Wall_To_Clips wrote:MagicMatic wrote:jasonxxx102 wrote:
The benefit is to be able to develop these kids a year sooner under your own staff and of course they bring revenue into the NBA and not the NCAA.
To flip the question back to you, what is the downside to lowering the age for the league?
Harder to evaluate talent. More busts.
Imagine drafting Jaden Hardy or Emoni Bates with a top 3 pick in the last draft. Teams were able to accurately evaluate them last season.
Better follow up question, how many 18-19 year old rookies are actually massively contributing year to year on their respective teams? Maybe 3-5% of all drafted players per year?
There is a better argument against it.
That’s misleading. Better question is how many rookies PERIOD contribute “massively” year to year? Very few. Rookies rarely have big impact day one whether they are 17 or 22. The idea of “NBA ready” is a myth for the most part.
It’s an arbitrary thing, with tons of variables. For example are you sure Bird and Magic wouldn’t have also dominated right out of HS?
Rookies tend to need 2-3 seasons to become higher impact unless you’re HOF level like LeBron, Duncan, Bird, Luka etc.
Do you believe that the more recent drafts had any less busts, or were better than the 95-2005 drafts (or whatever the exact years were)?
I personally rank the 2018 draft up there with the best ones ever, but outside of that, no incredible draft classes lately IMO. 2021 and 2022 were hyped forever and didn’t deliver much IMO for example.
Right, so what is the drawback to having newly drafted 18 year old rookies play with their teams g-league roster for 1 season before throwing them into starter minutes? It benefits the player and the g-league more than the owners. It also gives teams more time to craft rosters. Nobody is advocating to take their pay or treat them like college players.
Every draft is different. Some have a huge amount of busts and some do not. Even the guys that become "great" take 2-3 seasons before really accomplishing anything regardless.
Like a previous poster stated, this is all something the NBA is probably discussing.