Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20-21 (Georgia Tech, Spain)

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Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20-21 (Georgia Tech, Spain) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jul 9, 2022 5:52 pm

How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #20 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky
4. Kansas
5. East Coast Zone (highschool)
6. Duke
7. Georgetown
8. East-Central Zone (highschool)
9. Michigan State
10. Wake Forest
11. Houston
12. Ohio State
13. Indiana
14. LSU
15. Arizona
16. Texas
17. Michigan
18. UCONN
19. Marquette

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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#2 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jul 9, 2022 6:09 pm

Newly added this round: Minnesota.

Titles (as top 3)
France - 4 (Tony Parker)
USC - 4 (Bill Sharman - 3, Gus Williams - 1)
Minnesota - 2 [3?] (Kevin McHale - 2, [Kleggie Hermsen - 1?? with '48 Bullets]; NOTE: McHale does have a 3rd, and Mychal Thompson has two with the Lakers; Whitey Skoog won two with the early 50's Lakers, too; and Don Carlson won two with the 40s/50s Lakers.....just none as top-3 players; lots of BAA/NBA titles represented here, though)
Spain - 2 [3??] (Pau Gasol - 2, [Marc Gasol - 1 on '19 Raptors??])
Georgia Tech - 2 (Chris Bosh)
Notre Dame - 2 (Bill Laimbeer)
Western Zone - 1??? (Tyson Chandler on '11 Mavs??)
Illinois - 1??? (Red Kerr on '55 Nationals??)
Serbia - 0

Total WS
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Minnesota - 751.0
USC - 712.0
Illinois - 695.9
Spain - 537.9
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
Minnesota - 50 (15.0)
USC - 46 (15.5)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
Spain - 28 (19.21)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Minnesota - 306.45
USC - 296.34
Spain - 237.13
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
USC - 27
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
Minnesota - 19
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
Serbia - 2
Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/France/USC/Minnesota - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].

EDIT: Edited Spain's numbers to reflect at least partial careers of multiple players born in other countries, but who played SOME in pro league of Spain prior to NBA.
fwiw, their WS-based scores are probably a bit understated given how young Doncic is (I'd be inclined to include the rest of his future career in Spain's figures......they just haven't happened yet; but obviously he's a special talent with a bright career ahead).


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#3 » by falcolombardi » Sat Jul 9, 2022 6:25 pm

trex_8063 wrote:Newly added this round: Minnesota.

Titles (as top 3)
France - 4 (Tony Parker)
USC - 4 (Bill Sharman - 3, Gus Williams - 1)
Minnesota - 2 [3?] (Kevin McHale - 2, [Kleggie Hermsen - 1?? with '48 Bullets]; NOTE: McHale does have a 3rd, and Mychal Thompson has two with the Lakers; Whitey Skoog won two with the early 50's Lakers, too; and Don Carlson won two with the 40s/50s Lakers.....just none as top-3 players; lots of BAA/NBA titles represented here, though)
Spain - 2 (Pau Gasol)
Georgia Tech - 2 (Chris Bosh)
Notre Dame - 2 (Bill Laimbeer)
Western Zone - 1??? (Tyson Chandler on '11 Mavs??)
Illinois - 1??? (Red Kerr on '55 Nationals??)
Serbia - 0

Total WS
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Minnesota - 751.0
USC - 712.0
Illinois - 695.9
Spain - 537.9
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
Minnesota - 50 (15.0)
USC - 46 (15.5)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
Spain - 28 (19.21)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Minnesota - 306.45
USC - 296.34
Spain - 237.13
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
USC - 27
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
Minnesota - 19
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
Serbia - 2
Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/France/USC/Minnesota - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].

EDIT: Edited Spain's numbers to reflect at least partial careers of multiple players born in other countries, but who played SOME in pro league of Spain prior to NBA.
fwiw, their WS-based scores are probably a bit understated given how young Doncic is (I'd be inclined to include the rest of his future career in Spain's figures......they just haven't happened yet; but obviously he's a special talent with a bright career ahead).


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).


I would include marc gasol as a top 3 contributor to raptors title or at least a ultra close 4th that deserves mebtion
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#4 » by giordunk » Sun Jul 10, 2022 8:08 am

Has to be Spain bru...

Most of these colleges are not 'talent sources' - they're a place where a players spends 1-2 years before going off to the pros. Spain and Serbia have dedicated basketball youth leagues and schools. A lot of guys on a D1 roster even on a major program - when they play basketball overseas, a lot of them aren't even guaranteed to be in a top league. Spain hosts Liga ACB, the best basketball league outside the US.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#5 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:19 am

giordunk wrote:Has to be Spain bru...

Most of these colleges are not 'talent sources' - they're a place where a players spends 1-2 years before going off to the pros. Spain and Serbia have dedicated basketball youth leagues and schools. A lot of guys on a D1 roster even on a major program - when they play basketball overseas, a lot of them aren't even guaranteed to be in a top league. Spain hosts Liga ACB, the best basketball league outside the US.


You should vote your top 3 picks, if possible with explanation for reasoning

I am gonna have spain somewhere in my top 3 so you could as well tilt it towards spain winning and making top 20
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#6 » by giordunk » Sun Jul 10, 2022 6:27 pm

1. Spain
2. Serbia
3. West Zone

To me if there was 'double dipping' allowed it's also hands down that the West zone is way up there.

If I had to choose NCAA it's Illinois.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#7 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jul 10, 2022 7:40 pm

Tentative picks:

1. Georgia Tech
2. Spain
3. Illinois


Sticking with my top 2 from last round, but I'll give a nod to Spain at this point, and even push them into the middle of my ballots.

Although many of the "measures" [WS-based, and otherwise] don't particularly support Spain even being a top 5 at this point, I don't want to lose sight of the fact that the point of this project was "Pro Talent".......and it's obvious that Luka Doncic is a relatively rare talent. That his career hasn't had a chance to play out yet [and thus accrue many more WS, as well as other accomplishments he's destined to achieve] doesn't change the fact that he's a monstrous talent. I could also note that he's not at all a "darling" of win shares (it's actually the metric that tends to probably underrate him).

There are other products or partial-products of Spain whose careers are works in progress too: the Hernangomez bros, Campazzo, Tomas Satoransky. Serge Ibaka still has a tiny bit of gas in the tank, too.

The other thing about total WS is: even bad player tend to accumulate some small some of WS. So I don't want to over-reward other sources simply for having produced 20+ extra "nobodies" [relative to Spain].

And lastly, my structure [which I did primarily for simplicity] in this project probably has skewed things toward universities. So I feel I need to push back at that aspect as well. Initially was going to make them 3rd, but decided I'll even push them up to 2nd.

Illinois does have a fairly nice roster of products, though: Deron Williams, Derek Harper, Redd Kerr, Eddie Johnson [the greater], Nick Anderson, Donnie Freeman, Don Ohl, Andy Phillip, Kendall Gill, and a number of good role players.

Georgia Tech looks similar in terms of decent role-player depth, but I like the names at the top slightly better: Chris Bosh, Mark Price, Stephon Marbury.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#8 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 11, 2022 5:29 am

Spain/acb

total of nba players: 32( mid)

mvp level careers: 0? (Low) (Luka career too short yet here)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (pau, marc, luka)

Borderline stars 1 (low): rubio?

Total win shares: 537 (mid)

Interesring option, maybe the strongest top 3 left? Rubio, calderon and ibaka have nice careers too although i think it lacks depth after the top 6~ ans the win shares suggest a lack of relevant depth

Vs

Georgia tech

total of nba players: 40 ( mid)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 2 ( mid) (bosh, mark price

Borderline stars (marbury)

Total win shares: 797 (high)

Georgia tech has a impressive win shares total suggesting they have more relevant "role player depth" than spain but i like spain top 3 a bit more even before accounting for luka lack of longevity (price short career hurt georgia here)

I like favors, salley and thad young a bit more probably than rubio, calderon and ibaka

So i think spain is really close overall and georgia seems to have more depth, if luka career was a bit longer this would be spain for me but for now i think i marginally prefer georgia guys but i can be convinced otherwise
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#9 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 11, 2022 5:49 am

Illinois

total of nba players: 40 ( mid)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star players: 1? ( low) deron williams (some of their notable guys like eddie johnson are introguing picks for this too)

Notable players: red kerr*, don ohl*, eddie johnson, derek harper, nick anderson, kendall gill, jerry sloan

*red kerr and don ohl i am not familiarized with but i will include them bases on their multiple all star berths

Total win shares: 695 (high)

they are a very deep school

Vs

Notredame

total of nba players: 59 ( mid)

mvp level players: 0? (low) (dantley?)

notable all star level players: 1 (low) adrian dantley

Borderline stars: laimbeer, wooldridge?

Also motable guys as austin carr, kelly tripucka or joe kleine

Total win shares: 769 (high)

Impressive win share totals but their names dont seem as good as illinois, let alone georgia
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#10 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 11, 2022 5:58 am

France

total of nba players: 40 ( mid) (per real gm database)

mvp level players: 0? (low)

notable all star level players: 3 ( mid) (parker, gobert, noah)

Notable players: batum, diaw,

Total win shares: 396 (low)

Good but not good enough yet, their top 6 is close with spain but is just less depth afterwards, i think they are sligtly worse spain here

Vs

USC

total of nba players: 43 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1? (Mid) (gus williams?) He is arguably the best player of a two finals and championship team

notable all star level players: 3 ( mid) derozan,paul westphal, bill sharman

Notable players: vucevic, taj gibson

Total win shares: 712 (mid)


I like their top guys a lot actually, great win shares suggesting relevant depth too
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#11 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 11, 2022 6:07 am

My picks

1-georgia
2-spain
3- USC

I like usc a bit over france thanks to stronger deptf after the top talent, but i like spain at the top a bit more

Georgia vs spain was really close to me, would be open to changing it
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#12 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jul 11, 2022 2:33 pm

jalengreen wrote:.


Looking for jalen's vote (this would be exciting: first time we've had FOUR voters!).

Scores thus far:

Spain - 7 pts
Georgia Tech - 6 pts
Serbia - 2 pts
USC - 1 pt
Illinois - 1 pt
Western Zone - 1 pt
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#13 » by jalengreen » Mon Jul 11, 2022 5:49 pm

1. USC
2. Georgia Tech
3. Spain
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#14 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jul 11, 2022 6:03 pm

So that is a tie for spain and georgia then right? What do we do now?
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#15 » by jalengreen » Mon Jul 11, 2022 6:45 pm

falcolombardi wrote:So that is a tie for spain and georgia then right? What do we do now?


Think we did first place votes as a tiebreaker last time which would favor ga tech
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #20 

Post#16 » by trex_8063 » Tue Jul 12, 2022 12:14 am

Scores thus far:

Spain - 8 pts
Georgia Tech - 8 pts
USC - 4 pts
Serbia - 2 pts
Illinois - 1 pt
Western Zone - 1 pt


So we have our second tie. As we did before, I'll allow the H2H record to decide: three of four voters had Georgia Tech ahead, so they take this spot.
In the interest of moving along quickly [as we did before] we will automatically award #21 to Spain, and move on to #22.
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