dsg2021 wrote:Big picture, trades seems to be opening up more in this next half decade. This makes drafting even more of a crap-shoot in terms how you’re filling your team out. Because trades will be there. And maybe even a blockbuster one.
So I had two lines of thought with this draft within the big picture.
You study MIA and how they are one of the most impressive Finalists to not go all the way. They showed us just how much you can squeeze out of a team and a couple stars if you genuinely draft for shooting, fit, and culture. You also raise the value of your pieces all around you.
In this line of thought, you might go with choices like Gradey Dick, Taylor Hendricks, Jordan Hawkins, and more. (Edit: Post-draft, Magic stole a piece of MIA's culture going Jett Howard with Juwan.)
Or you study something more bolder and it’s about homeruns and insane asset accumulation. What’s crazy about Bilal to me is he can theoretically fit both this and above.
The next line of thought is about the cap sheet and it’s ebb and flow within team construction and asset accumulation. And I believe we still have the flexibility and the rookie contract years remaining to keep swinging big and crazy, even if it costs us a 44 win season next year. In this light, the swing for Bilal makes sense. (Edit: Post-draft the line of thought was there but with Black instead of Bilal)
And the choice of other prospects has these two perspectives behind them as well too. And yet still, (despite BPA making too much sense still) a shooter makes a ton of sense again, like a Gradey Dick or Jordan Hawkins at #11. Because there are many. And one of these MANY SHOOTERS is not like the others, and will be a piece that is a little too unique and better than an average NBA sharpshooter.
Players I like (in no order) -
Cam Whitmore, Taylor Hendricks, Bilal Coulilaby, Gradey Dick, Scoot Henderson, Jalen Hood-Schifino, Brandon Miller, Jordan Hawkins, Colby Jones, Ben Sheppard, Brice Sensabaugh, Brandon Podzmoeski, Jett Howard
I said this earlier in the thread because in the end you need to think as big picture as you can as well. With our cap sheet outlook and the high number of rookie contract years remaining that we can manipulate (namely, Paolo and Franz), it made too much sense to take a swing at an upside BPA.
For me, all of that made sense with someone like Bilal, taken what, one pick right after Black, because Bilal's upside is Paul George. Black's upside, on the other hand, is someone who is going to keep the ball more and more out of the hands of our two point forwards. And not be a strong shooter at first, at least. So yeah, I think a lot of it revolved around the fact that we were doing just fine in a lot of ways with Fultz as a lead guard, maybe finding shooting elsewhere in the future. And now we have potentially a better Fultz.
What really thrills me about Jett Howard is the fact the Magic genuinely don't search for shooting in the draft. And they took him.
And then not only did they take a shooter, they went out, had a large pool of like 6-7 sharp-shooting wings in front of them, and with everything they researched and analyzed on the tape said, "It's him out of 6 semi-similar players." I'll absolutely trust them on this pick and say we may have found some #8th pick Franz Wagner magic in a draft that was supposed to be a little bit more about #5 pick Jalen Suggs at first.