DusterBuster wrote:Yes and no. I mean, Dame was a reach at 6 in a pretty solid 3-4 person draft. MKG was a don’t miss top prospect in that draft. So while I agree with your point, I also think it depends. What’s the offer out there to “appease Dame”? We talking OG or Siakam? I know not everyone is on board with Siakam, but there’s a significant difference in the two (just first comp in mind).
Im a big believer in taking a sure thing over the potential of a pick, but I want a legit All Star talent. Siakam is, OGs not, is my point of that comp. So if Scoots not there, but Miller is and Siakam is on the table, I would take Siakam over Miller
Salary makes that a bit of a more difficult call, as it is going to require us giving up much more than just the #3 to get him. It would require Simons and Nurkic pretty much, meaning we would have to fill those holes with cheaper inferior players. And having Siakam, Dame and Grant all on big contracts means we would really only go as far as those guys could take us, no guarantee there. Siakam is also on an expiring contract which would be pretty problematic to give up a top 3 pick if something happened and we did not resign him, but in order to keep him he is going to require a massive contract knowing that he has our balls over the fire because we paid so much to get him. I get that Siakam is just an example here but any high paid all NBA player would present some similar risks.
All that against having a solid potentially starting caliber player on a rookie contract that is also a blue chip trade value if some awesome player becomes available, yeah I get that there are risks with drafting but if you hit it is sooooo much better, you have more salary flexibility and fungible trade assets. And at this point I think most of us are hoping Portland takes the big swings at a home run rather than bunts or balls for one base gains (sorry to mix sports metaphors).
I will be honest, with Miller I see shades of Josh Jackson as a low end comp. Really similar in some ways and goes to show how much focus and a players mentality makes a difference. It would be pretty silly to not trade Josh Jackson for Siakam even if you have to figure out the money somehow, so there is absolutely a risk no matter what you end up doing.