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OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc.

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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1181 » by HarthorneWingo » Fri Feb 10, 2023 2:34 am

br7knicks wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
no one, and nothing, can accurately depict anything with the market. i've been doing a lot in t-bills due to their increase in short term rates.

we'll see if the fed's decisions will keep the US from hitting a recession. i hope so, but very doubtful.


But we are seeing a trend of inflation declining over the last, I dunno. 3-4 months? Maybe more? The economy is otherwise strong. The feds increase in the % rate has worked. The remaining parts of inflation - that we can't seem to budge - are due to price gauging by corporations. Chicken/turkey meat, the vast price increase is due to the avian flue. Gas prices, ask Saudi Arabia.


hopefully this country will continue to make the harsh, but smart and necessary, decisions to bring inflation to the goal of 2%


That may require congress to get involved by enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act and doing some other things. We need to get corporate greed under control. Too many billionaires. Break up these companies; increase competition; bring manufacturing back home; bring back the marginal tax rate; and start penalizing these companies that are price-gouging.

Bernie wants to penalize companies that conduct stock buybacks of corporate instead of investing that money back into the company and increase wages and improving working conditions for their workers.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1182 » by br7knicks » Sat Feb 11, 2023 4:09 am

HarthorneWingo wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
But we are seeing a trend of inflation declining over the last, I dunno. 3-4 months? Maybe more? The economy is otherwise strong. The feds increase in the % rate has worked. The remaining parts of inflation - that we can't seem to budge - are due to price gauging by corporations. Chicken/turkey meat, the vast price increase is due to the avian flue. Gas prices, ask Saudi Arabia.


hopefully this country will continue to make the harsh, but smart and necessary, decisions to bring inflation to the goal of 2%


That may require congress to get involved by enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act and doing some other things. We need to get corporate greed under control. Too many billionaires. Break up these companies; increase competition; bring manufacturing back home; bring back the marginal tax rate; and start penalizing these companies that are price-gouging.

Bernie wants to penalize companies that conduct stock buybacks of corporate instead of investing that money back into the company and increase wages and improving working conditions for their workers.


let's just hope that, whoever is in charge, uses their power to make everything as smooth as possible, especially for us regular citizens
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1183 » by HarthorneWingo » Sat Feb 11, 2023 5:53 am

br7knicks wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
hopefully this country will continue to make the harsh, but smart and necessary, decisions to bring inflation to the goal of 2%


That may require congress to get involved by enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act and doing some other things. We need to get corporate greed under control. Too many billionaires. Break up these companies; increase competition; bring manufacturing back home; bring back the marginal tax rate; and start penalizing these companies that are price-gouging.

Bernie wants to penalize companies that conduct stock buybacks of corporate instead of investing that money back into the company and increase wages and improving working conditions for their workers.


let's just hope that, whoever is in charge, uses their power to make everything as smooth as possible, especially for us regular citizens


That train derailment accident in Ohio that spread all of those toxic chemicals is a proximate result of the rail companies sacrificing safety in the name of profits. That's what that rail workers strike was all about. Things are out of whack from years of "Reaganomics" and government deregulation (though I agree that there are many problems with the regulatory system which needs to be clean up so that it's more efficient and less cumbersome).
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1184 » by br7knicks » Sat Feb 11, 2023 5:09 pm

HarthorneWingo wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:
That may require congress to get involved by enforcing the Sherman Anti-Trust Act and doing some other things. We need to get corporate greed under control. Too many billionaires. Break up these companies; increase competition; bring manufacturing back home; bring back the marginal tax rate; and start penalizing these companies that are price-gouging.

Bernie wants to penalize companies that conduct stock buybacks of corporate instead of investing that money back into the company and increase wages and improving working conditions for their workers.


let's just hope that, whoever is in charge, uses their power to make everything as smooth as possible, especially for us regular citizens


That train derailment accident in Ohio that spread all of those toxic chemicals is a proximate result of the rail companies sacrificing safety in the name of profits. That's what that rail workers strike was all about. Things are out of whack from years of "Reaganomics" and government deregulation (though I agree that there are many problems with the regulatory system which needs to be clean up so that it's more efficient and less cumbersome).


covid has been hard on the market and economy. hopefully things go smoothly moving forward
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1185 » by dakomish23 » Mon Feb 13, 2023 3:48 pm

Take from this what you want stocks wise

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/environment-and-energy/solar-boom-defies-politics-in-spreading-to-red-corner-of-midwest

Solar Boom Defies Politics in Spread to Red Midwest States

The greening of red-state America, well underway in the Sun Belt, is now accelerating in the Midwest. Ohio and Indiana — two Republican-led US states long dependent on coal power — are on the verge of solar-farm booms so staggering that their respective buildouts between now and 2027 may vie with Nevada’s and trail only those of California and Texas.

Developers are expected to install 15 gigawatts’ worth of new photovoltaic panels in the two states, enough to power about 12 million households. That’s happening even as Ohio has moved to slow, if not thwart, renewable energy projects.


No Republican members of Congress — a group that includes the majority of members from Indiana and Ohio — voted to pass the Inflation Reduction Act, President Joe Biden’s climate law that ushered in hundreds of billions of dollars in incentives for clean energy.

Red states stand to reap the gains regardless: “When you look at renewable energy, the reddest Republican areas are the ones that are benefiting the most,” said Nick Cohen, chief executive of Doral Renewables, which is building what will be one of the largest US solar projects, a $1.6 billion complex in the Hoosier State.

The low cost of solar power, and the promise of construction and manufacturing jobs, are indeed winning over communities in the Midwest that may not be predisposed to the climate benefits. It helps that Ohio and Indiana feature flat farmland that’s ideal for tracking the arc of the sun. Another impetus is coming from large electricity customers, including tech giants and manufacturers, which are demanding that clean energy help power their data centers and factories.

While Indiana doesn’t require that any of its power come from renewable sources, the state is finding that it can cultivate the sun as it does soybeans. “You’re seeing a state like Indiana really punch way above its weight class” in solar farms, Governor Eric Holcomb, a Republican, told Bloomberg Green’s podcast Zero in January. “We’re a small state, relatively speaking, but we have a lot of land, which is required.”

Ohio and Indiana have some of the lowest grid-connection costs in the electric grid that stretches from Washington, DC to Chicago, according to clean energy research group BloombergNEF. Across both states there are 23 development-stage projects that would each generate more than 300 megawatts of power, BNEF’s data shows. A 300-megawatt farm is about half the capacity of a typical natural gas-fired power plant, but sizable by the standards of US solar.


Sunlight streams onto a solar farm in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Photographer: Rick Callahan/AP Photo

Today, utility-scale solar in Ohio costs less than half the price tag of an efficient natural gas-fired plant, including tax credits for renewables, said Amar Vasdev, an analyst at BNEF. In Indiana, solar is more than a third cheaper.

But barriers persist in Ohio. Despite utility companies such as AES Corp. and American Electric Power Co. pushing to modernize their networks with clean power and major employers exerting pressure, the state in the past decade has imposed various impediments to renewable energy development.

“Ohio is doing a good job of attracting large-scale employers and manufacturing, but those investments are going to need in-state renewables, which is becoming harder to permit,” said Cyrus Tashakkori, president of Open Road Renewables, a company developing large projects in the state.

Ohio’s Republican leadership has tried to prop up coal and nuclear plants that have struggled to compete with solar, wind and natural gas. In 2019, the state passed a controversial law to bail out nuclear plants and scale back a minimum renewable requirement. The bill wound up at the crux of what federal prosecutors say is the largest corruption case in state history. It included utility giant FirstEnergy Corp. admitting that it conspired with public officials and others to pay millions of dollars in bribes toward the law’s passage. The legislator at the center of the case, ex-Ohio House Speaker Larry Householder, is on trial in federal court in Cincinnati.

Perhaps most concerning for the solar industry: a rule that empowers local communities to reject solar plants and designate areas where projects aren’t permitted.

Roy Klopfenstein, a newly elected state representative in Ohio representing Paulding County, said he supported some renewables projects when he was a local official. But Klopfenstein, a Republican, said he still worries that the solar boom coupled with the closure of coal plants leaves the state vulnerable to power shortages at sunset and on cloudy days. “It should be about what the constituents want,” he said of the siting of solar farms. “Each community is different. I am a supporter first of property rights.”


Doral Renewables’ Mammoth North Solar plant in Starke County, Indiana, under construction last year.

Photo: Doral Renewables

Trying to avoid local rejections can make development more arduous. Some developers are facing complaints from residents about how solar panels would change the look and use of the landscape. Jane Harf, executive director of Green Energy Ohio, a nonprofit that promotes sustainable energy, said solar has to clear a bar in Ohio that other land uses don’t have to meet. Whereas neighbors could stop a farmer from adding solar panels, “if he suddenly wanted a hog farm, they couldn’t stop him — and a hog farm is a lot more offensive to neighbors.”

Late last year, a major solar project in Ohio that would have been built on farmland was terminated following strong pushback from area residents. It was a big loss for the landowners, who would have benefited from lease payments.

For farmers, solar is a way to “balance the financials” after years of corporate consolidation in the industry, said Rachel Tayse, executive director of the Ohio Ecological Food and Farm Association. There is concern, however, that big solar developers can outbid farmers for land by paying prices too steep to turn a profit on any type of crop, Tayse said. “Our communities need both — they need renewable energy and they need food.”

The pace of Ohio’s solar boom suggests that developers aren’t being scared off. The best way to prevent rejection “is to get into the communities early so they’re supportive,” said Michael Arndt, the president and general manager of Recurrent Energy, a developer owned by panel manufacturer Canadian Solar Inc. “We try to find early champions.”

Expected tax revenues from solar projects have won over some communities. Miller City, a village of 160 people in Putnam County in northwestern Ohio, hopes a 150-megawatt solar project being developed by Avangrid Inc. will provide sufficient tax revenues to install a $3.6 million sewer collection system the village has sought for two decades. “We are not going to start anything until they start putting in solar panels,” said James Erford, Miller City’s longtime mayor.

The Miller City project has been in the works for about five years. First, the Covid-19 pandemic and supply snarls slowed development. Now, there’s a possibility of further surveys being required. “It definitely could be delayed,” Erford said. “I don’t think it would be canceled.” He’s hopeful that groundbreaking will happen in July.

Some farmers in Indiana, meanwhile, are receptive to the prospect of new revenues from solar fields on their land, said Doral’s Cohen: “We’ve been in their barns drinking their homebrews and target-shooting in the back.”

(Details on grid-connection costs added in seventh paragraph.)

To contact the authors of this story:
Brian Eckhouse in Los Angeles at beckhouse@bloomberg.net

Naureen S Malik in New York at nmalik28@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Amanda Kolson Hurley at ahurley21@bloomberg.net

Joe Ryan

© 2023 Bloomberg L.P. All rights reserved. Used with permission.
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Post#1186 » by br7knicks » Thu Feb 16, 2023 1:44 am

watch it, don't watch it; 0 **** given here. someone who is unbiased, and just gives facts; hence why he has as many fans as he does, but doesn't do flashy gimmicks, clickbaits, etc





my favorite guy. i know what myself and many of the non-influenced experts are doing, expecting, and preparing for. as i've been saying for over a year and a half now, it's going to get worse before it gets better.

hopefully the experts are wrong, and this country can actually have a soft landing and avoid a disastrously horrible recession.
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Post#1187 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:47 am

is SVB just the start, or is this just an outlier?

https://dailyreckoning.com/is-svb-just-the-beginning/

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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1188 » by Zenzibar » Sat Mar 11, 2023 3:22 am

br7knicks wrote:is SVB just the start, or is this just an outlier?

https://dailyreckoning.com/is-svb-just-the-beginning/



Meanwhile the stock market corruption is out in the open, big hedge funds are still pushing companies out of business. But there continues to be no oversight.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1189 » by KOA » Sat Mar 11, 2023 6:48 am

Zenzibar wrote:
br7knicks wrote:is SVB just the start, or is this just an outlier?

https://dailyreckoning.com/is-svb-just-the-beginning/



Meanwhile the stock market corruption is out in the open, big hedge funds are still pushing companies out of business. But there continues to be no oversight.


The whole thing is kinda crazy when you think about it. You have regulators who require banks hold a certain amount of their assets as liquid. Banks put a majority of their liquid funds in U.S. Treasuries which are considered a "risk-less" asset and earn a higher rate of return than what they pay you as a depositor and what they would earn at the Federal Reserve. The theory behind "risk-less" is that there is virtually 0 credit risk since the U.S. will never default on its debt and limited interest rate risk given the short-term duration of these securities.

They never really accounted for the federal reserve raising interest rates 4.5% over the course of a year. This was an unintended consequence. Those securities they purchased last year are worth a fraction if they had to sell them today. So why sell them? Why not hold them until they mature and get their full coupon? Well with rates being so high, people are taking cash out of their checking accounts like hot cakes. That means these banks have to liquidate these securities just to be able to pay you back your money. Except selling these lower interest rate securities in today's market is making that unrealized loss they had on their balance sheet turn into a realized loss.

Are other banks at risk? If you look at banks that have large unrealized losses as a percentage of their overall capital, there may be some additional ones that have these liquidity issues: Comerica, Zions, Popular, Signature, etc. Interest rates are expected to continue to rise to fight inflation. That means more deposits are going to flow out of some of these banks and they are going to have to liquidate more of their securities at potential losses.

Is your money safe? As long as you have you money parked in an FDIC insured account, it is insured up to $250k. While your money may be safe, many banks have exposure to one another and if one fails, there is a potential effect across the rest of the industry.
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1190 » by aq_ua » Sat Mar 11, 2023 8:21 am

br7knicks wrote:is SVB just the start, or is this just an outlier?

https://dailyreckoning.com/is-svb-just-the-beginning/


Strikes me as another case of why you don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Here’s a bank that rode the VC and tech money wave to intense sector concentration but works well when the curve only moves in one direction. Now, all its assets (loans) and liabilities (deposits) are all highly concentrated, when the sector overall is really struggling. The good news is, this isn’t the norm, so hard to characterize as anything more than idiosyncratic.
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Post#1191 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:05 pm

Zenzibar wrote:
br7knicks wrote:is SVB just the start, or is this just an outlier?

https://dailyreckoning.com/is-svb-just-the-beginning/



Meanwhile the stock market corruption is out in the open, big hedge funds are still pushing companies out of business. But there continues to be no oversight.



the corruption is what hurts the vast majority of people. one of my concerns is the government bailing out the banks like they did in '08.

the movie margin call was pretty good. i think i watched it on netflix just the other day. it shouldn't be okay for some companies/entities/etc to be let off the hook, especially when they **** up and ruined the lives of thousands/millions
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Post#1192 » by BadNewsBarnes » Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:14 pm

SVB is the start. Watch Credit Suisse. One of those banks with the "Swiss Bank Accounts". Watch when that crashes very soon. Worse than 2008...
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Post#1193 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:05 pm

BadNewsBarnes wrote:SVB is the start. Watch Credit Suisse. One of those banks with the "Swiss Bank Accounts". Watch when that crashes very soon. Worse than 2008...



i originally didn't think this would be as bad as 2008. i think it is going to be worse, at this point - i hope i'm wrong, though.


the main catalyst of '08 was american greed - everyone wanted a house and car they couldn't afford. unfortunately, i think american greed has only increased, beyond just cars and houses, since then.

again, i hope i'm wrong. but i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. i think this recession will last, at least, until 2025ish.
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Post#1194 » by KOA » Sat Mar 11, 2023 3:45 pm

br7knicks wrote:
BadNewsBarnes wrote:SVB is the start. Watch Credit Suisse. One of those banks with the "Swiss Bank Accounts". Watch when that crashes very soon. Worse than 2008...



i originally didn't think this would be as bad as 2008. i think it is going to be worse, at this point - i hope i'm wrong, though.


the main catalyst of '08 was american greed - everyone wanted a house and car they couldn't afford. unfortunately, i think american greed has only increased, beyond just cars and houses, since then.

again, i hope i'm wrong. but i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. i think this recession will last, at least, until 2025ish.


Credit card debt is definitely becoming a problem. Has ballooned to $986 Bn, a record high. The last two record highs resulted in recessions. There are no checks and balances. The only thing credit card companies care about is your FICO score. You can make up you income level without them checking to get a higher credit limit.

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Post#1195 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 4:06 pm

KOA wrote:
br7knicks wrote:
BadNewsBarnes wrote:SVB is the start. Watch Credit Suisse. One of those banks with the "Swiss Bank Accounts". Watch when that crashes very soon. Worse than 2008...



i originally didn't think this would be as bad as 2008. i think it is going to be worse, at this point - i hope i'm wrong, though.


the main catalyst of '08 was american greed - everyone wanted a house and car they couldn't afford. unfortunately, i think american greed has only increased, beyond just cars and houses, since then.

again, i hope i'm wrong. but i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. i think this recession will last, at least, until 2025ish.


Credit card debt is definitely becoming a problem. Has ballooned to $986 Bn, a record high. The last two record highs resulted in recessions. There are no checks and balances. The only thing credit card companies care about is your FICO score. You can make up you income level without them checking to get a higher credit limit.

Image


correct. it's the amount of credit card debt being piled up that has been incredibly alarming. the guys i watch/read all say the same thing.

worse is, the lower and lower-middle class are now to a point where they're buying basic things (food, water, etc) with credit cards because of inflation and how much prices of everything has increased.

again, i hope i'm wrong. hopefully things will get fixed before it gets bad; won't hold my breath, though.
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Post#1196 » by Zenzibar » Sat Mar 11, 2023 5:24 pm

So far his week, all of my stocks have been showing RED. My dilemma is whether to let it ride into oblivion or take a loss now.
Making a profit now seems highly improbable.
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Post#1197 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:02 pm

Zenzibar wrote:So far his week, all of my stocks have been showing RED. My dilemma is whether to let it ride into oblivion or take a loss now.
Making a profit now seems highly improbable.


not sure how much loss, or how many you have. i've been doing covered calls for the ride down. it's not much, but it's better than doing nothing but losing.
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Post#1198 » by br7knicks » Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:13 pm

Zenzibar wrote:So far his week, all of my stocks have been showing RED. My dilemma is whether to let it ride into oblivion or take a loss now.
Making a profit now seems highly improbable.



not sure your positions, age, risk level, etc. but my dad's been trying to convince me to continue to just put most of my savings (sans emergency money, which should be 3-6 months of your monthly expenses) into T-Bills.

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/

my bank only gives .25% APR, so it makes more sense to do these vs save.


my father has been having me watch this guy. boring, but very knowledgeable.




i've been saying this for a long time, that we're going to have a hard landing, vs what everyone is being told about a soft landing.

need to pay more attention to independent reporters, journalists, experts.


edit: he just dropped this less than an hour ago: i think it's going to be worse than '08. It pretty much is mirroring what's happening now, but there's been a lot more money printing. it's been gross, what the fed has been doing.


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Post#1199 » by DrCoach » Sun Mar 12, 2023 12:42 am

br7knicks wrote:
Zenzibar wrote:So far his week, all of my stocks have been showing RED. My dilemma is whether to let it ride into oblivion or take a loss now.
Making a profit now seems highly improbable.



not sure your positions, age, risk level, etc. but my dad's been trying to convince me to continue to just put most of my savings (sans emergency money, which should be 3-6 months of your monthly expenses) into T-Bills.

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/

my bank only gives .25% APR, so it makes more sense to do these vs save.


my father has been having me watch this guy. boring, but very knowledgeable.




i've been saying this for a long time, that we're going to have a hard landing, vs what everyone is being told about a soft landing.

need to pay more attention to independent reporters, journalists, experts.


edit: he just dropped this less than an hour ago: i think it's going to be worse than '08. It pretty much is mirroring what's happening now, but there's been a lot more money printing. it's been gross, what the fed has been doing.





The guy who ran Lehman into the geound was in charge of SVIB too
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Re: OT: Crypto, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Investments, IRAs & Finances, etc. 

Post#1200 » by HarthorneWingo » Sun Mar 12, 2023 1:21 am

Start throwing these shysters in jail for 30-40 years, then behavior will hopefully begin to change. Until that happens, expect this to continue.
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