RCM88x wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:RCM88x wrote:What future assets did they spend? Pretty much on all fronts those moves midseason where eyed at the future post Lebron, they improved their collection future assets. They were way better off in 2019 having made those moves than they would have been otherwise. Trading a bunch of old role players on expiring deals for young guys who they could use in the future. If anything I think the team was probably worse post trade and probably would have ended up in the same spot regardless of those moves. Not sure why Lebron is to blame for that or how that effects his on court value. The Cavs were just acting in a sub-optimal way (as they often do) and seized the opportunity to punt on a season where they had a contending team to prepare for the future. They clearly though they still would be decent since they gave Kevin Love a massive contract that offseason that immediately made him un-tradeable, probably because the owner was acting out of spite and controlling a young GM.
I don't agree with your analysis of this situation at all, and I am not really interested in arguing about it more. If you're going to take the position that Lebron made that team worse, fine, I just think it's just completely ridiculous.
You know what, let's grant the premise. Lebron James cost the Cleveland Cavaliers the 25th pick of the draft thereby hurting their future prospects. fine.
He also got his next team Anthony Davis:
https://www.si.com/nba/2018/12/28/anti-tampering-memo-nba-lebron-james-anthony-davis
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2797206-pelicans-anthony-davis-signs-with-lebron-james-klutch-sports-agency
Aside from going toe to toe with Curry individually with one foot on 65k minutes, Lebron also secured a top tier player to potentially end a dynasty? intangibles!
And yes, Lebron did punch something, after seeing an 80% ft shooter miss two ft's(which Lebron created) and JR JR to thwart a likely win, limiting himself to...still-better-than-steph production against a much better defense, true!
But is that really worse than Steph's habit of getting ejected(thus not being able to contribute at all) for making his mouthpiece a projectile?
This is a comparative exercise. Lebron doing something bad means nothinginofitself.
It's neat you like delving into extra-circulars, but let's not be so selective.
Speaking of...
When I bring up a stat that points in a particular direction, I'm not saying that that stat alone should be discussed as defining the entirety of the situation.
When you only bring up that one stat and then your conclusions seem to follow what it(and it alone) suggests, then yes it will end up "defining the situation".
As I(and others) have covered(and you have not yet addressed or acknowledged), more stable data, more inclusive data, and larger empirical samples(per-game and per-season), all seem to agree that Lebron's impact is far off Steph(and anyone else from the last 20 years) per-possession, never mind overall. Considering that Steph has seen his minutes closely tied to an even bigger impact generator(at least statistically), giving on/off more focus than everything else is odd. Okay, RAPM is not a single metric(though Lebron scoring much higher than Steph seems to hold universally), but the pattern holds when we look at specific linueps(30+ Lebron provides comparable rs lift and then his teams get substantially better Lebron lineups improving, with or without his co-stars), and the gap only widens when we take out Lebron entirely.
Without Lebron(who playedliterally twice much as Steph in 17/18), the 18-19 cavs were a 19-win team with a SRS-9.6(a 10-point regression from the previous year). When we go with wins added, Lebron consistently scores higher in the adjusted-stuff. It's one thing to argue Steph was worth more per possession(that is actually supported). But clinging to the nosiest stuff there is to effectively argue Steph was twice as good as Lebron is bizarre.
What's even weirder is that you neglect to mention that on/off favored Lebron in the 16, 17, and 18 postseasons(you gave 2 of those years to Curry). The playoff stuff also favored Durant that year. If that doesn't matter because of what Durant has proven "again and again" before and after, then why should we ignore what Lebron(and the cavs) demonstrated before, after, and and even during?(with the exception of this one thing that sees them as peers and is obviously skewed by draymond)?
But we really get out-of-pocket when we start talking "accomplishment".
Doctor MJ wrote:Cavsfansince84 wrote:Doctor MJ wrote: Many teams that win titles are way less dialed in rounds 1 or 2 than they are for the conf finals or finals when they know they need to hit another gear. Also, Steph missed round 1 and in that game they lost to NO he goes 6-19 in 28 minutes. Houston was a 65 win team in the wcf so no explanation required I think why they were able to nearly beat the Warriors. LeBron otoh was on a 50 win team that year so that's the context under which he led his team to a finals while probably having the most overall flawless playoff run on a game to game basis we've seen in a long time. I mean he maybe had one off game out of the 22 they played that playoffs and swept the 1 seed. So idk what basis Steph has over LeBron that year other than his team was much better and could afford to have him miss entire series. Also worth noting that the Cavs closed out the season after those trades going 11-3 to get the 4 seed while the Warriors sort of coasted to 58 wins.
Fair enough, it's possible that there were other teams capable of getting swept by the Warriors.
Yeah, uh, why didn't you address or acknowledge that Steph played a combined 28-minutes in those 2 losses? Why are you only looking at the finals?
The Cavs swept a +7 SRS Raptors side(basically a healthy variant of the 89 Cavs), beat a celtics side that went 14-8 without Kyrie(+1.8 Net) and dominated the +4.5 srs 76ers, and edged a 45-win(by record and srs) Pacers side in their worst performance of the playoffs.
Yeah the east was weak, but those cavs were comfortably a 50+ win playoff team that peaked with 60+ basketball vs Toronto. The next year they won 19 games without 82 games of "+1.9 on/off" Lebron(25ish win, -3.5 net if you only look at Kevin Love minutes). That is historic-looking lift, and if you think none of those qualify as "achievements", I'm skeptical you're applying that standard consistently.
That raw "lift" is also corroborated by the stable-adjusted stuff, on/off, and Lebron outright killing Steph in terms of box-production. And that's before we get to the finals where Lebron outscored and outcreated Curry facing a dynastic defense, while also directing his team on both ends of the court and facing significantly more defensive attention, for the 4th time in a row(granted their creation was actually similar in 2017, but their defensive contributions were not).
Never mind that Steph missed a round and a half(just like he did in 16), never mind that he and his team folded when they faced adversity(losing to a significantly less talented Rockets team before their second best player got hurt), and never mind that Steph's own teammate outproduced and outvalued him(at least statistically), just like Lebron did.
Lebron would proceed to look just as valuable aged 33-38(and yes, that can easily be argued for the first two-rounds of 2023's playoffs), just as he looked more valuable the previous two postseasons(yes, even by on/off!), and really three when we care for context like lineups, minutes played, and sample size. Yet you gave Steph 3 of those 4 years(including 2 where he's out-on/offed) and are alleging Lebron didn't really accomplish anything in a year he played literally twice as much in the regular season, nearly twice as much in the postseason, and was more valuable per-possession anyway in the games that mattered most. If we're going to say Steph "accomplished more" we may as well just count the rings.
Frankly, I think Chuck might be on to something:
Texas Chuck wrote:I'm pretty high on KG. I think he's a top 15 all-time guy. Just find it odd that we have some really vocal posters with some clear offensive requirements that waive them exclusively for that player.
I'm not anti-KG, though I know I have that rep. I'm against anytime we make exceptions for singular players. We see this same thing with Curry right now. The exact same narrative that certain posters use as a negative for literally every other player, they spin as a positive for Curry because he's become the poster boy for how they think basketball must be played.
Some of the theory guys fall in love with certain players and don't seem to realize its become a blind spot for them in their otherwise objective evaluation process. Once they decide a player is idealized, they reverse engineer to make sure that player is GOATed.
For all the hulabaloo regarding "gravity", when we look at just about anything besides Dray-inflated on/off, Steph doesn't really have a strong empirical claim to even be this a distant 2nd(Duncan and KG both are clearly ahead value-wise when accounting for minutes played/total # of possessions) let alone a candidate for #1.