5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry)

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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#321 » by capfan33 » Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:21 am

VanWest82 wrote:Again, I am not arguing that Lebron wasn't less athletic in Miami than he was in Cleveland. You guys need to stop with the strawmans.

A poster claimed Lebron's 2011 season should be at least partially excused because he had ZERO ability to drive. But somehow he could drive again in 2012. And somehow, with actual reported back issues, he was back to being top 10 in drives in 2015.

If you want to say Lebron wasn't as good in 2011 because he lost some athleticism and he still hadn't yet rounded his game out, then yeah, I agree. But I also believe, as many beleive, that Lebron struggled somewhat with the transition to playing with another high USG guy. Him and Wade have talked about this. It's part of the story too.

And yes, Lebron improved in 2012 when he finally addressed the weaknesses in his game, and he actually became a high level off ball player. But he wasn't in 2011 and that was part of the problem. It wasn't just "Lebron got in his own head". He didn't have basketball answers when a team exposed the basketball weaknesses in his game.


Just to try and wrap this up quickly, I'm glad you said the last part, I 100% agree. Lebron didn't just mentally collapse on his own, he got to the finals with enormous pressure to win and ofc he hadn't won anything yet 7 years in. And when he couldn't drive and attack Dallas' zone, the pressure got to him.

To be very clear, Lebron deserves blame for randomly deciding to gain 20 pounds without regard for how it would affect his driving ability, and the subsequent issues it caused him in the finals. I think we all agree 2011 goes down as a weakness/weak year/black mark for Lebron, I think it's just the substance of that issue that's in question. I think one of the biggest strengths Jordan has over Lebron is that he was much more consistent (could argue predictable), largely due to Lebron doing stuff like this.

Also, he really wasn't driving that well in 2012 either, he relied a lot on his post game that year and actually shot 48% from short mid-range on the left block if I remember correctly, the Hakeem lessons paid off. And even in 13 and 14, as stated earlier, he still was at maybe 80% of his Cleveland first step but he found other ways to get by guys and also finished better once he got to the rim, due to the added strength+more skill.

Overall, I really don't think it had much to do with playing with another ball-dominant player, but mostly being overweight and questionable team composition.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#322 » by falcolombardi » Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:28 am

AEnigma wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:As for the Heat altering their offense away from dualing banjos with Wade to one focused more on Lebron with the ball in his hands, I'll let Wade describe it to you: https://www.espn.com/nba/playoffs/2012/story/_/id/7929717/nba-playoffs-wade-huge-sacrifice-lebron

"I just had some time to sit back and think a lot," Wade said. "I just realized what we're playing for, and what I'm playing for.

"LeBron is probably the most talented player we've seen in a while, but how good can we be? Are we going to be good if me and him are both scoring 27 a night? Yeah, we're gonna be good, but it would be too much, 'OK, it's your turn, now it's your turn.'

"I wanted to give him the opportunity where he didn't have to think about that. It's kind of like I told him, 'Listen, I'll find my way. Don't worry about me. I'll be there. But you go out and be the player that we want you to be.'"


It's documented fact that Wade took a backseat starting in 2012 and that the Heat ran more through Lebron from that point forward.

This is less a response to you specifically than it is a response to a commonly pushed notion, but I think your comment is illustrative.

Earlier I talked about how fitting with Pippen is nothing like fitting with Wade. Jordan made an adjustment (or more accurately was advised to make an adjustment by Phil Jackson) to give Pippen more ballhandling primacy, and that is used as de facto proof of his [i]offensive[/i]]scalability next to players like Wade. … But Jordan’s dominant skill is not ballhandling, it is scoring. And he cared about that skill a lot.
Phil Jackson wrote:Basically I was planning to ask Michael, who had won his third scoring title in a row the previous season, to reduce the number of shots he took so that other members of the team could get more involved in the offense. I knew this would be a challenge for him: Michael was only the second player to win both a scoring title and the league MVP award in the same year, the first being Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1971.
I told [Michael] that I was planning to implement the triangle and, as a result, he probably wouldn’t be able to win another scoring title. “You’ve got to share the spotlight with your teammates,” I said, “because if you don’t, they won’t grow.”
"Okay, I guess I could average thirty-two points,” he said. “That’s eight points a quarter. Nobody else is going to do that.”
“Well, when you put it that way, maybe you can win the title,” I said. “But how about scoring a few more of those points at the end of the game?”
Looking back, Michael says that he liked this approach because it “allowed me to be the person I needed to be.” Sometimes I would tell him that he needed to be aggressive and set the tone for the team. Other times I’d say, “Why don’t you try to get Scottie going so that the defenders will go after him and then you can attack?”
In general, I tried to give Michael room to figure out how to integrate his personal ambitions with those of the team. “Phil knew that winning the scoring title was important to me,” Michael says now, “but I wanted to do it in a way that didn’t take away from what the team was doing.”

Does that sound like a guy who is legitimately worried about not deferring enough? No. Now, as I said, Wade was not Pippen. I do not think Jordan would have taken the same approach with Wade, although obviously we have no real way of knowing. But I do think Jordan was dramatically less likely to be worried about not stepping on the toes of this other elite scorer. Jordan supporters might chalk that up to superior mentality; “Jordan knew he was the best scorer and would rightly force Wade to adjust at the outset!” Whatever. But that is not really a point for his “scalability”.

So then we look at what is being sacrificed, and here we have a nice little sample of what Pippen looks like with no Jordan eating up the entire scoring load. And… he takes like one or two extra shots a game. Pippen was not really being asked to sacrifice anything by playing with Jordan — not in the way someone like Wade, who on his own was taking just as many shots as Jordan (albeit much less effectively). And for all those comments from Phil, what did Jordan sacrifice from 1988? Again, like a shot or two a game. The mentality may have changed as advised, but the total scoring load? Pretty much the same. As mentioned, he also sacrificed some general control of the offence to Pippen, and that was very successful, because Pippen was (or at least developed into) a better passer than Jordan, and passing was his best offensive skill. Contrast this with Wade, who is a worse scorer than both Jordan and Lebron, is a worse playmaker than Lebron, and has explicitly talked about not wanting to act as the point guard on offence… but who is an elite player because on any other team he would be one of the best scorers and playmakers in the game. Suddenly that question of who sacrifices what and how much becomes a lot murkier.

It is not original to say that in many ways Lebron is like taking Pippen and giving him some of Jordan’s scoring acumen. Lebron does not really care much about scoring titles (despite how many of his detractors refuse to admit that). He is an all-time scorer regardless, so it makes sense for him to score a lot, and he does have some ego about scoring (in before the “ten points in every game!” streak gets brought up), but that is not primary game, and even though he has basically always been the best scorer on his teams, he is perfectly happy to share the scoring load, whether it be with Wade, Kyrie, or Davis.

Lebron likes playmaking in general. This is more traditionally his best skill… but there too he is not exactly unwilling to share — with Wade, with Kyrie, or with Westbrook. Westbrook, in sort of a similar situation as Pippen, really only has abstract value now as a passer, although without his scoring threat, and without any spacing ability, it is not exactly a high value offering. But to accommodate that, what does Lebron do? He tries to pull a Jordan. He relinquishes ballhandling, focuses more on scoring, for the first time in over a decade legitimately pushes for a scoring title… but the team’s defence is bad with Davis “suffering from hurt”, the roster overall is a mess, and a diminished Westbrook is still a pretty active negative who cannot be any actual analogue for even a younger Scottie Pippen. But is any of that a real consequence of some fundamental inability of Lebron to score next to a lead ballhandler?

Kyrie and Wade like ballhandling too. Neither have anything on Lebron’s playmaking or passing ability, and to some extent they both probably know that (questionable with Kyrie lol), but Lebron is happy enough to share. With Kyrie, this works well because Kyrie is an elite spacer. With Wade, this does not work as well, because Wade is a relatively poor spacer. But then we consider Jordan and Pippen again. Is Pippen a good spacer? Not really, and not to an extent I would put him beyond Wade. Well, alright, then is Jordan a better spacer and more capable of working past the spacing limitations of players like Wade and Westbrook and Pippen? There I would say the answer is maybe, and the reason why it is maybe is why era differences are important to this question (as has been discussed).

Jordan was a pretty strong spacer in his era. 3s were not a focus and illegal defence rules limited the extent to which an individual top scorer could be hounded compared to what happened once those rules were dropped… but nevertheless, he is one of the best ever midrange scorers, and he has a degree of raw scoring gravity that really only Curry has competed with as a perimetre player. Lebron, on the other hand, has no leniency from illegal defence. Lebron takes threes, and is enough of a threat to make them that he does draw attention out there, while always having a pretty strong degree of raw scoring gravity of his own. In Jordan’s era, I definitely give the advantage as a spacer to Jordan. In a more modern era? Well, obviously some fans like to argue Jordan would become a strong three-point shooter, but if we take his skills at face value, and his own commentary about feeling that reliance on threes is bad for his own mentality, it seems a lot more debatable whether at that point he actually fits all that much better as a spacer with Pippen or Westbrook or Wade.

So we know Lebron is willing to relinquish ballhandling, as Jordan did. We know he is willing to relinquish scoring primacy, as Jordan did not do and expressly did not want to do but hypothetically could have done if given the opportunity. We know era disparities penalise spacing in different ways, to an extent that it is not clear whether in Lebron’s era Jordan would fare better playing with non-spacing (/non-defending) teammates than Lebron did. We know that Pippen did not particularly eat into Jordan’s scoring and that Jordan’s presence barely affected Pippen’s scoring load. What exactly does all that tell us about how much better Jordan fits with random teammates than Lebron does?

I would say exceedingly little. What I am comfortable saying is that Jordan fits better on offence in his own era with non-spacers than Lebron would — and in that sense, relative to their own respective eras too. I am comfortable saying Jordan fits better with non-scoring ballhandlers than Lebron would, pretty much regardless of era, in the specific sense that Lebron loses more of his innate value from that situation than Lebron does. But on the other side, I think Lebron fits better with spacers and/or off-ball players than Jordan does, by virtue of being better able to take advantage of their skillsets with his passing. I think Lebron fits better with poor defenders than Jordan does. I think Lebron also fits better with Kyrie-type playmakers than Jordan does — scorers who space and like to have some offensive control but are overtaxed as a team’s first choice to perform either skill. And I think it is unclear which of the two fits better on offence in the modern era with that particular breed of player who does not space well yet is best maximised as an on-ball scorer… such as Dwyane Wade.

Mind you, this analysis has been mostly about duos. Think back to that comment about wanting to win the scoring titles. Is that easier with Horace Grant and/or Dennis Rodman, or with Chris Bosh and/or Kevin Love? We talk all about how these third stars oh so tragically were placed into a box next to Lebron. Okay, what does Chris Bosh look like next to Wade and Jordan? Is he suddenly freed up? Is a higher volume scorer asking Bosh to score more too? Is a weaker defender letting Bosh lower is defensive load? Does the team no longer want him to space the floor? Kevin Love has more of a passing game, so he is more interesting (not that either Blatt or Lue seemed to figure out how to make that work well even with Kyrie), but there too it is hard to say his scoring volume would increase next to Jordan or that he would struggle less on defence or that his spacing would be less important.

Jordan pretty much always got to play his way. He was never forced into a situation where he seriously had to consider relinquishing his league high scoring load (his principle and most personally valued skill). He was almost never asked to take a role that did not suit him. Because we know that Lebron struggled a little bit in those situations that Jordan never faced, we conclude that Jordan is an easier fit with more players? Nonsense. This guy is not Steph — not as a spacer (obviously), nor as someone who seems at all willing to sacrifice scoring volume. And he is also not Kobe or Iverson or Carmelo, in the sense that it almost always should be best practice for him to be that primary scorer… but then it similarly has almost always been best practice for Lebron to be both the primary scorer and creator, and despite his clear willingness to compromise on either, that is being held against him, with zero evidence of whether Jordan could maintain his “impact” next to players who would force him to adapt his game or otherwise see their own games disrupted next to him. When Lebron gets strong fit teams that allow him to balance his skills, they are dismissed because he was not as good on bad fitting teams. But when Jordan wins six titles on teams that allow him to maximise his scoring above any other responsibilities? Well, that is just a good example of how scalable he is!

I have said it before, but we are essentially rewarding Jordan for having a less dynamic skillset: “well, both of them probably see diminishing returns as scorers next to other high volume scorers by virtue of both being some of the highest volume scorers ever, but Lebron’s superior passing sees more diminishing returns next to high volume creators, so that means Jordan fits better with more players!” Like, fine, for those of you who want to give Jordan an easy 38% three-point shot on good volume, this is not going to matter for you as much. Just like there are those of you who will never move past six titles, or how scoring is the number one skill, or what a failure 2011 was, or how Jordan was actually a god-tier defender, or how Lebron is a coward for not sticking with the Cavaliers from the start. But for those of you looking at the type of spacers they actually are and are ostensibly trying to be objective and properly critical of the context in which each played? You should be asking a lot more.


Earlier I talked about how fitting with Pippen is nothing like fitting with Wade


jordan was the one playing with players is easier to fit into cause their value came more off ball (defense, offensive rebounding)

Lebron is the one who has paired (admiteddly off his own volition) with ball dominant scorers and found ways to make it work

Jordan was the one doing his thingh (scoring on and off ball and creating off his scoring, same thinghs lebron does) and everyone else didnt get in the way and added value in ways that didnt take the ball mucj off jordan.

For all we know if the bulls traded for a star post scorer in the vein of bosh/love instead of rodman/grant they would have had the same issues of dimishin returns alongside two perimeter stars

We dont know because jordan never was "put to trial" in how he works alongside an all star post up big. He is given credit in comparision to bron for spmethingh he never had to do. (Fit alongside another perimeter star and a post up scorer)


“Jordan knew he was the best scorer and would rightly force Wade to adjust at the outset!” Whatever.


This is annoying cause it so flexible lol. Jordan is simultaneously the ultra bad-ass that would "impose his will" day 1 as the guy who runs the team but also lauded for his flexibility and sacrifice for the team.

Off the two it is lebronwho had no issue with a lesser scorer take as many or more shots as him (kyrie) as scoring was where most of kyrie value came from. While he was the second guy in volume (but first in points amd efficiency) and defensive anchor of the cavs. He worked around his co-star snd ceded the spotlight for the best of the team (theorically)

maybe jordan could have done the same if he played with a great scorer/meh defender/playmaker teammate but just like i said above. That is giving him credit for a hipotetical of somethingh he never did

So then we look at what is being sacrificed, and here we have a nice little sample of what Pippen looks like with no Jordan eating up the entire scoring load.


Essentially a lot more of pippen/rodman/grant value comes off doing stuff that doesnt take the ball, scoring and spotlight off jordan.

Rebounding (i cannot state enough how offensive rebounding of unheralded offense rodman/grant made up bulls offensive separation from the pack, but those guys were not iso scorers like love and bosh so people think they didnt help jordan much offensively)

For comparision a lot more percentage of kyrie/wade/bosh came with the ball in their hands

Pippen vs wade is the perfect example. Both are weak outside shooters but it was less of a issue in jordan era to have a non shooter as teams used 3-point shot less and had illegal D rules (more of that in a second) but pippen value comes primarily of defense and wade off scoring. So already from the start pippen was a easier fit than wade


he also sacrificed some general control of the offence to Pippen, and that was very successful,


I wonder how much it is that he sacrificed it and how much it is that pippem could do a better or at least equal job of it while letting jordan keep focusing on scoring

Jordan bulls could get away with playing combinations of pippen/rodman/longley together cause illegal D rules and cause era spacing was weaker across the board so they were not giving up spacing to gain defense

Move those teams to the 2010's and even if jordan becomes a 40% 3 point shooter bulls are gonna need to balance out all their non shooters (rodman,pippen) who suddendly cause them issues to play together spacing wise. And suddendly bulls would need to decide to prioritize defense or spacing and have weaker results as a whole

Imagine the 2012 or 2013 heat in the 90's when 3 point shooting was not as widespread. Suddendly birdman/wade/joel anthony guys have to be guarded more closely so you can get away with not playing weaker or smaller defensive players like mike miller, chalmers or allen and still have adequate spacing

Birdman could become their rodman. (Healthy) wade could provide some spacing when lebron has the ball, etc.suddendlt lebron can play in an all defense team with little shooting and still provide a elite offense which is the thingh he supposedly cannot do (even thoufh he has done it twice already in 2012 and 2020 but those dont seem to count for some reason)
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#323 » by falcolombardi » Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:40 am

I also want to mention how often "off-ball game" or "portable/scalable offense" really just means "jumpshooting" when people talk about it. And off ball movement jumpshooting more often than not

Jordan is a better jumpshoter, althoufh is important to note that starting in miami lebron becane a solid spot up threat -at the power forward- position.

He is essentially a powerforward who provides good 3 point shooting as well as solid protection and atrong defensive rebounding. There are elite role player bigs who make long careers just off those two thinghs (think ibaka) and that is just off ball value

Now imagine a toronto version of ibaka (nice player) who also can replace the ball handler so you can go big in the perimeter and prioritize defense in the pg spot as 2020 lakers did with caruso

And also a ibaka who can score off transition as well as giannis(!)

And also a ibaka who is as good of a cutting and finish threat as it gets for a power forward.

That is the value lebron provides without even handling the ball in the half court

He provides a ton of value off-ball in both ends to the point i am not even sure jordan provides more off ball value

Just because he doesnt take a bunch off curls for jumpers doesnt make his off-ball value limited
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#324 » by falcolombardi » Sat Aug 13, 2022 3:04 am

[/quote]

0:30 scores off ball as a fastbreak man

0:42 scores off ball from a cut to the rim

1:10 another off ball score of a fast break run

1:30 scores of a catch and shoot 3

2:20 scores off ball again from a timely cut to the rim

2:50 off ball scoring of a deep seal and catch on the mismatch

3:05 ANOTHER lay-up of a timely cut

3:25 catch and shot 3

3:35 timely cut for a offensive rebound and put-back, more off-ball value

4:55 another lay up of a deep seal and catch

22 points out of off-ball plays alone

Even for scoring only lebron can provide a lot of off ball value

Then there are other strenghts like the ability to both be a small ball shooting big and a big ball ball handler so you can go big and defense focused in the perimeter
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#325 » by capfan33 » Sat Aug 13, 2022 5:03 pm

falcolombardi wrote:


0:30 scores off ball as a fastbreak man

0:42 scores off ball from a cut to the rim

1:10 another off ball score of a fast break run

1:30 scores of a catch and shoot 3

2:20 scores off ball again from a timely cut to the rim

2:50 off ball scoring of a deep seal and catch on the mismatch

3:05 ANOTHER lay-up of a timely cut

3:25 catch and shot 3

3:35 timely cut for a offensive rebound and put-back, more off-ball value

4:55 another lay up of a deep seal and catch

22 points out of off-ball plays alone

Even for scoring only lebron can provide a lot of off ball value

Then there are other strenghts like the ability to both be a small ball shooting big and a big ball ball handler so you can go big and defense focused in the perimeter[/quote]


Was at this game, 1st time watching Lebron in person. Also agree 100% with what you've said, Lebron is one of the most versatile players in NBA history he has plenty of skills that don't require the ball in his hands.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#326 » by LukaTheGOAT » Sat Aug 13, 2022 6:52 pm

LukaTheGOAT wrote:LeBron's 3 Year PS Offensive Load
(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Cleveland
06-08: 51.4
07-09: 54.1
08-10: 55.8

Miami Heat
11-13: 45.7
12-14: 47.7

Lebron's Top Seasons in Usage Percentage
1. 09
2. 06
3. 08
4. 10
......
7. 2012 (Highest Usage Miami Season)

Lebron's top seasons in estimated front-court touches

1. 2006 Lebron
2. 2010 Lebron
3. 2009 Lebron

Read on Twitter


For someone who is considered to have peaked in Miami, he certainly seemed to have the ball in his hands quite a bit less than his Cleveland days. I don't see why if Miami was running, "Lebron Ball," why he would have the ball so much less compared to when he was a worst player.


(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Jordan's 3-Year PS Offensive Load

85-87: 54.5
86-88: 54.2
87-89: 55.6

(Scottie Pippen's Rookie season is in 88)

88-90: 56.2
89-91: 57.7
90-92: 57.6
91-93: 58.2

Notice how in comparison to Lebron, whose offensive load goes down considerably when he pairs up with Wade, MJ's offensive load just continues to rise, even as Pippen enters into his prime. I wonder why that is? MJ didn't change his game nearly as much as Lebron did when paired with a star next to him. Yet, seemingly Lebron is the one criticized for not getting the most out of Wade. I think in reality, Pippen was the kind of star who didn't need to siphon off possessions from MJ to reach as close to his peak offensive impact.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#327 » by falcolombardi » Sat Aug 13, 2022 7:04 pm

LukaTheGOAT wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:LeBron's 3 Year PS Offensive Load
(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Cleveland
06-08: 51.4
07-09: 54.1
08-10: 55.8

Miami Heat
11-13: 45.7
12-14: 47.7

Lebron's Top Seasons in Usage Percentage
1. 09
2. 06
3. 08
4. 10
......
7. 2012 (Highest Usage Miami Season)

Lebron's top seasons in estimated front-court touches

1. 2006 Lebron
2. 2010 Lebron
3. 2009 Lebron

Read on Twitter


For someone who is considered to have peaked in Miami, he certainly seemed to have the ball in his hands quite a bit less than his Cleveland days. I don't see why if Miami was running, "Lebron Ball," why he would have the ball so much less compared to when he was a worst player.


(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Jordan's 3-Year PS Offensive Load

85-87: 54.5
86-88: 54.2
87-89: 55.6

(Scottie Pippen's Rookie season is in 88)

88-90: 56.2
89-91: 57.7
90-92: 57.6
91-93: 58.2

Notice how in comparison to Lebron, whose offensive load goes down considerably when he pairs up with Wade, MJ's offensive load just continues to rise, even as Pippen enters into his prime. I wonder why that is? MJ didn't change his game nearly as much as Lebron did when paired with a star next to him. Yet, seemingly Lebron is the one criticized for not getting the most out of Wade. I think in reality, Pippen was the kind of star who didn't need to siphon off possessions from MJ to reach as close to his peak offensive impact.


Yep,jordan game barely changed across his prime compared to lebron

And he barely reduced his offense load compared to lebron

If he actually had played with players like wade and kyrie we would have seen his portability as tested as lebron was
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#328 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Aug 17, 2022 1:04 am

These are minute based, and not possession based, right?
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#329 » by falcolombardi » Wed Aug 17, 2022 1:31 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:These are minute based, and not possession based, right?


Per 48 minutes
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#330 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Aug 17, 2022 2:52 am

falcolombardi wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:LeBron's 3 Year PS Offensive Load
(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Cleveland
06-08: 51.4
07-09: 54.1
08-10: 55.8

Miami Heat
11-13: 45.7
12-14: 47.7

Lebron's Top Seasons in Usage Percentage
1. 09
2. 06
3. 08
4. 10
......
7. 2012 (Highest Usage Miami Season)

Lebron's top seasons in estimated front-court touches

1. 2006 Lebron
2. 2010 Lebron
3. 2009 Lebron

Read on Twitter


For someone who is considered to have peaked in Miami, he certainly seemed to have the ball in his hands quite a bit less than his Cleveland days. I don't see why if Miami was running, "Lebron Ball," why he would have the ball so much less compared to when he was a worst player.


(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Jordan's 3-Year PS Offensive Load

85-87: 54.5
86-88: 54.2
87-89: 55.6

(Scottie Pippen's Rookie season is in 88)

88-90: 56.2
89-91: 57.7
90-92: 57.6
91-93: 58.2

Notice how in comparison to Lebron, whose offensive load goes down considerably when he pairs up with Wade, MJ's offensive load just continues to rise, even as Pippen enters into his prime. I wonder why that is? MJ didn't change his game nearly as much as Lebron did when paired with a star next to him. Yet, seemingly Lebron is the one criticized for not getting the most out of Wade. I think in reality, Pippen was the kind of star who didn't need to siphon off possessions from MJ to reach as close to his peak offensive impact.


Yep,jordan game barely changed across his prime compared to lebron

And he barely reduced his offense load compared to lebron

If he actually had played with players like wade and kyrie we would have seen his portability as tested as lebron was


Wait, people think LeBron played off the ball more than Jordan in the title years because of usage percentage ? Lmao.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#331 » by falcolombardi » Wed Aug 17, 2022 3:03 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:
(An estimate of the number of a player a player is “directly involved” in on offense every 100 possessions)

Jordan's 3-Year PS Offensive Load

85-87: 54.5
86-88: 54.2
87-89: 55.6

(Scottie Pippen's Rookie season is in 88)

88-90: 56.2
89-91: 57.7
90-92: 57.6
91-93: 58.2

Notice how in comparison to Lebron, whose offensive load goes down considerably when he pairs up with Wade, MJ's offensive load just continues to rise, even as Pippen enters into his prime. I wonder why that is? MJ didn't change his game nearly as much as Lebron did when paired with a star next to him. Yet, seemingly Lebron is the one criticized for not getting the most out of Wade. I think in reality, Pippen was the kind of star who didn't need to siphon off possessions from MJ to reach as close to his peak offensive impact.


Yep,jordan game barely changed across his prime compared to lebron

And he barely reduced his offense load compared to lebron

If he actually had played with players like wade and kyrie we would have seen his portability as tested as lebron was


Wait, people think LeBron played off the ball more than Jordan in the title years because of usage percentage ? Lmao.


Neither of us said that at any part of our comments
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#332 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Aug 17, 2022 4:00 am

falcolombardi wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Yep,jordan game barely changed across his prime compared to lebron

And he barely reduced his offense load compared to lebron

If he actually had played with players like wade and kyrie we would have seen his portability as tested as lebron was


Wait, people think LeBron played off the ball more than Jordan in the title years because of usage percentage ? Lmao.


Neither of us said that at any part of our comments


Then how did LeBron's game change(cleveland to MIA) vs Jordan's (pre and post retirement). Jordan and LeBron both went through the phase of ball dominant, dribble penetration centric offense into moving more off the ball and working the post game more as they transitioned into better teams. There is no way anyone here is going to argue that LeBron spent more time in the post or off the ball and less on the ball dribbling than Jordan did, right?

I'm confused as hell. The first year in Miami was probably the year that LeBron gave up the most primacy and deferred to play off the ball more, it ended in catastrophe and the team never finding its groove until it shifted back to more LeBron ball.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#333 » by falcolombardi » Wed Aug 17, 2022 4:08 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
Wait, people think LeBron played off the ball more than Jordan in the title years because of usage percentage ? Lmao.


Neither of us said that at any part of our comments


Then how did LeBron's game change(cleveland to MIA) vs Jordan's (pre and post retirement). Jordan and LeBron both went through the phase of ball dominant, dribble penetration centric offense into moving more off the ball and working the post game more as they transitioned into better teams. There is no way anyone here is going to argue that LeBron spent more time in the post or off the ball and less on the ball dribbling than Jordan did, right?

I'm confused as hell. The first year in Miami was probably the year that LeBron gave up the most primacy and deferred to play off the ball more, it ended in catastrophe and the team never finding its groove until it shifted back to more LeBron ball.


Gave up the most primacy? Yes, in the sense he had a 1a/1b approach where wade had the ball and took shots as much as him

Played more off ball? Not quite

2011 miami essentially had a dueling banjos set up where wade and lebron took turns doing the same thinghs they did before teaming up while the other got out of the way (less effectively than in cleveland in lebron case as he lost quickness going to miami and had weaker spacing)

The team became more lebron centric in 2012 vs the 1A/1B approach 2011. But also had lebron play a less "ball hogging" style and doing more thinghs that driving and isos (more cuts, more post ups, more screening).
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#334 » by LukaTheGOAT » Wed Aug 17, 2022 11:34 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:These are minute based, and not possession based, right?


If you are referring to the offensive load measurement, it is an estimate per 100 possessions.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#335 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Aug 17, 2022 11:38 am

LukaTheGOAT wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:These are minute based, and not possession based, right?


If you are referring to the offensive load measurement, it is an estimate per 100 possessions.


I was talking about the +/-. As it would make more sense to me to see them normalized to a specific number of possessions, as being +10 in a league where the average is 90 PPG is different than being +10 in a league with 110 ppg average or example, and this goes from the mid 80's to the 2020's which has a wide range of pace and per game averages.
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Re: 5 year plus-minus of various all-time nba peaks(Feat. Shaq, Lebron, Jordan, Robinson and Curry) 

Post#336 » by OhayoKD » Fri Aug 26, 2022 9:20 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
Wait, people think LeBron played off the ball more than Jordan in the title years because of usage percentage ? Lmao.


Neither of us said that at any part of our comments


Then how did LeBron's game change(cleveland to MIA) vs Jordan's (pre and post retirement). Jordan and LeBron both went through the phase of ball dominant, dribble penetration centric offense into moving more off the ball and working the post game more as they transitioned into better teams. There is no way anyone here is going to argue that LeBron spent more time in the post or off the ball and less on the ball dribbling than Jordan did, right?

I'm confused as hell. The first year in Miami was probably the year that LeBron gave up the most primacy and deferred to play off the ball more, it ended in catastrophe and the team never finding its groove until it shifted back to more LeBron ball.

Jordan's ball-handling role did drop a bunch in the 91 playoffs....but so did his effiency as a scorer, a playmaker, and as a ball handler despite playing much weaker defenses.
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL

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