shakes0 wrote:Roger Murdock wrote:What’s great is a lot of this is just how you feel about the players
Ja is the ‘safe’ pick at 3 but his play style is reckless and his impact on winning might be a little overrated given how the Grizzlies were better without him, but he’s clearly already a superstar talent and one of the most fun Players I’ve ever seen in the NBA
I think he can be argued as high as 2. I also think you can argue him quiet a bit lower based on player archetype and injury concerns
Guys like Cade, Barnes, Edwards, Mobley, Garland etc have tons of wiggle room too.
I truly, genuinely believe in Garland and would put him third. I think he’s wildly underrated and has the winning player archetype. I think he’s 85% Nash 85% Curry. I’ve been buying all his stock since he’s as Vandy and I’m gonna keep buying more. I think he’s a sneaky dark horse MVP candidate one day the same way Nash and Curry came outta nowhere to win. I love his game and think he’s big time and the kind of guy who will keep growing exponentially
what puts Garland ahead of Trae for you? He's never had as good a season as Trae, they play the same position and they are both terrible defenders. So how do you justify Garland at 3rd yet you don't even mention Trae anywhere in your post?
Nothing against Trae as I’d have him 4 behind Luka/Tatum/Garland and I completely agree that Trae has been a better player thus far. Ultimately it comes down to a gut feel about Garland being special more than anything as well as some differences in their play styles that I think will allow Garland to blossom into a more dangerous weapon because of his offball game. For a more detailed rational here are my thoughts…
Garland is much better at defense. I think categorizing them as ‘both terrible’ sort of buries the point and is intentionally misleading. This is something I got on Cavs fans for years when they called Sexton ‘a similar player to Mitchell and McCollom’… having similar strengths and weaknesses doesn’t make you a similar player. A student who gets Bs in Math and Science and Cs in English and History isn’t the same type of student as someone who gets As in Math and Science and Bs in English and History even though their strengths and weaknesses are similar. So Garland might be a below average defensively but Trae is probably the worst starting defensive guard in the NBA. Garland is a C level defender who might become a B level defender. Trae is an F level defender who might become a C level one.
Garland is also elite offball and should get a lot of opportunities to shine doing that this year for Cleveland now that we unloaded Sexton and got better passers and dribbles. I’m also a huge believer in Young as offball player but I’m unsure if he will get an opportunity to do that and he has historically had the ball for 50%+ of Hawks possessions. This is primarily a player development thing and I’m concerned the Hawks are going too far down a one man army approach which I think curbs a teams development. I want to see how the trade impacts their back court because Trae playing more offball is going to be an enormous unlock if they go for it. If they don’t I will be tremendously disappointed in Hawks leadership.
Essentially it’s a few things:
1. I trust the development path Garland is on more than Traes because I am concerned the Hawks are reenforcing bad habits that will be hard to break and think the ISO/hero all limits a teams ceiling and I think the Cavs are highly prioritizing a more team based approach that will allow Garland to shine offball
2. Garland is an acceptable level defender
3. Everything I see about Garland as a person makes me believe in him as a long term prospect
Nothing anti Trae at all I think he’s the safest pick at 3 and realize my views take projection/extrapolation into account.