Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 (UCONN)

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Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 (UCONN) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jul 4, 2022 2:47 pm

How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #18 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky
4. Kansas
5. East Coast Zone (highschool)
6. Duke
7. Georgetown
8. East-Central Zone (highschool)
9. Michigan State
10. Wake Forest
11. Houston
12. Ohio State
13. Indiana
14. LSU
15. Arizona
16. Texas
17. Michigan

Spoiler:
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#2 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jul 4, 2022 2:49 pm

Titles (as top 3)
Marquette - 4 (DWade - 3, Maurice Lucas - 1)
France - 4 (Tony Parker)
Spain - 2 (Pau Gasol)
Georgia Tech - 2 (Chris Bosh)
Notre Dame - 2 (Bill Laimbeer)
UCONN - 1 [2??] (Ray Allen, [Richard Hamilton??])
Western Zone - 1??? (Tyson Chandler on '11 Mavs??)
Illinois - 1??? (Red Kerr on '55 Nationals??)
Serbia - 0

Total WS
UCONN - 828.9
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Illinois - 695.9
Marquette - 671.9
Spain - 537.9
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Marquette - 43 (15.6)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
UCONN - 39 (21.3)
Spain - 28 (19.21)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
UCONN - 359.22
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Marquette - 311.79
Spain - 237.13
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
Marquette - 30
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
UCONN - 22
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
Serbia - 2
UCONN/Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/Marquette/France - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].

EDIT: Edited Spain's numbers to reflect at least partial careers of multiple players born in other countries, but who played SOME in pro league of Spain prior to NBA.


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#3 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 4, 2022 8:28 pm

1-Marquette
2-Uconn
3-georgia
Hm: spain

Temptstive picks, will write more later
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#4 » by trex_8063 » Tue Jul 5, 2022 2:36 am

I'll throw in my tentative picks right now:

1. UCONN
2. Georgia Tech
3. Marquette??


Sticking with my same top 2 from last thread. Mostly deciding between Illinois, Marquette, and Notre Dame for the last spot.

Notre Dame's WS totals are inflated a little by Adrian Dantley (who is no doubt overrated by the metric); so I decided to go with one of the other two. Marquette's top 3 are super-impressive at this stage (best top 3 left??); far better than Illinois's. The Fighting I have better depth, but perhaps not by enough of a margin to off-set the huge difference at the top.

idk, might change it; but I'll go this way for now.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#5 » by jalengreen » Wed Jul 6, 2022 12:31 am

1. Marquette
2. UConn
3. USC

I think I'm confident with going Marquette at the top for now... My next ballot may end up looking a bit different (not sure about GA Tech) but I think UConn certainly has an impressive cast of guys with names like Ray Allen, Cliff, Gay, Rip, Kemba, Caron Butler, Ben Gordon, Drummond, Donyell, etc, but not enough for me to favor it over the really impressive quality of Marquette. Tentatively leaning the direction of USC next up with DeRozan, Gus Williams, Westphal, Sharman, Vucevic, Gibson, and Mack Calvin.

edit:

Actually, I'm not at all confident in how I want to rank these three upon further consideration so I'm changing my vote for now:

1. UConn
2. USC
3. Marquette

Feels weird for me to suddenly drop Marquette to 3 but the margins are admittedly getting thin at this point ... not sure if I'm rating USC appropriately
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#6 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jul 6, 2022 12:48 am

jalengreen wrote:1. Marquette
2. UConn
3. USC

I think I'm confident with going Marquette at the top for now... My next ballot may end up looking a bit different (not sure about GA Tech) but I think UConn certainly has an impressive cast of guys with names like Ray Allen, Cliff, Gay, Rip, Kemba, Caron Butler, Ben Gordon, Drummond, Donyell, etc, but not enough for me to favor it over the really impressive quality of Marquette. Tentatively leaning the direction of USC next up with DeRozan, Gus Williams, Westphal, Sharman, Vucevic, Gibson, and Mack Calvin.

edit:

Actually, I'm not at all confident in how I want to rank these three upon further consideration so I'm changing my vote for now:

1. UConn
2. USC
3. Marquette

Feels weird for me to suddenly drop Marquette to 3 but the margins are admittedly getting thin at this point ... not sure if I'm rating USC appropriately


Is interesting how if you dig a bit you can find schools with unexpectedly impressive basketball alumni, USC just had not come to my mind at all until you mentioned them

Wonder how many sleepers we may be missing
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #18 

Post#7 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jul 6, 2022 1:03 am

Scores:

UCONN - 8 pts
Marquette - 5 pts
Georgia Tech - 3 pts
USC - 2 pts

I think I'll call this one for UCONN and we'll move on.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire

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