canz55 wrote:HumbleRen wrote:canz55 wrote:Respectfully; anyone who wagers on Celtics coming back from 0-3 to win would be a fool.
It's never happened for a reason.
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Possibly but if there was ever a scenario that it could happen in ? It's this series.
And I'd say you are a prisoner of the moment.
There's simply too much runway for the Celtics to stay hot and for the Heat to remain cold.
If there was a series altering injury/player absence I'd be more inclined to agree but that's not the case.
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1. Boston doesn't need to "stay hot" and Miami "remain cold" though. Boston was the 2nd ranked offence all season and an elite three-point shooting team (#2 in makes, #2 in attempts and #6 in 3FG%) while Miami was the 25th ranked offence and was a bad three-point shooting team (17th in makes and 10th in attempts but 27th in 3FG%). If both teams shoot within the realm of their abilities, Boston more than likely wins the next two games too.
2. The fact that Miami is still without Herro (#1 in attempts, makes and 3FG% on Miami during the season) for the rest of the series and potentially Vincent (11/22 on 3FGA this series), it gives the Heat a lot less room for error. Considering that Miami also had Martin (12/26) shooting lights out behind the arc while most of Boston's highest scorers were struggling in the first 4 games of the series (Tatum+Brown+Smart+Brogdon+Horford were a combined 27/106), it's not unreasonable to think Boston can continue to hit ~15 threes per game while Miami is in the 10-12 range.
3. Again, this is not a typical scenario of a team being down 0-3 as it's the #2 seed (who many consider/considered legitimate contenders) matched up against the #7 seed (who was a mediocre team all season but recently caught fire).
If there was ever a team with a legitimate shot at coming all the way back, it's this Boston team against this Miami team. Miami just doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Boston most nights. Banking on them hitting 15+ threes again and/or Butler scoring 35+ points is pretty unrealistic. The only reason why they're up 3-2 now is because two average shooters in Martin and Vincent turned into Steph for the first 3-4 games while Boston's best players were bricking wide open threes and the entire team defence (which was #2 during the season) was out of sorts.
We the Champs...
