JMAC3 wrote:Hal14 wrote:1) There's been plenty of them who did work out. John Wall, Derrick Rose, D'Aaron Fox, Ja Morant, Russell Westbrook, Kemba Walker, etc. Seems like the hit rate is VERY high when these types of guys go in the top 10. How many athletic PG's who were consensus top 3 picks didn't work out in the past decade?
Well since I already stated there has been 1 pg under 6-4 drafted in the top 4 over the last decade. Ja Morant. The answer would be zero.
But the problem is the NBA tends to sniff these guys out before they are drafted and majority of them fall outside the top 3 by draft night.
Austin Rivers was once a star highschool prospect and the #1 player in the country. If he had went the gleague route back then and played 20 games vs grown men and people wrote off his bad shooting % as being 18 vs tough competition he probably would of went higher.
but lets just look at small guards who went top 10 that really didn't work out.
Trey Burke, Emmanuel Mudiay, Dennis Smith Jr, Collin Sexton, Killian Hayes, Suggs
These guys all had hype at different points to go higher than where they ended up going, but then went lower than expected in most cases ala what I think happens to Scoot.
Trae and Garland should have been top 4 clearly. But 5 is close enough to your arbitrary cutoff. Kyrie was the top pick in 2012 also a year before your arbitrary time frame.
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