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Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6

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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#41 » by TheGeneral99 » Tue Sep 19, 2023 6:55 pm

PhilBlackson wrote:Scottie MUST average 20+ppg next season (end of rookie contract is the absolute limit tbh) if I'm going to have any faith that he'll be a future superstar in this league.

Even if I try to allow some minor grace for it to be next season (at the LATEST) for him to do so, I still won't feel that optimistic about being a future MVP type of player if he can't do so this year. For the vast majority of true superstar players, it's painfully obvious they are going to be on another level by the time their rookie contract is through but generally speaking it's their 3rd year that they start announcing their arrival. Given how public Darko has been about this being Scottie's team, how they're going to look to run much of the offence through him & the previously 2nd highest scorer on the team is now outta the way (FVV) - there's simply no excuse not to make a SIGNIFICANT jump, unless you ain't "him".

Scottie is going to have to START showing he is "him" THIS season -- adding just 2-3+ ppg for me will not pass for that.


Just for comparison - Jokic averaged 18ppg, 11rpg and 6apg in his 3rd season.

If Scottie can average around 18ppg, 8rpg and 7apg on solid shooting splits I will be happy. The real test for Scottie will be whether he can sustain solid efficiency on higher usage. I am more concerned with that.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#42 » by Merit » Tue Sep 19, 2023 8:00 pm

Mikistan wrote:
Potential wrote:I have a feeling he will be top 20 in MVP voting next season. Big time breakout year ahead.

Scottie's going down top 3 all time, and he ain't 3rd.


I hope you're right because then I sure wouldn't be chatting about Fred or Dame!
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#43 » by Merit » Tue Sep 19, 2023 8:02 pm

Reeko wrote:Will be surprised if he doesn't firmly establish himself as a top 15 player this season and clearly ahead of everyone else in his draft class. Cade and Jalen are mediocre, Franz is good but has a limited ceiling, Mobley is really just Tyson Chandler 2.0, and Giddey is a traffic cone on defense. Scottie likely finishes top 10 in MVP voting this season.


If Scottie is in the MVP conversation we'll be talking way less about any other options and more about how to surround him with talent to ensure that he thrives. As a Raps fan first I hope you're right!
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#44 » by pilkoids » Tue Sep 19, 2023 8:21 pm

Merit wrote:
Reeko wrote:Will be surprised if he doesn't firmly establish himself as a top 15 player this season and clearly ahead of everyone else in his draft class. Cade and Jalen are mediocre, Franz is good but has a limited ceiling, Mobley is really just Tyson Chandler 2.0, and Giddey is a traffic cone on defense. Scottie likely finishes top 10 in MVP voting this season.


If Scottie is in the MVP conversation we'll be talking way less about any other options and more about how to surround him with talent to ensure that he thrives. As a Raps fan first I hope you're right!


How's this going to happen without Pascal taking a back-seat on offence?
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#45 » by Duffman100 » Tue Sep 19, 2023 8:31 pm

pilkoids wrote:
Merit wrote:
Reeko wrote:Will be surprised if he doesn't firmly establish himself as a top 15 player this season and clearly ahead of everyone else in his draft class. Cade and Jalen are mediocre, Franz is good but has a limited ceiling, Mobley is really just Tyson Chandler 2.0, and Giddey is a traffic cone on defense. Scottie likely finishes top 10 in MVP voting this season.


If Scottie is in the MVP conversation we'll be talking way less about any other options and more about how to surround him with talent to ensure that he thrives. As a Raps fan first I hope you're right!


How's this going to happen without Pascal taking a back-seat on offence?


If Scottie is so good he’s in the MVP race it really won’t matter. Multiple teams have multiple high usage guys.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#46 » by HumbleRen » Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:07 pm

i know rico hines means nothing but damn, scottie easily looks like the best player on the court lol
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#47 » by pilkoids » Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:23 pm

Duffman100 wrote:
pilkoids wrote:
Merit wrote:
If Scottie is in the MVP conversation we'll be talking way less about any other options and more about how to surround him with talent to ensure that he thrives. As a Raps fan first I hope you're right!


How's this going to happen without Pascal taking a back-seat on offence?


If Scottie is so good he’s in the MVP race it really won’t matter. Multiple teams have multiple high usage guys.


My point is he's not going to get the opportunity to establish himself as that behind Pascal.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#48 » by Duffman100 » Tue Sep 19, 2023 9:25 pm

pilkoids wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
pilkoids wrote:
How's this going to happen without Pascal taking a back-seat on offence?


If Scottie is so good he’s in the MVP race it really won’t matter. Multiple teams have multiple high usage guys.


My point is he's not going to get the opportunity to establish himself as that behind Pascal.


If he’s good enough, of course he will. And multiple team have players with high usage rates.

Scottie being help back because other players is a myth and ridiculous.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#49 » by TNRaps4life » Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:02 pm

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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#50 » by anotherhomer » Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:04 pm

HumbleRen wrote:i know rico hines means nothing but damn, scottie easily looks like the best player on the court lol


I saw the clip in its entirety..

He look so so in half court
He showed a bit more but overall isn't making that jump
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#51 » by sbsat » Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:08 pm

anotherhomer wrote:
HumbleRen wrote:i know rico hines means nothing but damn, scottie easily looks like the best player on the court lol


I saw the clip in its entirety..

He look so so in half court
He showed a bit more but overall isn't making that jump


Wow buzzkill
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#52 » by PhilBlackson » Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:34 pm

Duffman100 wrote:
pilkoids wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
If Scottie is so good he’s in the MVP race it really won’t matter. Multiple teams have multiple high usage guys.


My point is he's not going to get the opportunity to establish himself as that behind Pascal.


If he’s good enough, of course he will. And multiple team have players with high usage rates.

Scottie being help back because other players is a myth and ridiculous.


Hmmm I wouldn't say "held back" was accurate but there were some innate issues with offence ie/ Fred was 2nd in the pecking order. I'm not saying it as one of those posters just looking to tear into Fred, idc he's gone, he did get a bit greedy but Nick also decided to run the offence that way. Him & Pascal were the defacto leaders and then ofc you have both OG & Gary wanting to establish themselves as next in line, there just wasn't a CLEAR PATH is what I would say especially if it wasn't BUILT IN (which it clearly wasn't).

Nick never "held back" Scottie, that is actually a myth, he did on several occasions publicly SAY he wanted Scottie to do more & was open to it HOWEVER he didn't uplift him or put him in a position to really excel either. He was really just another guy in the mix most nights and if he got going that's where the disappointment came where Scottie himself either wasn't engaged early enough or he would get lost back in the shuffle as Nick decides to feed his vets more down the stretch. Although Scottie needs to own some of the fact he didn't TAKE the reins either.

NOW if Darko is being forthcoming about the team's desire to run the offence through Scottie, as opposed to him just trying to find his own spots (for the most part) within the offence --- well I just EXPECT that he SHOULD make a substantial jump. But will he is of course all on him. But in the past, no he wasn't held back but he wasn't uplifted either and the numbers directly reflect that. If Scottie's usage is anywhere near Pascal's which considering Scottie should likely be the one initiating the offence more often than Pascal, he should have fairly good control whether or not he wants to takeover a bit more or just get the team going. But the USAGE needs to change and of course we're all expecting it will, it's on Scottie now.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#53 » by HumbleRen » Tue Sep 19, 2023 10:42 pm

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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#54 » by Spates » Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:29 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Spates wrote:
HiJiNX wrote:I actually think Aaron Gordon in Denver’s system is a really impactful player. Of course, the ways he and Barnes impact the game is much different, but I wouldn’t necessarily throw out the Gordon number either. He plugs a lot of holes as a connector who can pass, finish, rebound offensively and sometimes knock down a corner three. Perfect fit in Denver. They are noticeably worse on both ends when he’s not on the floor in my opinion.

With respect to Barnes, he has the ball much more often as a creator than Gordon does, so while Gordon is an elite connector, if he was in Barnes’ role here maybe the stats would show something different than what we are seeing. Like ATLTimekeeper said, the hope is that Scottie can produce efficient offence, which I think is more than possible once he gets comfortable leaning on his strengths and develops a decent foul line jumper.

I know there are worries about him developing a jumper, and as far as three point range goes, I agree. Generally speaking, I think being elite from deep is something some guys have and something other guys never will, but as far as a midrange jumper goes, anybody can get quite good there. There’s a long list of guys in Barnes’ size range who developed this in the league. A loooong list. Barnes will get there, which opens up everything for him.

Now, if he ever gets to 36% from deep then watch out.

I'm by no means throwing out Gordon's numbers. I think he's quite impactful as a Nugget. He operates well in the slot and when he brings the ball up you can initiate with 5-out sets.

My distinction between the two is that Gordon's efficiency and on/off metrics come from the nature of his role. It's similar to how Pascal had his most efficient season in 2019. The attention created elsewhere allows the two to feast in open space.

I presume with Barnes that his boost to team efg% is by virtue of his playmaking. Comparatively, at least some of Gordon's on/off impact is due to his personal efficiency.

Simply put, Barnes' efg% is less than team avg while Gordon's efg% is above his team's avg. They both improve their team's accuracy while on court.


The context is evident. The trio of Siakam-Fred-Barnes on the court had a significant offensive output (high ORating). That's why team eFG% is higher for each, even though individually eFG isn't that special for any of them relative to other productive offensive players. But how much can you attribute to each player v. how much is just the rest of the team stunk or the combinations they played in weren't effective?

I used Aaron Gordon, but it takes half a minute to see a bunch of guys I wouldn't be excited about with high numbers (Buddy Hield, Myles Turner, Josh Hart, Alec Burks, Ben Simmons, Josh Richardson, Jerami Grant, Monte Morris etc.). It's really a much larger list than what I gave. Like I said, it's not a bad thing, but it doesn't tell us much about the upcoming season. We know he's a talented passer, but we don't know if increasing his role will be good for the team. Pick any of those guys and think of them as a top 3 scoring option on a team.

Of all the 3-man lineups with Pascal and Fred, excluding Jakob, the unit with Barnes had the best and o-rating and efg%. And the percentage is quite low compared to lineups with similar o-ratings.This is with Barnes that cannot shoot and primarily serves off-ball when playing with them. Their 3-man efg% was significantly better than Barnes' individually. It speaks to his passing/playmaking.

As for the players you listed, several of them are highly efficient. So it follows that they boost their team's shooting percentage. A couple of them have efg% hovering around 60%. Again, Barnes has putrid efficiency and despite that, the team's shoots better.That is all I'm saying. Swap Barnes with anyone not named Poeltl and the efficiency drops. It's an interesting metric.

It may not scale with higher usage but it's a good indication that if you place Barnes in the right spots to make reads suiting his ability, you can generate good offense.

As for picking someone you listed as a top scoring option. That's not the point. I think it's just an indication of role suitability — for lack of a better term. It doesn't tell you where a player should sit in offensive hierarchy. It tells you you should watch what a player does to generate such an increase.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#55 » by Spates » Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:39 pm

ConSarnit wrote:
HiJiNX wrote:
Spates wrote:This is why I routinely being up context.

Scottie efg% 48.7
Gordon efg% 60.3

You can infer meaning from their usage. Aaron Gordon was the recipient of passes from Jokic, he's a finisher. Scottie was pretty inefficient when it's all said and done but the team is more efficient with his presence. All without being a focal point.

I actually think Aaron Gordon in Denver’s system is a really impactful player. Of course, the ways he and Barnes impact the game is much different, but I wouldn’t necessarily throw out the Gordon number either. He plugs a lot of holes as a connector who can pass, finish, rebound offensively and sometimes knock down a corner three. Perfect fit in Denver. They are noticeably worse on both ends when he’s not on the floor in my opinion.

With respect to Barnes, he has the ball much more often as a creator than Gordon does, so while Gordon is an elite connector, if he was in Barnes’ role here maybe the stats would show something different than what we are seeing. Like ATLTimekeeper said, the hope is that Scottie can produce efficient offence, which I think is more than possible once he gets comfortable leaning on his strengths and develops a decent foul line jumper.

I know there are worries about him developing a jumper, and as far as three point range goes, I agree. Generally speaking, I think being elite from deep is something some guys have and something other guys never will, but as far as a midrange jumper goes, anybody can get quite good there. There’s a long list of guys in Barnes’ size range who developed this in the league. A loooong list. Barnes will get there, which opens up everything for him.

Now, if he ever gets to 36% from deep then watch out.


What are you defining as "quite good" from midrange? I'd wager that the vast majority of the guys who made the leap to good midrange shooters started out their careers as better shooters than Barnes. To make midrange a steady part of your shot diet you need to be shooting high 40's and there are maybe 20 guys in the league who can do that on volume. High volume mid-range efficiency might be the rarest skill in the league. Not saying Barnes can't make a jump from midrange but it will have to be in conjunction with another improvement (3pt shooting or foul drawing) or else it isn't worth that much.

Mid-range shooting is also a skill that has been eliminated from the game for like 10 years. Why would players work on a shot they're not allowed to take. We're only recently coming around on it.

Look at Jimmy Butler. He's very impactful without a three ball because he can work the interior to generate good looks. Hopefully Scottie does become a better 3pt shooter but for the time being I think his in-between is most important if he's going to run offense because his some years away from creating an advantage from three.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#56 » by HiJiNX » Wed Sep 20, 2023 1:03 am

ConSarnit wrote:
HiJiNX wrote:
Spates wrote:This is why I routinely being up context.

Scottie efg% 48.7
Gordon efg% 60.3

You can infer meaning from their usage. Aaron Gordon was the recipient of passes from Jokic, he's a finisher. Scottie was pretty inefficient when it's all said and done but the team is more efficient with his presence. All without being a focal point.

I actually think Aaron Gordon in Denver’s system is a really impactful player. Of course, the ways he and Barnes impact the game is much different, but I wouldn’t necessarily throw out the Gordon number either. He plugs a lot of holes as a connector who can pass, finish, rebound offensively and sometimes knock down a corner three. Perfect fit in Denver. They are noticeably worse on both ends when he’s not on the floor in my opinion.

With respect to Barnes, he has the ball much more often as a creator than Gordon does, so while Gordon is an elite connector, if he was in Barnes’ role here maybe the stats would show something different than what we are seeing. Like ATLTimekeeper said, the hope is that Scottie can produce efficient offence, which I think is more than possible once he gets comfortable leaning on his strengths and develops a decent foul line jumper.

I know there are worries about him developing a jumper, and as far as three point range goes, I agree. Generally speaking, I think being elite from deep is something some guys have and something other guys never will, but as far as a midrange jumper goes, anybody can get quite good there. There’s a long list of guys in Barnes’ size range who developed this in the league. A loooong list. Barnes will get there, which opens up everything for him.

Now, if he ever gets to 36% from deep then watch out.


What are you defining as "quite good" from midrange? I'd wager that the vast majority of the guys who made the leap to good midrange shooters started out their careers as better shooters than Barnes. To make midrange a steady part of your shot diet you need to be shooting high 40's and there are maybe 20 guys in the league who can do that on volume. High volume mid-range efficiency might be the rarest skill in the league. Not saying Barnes can't make a jump from midrange but it will have to be in conjunction with another improvement (3pt shooting or foul drawing) or else it isn't worth that much.

For me, quite good is if the defence gives you space you’re going to cash an open midrange jumper much more often than you’ll miss.

Those guys who hit a high percentage on volume are able to take that many on volume because of their role and their ability to generate good shots for themselves.

And I think any improvement in Barnes’ midrange will lead to increased foul drawing as defenders will have to guard him closer, making it easier for him to do what he does best as a scorer which is to physically overwhelm folks. I don’t think it needs to be a big part of his shot diet—his bread and butter at this point should be his floaters and rim attempts, given the ease with which he can get those looks. He just needs the midrange to pull defenders closer to him, which opens up passing lanes, but also makes his drives more lethal.

With respect to his three point range, I’m not sure it’s a super need for him, but it would be nice. Being passable there makes him a deadly high pnr threat. Without it though and he will have to do his damage in the half court from closer to the bucket.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#57 » by Tha Cynic » Wed Sep 20, 2023 1:19 am

Barnes looks stronger than Poeltl in these runs.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#58 » by SkywalkerAC » Wed Sep 20, 2023 6:57 am

Tha Cynic wrote:Barnes looks stronger than Poeltl in these runs.


Dude looks like a man amongst boys.

And this took place months ago, corrrect? Imagine how he looks now…
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#59 » by TorontoBarneys » Wed Sep 20, 2023 11:57 am

SkywalkerAC wrote:
Tha Cynic wrote:Barnes looks stronger than Poeltl in these runs.


Dude looks like a man amongst boys.

And this took place months ago, corrrect? Imagine how he looks now…


Did it take part months ago? I assume it's closer to preseason start since it's just the team vs. themselves. Earlier Rico runs seemed to be a mishmash of players around the NBA and weren't as serious.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 6 

Post#60 » by ATLTimekeeper » Wed Sep 20, 2023 11:58 am

HiJiNX wrote:
ConSarnit wrote:
HiJiNX wrote:I actually think Aaron Gordon in Denver’s system is a really impactful player. Of course, the ways he and Barnes impact the game is much different, but I wouldn’t necessarily throw out the Gordon number either. He plugs a lot of holes as a connector who can pass, finish, rebound offensively and sometimes knock down a corner three. Perfect fit in Denver. They are noticeably worse on both ends when he’s not on the floor in my opinion.

With respect to Barnes, he has the ball much more often as a creator than Gordon does, so while Gordon is an elite connector, if he was in Barnes’ role here maybe the stats would show something different than what we are seeing. Like ATLTimekeeper said, the hope is that Scottie can produce efficient offence, which I think is more than possible once he gets comfortable leaning on his strengths and develops a decent foul line jumper.

I know there are worries about him developing a jumper, and as far as three point range goes, I agree. Generally speaking, I think being elite from deep is something some guys have and something other guys never will, but as far as a midrange jumper goes, anybody can get quite good there. There’s a long list of guys in Barnes’ size range who developed this in the league. A loooong list. Barnes will get there, which opens up everything for him.

Now, if he ever gets to 36% from deep then watch out.


What are you defining as "quite good" from midrange? I'd wager that the vast majority of the guys who made the leap to good midrange shooters started out their careers as better shooters than Barnes. To make midrange a steady part of your shot diet you need to be shooting high 40's and there are maybe 20 guys in the league who can do that on volume. High volume mid-range efficiency might be the rarest skill in the league. Not saying Barnes can't make a jump from midrange but it will have to be in conjunction with another improvement (3pt shooting or foul drawing) or else it isn't worth that much.

For me, quite good is if the defence gives you space you’re going to cash an open midrange jumper much more often than you’ll miss.

Those guys who hit a high percentage on volume are able to take that many on volume because of their role and their ability to generate good shots for themselves.

And I think any improvement in Barnes’ midrange will lead to increased foul drawing as defenders will have to guard him closer, making it easier for him to do what he does best as a scorer which is to physically overwhelm folks. I don’t think it needs to be a big part of his shot diet—his bread and butter at this point should be his floaters and rim attempts, given the ease with which he can get those looks. He just needs the midrange to pull defenders closer to him, which opens up passing lanes, but also makes his drives more lethal.

With respect to his three point range, I’m not sure it’s a super need for him, but it would be nice. Being passable there makes him a deadly high pnr threat. Without it though and he will have to do his damage in the half court from closer to the bucket.


The midrange is pretty much an absolute for star players. Even the guys that don't take a lot of them like Lillard, Steph, and Tatum, have those shots in their backpocket whenever they need them. The only star that I can think of that just never bothered with it is Harden, and it kills him in the playoffs when his legs die out. For Scottie, who to this point has a no-range game (a few reliable and smooth looking hooks from the top of the paint), the mid-range will be his focus, along with C&S 3s. It can absolutely be built in the NBA (Kawhi, DeMar, Pascal, D. Murray, Beal, LeBron, LaVine, Fox, Middleton, Butler, Jaylen Brown, Embiid).

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