payitforward wrote:Somehow I didn't finish my thought.
We are not all that young overall, yet despite Cleveland's younger average age, the team only has one guy under 22, while we have 4 -- 5 if you count Vukcevic.
It's a metric of how early in the process we are.
Which is why I don't expect the young pups to get heavy minutes early in the season. Most coaches allow players to earn their way into the rotation. So far Wes has done the same. If the FO directs him to play the young pups early then maybe they get unearned minutes, but generally coaches coach to win. Otherwise how do they learn?
Our probable starting 5 is built around developing players with 2 in their prime.
PG Jones 27
2G Poole 24
F3 Deni 22 or Kispert 24
F4 Kuzma 28
C Gafford 24
bringing veteran relief off the bench:
PG Wright 31 or Shamet 26
2G (Kispert or Shamet)
F3 (Kispert or Deni)
F4 Gallinari 35 (or Deni)
C Muscala 32
Depending on the situation at starting 3, and back-up 2, there's room in the rotation for a young player to seize minutes. If Kispert is the first sub at guard it opens up play time for Bilal in the 3 spot. I expect despite his youth the team will give him every chance to solidify a role in the rotation early.
At 4, Gallo is returning from an injury, will need load management, I expect Deni and Kuz will trade off minutes here to make room for Kispert in various lines, but if Gallo needs rest or rehab (or retirement) there will be a chance for PBJr to snatch minutes. If Baldwin can't beat Xavier Cooks or Anthony Gill then I'd be disappointed, even though he is young with limited experience due to injuries.
The player I have a hard time scripting minutes for is Johnny Davis. He did improve noticeably by the end of the year, still, if he remains an on-the ball guard without an outside shot and no reliable catch and shoot game he doesn't have a role next to either Tyus or Poole. Without advanced passing/ballhandling either, he is limited to being a defensive specialist and hustle player.
If all are healthy then Poole and Jones are going to eat a heavy diet of minutes at guard, Poole both on and off the ball. Behind them the line is long for players waiting for that spot. We need defense next to Poole but that role is filled better by Wright who has shown an NBA 3 ball. I bet the pecking order is Kispert/Wright (depending whether Kispert starts at 3 or is the 6th man at both 2&3 spots), Shamet, Davis, Butler, Rollins. I expect Johnny D can leapfrog Shamet with even a passably improved jumpshot, but that still puts him behind 4 players until/unless Wright is traded or one of the others is load managed/resting/unavailable.
That said Wes found minutes for Jordan Goodwin as a hustling madman. I don't bet against Johnny D becoming one of those players coaches turn to to set an example of relentless work ethic. The defensive teacher's pet, as yin to the yang of the offensive version in Kispert.