Glad to see Gilmore finally making the list
1. 1971/72 Walt Frazier HM: 1970/71, 1972/73
Walt Frazier is certainly among the greatest defensive guards the league has ever seen. He was well known for his ability to steal the ball, but I'd argue that his man defense and versatility were just as important. Some people view him as a gambler, but he was the key factor of Knicks trapping defense and despite taking a lot of risks, he made surprisingly few mistakes per attempts.
I think what's misunderstood is how outstanding he was on offensive end though. If you ever found any time to watch prime Frazier games, you'll see the master of midrange game in action. Frazier's big frame in combination with his footwork, variety of fakes and shooting touch made him almost impossible to guard in midrange area. Not to mention that he was a criminally underrated ball-handler that could abuse smaller defenders down low and outquick bigger ones in switches with surprising speed.
This highlight reel from one game that I made a few years ago shows nicely who Frazier was at his peak - crafty midrange beast with strong ability to draw fouls and just an amazing defender on the other side of the court:
To be honest, I'd put him ahead of Penny, but it's not a crime that Hardaway went in before him.
2. 1973/74 Bob Lanier HM: 1974/75
I decided to go with Lanier among the rest of centers competing for the spot here. I don't think anyone will disagree that Lanier is clearly the best offensive center among this next tier of Thurmond/Reed/Cowens/Mutombo/Mourninig/Gobert. The man was an absurd scorer with very versatile skillset. He was one of the best low post scorers ever, but he could also spread out the offense with his efficient jumpshot and he's a nice passer who could be used as a hub. On top of that, he's one of the very few stars in NBA history that improved their offensive production in the postseason - and Pistons usually faced strong competition because of the low seeds:
1974-76 Lanier: 24.3 pp75 on +8.0 rTS%
1975-77 Lanier: 24.5 pp75 on +10.7 rTS%
The one concern people have with him is his defense, but I don't think it's too problematic in his best years. I spent some time analyzing Lanier's teams stats with and without him in the second part of the 1970s. He came out fantastic (as WOWY stats show). I'm also starting to believe that his defense is undervalued due to his teams being consistently poor on that end:
1976 Pistons with Lanier: 106.8 points allowed (+3.2 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
1976 Pistons without Lanier: 103.5 points allowed (-0.1 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
3.3 worse
1977 Pistons with Lanier: 109.8 points allowed (+1.4 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
1977 Pistons without Lanier: 112.7 points allowed (+4.1 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
2.9 better
1978 Pistons with Lanier: 108.2 points allowed (-0.4 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
1978 Pistons without Lanier: 116.9 points allowed (+7.6 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
8.7 better
1979 Pistons with Lanier: 111.7 points allowed (+0.4 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
1979 Pistons without Lanier: 114.6 points allowed (+3.1 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
2.9 better
1980 Pistons with Lanier: 114.4 points allowed (+1.5 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
1980 Pistons without Lanier: 119.5 points allowed (+6.3 rDRtg assuming the same pace)
4.8 better
Lanier consistently made Pistons team better defensively (outside of 1976). In fact, Pistons were around average with Lanier in that period and absolutely terrible without him (again, assuming pace stays the same without Lanier). Granted, it's a rough estimate but I don't think we should count Pistons defensive weakness against Lanier. His overall impact was undeniable though:
trex_8063 wrote:And though I didn't quote it here to keep the length down, Owly also presented some data pertaining to Lanier's impact. I'll present my own [more coarse] findings in WOWY (with a few different means of looking at '80):
With/Without Records/Wins added per season (pro-rated to 82 games)
‘75: 39-37 (.513) with Lanier, 1-5 (.167) without him/+28.4 wins
‘76: 30-34 (.469) with Lanier, 6-12 (.333) without him/+11.1 wins
‘77: 38-26 (.594) with Lanier, 6-12 (.333) without him/+21.4 wins
‘78: 31-32 (.492) with Lanier, 7-12 (.368) without him/+10.2 wins
‘79: 21-32 (396) with Lanier, 9-20 (.310) without him/+7.1 wins
‘80 Pistons: 9-28 (.243) with Lanier, 5-12 (.294) without
‘80 Pistons overall before trade (for Kent Benson): 14-40 (.259)
‘80 Pistons after trade: 2-26 (.071)
‘80 Bucks before obtaining Lanier: 29-27 (.518)
‘80 Bucks after obtaining Lanier: 20-6 (.769) (Lanier played all 26 games)
*‘81: 48/49-18/19 with Lanier, *11/12-3/4 without him
*he actually played 67 games, but game log data only recording 66 (48-18); is possible [likely] they won they other game he played in, making the with record 49-18 (.731) and 11-4 (.733) without. Would be -0.1 wins added in that instance.
‘82: 53-21 (.716) with Lanier, 2-6 (.250) without him/+38.2 wins
The above data spans eight years, SIX different head coaches, and a fair amount of supporting cast turnover.
So one way are another, Lanier's impact appears to have been pretty consistently substantial in nature (and was so across multiple settings). And while Lanier's lack of All-NBA honors will work against him for some people, I'd caution against thinking that this means he was scarcely ever a top 5-10 player: he finished 3rd in the MVP vote in '74, 4th in '77 (POST-merger), and had TWO other top 10 finishes, and received at least slight MVP consideration in a total SEVEN seasons.
Personally, I could even go with 1976 or 1977, but he missed too many games in the RS to put him ahead of his best defensive season.
3. 1968/69 Willis Reed HM: 1969/70
Reed lost the battle barely against Lanier. I get that his boxscore production isn't the greatest, but we should consider that he did that under Holzman system that is well known for lowering the individual production, he wasn't a high volume iso scorer who ate shotclock in the post. He was extremely versatile scorer, capable of playing off-ball both as a rim runner and shooter (even used off the screens). He could bang up down low, but could also play more perimeter oriented basketball.
I also like how he scaled up his production against the toughest assignments. His overall postseason numbers are quite spectacular considering the competition faced. In 1967-70 period, Reed faced teams all-defensive level centers in all of his postseason series:
1967 ECSF vs Celtics - Russell
1968 ECSF vs 76ers - Wilt
1969 ECSF vs Bullets - Unseld
1969 ECF vs Celtics - Russell
1970 ECSF vs Bullets - Unseld
1970 ECF vs Bucks - Kareem
1970 Finals vs Lakers - Wilt
Results: 24.2 ppg on +4.0 rTS% (actually 25.3 ppg if we exclude games 5-7 of the 1970 finals). If we go with more contextualized numbers, here is his three year run:
1967-69 Reed: 22.7 pp75 on +8.6 rTS%
1968-70 Reed: 22.0 pp75 on +4.9 rTS%
Considering his style of play, the competition faced and his defensive impact, I think these numbers put him among the best candidates here. Like Lanier, he consistently outperformed his RS self and unlike Lanier, he proved his quality in significantly bigger sample.
On defense, Reed was very active, if slightly undersized center, who was a key for Knicks trap defense. He was quite willing to go outside and help his perimeter teammates outside. His athleticism is often underappreciated as well, he could move quite quick laterally despite his built and he wasn't a poor leaper either. The main weakness is his size - he just didn't have enough length to protect the paint on elite level. That's the only thing that separates him from Mourning defensively to me.
His post defense is also quite Mourning esque - he was very physical and strong, but his lack of size didn't allow him to really shut down his bigger opponents. He had considerable success against injured Wilt in 1970 finals, but as I got more footage from that series (and right now I have a lot of footage from games 3-7), I see that outside of a few successful possessions, Wilt usually did well on him in post up situations. That also limited his effectiveness against much taller Kareem.
HM: Russell Westbrook, Elgin Baylor, Kevin McHale, Nate Thurmond, Alonzo Mourning, Dikembe Mutombo