People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind?

Moderators: trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal, Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ

VanWest82
RealGM
Posts: 19,587
And1: 18,105
Joined: Dec 05, 2008

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#881 » by VanWest82 » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:27 am

falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Not comparable, better*. By a decent margin over their full primes (+10.2 vs +8.2)

I dont downplay the difference in records vs east and west. It just is that small, you can run the math and will find that it never leads to more than 1-2 extra expected wins to be in the east

I haven't looked but I'm willing to guess that if they're somewhat normally distributed an outsized effect is felt at the poles which manifests in much tougher playoff opponents than what you're leading everyone to believe by sloughing it off as 1-2 wins.

Also, Jordan's late 80s years would likely be over-represented in that "full primes" sample compared to Lebron who played on way more offensively stacked rosters just by playing longer and therefore being able to "stack the deck" more times in his free agency years. What does it look like if we just compare 90s Bulls to 2010s Lebron teams? Bet it's reasonably close.


Stacked decks as 2009, 2010, 2015 (since we are talking playoffs), 2018 ?

Then rosters like 2014 (post wade injury) and 2020 (weak -offensive- talent outside of davis) are not really better than somethingh like pippen/grant or pippen/kukok/rodman (yes, rodman)

Lebron best rosters on his prime had great scorers but not always depth (2011) or spacing (2012,2020).

Jordan teams arguably had better spacing on average relative to era and goat level offensive rebounding front courts, And with the exception of wade 2011-2012 better passers/creators too

Jordan offensive help is honestly very underated because his teammates strenghts were not volume scoring.

90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and a bunch of old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,562
And1: 7,164
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#882 » by falcolombardi » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:29 am

VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:I haven't looked but I'm willing to guess that if they're somewhat normally distributed an outsized effect is felt at the poles which manifests in much tougher playoff opponents than what you're leading everyone to believe by sloughing it off as 1-2 wins.

Also, Jordan's late 80s years would likely be over-represented in that "full primes" sample compared to Lebron who played on way more offensively stacked rosters just by playing longer and therefore being able to "stack the deck" more times in his free agency years. What does it look like if we just compare 90s Bulls to 2010s Lebron teams? Bet it's reasonably close.


Stacked decks as 2009, 2010, 2015 (since we are talking playoffs), 2018 ?

Then rosters like 2014 (post wade injury) and 2020 (weak -offensive- talent outside of davis) are not really better than somethingh like pippen/grant or pippen/kukok/rodman (yes, rodman)

Lebron best rosters on his prime had great scorers but not always depth (2011) or spacing (2012,2020).

Jordan teams arguably had better spacing on average relative to era and goat level offensive rebounding front courts, And with the exception of wade 2011-2012 better passers/creators too

Jordan offensive help is honestly very underated because his teammates strenghts were not volume scoring.

90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.


One bad game from pippen = wade having no legs from injury the whole 2013 post season?

93 pippen and horace being disengaged = kyrie amd love being literally out of the playoffs?

Those really are equivalent thinghs to you?

Why didnt you also mention the year before 95 when thwy won 50 games and took the finalist knicks to seven or that in 95 they were missing horace grant too? And then in 96 added not only jordan but rodman too?
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,562
And1: 7,164
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#883 » by falcolombardi » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:37 am

VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:Right. Basically, Lebron had to coast in the regular season the second half of his career to lead postseason offenses that were comparable to MJ's after MJ had gone full out all season long. Every postseason Lebron run post 2013 needs to be qualified by this fact, let alone the East vs. West thing which was definitely a thing despite attempts to downplay that fact.


Not comparable, better*. By a decent margin over their full primes (+10.2 vs +8.2)

I dont downplay the difference in records vs east and west. It just is that small, you can run the math and will find that it never leads to more than 1-2 extra expected wins to be in the east

I haven't looked but I'm willing to guess that if they're somewhat normally distributed an outsized effect is felt at the poles which manifests in much tougher playoff opponents than what you're leading everyone to believe by sloughing it off as 1-2 wins.

Also, Jordan's late 80s years would likely be over-represented in that "full primes" sample compared to Lebron who played on way more offensively stacked rosters just by playing longer and therefore being able to "stack the deck" more times in his free agency years. What does it look like if we just compare 90s Bulls to 2010s Lebron teams? Bet it's reasonably close.


1991CHI +11.7
1993CHI +9.8
1996CHI +8.6
1998CHI +6.5
1992CHI +6.5
1997CHI +6.0
1995CHI +4.6
1990CHI +4.0

Average= 7.2

2017CLE +13.7
2016CLE +12.5
2014MIA +10.6
2012MIA +8.8
2013MIA +7.2
2015CLE +5.5
2011MIA +4.7
2018CLE +4.0

Average= 8.4

It actually gets wider if i include late 80's jordan vs late 2000's pre miami lebron too, and there is no way it can be said those cavs were offensively stacked...

By every stretch of postseason samples you look at (best 1 year peak, best 3 years, best 5, best 7, best 10, 90's vs 2010's, 80's vs 2000's) lebron postseason offense will be comfortably a notch ahead
VanWest82
RealGM
Posts: 19,587
And1: 18,105
Joined: Dec 05, 2008

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#884 » by VanWest82 » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:45 am

falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Stacked decks as 2009, 2010, 2015 (since we are talking playoffs), 2018 ?

Then rosters like 2014 (post wade injury) and 2020 (weak -offensive- talent outside of davis) are not really better than somethingh like pippen/grant or pippen/kukok/rodman (yes, rodman)

Lebron best rosters on his prime had great scorers but not always depth (2011) or spacing (2012,2020).

Jordan teams arguably had better spacing on average relative to era and goat level offensive rebounding front courts, And with the exception of wade 2011-2012 better passers/creators too

Jordan offensive help is honestly very underated because his teammates strenghts were not volume scoring.

90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.


1 bad game from pippen = wade having no legs from injury the whole 2013 post season?

93 pippen and horace being disengaged = kyrie amd love being literally out of the playoffs?

Those are equivalent thinghs to you?

Why didnt you also mention the year before 95 when thwy won 50 games and took the finalist knicks to seven or that in 95 they were missing horace grant?

Yes, I did say that 95 Bulls had zero inside presence. Thank you for acknowledging that fact. So Love missing 2015 is kind of like no Horace (or anyone good).

And Scottie and Horace were brutal in the 90 ECF. It wasn't one game.

Too bad MJ didn't have 2011 Wade or 2020 AD to carry his ass. Or 2016 Kyrie to outplay the MVP H2H.

And LOL @ listing Rodman as an offensive plus. You're aware Bulls had to bring him off the bench in 98? Or that Bulls had good spacing in those years starting three non-shooters?
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 11,477
And1: 18,874
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#885 » by homecourtloss » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:46 am

falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Not comparable, better*. By a decent margin over their full primes (+10.2 vs +8.2)

I dont downplay the difference in records vs east and west. It just is that small, you can run the math and will find that it never leads to more than 1-2 extra expected wins to be in the east

I haven't looked but I'm willing to guess that if they're somewhat normally distributed an outsized effect is felt at the poles which manifests in much tougher playoff opponents than what you're leading everyone to believe by sloughing it off as 1-2 wins.

Also, Jordan's late 80s years would likely be over-represented in that "full primes" sample compared to Lebron who played on way more offensively stacked rosters just by playing longer and therefore being able to "stack the deck" more times in his free agency years. What does it look like if we just compare 90s Bulls to 2010s Lebron teams? Bet it's reasonably close.


1991CHI +11.7
1993CHI +9.8
1996CHI +8.6
1998CHI +6.5
1992CHI +6.5
1997CHI +6.0
1995CHI +4.6
1990CHI +4.0

Average= 7.2

2017CLE +13.7
2016CLE +12.5
2014MIA +10.6
2012MIA +8.8
2013MIA +7.2
2015CLE +5.5
2011MIA +4.7
2018CLE +4.0

Average= 8.4

It actually gets wider if i include late 80's jordan vs late 2000's pre miami lebron too, and there is no way it can be said those cavs were offensively stacked...

By every stretch of postseason samples you look at (best 1 year peak, best 3 years, best 5, best 7, best 10, 90's vs 2010's, 80's vs 2000's) lebron postseason offense will be comfortably a notch ahead
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#886 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:48 am

VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:I haven't looked but I'm willing to guess that if they're somewhat normally distributed an outsized effect is felt at the poles which manifests in much tougher playoff opponents than what you're leading everyone to believe by sloughing it off as 1-2 wins.

Also, Jordan's late 80s years would likely be over-represented in that "full primes" sample compared to Lebron who played on way more offensively stacked rosters just by playing longer and therefore being able to "stack the deck" more times in his free agency years. What does it look like if we just compare 90s Bulls to 2010s Lebron teams? Bet it's reasonably close.


Stacked decks as 2009, 2010, 2015 (since we are talking playoffs), 2018 ?

Then rosters like 2014 (post wade injury) and 2020 (weak -offensive- talent outside of davis) are not really better than somethingh like pippen/grant or pippen/kukok/rodman (yes, rodman)

Lebron best rosters on his prime had great scorers but not always depth (2011) or spacing (2012,2020).

Jordan teams arguably had better spacing on average relative to era and goat level offensive rebounding front courts, And with the exception of wade 2011-2012 better passers/creators too

Jordan offensive help is honestly very underated because his teammates strenghts were not volume scoring.

90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and a bunch of old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.

The 84 bulls record is identical with that of the lebron-less cavs that beat a 73 win team, and swept a 60 win win team without lebron's 2 best teammates

Jordan led offense was average in the regular season till phil jackson came

And the second stint cav playoff offenses were better than those of the bulls.

You understand that stating something as if it was a fact does not make it true?
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,562
And1: 7,164
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#887 » by falcolombardi » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:49 am

VanWest82 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.


1 bad game from pippen = wade having no legs from injury the whole 2013 post season?

93 pippen and horace being disengaged = kyrie amd love being literally out of the playoffs?

Those are equivalent thinghs to you?

Why didnt you also mention the year before 95 when thwy won 50 games and took the finalist knicks to seven or that in 95 they were missing horace grant?

Yes, I did say that 95 Bulls had zero inside presence. Thank you for acknowledging that fact. So Love missing 2015 is kind of like no Horace (or anyone good).

And Scottie and Horace were brutal in the 90 ECF. It wasn't one game.

Too bad MJ didn't have 2011 Wade or 2020 AD to carry his ass. Or 2016 Kyrie to outplay the MVP H2H.

And LOL @ listing Rodman as an offensive plus. You're aware Bulls had to bring him off the bench in 98? Or that Bulls had good spacing in those years starting three non-shooters?


The fact you dont think rodman was a offense plus for that era and team makes mw think you dont realize how much of bulls offense was good due to their offensive rebounding and how important rodman (and to smaller extents pippen and horace) were for their offense because of that offensive rebounding

And on the same vein, how era rules created spacing for bulls non-shooting lineups so they could get away with playing all those great defending and rebounding non-shooters without sacrificing spacing in a way lebron teams couldnt get away with due to ruleset difference

I dont mean this to be a smart ass but you probably should reanalize/rewatch those chicago teams again since you are missing a lot of what made them great


Too bad MJ didn't have 2011 Wade or 2020 AD to carry his ass


Not even gonna bother here, you and me know you are a better poster than this....
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#888 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 6:57 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:
Djoker wrote:Judging by some of the replies I don't think y'all understood what I was trying to say or maybe I didn't explain it properly. I'm just stating that offense and defense are interconnected to some degree. And obviously not to a ridiculous extent... falcolombardi blew my argument out of proportion with that comparison of Bill Russell's Celtics to Steve Nash's Suns.

Either way, when analyzing Jordan's and Lebron's offenses we see that despite generally superior offensive supporting casts, Lebron put up much worse rORtg in the regular season and only comparable rORtg in the postseason. And the RS data is a much larger sample.

As for 2-3 wins difference between East and West in the Lebron years, that is usually about right. However realize that teams who win 50 games sometimes miss the playoffs out West and finish as a top 4 seed in the East. It's pure naivety to think that the Heat/Cavs playing in the West wouldn't have had a much tougher road.


Agree with all this.
tone wone wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Maybe. But that’s part of the trade off when everybody has to stand at the 3 point line to make space for LeBron to set up and dribble with shooters all over.

Make space for the 40% 3pt shooter and not the SG who made 26 3's combined in 2013 (17) & 2014 (9)???
:banghead:

I'd love to hear more about how Wade molded his game around Lebron


Dwyane Wade took his game off the ball to a much bigger extent in Miami than LeBron did, is that even in question? Rightfully btw, it is clearly the right move, somebody has to give up primacy between those two, and LeBron was bigger, better, and younger and more durable, the logical fit. Both LeBron and Wade have spoken openly about their conversations regarding Wade taking a bigger backseat to allow LeBron and the Heat to flourish.

But yea, the Heat playing Bosh at the 5 and going with another shooter in the front court was very frequent otherwise their offense would stall out and go through struggles (comparatively). The LeBron formula for creating great offenses is dead in the water without sacrificing some size and defensive acumen for shooting and space.


The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?
User avatar
NO-KG-AI
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 44,148
And1: 20,190
Joined: Jul 19, 2005
Location: The city of witch doctors, and good ol' pickpockets

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#889 » by NO-KG-AI » Tue Oct 18, 2022 7:32 am

OhayoKD wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
Djoker wrote:Judging by some of the replies I don't think y'all understood what I was trying to say or maybe I didn't explain it properly. I'm just stating that offense and defense are interconnected to some degree. And obviously not to a ridiculous extent... falcolombardi blew my argument out of proportion with that comparison of Bill Russell's Celtics to Steve Nash's Suns.

Either way, when analyzing Jordan's and Lebron's offenses we see that despite generally superior offensive supporting casts, Lebron put up much worse rORtg in the regular season and only comparable rORtg in the postseason. And the RS data is a much larger sample.

As for 2-3 wins difference between East and West in the Lebron years, that is usually about right. However realize that teams who win 50 games sometimes miss the playoffs out West and finish as a top 4 seed in the East. It's pure naivety to think that the Heat/Cavs playing in the West wouldn't have had a much tougher road.


Agree with all this.
tone wone wrote:Make space for the 40% 3pt shooter and not the SG who made 26 3's combined in 2013 (17) & 2014 (9)???
:banghead:

I'd love to hear more about how Wade molded his game around Lebron


Dwyane Wade took his game off the ball to a much bigger extent in Miami than LeBron did, is that even in question? Rightfully btw, it is clearly the right move, somebody has to give up primacy between those two, and LeBron was bigger, better, and younger and more durable, the logical fit. Both LeBron and Wade have spoken openly about their conversations regarding Wade taking a bigger backseat to allow LeBron and the Heat to flourish.

But yea, the Heat playing Bosh at the 5 and going with another shooter in the front court was very frequent otherwise their offense would stall out and go through struggles (comparatively). The LeBron formula for creating great offenses is dead in the water without sacrificing some size and defensive acumen for shooting and space.


The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?


You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were. You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs? That's not impressive or groundbreaking in comparison to the Bulls title runs I mentioned

The 2020 Lakers that won the title was 11th on offense, how is that all time dominant? or are we going to the tiny bubble sample size where everyone shot out of their minds? If so, the JAzz are the most dominant offense of all time in that playoffs.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster, even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense, and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.


TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket, and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket. And his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple. You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at.... y'all can have this thread. :kiss
Doctor MJ wrote:I don't understand why people jump in a thread and say basically, "This thing you're all talking about. I'm too ignorant to know anything about it. Lollerskates!"
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#890 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 2:53 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were. You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

I'm sorry, "lebron always holding the ball" is why teams were failing in games he didn't even play? The 27 win pace comes from an 82 game sample. I suggest you look at the thread title and tell me where you see "offense". Their holistic value as players has been what people have been arguing, but i suppose it's convenient to run away from that when Jordan lacks any sort of favorable evidence.

Setting that aside, even if we pretend Lebron being consistently more valuable in a variety of contexts(including those without spacing) than jordan has ever been is somehow countered by "well as regular season offensive players", your argument still falls apart because you haven't done any work to actually estbliash how strong the casts were realtive to era. As it is, we know that when neither truly had help, Lebron's offenses were better. The bulls were still average and then jumped to league best without any dsicernible improvement from jordan(that includes effiency). I can't find anything similar with Lebron's casts, but again, why deal with evidence when we can push a narrative?



even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

And you think this is how you assess a supporting cast? What matters is how a team compares to other teams in its era[i]. The 12 heat had horrible spacing [i]relative to era and they were worse than the bulls when we saw them operate on their own against the competitoin of the time. Jordan took a 27 win team and brought it to offensive mediocrity, it was only when phil jackson came, and everyone else scaled up that the bulls started putting notable offensvie results. Which suggests jordan had more help. But again, why deal with evidence when you can push a narrative?

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed.

The only thing that matters here is how the spacing the bulls had compared to the spacing their opponents did and in that regard, the bulls had better shooting. Only three teams in recent history have won titles with bad spacing, one was led by giannis, the other two were led by Lebron. A team's offensive quality is determined by how much better they are than other offenses, and for nearly all of the titles, the bulls had solid to good shooting. But congrats on conveniently ignoring(again) the multiple instances Lebron demonstrated jordan+ value in the absence of spacing. Why deal with evidence when you can push a narrative?

Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

The # of buckets is meaningless in a vacuum. It seems you keep forgetting that a basketball game involves two teams. The 15 cavs may have had more raw shooting than the 91 bulls, but that is worthless when you're playign the 15 warriros as opposed to the 91 Lakers. This is like, the most basic stuff. The quality of an offensive player isn't determined by how many "buckets" they score or create, it's determined by how much better they make their team's offenses relative to other teams. Just like how good a player is, is determined by their ability to affect how good their team is relative to other teams, something jordan gets clobbered in by Lebron(and Russell), while facing all sorts of comparisons to a bunch of other greats including rookie Kareem.

TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket, and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket

TLDR: I don't understand what "relative to era" means

Narrative go brrr
MyUniBroDavis
General Manager
Posts: 7,827
And1: 5,034
Joined: Jan 14, 2013

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#891 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:09 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
Agree with all this.

Dwyane Wade took his game off the ball to a much bigger extent in Miami than LeBron did, is that even in question? Rightfully btw, it is clearly the right move, somebody has to give up primacy between those two, and LeBron was bigger, better, and younger and more durable, the logical fit. Both LeBron and Wade have spoken openly about their conversations regarding Wade taking a bigger backseat to allow LeBron and the Heat to flourish.

But yea, the Heat playing Bosh at the 5 and going with another shooter in the front court was very frequent otherwise their offense would stall out and go through struggles (comparatively). The LeBron formula for creating great offenses is dead in the water without sacrificing some size and defensive acumen for shooting and space.


The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?


You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were. You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs? That's not impressive or groundbreaking in comparison to the Bulls title runs I mentioned

The 2020 Lakers that won the title was 11th on offense, how is that all time dominant? or are we going to the tiny bubble sample size where everyone shot out of their minds? If so, the JAzz are the most dominant offense of all time in that playoffs.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster, even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense, and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.


TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket, and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket. And his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple. You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at.... y'all can have this thread. :kiss



My recollection was the 2020 Lakers had a top 5 offense pre bubble, I feel using the bubble is fine since the Lakers were the one who lost home court

2015/2016/2017/2018 lebron pretty obviously reigned it in during the regular season, 2015 bron obv had injury issues but I their offense was 1st in the games he played, it just was worst in the league level while he was hurt iirc, just checking through.

The playoff offense in 2015 was solid but it’s brought down by the Warriors series, it would have been first otherwise, and it’s hard to knock them for having a poor offense with a team that probably would be the worst offensive team ever without him.

2016 and 2017 they had the best playoff offense ever, 2018 obviously that’s a 20 win roster that went to the finals. My recollection is over the 30 or so games bron missed in his Cleveland tenure they were a bottom tier offensive team, even in the 20 Kyrie or love played, of course the bulls were league average ish

I don’t think it makes sense to compare regular seasons when bron punts the regular season (and it makes no sense for them to try to beat the Warriors record), and made the finals all of those years. I think the league avg off rtg is lower overall from 2015-2018 than 90-93, altho it raised higher 17 and 18.

Of course 2020 their playoff offense was great too, esp since it’s lowered a bit by how bad they were in garbage time, I think handwaving it away because “bubble” is unfair when they lost home court advantage basically, and the Lakers got worse at shooting overall outside of AD and bron. (Most of it was Mitchell and Murray going off anyway). Of course, AD went supernova, but it wasn’t a stacked team offensively outside of those two to be clear, paint was packed constantly. Then AD got hurt in the finals and bron obv hit a different gear

Comparing their playoff offenses, 2015 was great (+7.3 pre finals) untill the finals, but they played without love for most of the playoffs, and in the finals fielded a gleague squad essentially outside of bron, 2016 and 2017 were historic (both the best 2 in history relative to their era for a finals/championship team iirc), 2018 was above average (with a 20 win team), and 2020 they were great, adjust for garbage time and it goes up to 4th ever for a finals or championship team.

So like the results overall

2015 +2.1 (+6 ish pre Kyrie injury, without love ofc)
2016 +8.8 (against strong defensive comp)
2017 +9.0
2018 +0.5 (20 win squad, and vs strong defense)
2020 +5.3 (+7.8 without garbage time)


1989 -2.2 (+1 pre detroit)
1990 +0.5 (+7.3 pre Detroit)
1991 +6.3 (against great D)
1992 +0.8
1993 +5.9

Some of those years Jordan faced some great def competition ofc, but I don’t think it’s leaps and bounds better

Small samples but it’s nearly a whole season for both overall, and the alternative of blaming lebron for not going all out in regular seasons where specifically it would just be stupid for him to do so doesn’t make sense either
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#892 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:19 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?


You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were. You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs? That's not impressive or groundbreaking in comparison to the Bulls title runs I mentioned

The 2020 Lakers that won the title was 11th on offense, how is that all time dominant? or are we going to the tiny bubble sample size where everyone shot out of their minds? If so, the JAzz are the most dominant offense of all time in that playoffs.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster, even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense, and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.


TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket, and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket. And his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple. You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at.... y'all can have this thread. :kiss



My recollection was the 2020 Lakers had a top 5 offense pre bubble, I feel using the bubble is fine since the Lakers were the one who lost home court

2015/2016/2017/2018 lebron pretty obviously reigned it in during the regular season, 2015 bron obv had injury issues but I their offense was 1st in the games he played, it just was worst in the league level while he was hurt iirc, just checking through.

2016 and 2017 they had the best playoff offense ever, 2018 obviously that’s a 20 win roster that went to the finals. My recollection is over the 30 or so games bron missed in his Cleveland tenure they were a bottom tier offensive team, even in the 20 Kyrie or love played, of course the bulls were league average ish

So he was more valuable than Jordan on offense, in the regular season?
Welp...

I don’t think it makes sense to compare regular seasons when bron punts the regular season (and it makes no sense for them to try to beat the Warriors record), and made the finals all of those years

The funniest part is that most of the evidence we have suggests he was still the more valuable regular season player. And if what you're sayign is true, I don't even need to bring out the defensive ****. Daaamn bruh

But the narrative goes brrr
AEnigma
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,130
And1: 5,976
Joined: Jul 24, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#893 » by AEnigma » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:20 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Agree with all this.

Dwyane Wade took his game off the ball to a much bigger extent in Miami than LeBron did, is that even in question? Rightfully btw, it is clearly the right move, somebody has to give up primacy between those two, and LeBron was bigger, better, and younger and more durable, the logical fit. Both LeBron and Wade have spoken openly about their conversations regarding Wade taking a bigger backseat to allow LeBron and the Heat to flourish.

But yea, the Heat playing Bosh at the 5 and going with another shooter in the front court was very frequent otherwise their offense would stall out and go through struggles (comparatively). The LeBron formula for creating great offenses is dead in the water without sacrificing some size and defensive acumen for shooting and space.


The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?


You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were.

And as we all know, the sole marker of offensive talent is how many points you can put up by yourself.

You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

… But he was not always there. He missed time, he left otherwise intact teams, he staggered with his costars (more than Jordan ever did with Pippen)… and the results paint a pretty clear picture over a large sample of time.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense

The team that was 12.4 points better on offence with Lebron?
and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs?

:roll:
Ah I guess sample size and defensive opposition stops mattering the second it becomes inconvenient to Jordan’s deification narrative.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

And were a +9.9 relative offence with Lebron on the court.

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster

His teams certainly were better than Lebron’s, but I thought we were comparing individual impact, no?

even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

Yet weirdly enough, they generally struggled to generate offence without Lebron on the court. Hm, it is almost as if isolation scoring itself does not inherently drive good offence. Which you would know if you paid any attention to Jordan’s teams before 1990.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

Do you think league offensive rating has just risen linearly every year.

Fun fact: league average rating for Lebron’s career until 2017 was lower than it was for Jordan’s career. Despite spacing improvements. How strange.

And since these are league relative offensive comparisons, yes, it does matter that relative to his own league, Jordan had comparatively more space to work with than Lebron did. Even if in an absolute sense Lebron’s era was more spaced out, evolutions in defence did not guarantee that made life easy. If you ever bothered to think about this for more than half a second, you probably could have figured that out by just remembering that 2002-04 had more “space” than most of Jordan’s career, yet scoring was still in a miserable state because defences were far less restrained.

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense

Cool, most of us are perfectly fine analysing Lebron’s offences before that jump.

and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.

And why did those “abilities” not do anything for him in 1988 and 1989. So so so very strange how these oh so untalented offensive teammates were the ones who correlated best with the Bulls’ offensive evolution. And similarly strange how there were significant declines every time Pippen was diminished or injured.

TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket,

Famously basketball is just about stacking isolation scorers. That is why the 1969 Lakers blew away the 1969 Celtics and why the 1977 76ers blew away the 1977 Blazers.

Jordan stans, man. Would be nice if you ever showed some real interest in the sport.

and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket.

So easy, that is why until 2017 the league struggled to do it more than it did during Jordan’s era.

his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple.

Except they have. The stipulation is just that Lebron needs to be on the court for them to do so.

You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at....

True!

2009: +13 net offensive impact to team, +7.3 on-court offence relative to league
2010: +15.3 net offensive impact to team, +8.2 on-court offence relative to league
2011: +4.6 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league
2012: +12.4 net offensive impact to team, +5.9 on-court offence relative to league
2013: +11.9 net offensive impact to team, +10.7 on-court offence relative to league
2014: +9 net offensive impact to team, +7.1 on-court offence relative to league
2015: +13.6 net offensive impact to team, +9.9 on-court offence relative to league
2016: +12.6 net offensive impact to team, +9 on-court offence relative to league
2017: +14.8 net offensive impact to team, +9.6 on-court offence relative to league
2018: +7.9 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league

Wow, look at that, a decade of offensive dominance in the regular season. I sure am glad I did not pretend that Lebron played every minute and was solely responsible for how his team performed while he was on the bench.

y'all can have this thread. :kiss

Yeah because it turns out when confronted with data that spits all over the common mythos, Jordan stans immediately need to flee the area.
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,562
And1: 7,164
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#894 » by falcolombardi » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:25 pm

I forgot to add this. The 94 bulls were a +11 offense in the playoffs without jordan, including a +8 offense against the league best defense knicks

Tiny sample size of only 2 series but that doesnt sound like what a offensively inept team could do without their superstar, to say the least
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,562
And1: 7,164
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#895 » by falcolombardi » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:33 pm

AEnigma wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
The 2012 heat had worse space and shooting(relative to era) and went +14 in the games lebron, wade and bosh all played.
The 2020 Lakers had worse space and shooting relative to era and were all-time dominant
The 2015 kyrie-less love-less Cavs had worse space and shooting relative to era without kyrie and love and still were as good as the 88-90 bulls

You know what every team i just listed has in common? They all capped out at a 40 win pace without lebron. The cavs*with kyrie and love) capped at a 30 win pace. The bulls were a 30 win cast in 84 before getting better, ascended from average to "league best" as jordan's effiency, volume, and impact data plateued or declined across the board(regular season or postseason), and were a 55 win team without jordan sweeping a 48 win team in the first round and taking the 61 knicks to 7.

But why use evidence when you can push a baseless narrative?


You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were.

And as we all know, the sole marker of offensive talent is how many points you can put up by yourself.

You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

… But he was not always there. He missed time, he left otherwise intact teams, he staggered with his costars (more than Jordan ever did with Pippen)… and the results paint a pretty clear picture over a large sample of time.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense

The team that was 12.4 points better on offence with Lebron?
and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs?

:roll:
Ah I guess sample size and defensive opposition stops mattering the second it becomes inconvenient to Jordan’s deification narrative.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

And were a +9.9 relative offence with Lebron on the court.

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster

His teams certainly were better than Lebron’s, but I thought we were comparing individual impact, no?

even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

Yet weirdly enough, they generally struggled to generate offence without Lebron on the court. Hm, it is almost as if isolation scoring itself does not inherently drive good offence. Which you would know of you paid any attention to Jordan’s teams before 1990.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

Do you think league offensive rating has just risen linearly every year.

Fun fact: league average rating for Lebron’s career until 2017 was lower than it was for Jordan’s career. Despite spacing improvements. How strange.

And since these are league relative offensive comparisons, yes, it does matter that relative to his own league, Jordan had comparatively more space to work with than Lebron did. Even if in an absolute sense Lebron’s era was more spaced out, evolutions in defence did not guarantee that made life easy. If you ever bothered to think about this for more than half a second, you probably could have figured that out by just remembering that 2002-04 had more “space” than most of Jordan’s career, yet scoring was still in a miserable state because defences were far less restrained.

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense

Cool, most of us are perfectly fine analysing Lebron’s offences before that jump.

and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.

And why did those “abilities” not do anything for him in 1988 and 1989. So so so very strange how these oh so untalented offensive teammates were the ones who correlated best with the Bulls’ offensive evolution. And similarly strange how there were significant declines every time Pippen was diminished or injured.

TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket,

Famously basketball is just about stacking isolation scorers. That is why the 1969 Lakers blew away they 1969 Celtics and why the 1977 76ers blew away the 1977 Blazers.

Jordan stans, man. Would be nice if you ever showed some real interest in the sport.

and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket.

So easy, that is why until 2017 the league struggled to do it more than it did during Jordan’s era.

his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple.

Except they have. The stipulation is just that Lebron needs to be on the court for them to do so.

You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at....

True!

2009: +13 net offensive impact to team, +7.3 on-court offence relative to league
2010: +15.3 net offensive impact to team, +8.2 on-court offence relative to league
2011: +4.6 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league
2012: +12.4 net offensive impact to team, +5.9 on-court offence relative to league
2013: +11.9 net offensive impact to team, +10.7 on-court offence relative to league
2014: +9 net offensive impact to team, +7.1 on-court offence relative to league
2015: +13.6 net offensive impact to team, +9.9 on-court offence relative to league
2016: +12.6 net offensive impact to team, +9 on-court offence relative to league
2017: +14.8 net offensive impact to team, +9.6 on-court offence relative to league
2018: +7.9 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league

Wow, look at that, a decade of offensive dominance in the regular season. I sure am glad I did not pretend that Lebron played every minute and was solely responsible for how his team performed while he was on the bench.

y'all can have this thread. :kiss

Yeah because it turns out when confronted with data that spits all over the common mythos, Jordan stans immediately need to flee the area.


Also lets not forget that illegal Defense rules created a lot of spacing in jordan era even if there was strictly less shooting

Is why it was only until the league -really- exploded with 3 point shooting at all positions that they finally could score better than the 90's teams

Being able to play pippen, rodman and harper together thanks to illegal D rules was huge for chicago.

Like imagine if the 2015 cavs could force rivals to defend mozgov and thompson out to the 3 point line or the 2020 cavs could play howard/davis lineups and force teams to defend howard at the 3 point line. It would be a huge offensive boom lol

Playrrs who can shot and defend are injerently rarer that those who do one or the other, but with illegal Defense you can run a murder row of great defenders with bad shooting amd the ruleset will solve the trade off for you by forcing those non shooters to be defended like if they could shot
MyUniBroDavis
General Manager
Posts: 7,827
And1: 5,034
Joined: Jan 14, 2013

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#896 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Oct 18, 2022 3:57 pm

OhayoKD wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
You're cherry picking tiny sample sizes to try and prove LeBron's teams were comparable offensively for small stretches, even when it's plenty clear they are a lot more talented offensively than the Bulls were. You're trying to paint this picture of Lebron's teams failing without him, when he was always there and always holding the ball, so it's kind of irrelevant and not at all what me or anyone else is even arguing about.

Do you mean the 11-12 Heat that were 8th on offense and were 3rd on offense in the playoffs? That's not impressive or groundbreaking in comparison to the Bulls title runs I mentioned

The 2020 Lakers that won the title was 11th on offense, how is that all time dominant? or are we going to the tiny bubble sample size where everyone shot out of their minds? If so, the JAzz are the most dominant offense of all time in that playoffs.

The 2015 Cavaliers were 3rd on offense with 53 games of Kyrie and 77 from Love. What's your point?

Again, I said Jordan produced way better offenses than LeBron ever was able to sustain over any significant period than LeBron was ever able to muster, even when having usually more than one offensive star player next to them, that were capable of putting up 25+ on great efficiency, and most of them being excellent shooters for their position as well.

And what the hell does "spacing relative to era" even mean? offensive rating doesn't have adjusted ratings based on spacing. The Bulls produced multiple great offensive ratings without the floor spacing LeBron's teams enjoyed. Space makes it easier to score and generate easier offense. It wasn't harder for LeBron to scorer or create buckest because his team was only the 12th best spaced team of its own era or something. They had more space than Jordan's teams, therefore he had more opportunities to get it done..

LeBron has played the ass end of his career in the easiest era ever to generate efficient offense, and his teams are never going to match up to the overall dominance of the Jordan/Pippen Bulls, despite LeBron's running mates being more numerous and way more offensively dominant than Pippen ever was... because of Jordan's abilities.


TLDR. LeBron has played with teammates that are better at putting the ball in the basket, and in an environment where it is easier to put the ball in the basket. And his teams just flat out haven't been as good at putting the ball in the basket as the Bulls. It's that simple. You can draw whatever conclusion you want from that, or use 5-15 game samples where LeBron's teams played at Jordan levels or whatever. I don't like working with tiny sample sizes, spot minutes, even single seasons get dicey when we have like nearly a decade of dominance from both that can be looked at.... y'all can have this thread. :kiss



My recollection was the 2020 Lakers had a top 5 offense pre bubble, I feel using the bubble is fine since the Lakers were the one who lost home court

2015/2016/2017/2018 lebron pretty obviously reigned it in during the regular season, 2015 bron obv had injury issues but I their offense was 1st in the games he played, it just was worst in the league level while he was hurt iirc, just checking through.

2016 and 2017 they had the best playoff offense ever, 2018 obviously that’s a 20 win roster that went to the finals. My recollection is over the 30 or so games bron missed in his Cleveland tenure they were a bottom tier offensive team, even in the 20 Kyrie or love played, of course the bulls were league average ish

So he was more valuable than Jordan on offense, in the regular season?
Welp...

I don’t think it makes sense to compare regular seasons when bron punts the regular season (and it makes no sense for them to try to beat the Warriors record), and made the finals all of those years

The funniest part is that most of the evidence we have suggests he was still the more valuable regular season player. And if what you're sayign is true, I don't even need to bring out the defensive ****. Daaamn bruh

But the narrative goes brrr


2015 was a tad weird because of how strong the ended, and a lot of it was them being weirdly poop when he was out

I wouldn’t put 2015 RS bron over peak RS Jordan though, I do think regular season Jordan was better than second stint cavs years RS bron, altho I guess if you go by wins they had vs how they performed without there’s probably an argument there, but I just am in the “regular season doesn’t matter” boat for those years

Like I get consistency and weighting them certain ways each year, but for me even if they had won 82 games all 4 of those years it wouldn’t have made a difference, and getting more wins than the Warriors those years wasn’t possible, so I don’t mind not weighing RS for him heavily there

I feel that’s when bron had that reliability factor where you knew he would be fine and that they’d be good when the chips were down
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#897 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 4:25 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:

My recollection was the 2020 Lakers had a top 5 offense pre bubble, I feel using the bubble is fine since the Lakers were the one who lost home court

2015/2016/2017/2018 lebron pretty obviously reigned it in during the regular season, 2015 bron obv had injury issues but I their offense was 1st in the games he played, it just was worst in the league level while he was hurt iirc, just checking through.

2016 and 2017 they had the best playoff offense ever, 2018 obviously that’s a 20 win roster that went to the finals. My recollection is over the 30 or so games bron missed in his Cleveland tenure they were a bottom tier offensive team, even in the 20 Kyrie or love played, of course the bulls were league average ish

So he was more valuable than Jordan on offense, in the regular season?
Welp...

I don’t think it makes sense to compare regular seasons when bron punts the regular season (and it makes no sense for them to try to beat the Warriors record), and made the finals all of those years

The funniest part is that most of the evidence we have suggests he was still the more valuable regular season player. And if what you're sayign is true, I don't even need to bring out the defensive ****. Daaamn bruh

But the narrative goes brrr


2015 was a tad weird because of how strong the ended, and a lot of it was them being weirdly poop when he was out

I wouldn’t put 2015 RS bron over peak RS Jordan though, I do think regular season Jordan was better than second stint cavs years RS bron, altho I guess if you go by wins they had vs how they performed without there’s probably an argument there, but I just am in the “regular season doesn’t matter” boat for those years

Like I get consistency and weighting them certain ways each year, but for me even if they had won 82 games all 4 of those years it wouldn’t have made a difference, and getting more wins than the Warriors those years wasn’t possible, so I don’t mind not weighing RS for him heavily there

I feel that’s when bron had that reliability factor where you knew he would be fine and that they’d be good when the chips were down

Is that accounting for defense tho? Because Lebron's rs rapm, raw signals, and defensive metrics still grade out ahead of what we have from mj
OhayoKD
Head Coach
Posts: 6,042
And1: 3,933
Joined: Jun 22, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#898 » by OhayoKD » Tue Oct 18, 2022 4:52 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
I just don't see how there is any argument that either A) The results were similar on offense or in terms of total dominance or B)That Jordan's teams were more talented offensively or somehow so much of a better fit that it propelled Jordan's teams that much higher.

VanWest82 wrote:90 Bulls who weren't ready with migraine Pippen and soft Horace. 93 Bulls not engaged because of Jordan rules and a bunch of old dogs on their last legs. .500 95 Bulls sans MJ with no inside presence in the era of bigs. 98 Bulls, injured, also on their last legs. It's not so hard to find excuses.

Djoker wrote:Either way, when analyzing Jordan's and Lebron's offenses we see that despite generally superior offensive supporting casts


Meanwhile...
falcolombardi wrote:I forgot to add this. The 94 bulls were a +11 offense in the playoffs without jordan, including a +8 offense against the league best defense knicks

Tiny sample size of only 2 series but that doesnt sound like what a offensively inept team could do without their superstar, to say the least

2015 bron obv had injury issues but I their offense was 1st in the games he played, it just was worst in the league level while he was hurt iirc, just checking through.

My recollection is over the 30 or so games bron missed in his Cleveland tenure they were a bottom tier offensive team, even in the 20 Kyrie or love played, of course the bulls were league average ish

2009: +13 net offensive impact to team, +7.3 on-court offence relative to league
2010: +15.3 net offensive impact to team, +8.2 on-court offence relative to league
2011: +4.6 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league
2012: +12.4 net offensive impact to team, +5.9 on-court offence relative to league
2013: +11.9 net offensive impact to team, +10.7 on-court offence relative to league
2014: +9 net offensive impact to team, +7.1 on-court offence relative to league
2015: +13.6 net offensive impact to team, +9.9 on-court offence relative to league
2016: +12.6 net offensive impact to team, +9 on-court offence relative to league
2017: +14.8 net offensive impact to team, +9.6 on-court offence relative to league
2018: +7.9 net offensive impact to team, +6.3 on-court offence relative to league
[/quote][/quote]


(Also still waiting for one of you to deal with the part where lebron's defenses consistently collpase without him and fade as his involvement dwindles while Jordan's...don't)
Stalwart
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,839
And1: 959
Joined: Jun 06, 2021

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#899 » by Stalwart » Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:47 pm

AEnigma wrote:Jordan stans, man. Would be nice if you ever showed some real interest in the sport.


Yeah because it turns out when confronted with data that spits all over the common mythos, Jordan stans immediately need to flee the area.


penbeast0 wrote:
Stalwart wrote:^^^ Weird. There goes that toxic Lebron fanbase doing investigative work trying to defrnd their idol. They really cannot handle people criticizing him. Most toxic player and fanbase ever.


WARNING: CRITICIZING POSTERS OR FAN BASES WITHOUT ADDING ANY SUBSTANTIVE CONTENT.
AEnigma
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,130
And1: 5,976
Joined: Jul 24, 2022

Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#900 » by AEnigma » Tue Oct 18, 2022 6:04 pm

Drat, if only I had offered any substantive content in whichever mysterious post from which you are taking that.

To be clear, in your eyes substantive content is when I measure a team’s offensive talent by its number of potential first option scorers and imply Brandon Roy and Donovan Mitchell are better than Kobe and Lebron on offence because the former two led a #1 offence and the latter two never did… right?

Return to Player Comparisons