yoyoboy wrote:Kurtz wrote:yoyoboy wrote:Pretty crazy how the Cavs manage to have the best DRTG in the league by over a point over 2nd place despite Mobley and Allen by the implication of your statement not belonging near those #2 and #3 spots and having "notoriously porous defenders" around them. Guess it's just by accident opponents can't seem to score against them.
That's not at all what I'm implying. I've said before that Allen is a legit DPOY guy (just lacks games played) and Mobley will get there too someday. It's just clear that there is data contamination when you have two teammates this high and closely bunched (this was the case last year too). I think you know that Mobley's defensive metrics plummet when Allen is not playing.
It's because Mobley has been basically historically unlucky with opponent 3P shooting variance when he's on the court versus off the court. Opponent 3P shooting statistically doesn't stabilize until like 160 games in or something like that. So in 30 games, it can really affect on-off numbers especially given the high volume of 3P attempts nowadays.
Unless you think Love (opponents shoot 6% worse from three when he's on the floor) is just a monster 3P defender, despite largely camping out near the paint for rebounds and not even bothering to contest much these days, while Mobley literally leads the league in contested 3P shots per game:
https://www.nba.com/stats/players/hustle?dir=D&sort=CONTESTED_SHOTS_3PT
Mobley isn't just potential. He's already one of the absolute best defenders in the league. In the 7 games Allen missed, games where Mobley started at center, the Cavs allowed just 101.3 points per game. As you said yourself, the Cavs have a lot of defenders with poor defensive reputations. Mitchell, Garland, Love, LeVert, etc. So how are they clearly the best defense in the league - something they maintain even in games JA misses - unless Mobley is playing at an All-Defensive level as well?
I would buy the terrible luck explanation if we didn't observe the exact same Mobley-Allen defensive stat relationship last year. Both were near the top in impact in that same statistic, but Mobley's numbers plummeted during the time that Allen was out.
I'd add that that particular stat claims to not be affected by teammates - and yet the evidence states otherwise, that's part of why I used the word "weird".