70sFan wrote:dygaction wrote:Again, you go back to not able to defend your position but resort to question other people's credentials. Do you call me bluffing if I tell you I have a PhD in Physics?
I don't need to defend anything. I already explained why you don't have a point here.
If you don't understand the difference between standard deviation in a process that is optimized for a certain value (industry, long jump competition) and in a random variable on a given population (height, weight), then I am pretty sure you don't have PhD in physics.The league is indeed drawing talents from billions, as across the world every boy with talents almost always guaranteed to be discovered,
This is an American bubble at its finestThe vast majority of the world population has no chance to play in the NBA for a number of reasons. The physical tools necessary to play professional basketball makes your billions estimation laughable. Add to that the fact that most countries are not a part of the NBA talent pool and you'd be lucky to get 1% of your estimation.
So throughout this thread you have
1. claimed current players' stats have higher standard deviation or outliers than 60s, factually wrong;
2. brushed 51% and 70% standard deviation/mean as the same, factually wrong;
3. assuming standard deviation should increase with mean increase, no base at all.
but hey, attacking me as don't know statistics must solve all the problems.
One more example for you, league scoring average vs. standard deviation:
2023: 114.7ppg with 2.78ppg STDEV;
1961: 118.8ppg with 4.49ppg STDEV;
Don't tell me the ratios are the same. 1.71ppg STDEV difference is HUGE, because at the 60s, good teams crushed others and the bad teams sucked much harder than nowadays. Large standard deviation almost always happens in weaker competitions.