they value bigs that can shoot? Why do they value complimentary players that can shoot. So Giannis has easier decisions to make when he drives. Why does dallas put shooters around Luka.

They even tried to improve the spacing this year with Kemba/Fournier but it backfired so much because it was such a disaster defensively. You will say RJ is part of that problem but you even admitted that the only EFF part of RJ's game is hitting open 3's...so is he hurting the spacing or is it the other guys?


Does anyone have RJ’s numbers with Derrick Rose?

This past season, RJ's stats were mostly the same with and without Rose.

With Rose: 50.7 TS% and 24.3 USG (on 4.6 FGAs and 1.2 FTAs in 9.5 minutes per game)
Without Rose: 51.1 TS% and 27.0 USG (on 15.6 FGAs and 5.4 FTAs without Rose in 31.6 minutes per game)

The net rating is obviously better with Rose because Rose is our best player and they presumably played against staggered line-ups when Rose wasn't closing games in the 4th quarter.

RJ's efficiency and usage was basically the same with and without Rose.


Last season he was slightly better tho. Is there really enough of a sample size with him for this season?
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#267 » by Capn'O » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:37 pm

My prediction is RJ's TS% jumps to roughly 55% due to experience and improved PG play this season. It's very common for high usage players to struggle with efficiency early in their career as they figure out the league. Willing to double down if Julius is moved.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#268 » by Chanel Bomber » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:39 pm

Fury wrote:
Chanel Bomber wrote:
Fury wrote:
Does anyone have RJ’s numbers with Derrick Rose?

This past season, RJ's stats were mostly the same with and without Rose.

With Rose: 50.7 TS% and 24.3 USG (on 4.6 FGAs and 1.2 FTAs in 9.5 minutes per game)
Without Rose: 51.1 TS% and 27.0 USG (on 15.6 FGAs and 5.4 FTAs without Rose in 31.6 minutes per game)

The net rating is obviously better with Rose because Rose is our best player and they presumably played against staggered line-ups when Rose wasn't closing games in the 4th quarter.

RJ's efficiency and usage was basically the same with and without Rose.


Last season he was slightly better tho. Is there really enough of a sample size with him for this season?

Those figures were for 2021-22.

In 2020-21:

With Rose: 53.9 TS% and 21.7 USG
Without Rose: 55.9 TS% and 22.6 USG

It's obvious his efficiency goes down (from mediocre to terrible) with the increase in usage.

What's interesting (and surprising) is that he was more inefficient scoring the ball with Rose as opposed to without.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#269 » by Fury » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:43 pm

Chanel Bomber wrote:
Fury wrote:
Chanel Bomber wrote:This past season, RJ's stats were mostly the same with and without Rose.

With Rose: 50.7 TS% and 24.3 USG (on 4.6 FGAs and 1.2 FTAs in 9.5 minutes per game)
Without Rose: 51.1 TS% and 27.0 USG (on 15.6 FGAs and 5.4 FTAs without Rose in 31.6 minutes per game)

The net rating is obviously better with Rose because Rose is our best player and they presumably played against staggered line-ups when Rose wasn't closing games in the 4th quarter.

RJ's efficiency and usage was basically the same with and without Rose.


Last season he was slightly better tho. Is there really enough of a sample size with him for this season?

Those figures were for 2021-22.

In 2020-21:

With Rose: 53.9 TS% and 21.7 USG
Without Rose: 55.9 TS% and 22.6 USG

It's obvious his efficiency goes down (from mediocre to terrible) with the increase in usage.

What's interesting (and surprising) is that he was more inefficient scoring the ball with Rose as opposed to without.


I know it’s somewhat picky and choosy but that first month last season was extremely bad and right before Rose was acquired. I think if Randle isn’t playing like absolute ****, and with Brunson in the lineup (leading to less usage), he’s definitely hovering around 54-55%, which is fine.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#270 » by Chanel Bomber » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:49 pm

Fury wrote:
Chanel Bomber wrote:
Fury wrote:
Last season he was slightly better tho. Is there really enough of a sample size with him for this season?

Those figures were for 2021-22.

In 2020-21:

With Rose: 53.9 TS% and 21.7 USG
Without Rose: 55.9 TS% and 22.6 USG

It's obvious his efficiency goes down (from mediocre to terrible) with the increase in usage.

What's interesting (and surprising) is that he was more inefficient scoring the ball with Rose as opposed to without.


I know it’s somewhat picky and choosy but that first month last season was extremely bad and right before Rose was acquired. I think if Randle isn’t playing like absolute ****, and with Brunson in the lineup (leading to less usage), he’s definitely hovering around 54-55%, which is fine.

I think it would be subpar, considering he doesn't provide much in other areas of the game. 55% TS is still below-average.

But, to your point, it would at least be an encouraging sign that he could be trending towards becoming a net neutral or positive player in the NBA, and one you can actually build with down the line. What this means in relation to his next contract though, I don't know. I have my concerns, but at least some sense of optimism wouldn't be completely unjustified.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#271 » by DOT » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:51 pm

Capn'O wrote:My prediction is RJ's TS% jumps to roughly 55% due to experience and improved PG play this season. It's very common for high usage players to struggle with efficiency early in their career as they figure out the league. Willing to double down if Julius is moved.

Yeah, it's usually a solid rule that efficiency and usage are inverse

You see it with Brunson last year, he went from hyper efficient next to Luka but pedestrian numbers (15 points per 36) to solid but not spectacular efficiency with good numbers as the #1 option

RJ went from 57th in USG 2 years ago to 24th last year. Clearly he's not cut out for that right now, probably not ever

But he is clearly improving when you watch him, so him being in more of a 2nd/3rd option role should be fine. And he's still really young. So long as Montero isn't on the roster, he'll be our 3rd youngest player next year behind only McBride and Keels. To put it in perspective, he's only about 2 months older than Keegan Murray. So he's definitely got room to grow, and given that he's shown potential to be really good as a spot-up shooter, that means his offense is scalable, so he should have less problems fitting in next to better pieces, so long as his shooting doesn't drop off.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#272 » by god shammgod » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:56 pm

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kd wants to play with derozan huh....i'm not saying nothing :lol:
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#273 » by god shammgod » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:58 pm

take all that robot talk to the "who gives a sh*t" thread. this is around the nba.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#274 » by ag3 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:58 pm

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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#275 » by The Lamma » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:00 pm

Let's congratulate Kevin Knox for getting his last NBA contract yesterday.

I think he's really going to ball out

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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#276 » by Capn'O » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:01 pm

DOT wrote:
Capn'O wrote:My prediction is RJ's TS% jumps to roughly 55% due to experience and improved PG play this season. It's very common for high usage players to struggle with efficiency early in their career as they figure out the league. Willing to double down if Julius is moved.

Yeah, it's usually a solid rule that efficiency and usage are inverse

You see it with Brunson last year, he went from hyper efficient next to Luka but pedestrian numbers (15 points per 36) to solid but not spectacular efficiency with good numbers as the #1 option

RJ went from 57th in USG 2 years ago to 24th last year. Clearly he's not cut out for that right now, probably not ever

But he is clearly improving when you watch him, so him being in more of a 2nd/3rd option role should be fine. And he's still really young. So long as Montero isn't on the roster, he'll be our 3rd youngest player next year behind only McBride and Keels. To put it in perspective, he's only about 2 months older than Keegan Murray. So he's definitely got room to grow, and given that he's shown potential to be really good as a spot-up shooter, that means his offense is scalable, so he should have less problems fitting in next to better pieces, so long as his shooting doesn't drop off.


Yeah, 60th in usage is roughly where he should be give or take. Good starter level.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#277 » by god shammgod » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:02 pm

The Lamma wrote:Let's congratulate Kevin Knox for getting his last NBA contract yesterday.

I think he's really going to ball out

Spoiler:
In China after he gets waived


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that he got more then the minimum was the most shocking thing i saw this offseason. that and a good team signing deandre jordan on day 1. :lol:
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#278 » by Chanel Bomber » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:03 pm

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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#279 » by Capn'O » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:03 pm

These maxes are staggering. Good for them.
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Re: Leaguewide Offseason Transactions Discussion 

Post#280 » by Jimmit79 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 4:04 pm

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