Slim Charless wrote:garrick wrote:bwgood77 wrote:
No WC teams have had GREAT seasons though outside of Denver, who don't particularly scare me. Memphis, in 2nd, is on pace for like 51 wins...the Kings, in 3rd, at 48. Heck, I think our 9th place 13-14 team won that many.
Then we are in 4th and teams behind us are all on pace to be around 500. The west is pretty open. Denver should expect nothing less than a WCF run and really probably feels they should make the finals, but we all know the team with the best record isn't guaranteed anything. Utah and then us both lost in the 2nd round the last two years and we may face Denver in the 2nd round this year.
I think Dallas, Clippers and GSW could give us some trouble and the rest I am not super concerned about, now if we go the finals again then I'm not convinced we can beat Boston which did a really good job defending against KD and the Bucks who are also a really good defensive team.
I'm interested in seeing our game on Sunday vs Dallas. From what I've seen so far, they don't worry me at all. Luka Chuckic and KY can score but are sieves defensively and Ayton should feast.
Booker is gonna see so many easy shots from this point forward. KD is gonna be taking the doubles or the opponents best defender. CP3 is also gonna be getting open shots...his little elbow midrange shot will be there everytime now.
From what I've watched of the new look Mavs, their offense is going to be very potent as they were last year but unlike last year, they won't be relying on Brunson to create when we're throwing everything to lock down Luka. That responsbility will now fall on an all-NBA calibre scorer in Kyrie. The Achilles heel as expected is their very poor defense. They are absolutely sieves on that end of the court and losing DFS who's their best team defender and who was most likely going to defend Book or KD, makes scoring on them all the more easier.
With the Mavs specifically, I don't think the question is necessary whether we can defend them well enough because I think it's just a matter of if they're gonna be hot or cold from 3. The question is whether we can keep up with them offensively. We have KD, Book and DA which should make us elite offensively but we're also 20th in the league in 3PT attempts and we're 22nd in pace. KD as good as he is from long range, has also never been a super high volume 3PT shooter. He topped out at 6.7 3PA all the way back in his final season with OKC. So I'm not sure we'll improve significantly on the 3PA front.
Which basically mean we need to rely on great defense to slow them down and be ultra efficient from 2pt range. Or....we just shoot a crap ton more 3's, like basically every elite contender outside of Denver and Memphis.
Prime example is their game against the Sixers. Sixers did exactly what they were suppose to do offensively, be super efficient and put up almost 130pts on the board. I mean, they shot almost 60% from the field and almost 45% from 3PT range. Their starters had a combined FG% of 62%. That should be enough to beat like 90% of teams on most nights. None of that mattered because the Mavs just beat them with pure volume and getting hot from 3.