Bensational wrote:Wow, I didn’t realise you were so low on Paolo and Franz’s potential. I mean, your plan to add a high volume 3pt shooting PG is certainly to mitigate that our lead scorers currently aren’t that.
Why don’t you try answering the question I’ve asked you which you’ve ghosted both times I’ve asked it previously? How do you plan to control the variance of the 3pt shot and reality most players miss 2/3 shots? How do you game plan to make sure they hit those shots when you need them most without adding Steph Curry? FVV? The guy with a worse TS% than Fultz? Who’s going to mitigate FVV’s terrible %’s from 2?
I want Paolo and Franz to become as good as they possibly can become. But if they both *need* to become All-NBA caliber players to mitigate Fultz's shortcomings like Tatum and Brown did to mitigate Smart's (and this isn't even factoring in that Smart has won Defensive Player of the Year and is a caliber of defender that Fultz is not and won't likely ever be), then it stands to reason to me that it would be a whole lot easier to just find somebody to replace Fultz than it would be to bank on both of those guys becoming top 15 NBA players.
You keep talking about controlling the variance from 3PT and that's the wrong way to look at it. There's going to be variance game to game. That's simply unavoidable. They don't call the NBA a "make or miss" league for nothing. If you shoot poorly from 3PT or don't make a lot of 3PT, you're always going to be significantly more likely to lose.
The key is staying connected. It's easier, in my opinion, to have sustained success offensively if you're at least able to stay connected to your opponent from 3PT which the Magic rarely are able to do. One of the main reasons (not the only reason) is because their primary ball handler doesn't take or make threes.
As far as VanVleet goes, he mitigates his own low 2PT% in some ways by being heavy volume from 3PT. He's a career .373 shooter from 3PT. That is 1.119 points per shot attempt. That is the equivalent to shooting 55.95% from 2PT.
FVV mitigates his low 2PT% in some ways by getting to the line at a much higher rate than Fultz and making nearly 90% from there.
FVV mitigates his own low 2PT% in some ways by assuming a heavier ball handling load than Fultz (84 touches per game compared to 67 for Fultz), but being significant lower turnover (10.2 TOV% for FVV compared to 15.9 TOV% for Fultz). Obviously fewer turnovers = more shot attempts.
