AdagioPace wrote:parapooper wrote:70sFan wrote:I think a lot, but:
1. I don't think people understand how hard it is to win 8+ rings. I don't say it would be impossible for James, but I definitely wouldn't bet on it.
2. I am not sure James would have stayed in the Lakers for 20 years in the first place.
LeBron stayed longer on a small market, bad weather, bad coaching, bad management, bad supporting cast team than everyone else on the top10 GOAT list _combined_ -
why would he not have stayed with the largest market, great weather, top coaching, top management, stacked cast team?
sounds logical but predicting how the relationships with Shaq/Kobe and various coaches would have panned out is not easy. We're talking about 20 years of human variables (including players, families, friendships with players, etc..). Even Lebron is not a single monolith. A long NBA career spans a quarter of an average life, including early adulthood. 18 y.o Lebron is different from 35 y.o Lebron.
Kobe isn't
that relevant in the timeline offered. Even with Shaq, it's 3 seasons, Shaq's probably less vocal than he was later and both old LeBron and 60 games a year Shaq would benefit from someone to share the load.
Kareem, Riley(/coaches) and Buss are probably the bigger interpersonal relationships.
IRL Magic and Kareem weren't best buddies.
Magic arguably got one coach fired and then Riley burnt himself and soured the team on him.
Buss and Johnson were close for an owner and player. Apparently they sometimes partied together. This might mean LeBron is less likely to stay but make other internal relations easier.
The LeBron dynamics could be worse. They could be better. But the Lakers did pretty well with dynamics that weren't perfect.
So I'll agree that it's complex and there aren't guarantees, but if the question whether LeBron stays comes from him changing in very different circumstances, it is worth noting context - such as that if a franchise was halfway competent (and maybe at the margins if there wasn't desire to be elsewhere - a la Kareem ... though he had the ABA as leverage ... LeBron would have to wait a while for true free agency, plus I think he's more comfortable in LA than Kareem in Milwaukee) top tier superstars moving was just less common.