Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player?

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Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan

Nikola Jokic
17
22%
Tim Duncan
59
78%
 
Total votes: 76

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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#41 » by Frosty » Sat Mar 4, 2023 9:11 am

rk2023 wrote:With better player, I'm thinking peak for peak.

If Jokic maintains or comes near his offensive production in the PS (especially as a playmaker), I think the Duncan comparisons to 2003 could then be only entertained. Even then, Duncan provided enough scoring prowess and ability to hit open shooters to be a sufficient first option on O while arguably having the best defensive run of this century - along with Garnett's 2004/08 campaigns.

Jokic is having the best offensive season of all time (RS wise) in my opinion, but when looking at championship equity - it could be very arguable that Duncan is a +7 player in guesstimated P/M & almost every approach taken to quantify impact loves his 2003 Playoff Run.

Duncan's 2003 PS run:

All stats per 75

24.8 aPts on +6.2%rTS
12 FTA / 100 Poss and 1.5 ScoreVal
14.3 Rebounds (3.75 on Offense)
5.0 Assists
3.1 Blocks
7.3 Passer Rating
37.8 O-Load
8.7 BackPicks BPM (4.5 OBPM) , 10.2 BBR BPM (6.2 O)
.279 WS/48
7.4 Augmented +/- Per Game (4th all time behind 2017 Curry, and 17/09 James)
7.91 Full-Season PIPM
27 On/Off Net Rating Swing, 105.6-96.6 (+9) on floor vs. 87.6-105.6 off floor.

This doesn't even get into the eye test, where there is a ton to like about Duncan as a defensive anchor (in the context of 2003 San Antonio, took a very solid defensive slanted team to GOAT-lite levels) and a floor-raiser with his post scoring, ability to garner fouls, and underrated passing and playmaking acumen (pretty great rim assist-rates, iirc / 1-in 4-out playmaking based off of teams' reacting to Duncan's scoring threat). Basically any impact metric available regards this season not too far from some of the highest seasons charted. He could have at the least some argument over these three.


Posted this in an earlier forum here. It would require an offensive onslaught and ability to adapt to anything thrown at him in order to warrant comparisons to such an apex from Duncan - whom I see as a top 5-7 single season all time with duplicates excluded. Jokic right now is having a top 10 Regular Season ever, as far as I'm concerned.


I think Jokic might have done ok offensively in the 2003 playoffs in place of Duncan.

1st Round
20 year old Amare guards him....Neither the Suns nor Amare are known for their defense

2nd round
Lakers come in struggling, Kobe just tore his should requiring surgery after this series, Fox goes out for the season, George come in and sprains his ankle . Horry guards Duncan that series.

"Coming into this series, they (the Lakers) decided to let me do what I had to do and shut everybody else down," Duncan said.

Dallas
3 games in Dallas loses Dirk, Bradley and Eschemeyer was already out. They literally have one big left on their bench in Lafrentz. A SF guards Duncan a lot of the time

New Jersey
Kenyon Martin, yet another undersized defender assigned to him. At least he was a decent defender

I can't imagine Jokic would have much problems with any of these guys.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#42 » by AdagioPace » Sat Mar 4, 2023 11:41 am

OhayoKD wrote:
AdagioPace wrote:
70sFan wrote:Why do you think it's easier to separate himself from the pack? I mean, we shouldn't look at players/compositors/scientists as machines, they are all human beings. Nobody says that environments are the same, but it's not true that everything was easier earlier.

For example, I am quite convinced that it was much harder to be a physicist before Newton/Leibniz era without calculus. I don't think it was "easier" to discover something groundbreaking before the quantum mechanics revolution than during the time it was happening. Not to mention there were moments in history like wars and other tragedies.

There are periods of stagnations that require a groundbreaking moments. There are moments of steady improvement of talent pool, but there are situations that can destroy it (the end of Roman Empire for example or WWII).

I get that we improve our skills/knowledge from the past, but it doesn't always mean it's easier to be better relative to your era. Basketball is in a moment of rapid evolution now, but I don't see your point if we try to compare 1969 to 1976, or 1987 to 1999. The league also had its moments of stagnation. I'd say that 2010-14 era was such moment for example, it wasn't that long ago.

The league is in rapid evolution moment, which can make some players struggling to adjust, while the others have their impact amplified. For example, if we reach the point of stagnation I am not sure that someone like Sabonis (lesser version of Jokic) will be as valuable as he is now (and I love Sabonis). Likewise, Sabonis probably wouldn't be as valuable in 2012 because teams wouldn't use his strengths to the same degree, but he would be mainly a post guy.

So no, I disagree with what you said here. It's way to simplistic view on a historical process that consistently evolves. Every era is different, but it doesn't mean that every previous era is easier to dominate for all kinds of modern players. It doesn't work that way.


Sometime people want to launch themselves on ambitious trips between different fields without having much general and specialistic knowledge about history. Logic and statistical intuition are not enough.
the basketball vs classical music comparison is totally inappropriate. Even the concept of "marketplace" is nonsense during Mozart's time. Aesthetical canons also change over time. "Progress" in classical music is also highly controversial after Schoenberg' dodecaphony.
Funny thing: mozart and beethoven still saturate the classical marketplace and concerts world nowadays. Mozart is the most across-era transposable artist ever despite having to go only against a bunch of rich kids (compared to nowadays packed music universities full of geniuses :lol: ).

I don't think you're understanding the argument: going against a "bunch of kids" is why Mozart/Bach "saturates" the market. The music was special relative to the competition. It's the same reason Batman/Superman became modern variants of Greek Gods, why Shakespere specifically is the focus of countless university classes and electives, and why Micheal Jordan is still far, far and away the most popular nba player ever.

The geniuses have to compete with other geniuses. Cultural footholds are not built on the merit of how a work is likely to be perceived if it was released today, they're built on how they compete with the competition of their times. And if you disagree, feel free to pick any textual standard/criteria for the work of Mozart and Bach. However you go about things, I doubt their work grade out as the "best music ever". Instead it was because their work offered an "Innovation" for the time period while reaching a treshold of "good" sufficient for them to maintain general interest. And then there is volume. Like any modern fictional icon, the work was played and built off so often and so frequently that eventually something larger emerged from the sum of its parts. Not only does Bach come into mind when his own work played, but he's also thought of in the works of thousands of others.

Frankly, the idea that sports are different from arts is more a product of framework emphasis than an objective observation of what's actually happening. The method of ranking basketball players is fundementally the same as it is with any other sort of ranking, even if uncertainity ranges are smaller. One chooses a set of criteria(it can be fleshed out or, more commonly, am impromptu hodgepodge), and then one rates/observes players based on how they think they fit said criteria. It just so happens that winning is heavily and explicitly emphasized to the point where it's almost seen as a fundamentally unassailable objective. But that is simply framing. Performance art is still just performance art.

Common standards for actually writing function quite similar to standard "basketball" analysis. A goal is set(immersion), and then people aim to construct(or judge) mainly via internal consistency(effiency) and depth/texual completity(volume). These standards are common because, over large samples, they tend to produce the most "immersion".

As with basketball, there is plenty of room for variance(more-so here), aesthetic preferences, subject matter, ect, all play a role, but, the romantic notion of art as something mythically transcendent only really works when you are distanced from the process or the observable specifics of the work. It is a layperson's conception, and with anything else in life, once one gains understanding/expertise, you realize that it's all still just cause and effect.

In this case, the analogy doesn't break at all. And I suspect those who think it does, are mixing up perception with reality


this is semi-OT so I'll try to stay on topic by connecting this argument to basketball somehow. :) First let me say that I appreciate your positive inquisitive attitude, while trying to understand how things work in the world by drawing comparisons. In this specific discussion though I'm not really persuaded by your answer, especially by your methodology. The first mistake you do is trying to give Mozart and Bach's music a quantitative objective characterization (by complexity,or by other criteria) in order to force rankings and trying to make comparisons between fields possible. It's an alarm warning for me. I would never talk about "x degree of complexity, x space of separation etc.." or "threshold" in music. A no-go line for me is trying to apply alien critical frameworks to complex, unique historical-cultural interactions which allowed some extraordinary music to emerge only in a specific timeframe in history of mankind (mostly german-austrian classical music). The same applies to italian Reinassance for example.

you put emphasis on the word "Innovation".

I answer by saying Mozart/Bach success has gone beyond their time and it's not bound on how exceptional it was perceived back then, nor on how far it was capable of distancing itself from competition. An additional complicating factor in classical music is that, some music gets appreciated only 1 century later.Some other great impactful composers didnd't enjoy the success Mozart had, for example
You could have picked soccer or any other sport which suited your argument better (which could have also ennhanced the intelligibility of your points).
To end this weird discussion about Bach = a sort of ante-litteram Mikan: Bach and Mozart are not only appreciated for their innovativeness and huge separation from their contemporaries. This is the most important point here: people, composers, directors still love and consider Mozart or Bach the pinnacle of their field,because they still elicit a psychological response which cannot be easily imitated by producing a piece of music which closely resembles one of their pieces.It's not about the structure of their music or some innovations like Bach's counterpoint. Today we have thousands of people able to understand, reproduce and imitate what mozart did but it ends right there. No classical musician nowadays, even the most innovative, is dethroning Mozart in the smallest concert hall close to where you live. Classical Music is not some kind of giant progressivist enterprise like a commercial sport, driven by science.
The great composers I mentioned are first of all huge "anomalies" even more than Mikan, Russel, Kareem. The difference is that we're still enamoured with Mozart, while Mikan doesn't get us excited like, I don't know, Steph Curry! Mozart didn't just produce something wow for his time, but he set aesthetical and harmonical canons which are still the standard today. That's why I warned you about this daring comparison.You still study Mozart, you don't get to study Mikan (unless you like his style and it's your favourite player but we're in the personal preference sphere, not in the academical one here).
Also: 1) people like Mozart nowadays probably dedicate themselves to other fields like mathematics or whatever. There are alternatives to music and arts 2)classical music is not a linear progressive timeline. The XX century avanguardism and post-modernism in classical music (which I consider super boring) cannot be compared to Space&Pace revolution in basketball. Most of what had to be said in classic music had already been said by mid '900 (Strauss, Stravinsky, Shostakovic etc..)
There can be progress in popular music thanks to technology and experimentation, but it's a completely different timeline, like a parallel universe to Mozart and Beethoven.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#43 » by rk2023 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 5:14 pm

Frosty wrote:
rk2023 wrote:With better player, I'm thinking peak for peak.

If Jokic maintains or comes near his offensive production in the PS (especially as a playmaker), I think the Duncan comparisons to 2003 could then be only entertained. Even then, Duncan provided enough scoring prowess and ability to hit open shooters to be a sufficient first option on O while arguably having the best defensive run of this century - along with Garnett's 2004/08 campaigns.

Jokic is having the best offensive season of all time (RS wise) in my opinion, but when looking at championship equity - it could be very arguable that Duncan is a +7 player in guesstimated P/M & almost every approach taken to quantify impact loves his 2003 Playoff Run.

Duncan's 2003 PS run:

All stats per 75

24.8 aPts on +6.2%rTS
12 FTA / 100 Poss and 1.5 ScoreVal
14.3 Rebounds (3.75 on Offense)
5.0 Assists
3.1 Blocks
7.3 Passer Rating
37.8 O-Load
8.7 BackPicks BPM (4.5 OBPM) , 10.2 BBR BPM (6.2 O)
.279 WS/48
7.4 Augmented +/- Per Game (4th all time behind 2017 Curry, and 17/09 James)
7.91 Full-Season PIPM
27 On/Off Net Rating Swing, 105.6-96.6 (+9) on floor vs. 87.6-105.6 off floor.

This doesn't even get into the eye test, where there is a ton to like about Duncan as a defensive anchor (in the context of 2003 San Antonio, took a very solid defensive slanted team to GOAT-lite levels) and a floor-raiser with his post scoring, ability to garner fouls, and underrated passing and playmaking acumen (pretty great rim assist-rates, iirc / 1-in 4-out playmaking based off of teams' reacting to Duncan's scoring threat). Basically any impact metric available regards this season not too far from some of the highest seasons charted. He could have at the least some argument over these three.


Posted this in an earlier forum here. It would require an offensive onslaught and ability to adapt to anything thrown at him in order to warrant comparisons to such an apex from Duncan - whom I see as a top 5-7 single season all time with duplicates excluded. Jokic right now is having a top 10 Regular Season ever, as far as I'm concerned.


I think Jokic might have done ok offensively in the 2003 playoffs in place of Duncan.

1st Round
20 year old Amare guards him....Neither the Suns nor Amare are known for their defense

2nd round
Lakers come in struggling, Kobe just tore his should requiring surgery after this series, Fox goes out for the season, George come in and sprains his ankle . Horry guards Duncan that series.

"Coming into this series, they (the Lakers) decided to let me do what I had to do and shut everybody else down," Duncan said.

Dallas
3 games in Dallas loses Dirk, Bradley and Eschemeyer was already out. They literally have one big left on their bench in Lafrentz. A SF guards Duncan a lot of the time

New Jersey
Kenyon Martin, yet another undersized defender assigned to him. At least he was a decent defender

I can't imagine Jokic would have much problems with any of these guys.


Thank you for the intel. This is just me, but I’m more curious as how each fairs in their respective era - rather than transporting them 20 years into the respective past / future.
Mogspan wrote:I think they see the super rare combo of high IQ with freakish athleticism and overrate the former a bit, kind of like a hot girl who is rather articulate being thought of as “super smart.” I don’t know kind of a weird analogy, but you catch my drift.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#44 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Mar 4, 2023 7:58 pm

70sFan wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:Last thought: This distinction between innovation capacity and proficiency capacity is something I've thought a lot about since becoming a physics teacher. I would argue that the physics education system is extremely focused on scouting for proficiency capacity rather than innovation capacity and that this is really a huge, huge problem on many levels, one of which is that you can end up driving the most innovative minds out of the field.

Worth noting that the physics establishment actively tried to did this to Einstein a 100+ years ago and were only spared from their own myopia because he was better able to innovate in his spare time with a day job than the entire rest of the full-time physicists in the world, and in some ways the issues have gotten worse since.

Don't you think it's a broader problem than just one related to physics? People are taught to be focused on creating profits. If you can't make your results profitable, you are not seen as valuable scientist (or often person basically). I am PhD student, I am learning the state of the whole grant framework and it's... well, not perfect to say the least. It's bigger than that and it's bigger than science itself, the older I am, the more problems I see in modern society mentality, but I don't want to focus too much on that.

I think people more than ever view science as a practical tool to make lifes more convinient. Creativity isn't that important if you take such approach, you have to provide results. I am sure some will disagree with me here, but it's not the approach I support.


Couldn't agree more. It's part of a larger family of problems with society at the moment that we don't share enough collective belief in to unify and do something about. It worries me quite a bit.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#45 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Mar 4, 2023 8:11 pm

OhayoKD wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
70sFan wrote:Yeah, classical music comparison was an odd one for me. I don't have much knowledge about it, but I know enough about the general history and modern music environment to know that it doesn't make any sense to compare it to basketball.


So, I don't want to get to into the weeds here, but I think looking at analogues is often informative. The analogy will break at some point of course, but the breaking point is itself interesting to consider.

Frankly, the idea that sports are different from arts is more a product of framework emphasis than an objective observation of what's actually happening. The method of ranking basketball players is fundementally the same as it is with any other sort of ranking, even if uncertainity ranges are smaller. One chooses a set of criteria(it can be fleshed out or, more commonly, am impromptu hodgepodge), and then one rates/observes players based on how they think they fit said criteria. It just so happens that winning is heavily and explicitly emphasized to the point where it's almost seen as a fundamentally unassailable objective. But that is simply framing. Performance art is still just performance art.

Common standards for actually writing function quite similar to standard "basketball" analysis. A goal is set(immersion), and then people aim to construct(or judge) mainly via internal consistency(effiency) and depth/texual completity(volume). These standards are common because, over large samples, they tend to produce the most "immersion".

As with basketball, there is plenty of room for variance(more-so here), aesthetic preferences, subject matter, ect, all play a role, but, the romantic notion of art as something mythically transcendent only really works when you are distanced from the process or the observable specifics of the work. It is a layperson's conception, and with anything else in life, once one gains understanding/expertise, you realize that it's all still just cause and effect.

In this case, the analogy doesn't break at all. And I suspect those who think it does, are mixing up perception with reality


Great thoughts in general.

Re: emphasis on winning is simply framing. This is something worth digging into further.

In any endeavor, there are skills involved that have beauty in them, and the degree to which we optimize for that beauty varies depending on how important other factors are.

I'd argue that in general sports represent examples where competition is the explicit starting point, and thus that is a major place where the analogy here breaks. But of course, some sports are "sports" only because they've been shoehorned in as that. I tend to think of gymnastics here - incredible stuff that now happens to seen primarily as competition, but I'd argue the appeal of gymnastics is really more in watching the physical body in action rather than looking to see "who's best?".

One of the things that I love about about the Harlem Globetrotters - and thus something I love about basketball - is about the fact that their focus really wasn't about winning. They still had a "game" going on that they would "win", but the master was aesthetic rather than competitive.

Good luck finding that with most other team sports. Take the competition our of Gridiron Football, you really don't have anything at all.

Re: all just cause and effect. Not that I'd argue that causality gets ruptured, but I would like to get a shout out to the concept of emergence here. When people hear "cause and effect", I think they tend to think linearly about what's going on, and I tend to think that "transcendence" is all about the nonlinearities which absolutely exist.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#46 » by OhayoKD » Sun Mar 5, 2023 8:59 am

Yeah, so I'm going to start by highlighting what I've said because about half your post is just reiterating my argument without you realizing you're reinforcing my stance:
OhayoKD wrote:
AdagioPace wrote:
70sFan wrote:And then there is volume. Like any modern fictional icon, the work was played and built off so often and so frequently that eventually something larger emerged from the sum of its parts. Not only does Bach come into mind when his own work played, but he's also thought of in the works of thousands of others.

The other half is you effectively conceding the music itself isn't era-transportable:
Today we have thousands of people able to understand, reproduce and imitate what mozart did but it ends right there. No classical musician nowadays, even the most innovative, is dethroning Mozart in the smallest concert hall close to where you live

TLDR: Mozart's music isn't remarkable beyond external context, like...when it was released.
The first mistake you do is trying to give Mozart and Bach's music a quantitative objective characterization (by complexity,or by other criteria)

Uh...yeah, that's not a mistake. That's a necessary step if you want to make a claim(or in your case, counter my claim) about how a text holds up in a vacuum. If you're not interested in explaining what about the music itself is eliciting a personal or societal/cultural response, then you're just arguing for the sake of arguing. Your critique of modern classical music was "i find it boring". But if you can't articulate what shortcoming in the text is producing that boredom, then you have nothing to base your assumptions regarding "era-transportability" off. Perhaps that's why you started the same post conceding Mozart's music is in fact, not era-transportable. But whatever, let's start with some fundamentals.

Music(and all "Art over time/narratives") takes some base and then complicates it. And the coherence of the patterns of complication weighed along with the degree of complication are the primary predictors of perception(and consequently why tools explored in music theory are constantly framed in a narrative lens). Why? Because generally, whatever someone is looking for(escape, meaning, empathy?), it's going to be more potent when it feels "real"(immersion). Reality is seemingly infinitely complex and somehow perfectly coherent. Thus, people generally go for "depth", a product of the number of webs/relationships/and interacting details present in a framework(or a world). But they also want the connections to follow an(at least generally) internally consistent framework, so as not to "break" immersion.

Counterpoint complicates a musical line by placing a second musical line alongside where the relationships between corresponding notes are dictated by frameworks which each contain a bunch of different rules that should generally be adhered to.

Sonata form starts with a base(typically set in a tonic key) and then proceeds to arc(dominant -> tonic(for posterity start with c -> g -> c and you can then move those fingers across the piano(mind the blacknotes!) to mantain the relationship)). before synthesizing for a resolution(which often functions as a set-up for another piece, a proto-album more or less)

And then we have the much maligned "verse-chorus" form, which lay-people describe as a simple low-common denominator format to compel the less sophisticated denizens of 2023 even though it actually is a more complex structure than anything mentioned before. This ensures a base-level of "depth" for a sandbox which, when used well, can produce work no one of mozart or beethoven or bach's time could have dreamed of:
[url][/url]
Keys, chords, blah blah blah, let's talk dynamics. If I can direct your attention to the second verse(1:30), introspective backstory, voice quiets down, percussion simplifies(negative space!!!), and then as the backstory ends, volume ramps up, pitch goes up(towards what we see in the chorus). The verse starts in half-time(you "slow things" by lessening the frequency of instrumentation) and then reverts when we shift from plot to character pay-off. Pay mind to the details. The shift from half-time is set-up with the snap in the downbeat being joined by another, stronger bit of percussion ramping up the frequency. THEN everything escalates, before resolving in the chorus as our character moves from the doldrums of orphan-hood to the satisfaction of not being utterly alone with the imaginary friends his "brilliance" constructed half-way through verse 1.

Let's move to our post-chorus(3:17). Following a pre-chorus with Goshino singing in the same octave as he did for first two iterations of the chorus with diminished orchestration and a slower pace, the climax literally bleeds over into a novel "movement" where the lyrics finally shift from a description of the present to a desired future. This is what "I wanted to talk with you about" was referencing. A lyrical set-up with a payoff that only manifests after countless distinct micro-arcs coalesce into a major one with surgical precision. The vocalization/percussion alone would be "alien" for the renaissance, never mind the lyrical excution(for reference, the operas of the time shifted between a rigid binary of just expositing plot and then just expositing what one felt). Never mind how it elevates when it interacts with a similarly excellent visual companion to create something richer:
https://youtu.be/OoJBMjjIXY4?t=4

This is today's bar to be celebrated as special as opposed to a vacuous flash in the pan. The lack of comparable influence isn't because of "goodness", it's because Goshino is competing with this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=82[/url]
and this:
[url][/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=80[/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=95[/url]
And this:
[url][/url]
It isn't a bunch of white people trying to appease a few rich and powerful elites anymore. The "talent-pool" has expanded by a degree the nba could not dream off. The world now has all the tools and exponentially more people now have access to the discoveries/knowledge that these century-old predecessors were just about hitting the surface off. The idea that Steph Curry helping increase the volume of shots where 2 points becomes 3 points compares to what we've seen in music is crazy.

20 years ago, John Williams created "maybe the greatest soundtrack ever" by simply matching movement and adding stylistic flourishes informed by narrative tone. In the last 3 years, Hilda, Andor, EAOO, Arcane, SS, have all went miles beyond, with sound coloring character, plot relationships, and worlds before then splashing the colors together to create a web far more intricate than the glorified window dressing of yesteryear's classics.

Even if we restrict our discussion to the kiddie-pool of Western classical, the expansion of tones and the use of "cents" represents a bigger shift than the introduction of the-shot clock. The fundamental grammar of music has shifted multiple times over, and you're talking about 3-pointers.

No friend, there are many many mozarts today, taking a diversity of approaches and applying what they've taken away from a virtually endless fountain of knowledge. Imagine Charles Barkley ranting about jump-shooters x 100. That's you.

And no, actually, much of it is driven by science, the very physics of sound. Even the first level of music theory covers the scientific mechanics. And here's where we get to the crux of the matter:
You still study Mozart, you don't get to study Mikan (unless you like his style and it's your favourite player but we're in the personal preference sphere, not in the academical one here).

You may study Mozart in a musical history class, but he is barely mentioned in theory. He was mentioned zero times in composition where one analyzes, engraves and learns how to emulate a plethora of different styles, musical languages, and the specific applications, ranges, and variants of every instrument of the west as well as many, many others to the means of learning how to notate and compose for everything. Why? Because when the goal is to learn how to create and notate(especially the creation and notation of that which is originaL), these white giants from the period of history where westerners pretend everything began have little functional utility.

Mozart is great if you want to understand the history of music, but he doesn't offer anything novel or unique for one trying augment one's own craft, because everything he's done has already been done endlessly and whatever foundations he established have already been transformed into skyscrapers by various similarly capable musicians during the ensuing centuries.

As you've admitted, his relevance has little to do with the music itself, but rather the cultural context surrounding it. And beyond the objective of trying to idolize the past, I don't see the point of pretending otherwise
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#47 » by rk2023 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 9:18 am

OhayoKD wrote:Yeah, so I'm going to start by highlighting what I've said because about half your post is just reiterating my argument without you realizing you're reinforcing my argument:
OhayoKD wrote:
AdagioPace wrote:

The other half is you effectively conceding the music itself isn't era-transportable:
Today we have thousands of people able to understand, reproduce and imitate what mozart did but it ends right there. No classical musician nowadays, even the most innovative, is dethroning Mozart in the smallest concert hall close to where you live

TLDR: Mozart's music isn't remarkable beyond external context, like...when it was released.
The first mistake you do is trying to give Mozart and Bach's music a quantitative objective characterization (by complexity,or by other criteria)

Uh...yeah, that's not a mistake. That's a necessary step if you want to make a claim(or in your case, counter my claim) about how a text holds up in a vacuum. If you're not interested in explaining what about the music itself is eliciting a personal or societal/cultural response, then you're just arguing for the sake of arguing. Your critique of modern classical music was "i find it boring". But if you can't articulate what shortcoming in the text is producing that boredom, then you have nothing to base your assumptions regarding "era-transportability" off. Perhaps that's why you started the same post conceding Mozart's music is in fact, not era-transportable. But whatever, let's start with some fundamentals.

Music(and all "Art over time/narratives") takes some base and then complicates it. And the coherence of the patterns of complication weighed along with the degree of complication are the primary predictors of perception(and consequently why tools explored in music theory are constantly framed in a narrative lens). Why? Because generally, whatever someone is looking for(escape, meaning, empathy?), it's going to be more potent when it feels "real"(immersion). Reality is seemingly infinitely complex and somehow perfectly coherent. Thus, people generally go for "depth", a product of the number of webs/relationships/and interacting details present in a framework(or a world). But they also want the connections to follow an(at least generally) internally consistent framework, so as not to "break" immersion.

Counterpoint complicates a musical line by placing a second musical line alongside where the relationships between corresponding notes are dictated by frameworks which each contain a bunch of different rules that should generally be adhered to.

Sonata form starts with a base(typically set in a tonic key) and then proceeds to arc(dominant -> tonic(for posterity start with c -> g -> c and you can then move those fingers across the piano(mind the blacknotes!) to mantain the relationship)). before synthesizing for a resolution(which often functions as a set-up for another piece, a proto-album more or less)

And then we have the much maligned "verse-chorus" form, which lay-people describe as a simple low-common denominator format to compel the less sophisticated denizens of 2023 even though it actually is a more complex structure than anything mentioned before. This ensures a base-level of "depth" for a sandbox which, when used well, can produce work no one of mozart or beethoven or bach's time could have dreamed of:
[url][/url]
Keys, chords, blah blah blah, let's talk dynamics. If I can direct your attention to the second verse(1:30), introspective backstory, voice quiets down, percussion simplifies(negative space!!!), and then as the backstory ends, volume ramps up, pitch goes up(towards what we see in the chorus). The verse starts in half-time(you "slow things" by lessening the frequency of instrumentation) and then reverts when we shift from plot to character pay-off. Pay mind to the details. The shift from half-time is set-up with the snap in the downbeat being joined by another, stronger bit of percussion ramping up the frequency. THEN everything escalates, before resolving in the chorus as our character moves from the doldrums of orphan-hood to the satisfaction of not being utterly alone with the imaginary friends his "brilliance" constructed half-way through verse 1.

Let's move to our post-chorus(3:17). Following a pre-chorus with Goshino singing in the same octave as he did for first two iterations of the chorus with diminished orchestration and a slower pace, the climax literally bleeds over into a novel "movement" where the lyrics finally shift from a description of the present to a desired future. This is what "I wanted to talk with you about" was referencing. A lyrical set-up with a payoff that only manifests after countless distinct micro-arcs coalesce into a major one with surgical precision. The vocalization/percussion alone would be "alien" for the renaissance, never mind the lyrical excution(for reference, the operas of the time shifted between a rigid binary of just expositing plot and then just expositing what one felt). Never mind how it elevates when it interacts with a similarly excellent visual companion to create something richer:
https://youtu.be/OoJBMjjIXY4?t=4

This is today's bar to be celebrated as special as opposed to a vacuous flash in the pan. The lack of comparable influence isn't because of "goodness", it's because Goshino is competing with this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=82[/url]
and this:
[url][/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=80[/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=95[/url]
And this:
[url][/url]
It isn't a bunch of white people trying to appease a few rich and powerful elites anymore. The "talent-pool" has expanded by a degree the nba could not dream off. The world now has all the tools and exponentially more people now have access to the discoveries/knowledge that these century-old predecessors were just about hitting the surface off. The idea that Steph Curry helping increase the volume of shots where 2 points becomes 3 points compares to what we've seen in music is crazy.

20 years ago, John Williams created "maybe the greatest soundtrack ever" by simply matching movement and adding stylistic flourishes informed by narrative tone. In the last 3 years, Hilda, Andor, EAOO, Arcane, SS, have all went miles beyond, with sound coloring character, plot relationships, and worlds before then splashing the colors together to create a web far more intricate than glorified window dressing.

Even if we restrict our discussion to the kiddie-pool of Western classical, the expansion of tones and the use of "cents" represents a bigger shift than the introduction of the-shot clock. The fundamental grammar of music has shifted multiple times over, and you're talking about 3-pointers.

No friend, there are many many mozarts today, taking a diversity of approaches and applying what they've taken away from a virtually endless fountain of knowledge. Imagine Charles Barkley ranting about jump-shooters x 100. That's you.

And no, actually, much of it is driven by science, the very physics of sound. Even the first level of music theory covers the scientific mechanics. And here's where we get to the crux of the matter:
You still study Mozart, you don't get to study Mikan (unless you like his style and it's your favourite player but we're in the personal preference sphere, not in the academical one here).[/quote]
You may study Mozart in a musical history class, but he is barely mentioned in theory. He was mentioned zero times in composition where one analyzes, engraves and learns how to emulate a plethora of different styles, musical languages, and the specific applications, ranges, and variants of every instrument of the west as well as many, many others to the means of learning how to notate and compose for everything. Why? Because when the goal is to learn how to create and notate(especially the creation and notation of that which is originaL), these white giants from the period of history where westerners pretend everything began have little functional utility.

Mozart is great if you want to understand the history of music, but he doesn't offer anything novel or unique for one trying augment one's own craft, because everything he's done has already been done endlessly and whatever foundations he established have already been transformed into skyscrapers by various similarly capable musicians during the ensuing centuries.

As you've admitted, his relevance has little to do with the music itself, but rather the cultural context surrounding it. And beyond the objective of trying to idolize the past, I don't see the point of pretending otherwise[/quote]

This is why Jokic is the best offensive player of all time.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#48 » by Frosty » Sun Mar 5, 2023 11:50 am

rk2023 wrote:
Frosty wrote:
rk2023 wrote:With better player, I'm thinking peak for peak.

If Jokic maintains or comes near his offensive production in the PS (especially as a playmaker), I think the Duncan comparisons to 2003 could then be only entertained. Even then, Duncan provided enough scoring prowess and ability to hit open shooters to be a sufficient first option on O while arguably having the best defensive run of this century - along with Garnett's 2004/08 campaigns.

Jokic is having the best offensive season of all time (RS wise) in my opinion, but when looking at championship equity - it could be very arguable that Duncan is a +7 player in guesstimated P/M & almost every approach taken to quantify impact loves his 2003 Playoff Run.



Posted this in an earlier forum here. It would require an offensive onslaught and ability to adapt to anything thrown at him in order to warrant comparisons to such an apex from Duncan - whom I see as a top 5-7 single season all time with duplicates excluded. Jokic right now is having a top 10 Regular Season ever, as far as I'm concerned.


I think Jokic might have done ok offensively in the 2003 playoffs in place of Duncan.

1st Round
20 year old Amare guards him....Neither the Suns nor Amare are known for their defense

2nd round
Lakers come in struggling, Kobe just tore his should requiring surgery after this series, Fox goes out for the season, George come in and sprains his ankle . Horry guards Duncan that series.

"Coming into this series, they (the Lakers) decided to let me do what I had to do and shut everybody else down," Duncan said.

Dallas
3 games in Dallas loses Dirk, Bradley and Eschemeyer was already out. They literally have one big left on their bench in Lafrentz. A SF guards Duncan a lot of the time

New Jersey
Kenyon Martin, yet another undersized defender assigned to him. At least he was a decent defender

I can't imagine Jokic would have much problems with any of these guys.


Thank you for the intel. This is just me, but I’m more curious as how each fairs in their respective era - rather than transporting them 20 years into the respective past / future.


I'm mainly pointing out how context to Duncan's 2003 playoff performance is usually ignored. That year was insanely lucky for Duncan and using his stats from that playoffs has to be considered in the context of what was going on.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#49 » by DCasey91 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 12:39 pm

With all due respect to Jokic and his astonishing offensive capacity. It’s clearly Duncan. Offensive hub at his peak, ATG defence imbedded as well is too hard to ignore.

Duncan is fundamentally a perfect player especially for a center as far as I’m concerned. And for bigs priority numero uno is the defensive anchor.

I seriously cannot see any other way except for a Dirk positional role for Jokic and having a stud defensive C by his side that’s how it should be.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#50 » by 70sFan » Sun Mar 5, 2023 12:50 pm

OhayoKD wrote:Yeah, so I'm going to start by highlighting what I've said because about half your post is just reiterating my argument without you realizing you're reinforcing my argument:
OhayoKD wrote:
AdagioPace wrote:

The other half is you effectively conceding the music itself isn't era-transportable:
Today we have thousands of people able to understand, reproduce and imitate what mozart did but it ends right there. No classical musician nowadays, even the most innovative, is dethroning Mozart in the smallest concert hall close to where you live

TLDR: Mozart's music isn't remarkable beyond external context, like...when it was released.
The first mistake you do is trying to give Mozart and Bach's music a quantitative objective characterization (by complexity,or by other criteria)

Uh...yeah, that's not a mistake. That's a necessary step if you want to make a claim(or in your case, counter my claim) about how a text holds up in a vacuum. If you're not interested in explaining what about the music itself is eliciting a personal or societal/cultural response, then you're just arguing for the sake of arguing. Your critique of modern classical music was "i find it boring". But if you can't articulate what shortcoming in the text is producing that boredom, then you have nothing to base your assumptions regarding "era-transportability" off. Perhaps that's why you started the same post conceding Mozart's music is in fact, not era-transportable. But whatever, let's start with some fundamentals.

Music(and all "Art over time/narratives") takes some base and then complicates it. And the coherence of the patterns of complication weighed along with the degree of complication are the primary predictors of perception(and consequently why tools explored in music theory are constantly framed in a narrative lens). Why? Because generally, whatever someone is looking for(escape, meaning, empathy?), it's going to be more potent when it feels "real"(immersion). Reality is seemingly infinitely complex and somehow perfectly coherent. Thus, people generally go for "depth", a product of the number of webs/relationships/and interacting details present in a framework(or a world). But they also want the connections to follow an(at least generally) internally consistent framework, so as not to "break" immersion.

Counterpoint complicates a musical line by placing a second musical line alongside where the relationships between corresponding notes are dictated by frameworks which each contain a bunch of different rules that should generally be adhered to.

Sonata form starts with a base(typically set in a tonic key) and then proceeds to arc(dominant -> tonic(for posterity start with c -> g -> c and you can then move those fingers across the piano(mind the blacknotes!) to mantain the relationship)). before synthesizing for a resolution(which often functions as a set-up for another piece, a proto-album more or less)

And then we have the much maligned "verse-chorus" form, which lay-people describe as a simple low-common denominator format to compel the less sophisticated denizens of 2023 even though it actually is a more complex structure than anything mentioned before. This ensures a base-level of "depth" for a sandbox which, when used well, can produce work no one of mozart or beethoven or bach's time could have dreamed of:
[url][/url]
Keys, chords, blah blah blah, let's talk dynamics. If I can direct your attention to the second verse(1:30), introspective backstory, voice quiets down, percussion simplifies(negative space!!!), and then as the backstory ends, volume ramps up, pitch goes up(towards what we see in the chorus). The verse starts in half-time(you "slow things" by lessening the frequency of instrumentation) and then reverts when we shift from plot to character pay-off. Pay mind to the details. The shift from half-time is set-up with the snap in the downbeat being joined by another, stronger bit of percussion ramping up the frequency. THEN everything escalates, before resolving in the chorus as our character moves from the doldrums of orphan-hood to the satisfaction of not being utterly alone with the imaginary friends his "brilliance" constructed half-way through verse 1.

Let's move to our post-chorus(3:17). Following a pre-chorus with Goshino singing in the same octave as he did for first two iterations of the chorus with diminished orchestration and a slower pace, the climax literally bleeds over into a novel "movement" where the lyrics finally shift from a description of the present to a desired future. This is what "I wanted to talk with you about" was referencing. A lyrical set-up with a payoff that only manifests after countless distinct micro-arcs coalesce into a major one with surgical precision. The vocalization/percussion alone would be "alien" for the renaissance, never mind the lyrical excution(for reference, the operas of the time shifted between a rigid binary of just expositing plot and then just expositing what one felt). Never mind how it elevates when it interacts with a similarly excellent visual companion to create something richer:
https://youtu.be/OoJBMjjIXY4?t=4

This is today's bar to be celebrated as special as opposed to a vacuous flash in the pan. The lack of comparable influence isn't because of "goodness", it's because Goshino is competing with this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=82[/url]
and this:
[url][/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=80[/url]
and this:
[url];list=PLtrwdJsJzWKCTG2NYEEjBU1gkd21wOJoO&index=95[/url]
And this:
[url][/url]
It isn't a bunch of white people trying to appease a few rich and powerful elites anymore. The "talent-pool" has expanded by a degree the nba could not dream off. The world now has all the tools and exponentially more people now have access to the discoveries/knowledge that these century-old predecessors were just about hitting the surface off. The idea that Steph Curry helping increase the volume of shots where 2 points becomes 3 points compares to what we've seen in music is crazy.

20 years ago, John Williams created "maybe the greatest soundtrack ever" by simply matching movement and adding stylistic flourishes informed by narrative tone. In the last 3 years, Hilda, Andor, EAOO, Arcane, SS, have all went miles beyond, with sound coloring character, plot relationships, and worlds before then splashing the colors together to create a web far more intricate than glorified window dressing.

Even if we restrict our discussion to the kiddie-pool of Western classical, the expansion of tones and the use of "cents" represents a bigger shift than the introduction of the-shot clock. The fundamental grammar of music has shifted multiple times over, and you're talking about 3-pointers.

No friend, there are many many mozarts today, taking a diversity of approaches and applying what they've taken away from a virtually endless fountain of knowledge. Imagine Charles Barkley ranting about jump-shooters x 100. That's you.

And no, actually, much of it is driven by science, the very physics of sound. Even the first level of music theory covers the scientific mechanics. And here's where we get to the crux of the matter:
You still study Mozart, you don't get to study Mikan (unless you like his style and it's your favourite player but we're in the personal preference sphere, not in the academical one here).

You may study Mozart in a musical history class, but he is barely mentioned in theory. He was mentioned zero times in composition where one analyzes, engraves and learns how to emulate a plethora of different styles, musical languages, and the specific applications, ranges, and variants of every instrument of the west as well as many, many others to the means of learning how to notate and compose for everything. Why? Because when the goal is to learn how to create and notate(especially the creation and notation of that which is originaL), these white giants from the period of history where westerners pretend everything began have little functional utility.

Mozart is great if you want to understand the history of music, but he doesn't offer anything novel or unique for one trying augment one's own craft, because everything he's done has already been done endlessly and whatever foundations he established have already been transformed into skyscrapers by various similarly capable musicians during the ensuing centuries.

As you've admitted, his relevance has little to do with the music itself, but rather the cultural context surrounding it. And beyond the objective of trying to idolize the past, I don't see the point of pretending otherwise

I appreciate the effort, it's a very good post. Unfortunately my knowledge about classical music is way too limited to say anything else :lol:
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#51 » by 70sFan » Sun Mar 5, 2023 1:38 pm

Now when we run a full circle the question remains - is having the access to more knowledge (and of course taking advantage of it) makes you a better player/sciencist/compositor? To be honest, I have no idea.

When we study someone like Plato or Aristotle, we just know that these people were geniuses in every sense of this word... even though a lot of their conclusions were wrong or weakly backed up. It doesn't matter though, Plato influenced human thought in European civilization more than any man in history probably (excluding Jesus literally being in different tier than anyone). His work transcendented human history, even though we know a lot more than him about many aspects of reality. Would we say that Platon had it easier because of smaller talent pool? I don't think it's true. As I said, all eras have different obstacles to overcome. We have many brilliant minds in every year of human existance, but very few are remembered in such way. I don't think it's just the product of our culture, some people achievements are "era-transferable" and it makes them "better" in a given area in my eyes.

Maybe it isn't fair for modern times, but I don't think time machine argument is fair either way. If you place a brilliant modern scientist into Plato's world, he wouldn't be able to solve a lot of scientific problems these people dealt with - because people rarely have such broad knowledge. Every man is in part a product of his/her time, but some of them transcendent it. That's why I don't like focusing only on "era-relative" or "absolute" arguments in such discussions. They have to be more nuanced than that.
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#52 » by MyUniBroDavis » Sun Mar 5, 2023 6:03 pm

Wtf is going on
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#53 » by LA Bird » Sun Mar 5, 2023 6:26 pm

All this discussion about music reminds me of

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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#54 » by GeorgeMarcus » Sun Mar 5, 2023 6:38 pm

OhayoKD wrote:.


Taro is such a good song, Alt J is next on my bucket list of concerts
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#55 » by Fadeaway_J » Sun Mar 5, 2023 6:39 pm

LA Bird wrote:All this discussion about music reminds me of


God bless Bill Walton :lol:
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#56 » by JimmyFromNz » Mon Mar 6, 2023 1:54 am

LA Bird wrote:All this discussion about music reminds me of



Like many other timeless moments...Jordan's shot, the malice at the palace, the 2007
Celtics trade, I remember exactly where I was that day listening to Bill call this game :lol:
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Re: Nikola Jokic vs Tim Duncan - who is the better player? 

Post#57 » by khaltheball » Mon Mar 6, 2023 11:12 pm

As much as I like jokic and always found Duncan offence a bit meh …. This conversation is very strange to me. I’m assuming most saying jokic has a case are basing it on some level on impact metrics . Are we just talking regular season here? Personally I value very little someone who only impacts the regular season. Jokic is far better offensively then Duncan but I’m not sure Jokic will ever win a ring outside of having AD/Giannis at the 4 or getting incredibly lucky. People say he has had mediocre defensive rosters but he’s a huge reason why : he basically has zero impact on rim fg %. A 38 year old Lebron James is a better rim protector then he is. It also should be pointed out even with bad defensive team mates he gets attacked just as much if not more then guys like MPJ who was a seive in 2020. Shaq is the closest example of an offensive centre with meh defense winning it all and even he was much better relative to era on D. Also I’m not one to cherry pick but his play off on/off numbers are alarming. Not in a good way and I don’t think I can reasonably argue it as noise, his last three years ( years I watched him ) :

On court. On/off
21/22: -14.4 -16.5
20/21: -8.4. -8.2
19/20: -3.5. -3

Jokic playoff career is +3 overall. Nothing to indicate he’s done historic juggernaut. Let’s compare his on/off to Embid someone who’s had even less playoff success :

21/22: +4.6. +11.3
20/21: +14.7. +19.9
19/20. : -21.2. -32.9 ( yikes that sweep cs Celtics hurt)

Embid playoff career is +15: very surprising to me considering his meh playoffs/injuries. Ultimately need more data and to see how jokic performs this year but it’s unlikely 3 whole years spanning 3 won and 3 lost series are all noise. Obv jokic is still great offensively but his defence is bleeding value heavily and I’m not sure what’s the argument for this not being the case.

Giannis ( on court then on/off):

21/22: +7.7. +28.8
20/21: +7.5. +8.0
19/20: +2.2. +2.4

Even when Giannis melt downed cs raptors he was+3.2 on/off and +10.4 on court with his team. His overall playoff on/off is +8.5. He was bad vs Miami and still that year looks nothing like jokic numbers.

The last big of note is AD who got basically swept by the warriors but still has a +12.3 on/off. Anyway not attacking Jokic because someone else pointed out these numbers and I had to look it up myself . I believe at some point last year opponents were scoring 68%+ at the rim vs the nuggets which is last I checked. Jokic is consistently around -0rim fg% . I’ve also seen people say the entire history of the nba : if jokic wins he’d be a big outlier. I think it’s been very difficult to win with a mediocre defensive 4. A 5 I wonder if is near impossible no matter how good an offensive engine he is. I woukd think the nuggets would have a very difficult series with their rim defense vs teams with worse records . How do people rational this data other then say we need more sample size ( fair but then I can’t be on board it’s all time seasons ).

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