Dr Aki wrote:On the one hand, you've previously said DLo was a negative contract. Well if he was negative, then Conley had to be MORE NEGATIVE, and thus required NAW and 3 SRPs to bridge the difference in value.
But apparently Conley's not negative, but is instead a positive contract. You would've kept Conley for LA and cut Minnesota out. So then explain why Utah and LA were willingly giving up assets to move him? On Ainge's end, it's because Utah clearly wanted the cap space. From Pelinka's end, he preferred youth.
Dr. Aki, your entire premise on trade value relies on the idea that the Lakers would still agree to the Jazz trade AFTER Kyrie became a possibility this summer. In fact you specifically said this:
Dr Aki wrote:The trade between the Lakers and Jazz had already been agreed to in principle (Westbrook/JTA/Jones/2027 FRP for Conley/Beasley/Vando) until Kyrie demanded a trade and the Lakers asked the Jazz to hold off a bit to see if they could land Kyrie
I think it’s highly likely that when Kyrie became available, the Lakers pulled the trade, because retaining an expiring Westbrook, and not Conley’s two year deal, kept that door open to get Kyrie next year.
So put yourself in Ainge’s shoes. If this trade doesn’t go through, he maintains a bunch of role players he doesn’t need, and an ex-All Star in Conley. He already traded both Gobert and Donovan Mitchell to try to rebuild, but these players are keeping him in contention. Plus he loses the chance to turn the pile into the lightly protected Lakers future 1st! OR .. he can throw some minor assets to Minnesota to save the trade. Love DLo or hate him, he is still an expiring, which keeps the Kyrie door open.
This valuation
BY UTA does not mean DLo is positive overall, or that Conley is positive overall. We don’t know what Conley could have been traded for elsewhere. What we do know is that saving the trade and getting the Lakers 1st was worth NAW and seconds
to Ainge. Moreover, the fact that Ainge couldn’t get Pelinka to help meet Connelly’s extra price (not even paying one of the three 2nds!) suggests that the Lakers don’t see DLo as incredibly valuable and were willing to walk away from the trade. But as I’ve mentioned, when all three teams have such widely different usage for the assets involved, there is a lot of extra value for each team to lap up, and the GM’s can negotiate to try to get more of it, hoping the other guy blinks first.