RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23)

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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#141 » by lessthanjake » Sun Oct 8, 2023 8:17 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:Break the tie: John Stockton vs Scottie Pippen

Ambrose wrote:.

ceiling raiser wrote:.

ceoofkobefanss wrote:.

Colbinii wrote:.

cupcakesnake wrote:.

Dooley wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

DraymondGold wrote:.

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Gibson22 wrote:.

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JimmyFromNz wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

lessthanjake wrote:.

ljspeelman wrote:.

Lou Fan wrote:.

Moonbeam wrote:.

Narigo wrote:.

Taj FTW wrote:.

Tim Lehrbach wrote:.

ty 4191 wrote:.


Also, those who already voted but didn't choose a preference between Stockton & Pippen are requested to vote to help break the tie. That is:

HeartBreakKid
Dutchball
Doc (me)


I think my vote for this is already in here, since I put Pippen as my alternate vote, and it does seem to have been counted. So, while I do pick Pippen over Stockton, I don’t really think it should count for purposes of a tiebreak (unless I’m missing something).
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#142 » by Special_Puppy » Sun Oct 8, 2023 8:50 pm

I don't think its necessarily wrong given the limitations of the stats, but its amazing how much you guys are discounting advanced stats in ranking Stockton this lol. Had a great DPM when he was almost 40. Does well in RAPM. Does well in BPM. Does well in RAPTOR. The obvious question is why did something with advanced stats this good never win a ring especially when he was paired with someone else with great advanced stats?
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#143 » by homecourtloss » Sun Oct 8, 2023 9:22 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:I don't think its necessarily wrong given the limitations of the stats, but its amazing how much you guys are discounting advanced stats in ranking Stockton this lol. Had a great DPM when he was almost 40. Does well in RAPM. Does well in BPM. Does well in RAPTOR. The obvious question is why did something with advanced stats this good never win a ring especially when he was paired with someone else with great advanced stats?


I don’t think anybody is directly discounting the RAPM numbers (I personally don’t look at the DPM numbers at all); on the contrary, these numbers are giving people pause, and are the reason that Stockton has been considered in this area.

The bolded part of your post has been discussed, and this is what gives people pause. Furthermore, despite Stockton’s terrific numbers even late in his career, which speaks to his strengths, there’s a real question about his peak game and how much the peak game translates into helping a team defeat other good teams in the playoffs.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/8/23) 

Post#144 » by ZeppelinPage » Sun Oct 8, 2023 10:19 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:Induction Vote 1:

Pippen - 4 (AEnigma, trelos, ShaqA, ZPage)
Stockton - 6 (trex, Samurai, beast, iggy, Clyde, Rishkar)
Kawhi - 3 (ltj, HBK, Dutchball)
Miller - 1 (rk)
Frazier - 1 (Doc)

No majority. Going to Vote 2 between Stockton & Pippen:

Pippen - 2 (ltj, rk)
Stockton - 0 (none)
neither - 3 (HBK, Dutchball, Doc)

Stockton 6, Pippen 6. Wow, looks like we have an extended runoff.


Could be wrong but I thought homecourtloss voted earlier in the thread on page 3.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/8/23) 

Post#145 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Oct 8, 2023 10:35 pm

ZeppelinPage wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:Induction Vote 1:

Pippen - 4 (AEnigma, trelos, ShaqA, ZPage)
Stockton - 6 (trex, Samurai, beast, iggy, Clyde, Rishkar)
Kawhi - 3 (ltj, HBK, Dutchball)
Miller - 1 (rk)
Frazier - 1 (Doc)

No majority. Going to Vote 2 between Stockton & Pippen:

Pippen - 2 (ltj, rk)
Stockton - 0 (none)
neither - 3 (HBK, Dutchball, Doc)

Stockton 6, Pippen 6. Wow, looks like we have an extended runoff.


Could be wrong but I thought homecourtloss voted earlier in the thread on page 3.


I'd say you're right and I should have given the vote to Pippen. I'm not going to stop the thread now, but think I will post my vote in a second.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#146 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Oct 8, 2023 11:43 pm

My runoff vote: Scottie Pippen

Honestly was thinking of just waiting to the last possible minute on this because Pippen & Stockton are hard for me to have a definitive answer, but since it seems like me missing a vote is the reason why Pippen hasn't already won, I'd say the least I can do is just to commit to the order I've had these two all project.

I think Stockton's longevity here gives him a strong case over Pippen, but I tend to be more prime-level focused.

I think Stockton certainly has a peak & prime argument too, but where I stand right now on the two, I see Pippen as definitely stronger prospect for being a top-2-star on a champion team. At foundation, this can easily be seen as winning bias, and we can have that argument. Maybe Pippen just got luckier than Stockton.

There is a specific thing that comes to mind though I haven't discussed in this thread yet that is pretty important in my opinion:

I really like my 2nd options to show signs they are ready to volume score when the opportunity arises. I say this as a guy who has a ton of respect for facilitators, as well as for other non-scoring parts of the game, and would generally be seen as perhaps "biased" in a non-scorer direction.

If we look at career 30+ point games, here's how Pippen & Stockton - two players who shine in their non-scoring responsibilities look:

Pippen 55
Stockton 13

This is a big, big difference. Now, if you've not done a comparison of these numbers before you might think that this is normal for pass first point guards, but it's not.

If I list out the top 10 assisters in history by career total who are often called "pass first" in my experience, here's what I get:


1. Stockton 13
2. Kidd 42
3. Paul 95
5. Nash 48
6. Jackson 5
7. Magic 105
10. Isiah 118
12. Andre 19
13. Strickland 17
14. Rondo 9

Now, part of what's going on here is what often gets talked about a shoot-pass spectrum. We don't want every player to shoot & pass with the same ratios, so if passing's super-valuable, is there anything strategically wrong with being the most pass-oriented of point guards?

Depends on how good you are a scoring. I don't have a problem with the two guys with the lowest totals on this list - Mark Jackson & Rajon Rondo - being so unlikely to volume score because they just aren't very good at scoring in general. I rate them overall as players lower than I expect I would if they were better scorers, but that doesn't mean they're using a problematic strategy given what their own limitations.

The thing about Stockton is that I just don't think it makes sense how little he shot given his physical abilities and the duration of his career. I think he was leaving food on the table as a matter of course. How much food? Well, that depends on how good he actually was at scoring - the more capable you feel he was at scoring, the less defensible the strategy.

Some will argue that this was the result of coach Jerry Sloan, and we should see whatever said food is left is on the table as the negative impact of Sloan, but I'm not comfortable making that distinction, and I'm focused on "what was" rather than "what might have been" in my personal criteria at this time.

I think it was a problem for the Jazz that Stockton so rigidly held to pass-first as his mantra, whether this was something he did after Sloan got in Stockton's jock strap and rode him down the court causing trauma that made him feel clockwork-orange nausea if he started scoring too much, or not.

I think it unlikely that the Bulls, or most champions in NBA history, could have won the titles they did without having someone other than their primary scorer being capable of stepping up and taking what the defense gave him.

Does that mean Pippen was a better offensive player than Stockton? Not sure, but then there's the defensive side of the ball where I give Pippen a considerable advantage. So in Pippen I have the better scorer and defender, while also being an excellent facilitator. Putting aside the valid longevity argument, it's hard to make up for these relative deficits.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#147 » by falcolombardi » Sun Oct 8, 2023 11:46 pm

Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#148 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Oct 9, 2023 12:08 am

falcolombardi wrote:Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake


Reasonable perspective. Others should chime in on what they prefer and I'll consider.

Either way, I'm not going to start the next thread until tomorrow morning.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#149 » by homecourtloss » Mon Oct 9, 2023 12:23 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake


Reasonable perspective. Others should chime in on what they prefer and I'll consider.

Either way, I'm not going to start the next thread until tomorrow morning.


I mean, what falco says makes sense. In any case, I’m glad this thread picked up some steam that had been lost a little bit and previous threads.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#150 » by AEnigma » Mon Oct 9, 2023 12:29 am

While acknowledging my bias, think it should be Pippen, but at worst, any additional tie should go to him. The order does not matter too much, but it would be a bit annoying to see a reverse for a vote that should have been counted one way and was also counted three minutes before an additional vote for that player came in lol (that one is more circumstance than accident).
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#151 » by ShaqAttac » Mon Oct 9, 2023 2:18 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake


Reasonable perspective. Others should chime in on what they prefer and I'll consider.

Either way, I'm not going to start the next thread until tomorrow morning.

not given the thread to pippen when he won by the rules would be wierd
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#152 » by penbeast0 » Mon Oct 9, 2023 2:23 am

I would give it to Pippen too. If the vote was there and it was just a mechanical error, that shouldn't change the outcome.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#153 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Mon Oct 9, 2023 2:45 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake


Reasonable perspective. Others should chime in on what they prefer and I'll consider.

Either way, I'm not going to start the next thread until tomorrow morning.


My perspective: I think HCL's vote should count, but I think it's arguable whether or not Shaq's vote on page 5 should count.

ShaqAttac wrote:okay, i guess ill vote

Peitit

Chip and MVP and beat russ

Pippen

6 rings and did okay without mj. idk what his impact is but its probably good.

I'll nominate

Jimmy Butler

made 2 finals and went toe to toe with kawhi and bron and jokic. also is giannis's dad

Walton
chip n mvp n beat kareem


Shaq voted for Pettit first and Pippen second, he was quoted and told by rishkar that Pettit was already inducted, and he did not modify his vote.

Rishkar wrote:
ShaqAttac wrote:okay, i guess ill vote

Peitit

Chip and MVP and beat russ

I think Pettit was already voted in, freeing you up a spot on your ballot.


It looks like Doc went ahead and counted Shaq's secondary Pippen vote as his first vote, but I am not sure if there has been a user ballot yet in this project that was accepted that didn't have a valid name on the first option.

Without knowing who Shaq's first option is, we can't 100% know if his secondary vote of Pippen should've counted. What if his first place vote was for Stockton?

So even if you count HCL's vote, you could disqualify Shaq's vote on those grounds and the runoff would still be valid.

If Shaq's vote does count in addition to HCL's, then I would agree that Pippen should get it and the runoff should be null and void.

It's up to Doc.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#154 » by ShaqAttac » Mon Oct 9, 2023 2:53 am

OldSchoolNoBull wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:Correct me if i am wrong but if pippen should have won if not for hcl vote being missed why are we still going off the run-off?

Pippen won by the project rules in that case, it was just wrongly send to run off because of a counting mistake


Reasonable perspective. Others should chime in on what they prefer and I'll consider.

Either way, I'm not going to start the next thread until tomorrow morning.


My perspective: I think HCL's vote should count, but I think it's arguable whether or not Shaq's vote on page 5 should count.

ShaqAttac wrote:okay, i guess ill vote

Peitit

Chip and MVP and beat russ

Pippen

6 rings and did okay without mj. idk what his impact is but its probably good.

I'll nominate

Jimmy Butler

made 2 finals and went toe to toe with kawhi and bron and jokic. also is giannis's dad

Walton
chip n mvp n beat kareem


Shaq voted for Pettit first and Pippen second, he was quoted and told by rishkar that Pettit was already inducted, and he did not modify his vote.

Rishkar wrote:
ShaqAttac wrote:okay, i guess ill vote

Peitit

Chip and MVP and beat russ

I think Pettit was already voted in, freeing you up a spot on your ballot.


It looks like Doc went ahead and counted Shaq's secondary Pippen vote as his first vote, but I am not sure if there has been a user ballot yet in this project that was accepted that didn't have a valid name on the first option.

Without knowing who Shaq's first option is, we can't 100% know if his secondary vote of Pippen should've counted. What if his first place vote was for Stockton?

So even if you count HCL's vote, you could disqualify Shaq's vote on those grounds and the runoff would still be valid.

If Shaq's vote does count in addition to HCL's, then I would agree that Pippen should get it and the runoff should be null and void.

It's up to Doc.

are you serious

how does a vote for petit matter for stockton?
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/8/23) 

Post#155 » by f4p » Mon Oct 9, 2023 3:59 am

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
f4p wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
As far as I know PER essentially comes down to an arbitrary box score formula that basically comes down to “eh well this looks good” so there quite literally is lol reason to use it over looking at box scores yourself and making your own conclusions


As far as you know? Shouldn't you understand it well before dismissing it?

Also, other than a few things here or there, what makes it arbitrary? It's not like it's 5 times points plus 27 times rebounds plus 73 times blocks. It's somewhat straightforward and, if anything, kind of just a possession counter. With the very convenient attribute of adjusting for pace and league environment.

Also, why would your or anyone else's evaluation of a box score be any better? Why not just use the longstanding measure that is widely calculated? And of course there aren't really any non-box score stats to look at from 1970.



PER is a idiotic stat lol, “as far as I know” was because there’s nothing on it that shows it’s not arbitrary lmfao


well i'm convinced. the lol cinched it. your in depth knowledge is too much. also, how is 1*Steals "arbitrary"? 0.7*Blocks (just defensive rebound % times blocks). 1*TOV, 0.7*OREB, 0.3*DREB. all pretty non-arbitrary. i suspect you are just bandwagoning off others and not having an original opinion on the subject. it seems "smart" to say "PER bad" so you're just going that direction.


What ur basically saying is why would this one guys arbitrary box score formula generalized towards every player in history that was slightly adjusted for when inputs in it weren’t available are better than anyone that has the intelligence to actually look at different individuals in context.


ahh, yes the typical solution from the "person who doesn't have a solution". "this method isn't good, why don't you just [insert task that the person has never done and will never do] for all possible data points in history". yes, why would we use a measure that is used for everybody and then try to apply context? why would we even use it to perhaps get a baseline feeling for the player? no no, we've got the amazing context you are presumably here to provide for walt frazier now that you've dispatched with the available stats. now keep in mind, i went to youtube and typed in "walt frazier" and "walt frazier full game" and i got a total of 1 full game result. the finals clincher from 1970. i'm sure his best game ever will give us all the context we need to know about ol' clyde. but perhaps you've pirated or been granted access to hundreds of his games and are here to give us your nuanced context now? if so, i would appreciate that same analysis for all players from the pre-data ball era. since we obviously are going to have to throw those stats out and most of us rarely have any footage for them if they aren't named bird or magic or jordan.

Idk why u die on this hill cuz I saw you arguing that it wasn’t a garbage stat awhile back too, it absolutely is.


again, fantastic detail. you're really selling me that you know what you are talking about.

It’s not even like RAPTOR or one of the bad plus minus stuff,


ahh good, another stat we can't use.

It’s about knowing the “story behind” and justification/validation of that data and how that is (real bad way to explain it lol) and how to use it


nothing you've written so far indicates you know how to do that or explains that i don't. i've been looking at these stats for a long time and can apply plenty of context (nor do i, like most people like you assume, only use these numbers when doing evaluations). hell, all i have to do when looking at walt's fairly pedestrian (by these standards) PER and relatively high WS48 to guess walt is probably pretty efficient and the knicks were a really good defense, because that's how those combination of numbers would work . and well, he was and the knicks were.

PER is one of the few things that anyone with any mild Python or R experience could make something better than in less than a day lol


what would they do differently? which coefficients would change? why would it be any less "arbitrary" than PER. or less arbitrary than using prior informed data for plus/minus numbers?

Everyone’s gonna have their opinion I know a lot of people here don’t like all in ones (docs said his stuff about ESPN RPM which isn’t a good all in one anyways with them being weird with their formula but it applies I think) but a lot of them have their uses


oh good, we can't use RPM either. we know BPM and WS48 (which you also reject) do as good a job at predicting as RAPM so i guess we can't use that either. we're running low here Uni. we're going to have to fall back on your in depth evaluations a lot i guess. have you started working on those? can't use highlight films of course, those are just perfect versions of people. so that 1 game from 1970 is going to do a lot of heavy lifting.

PER sucks in the same way skmething like winshares kind of sucks but worse, saying player X had this PER is basically another way to say player X had bad box score data but in a more vague and worse way


ooh, WS48 off the board as well. and well, why would we use a longstanding box score all in one to say what someone did in the box score. we have the "potential" that someone could come up with another formula or we just have to wait for everyone to compare everyone's box score data from all of history to say who was good in the box score. sounds simple.

A stat being listed in an advanced stat category doesn’t mean it’s not garbage. PER is garbage and if u don’t think so then u don’t understand NBA data lol


you should tell the top 100 voters the same thing

top players by playoff PER in history (age 21-35):
1. MJ
2. Lebron
3. Shaq
4. Hakeem
5. Kareem
6. Duncan
7. Kawhi
8. Barkley
9. Dirk
10. Durant
11. Robinson
12. CP3
13. Wilt (extended age range sunk him)
14. Magic
15. Jerry
16. Steph
17. Kobe
18. Pettit
19. Wade
20. Karl
21. Harden

all of the top 21 except the massively injured kawhi already in. we even have
31. Reggie
35. Ewing
36. Stockton
38. Frazier

coming up right around their eventual Top 100 placements. feels like we just took this list and rearranged it a little after factoring in longevity/injuries and all those "ringz, erneh". can't be that garbage of a stat.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#156 » by f4p » Mon Oct 9, 2023 4:15 am

Also, i wasn't in the list for the run-off but since it is presumably still going on:

Vote
1. Scottie Pippen
Enough shown as a primary in 1994 to validate the fact he won the 6 titles. obviously MJ is a slightly better lead guy than stockton got with malone, but 6 titles to 0 when stockton had so long and so few injuries to explain the lack of winning seems like as good a tiebreaker as any. admittedly, stockton being so high on some of the career lists makes his placement look weird but gotta win 1 or not have catastrophic team offensive results in 1998 in the playoffs and have a really bad individual finals in a very, very close series in what is effectively "only" year 11 of your prime if longevity is going to be one of your big arguments.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/8/23) 

Post#157 » by MyUniBroDavis » Mon Oct 9, 2023 5:15 am

f4p wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
f4p wrote:
As far as you know? Shouldn't you understand it well before dismissing it?

Also, other than a few things here or there, what makes it arbitrary? It's not like it's 5 times points plus 27 times rebounds plus 73 times blocks. It's somewhat straightforward and, if anything, kind of just a possession counter. With the very convenient attribute of adjusting for pace and league environment.

Also, why would your or anyone else's evaluation of a box score be any better? Why not just use the longstanding measure that is widely calculated? And of course there aren't really any non-box score stats to look at from 1970.



PER is a idiotic stat lol, “as far as I know” was because there’s nothing on it that shows it’s not arbitrary lmfao


well i'm convinced. the lol cinched it. your in depth knowledge is too much. also, how is 1*Steals "arbitrary"? 0.7*Blocks (just defensive rebound % times blocks). 1*TOV, 0.7*OREB, 0.3*DREB. all pretty non-arbitrary. i suspect you are just bandwagoning off others and not having an original opinion on the subject. it seems "smart" to say "PER bad" so you're just going that direction.


What ur basically saying is why would this one guys arbitrary box score formula generalized towards every player in history that was slightly adjusted for when inputs in it weren’t available are better than anyone that has the intelligence to actually look at different individuals in context.


ahh, yes the typical solution from the "person who doesn't have a solution". "this method isn't good, why don't you just [insert task that the person has never done and will never do] for all possible data points in history". yes, why would we use a measure that is used for everybody and then try to apply context? why would we even use it to perhaps get a baseline feeling for the player? no no, we've got the amazing context you are presumably here to provide for walt frazier now that you've dispatched with the available stats. now keep in mind, i went to youtube and typed in "walt frazier" and "walt frazier full game" and i got a total of 1 full game result. the finals clincher from 1970. i'm sure his best game ever will give us all the context we need to know about ol' clyde. but perhaps you've pirated or been granted access to hundreds of his games and are here to give us your nuanced context now? if so, i would appreciate that same analysis for all players from the pre-data ball era. since we obviously are going to have to throw those stats out and most of us rarely have any footage for them if they aren't named bird or magic or jordan.

Idk why u die on this hill cuz I saw you arguing that it wasn’t a garbage stat awhile back too, it absolutely is.


again, fantastic detail. you're really selling me that you know what you are talking about.

It’s not even like RAPTOR or one of the bad plus minus stuff,


ahh good, another stat we can't use.

It’s about knowing the “story behind” and justification/validation of that data and how that is (real bad way to explain it lol) and how to use it


nothing you've written so far indicates you know how to do that or explains that i don't. i've been looking at these stats for a long time and can apply plenty of context (nor do i, like most people like you assume, only use these numbers when doing evaluations). hell, all i have to do when looking at walt's fairly pedestrian (by these standards) PER and relatively high WS48 to guess walt is probably pretty efficient and the knicks were a really good defense, because that's how those combination of numbers would work . and well, he was and the knicks were.

PER is one of the few things that anyone with any mild Python or R experience could make something better than in less than a day lol


what would they do differently? which coefficients would change? why would it be any less "arbitrary" than PER. or less arbitrary than using prior informed data for plus/minus numbers?

Everyone’s gonna have their opinion I know a lot of people here don’t like all in ones (docs said his stuff about ESPN RPM which isn’t a good all in one anyways with them being weird with their formula but it applies I think) but a lot of them have their uses


oh good, we can't use RPM either. we know BPM and WS48 (which you also reject) do as good a job at predicting as RAPM so i guess we can't use that either. we're running low here Uni. we're going to have to fall back on your in depth evaluations a lot i guess. have you started working on those? can't use highlight films of course, those are just perfect versions of people. so that 1 game from 1970 is going to do a lot of heavy lifting.

PER sucks in the same way skmething like winshares kind of sucks but worse, saying player X had this PER is basically another way to say player X had bad box score data but in a more vague and worse way


ooh, WS48 off the board as well. and well, why would we use a longstanding box score all in one to say what someone did in the box score. we have the "potential" that someone could come up with another formula or we just have to wait for everyone to compare everyone's box score data from all of history to say who was good in the box score. sounds simple.

A stat being listed in an advanced stat category doesn’t mean it’s not garbage. PER is garbage and if u don’t think so then u don’t understand NBA data lol


you should tell the top 100 voters the same thing

top players by playoff PER in history (age 21-35):
1. MJ
2. Lebron
3. Shaq
4. Hakeem
5. Kareem
6. Duncan
7. Kawhi
8. Barkley
9. Dirk
10. Durant
11. Robinson
12. CP3
13. Wilt (extended age range sunk him)
14. Magic
15. Jerry
16. Steph
17. Kobe
18. Pettit
19. Wade
20. Karl
21. Harden

all of the top 21 except the massively injured kawhi already in. we even have
31. Reggie
35. Ewing
36. Stockton
38. Frazier

coming up right around their eventual Top 100 placements. feels like we just took this list and rearranged it a little after factoring in longevity/injuries and all those "ringz, erneh". can't be that garbage of a stat.


There’s no way you’re asking if using prior informed numbers for plus minus data is comparable to the coefficients used for PER. This is ridiculous lmao.

You could calculate it against multiyear RAPM and check the R^2 for one set like they did for PIPM box priors for one anyways, but honestly it’s hilarious ur capping this hard for a row on bball ref made in 2007 lmfao. No way you typed all that to defend a literal stat.

All in one box scores rank all time great players well! What a shock! I had no idea the greatest players of all times generally had good box scores in the playoffs. Congratulations bro fantastic work there :lol:

^and looking through some of the guys ur flat out lying lmfao, I don’t see schayes there

Is that list even right lol

Equating PER and WS/48 to RAPM because their correlation with future wins close, like 0.5 instead of like 0.6 is hilarious and shows you have no understanding of nba Data lol.

oh good, we can't use RPM either. we know BPM and WS48 (which you also reject) do as good a job at predicting as RAPM so i guess we can't use that either. we're running low here Uni. we're going to have to fall back on your in depth evaluations a lot i guess. have you started working on those? can't use highlight films of course, those are just perfect versions of people. so that 1 game from 1970 is going to do a lot of heavy lifting.



Like Jesus Christ how r u getting this passive aggressive because PER is an outdated stat lmfao.

Like damn some guys rely too much by stuff like better all in ones and impact data how are you gonna get handheld by an assortment of all the bad advanced data on bball ref it’s genuinely hilarious lol

It’s a basic box score summary statistic. You can argue it has its uses as a a cursory look, sure, a guy with a 30 PER probably beats the guys whose at 3 lol, but it’s nothing more than that and u capping this hard for it is genuinely weird lmfao.

There are a lot of dumb stuff people say but this is just weird lol I get capping for a player but capping for an outdated box score stat from the 2000s is some peculiar behavior
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#158 » by HeartBreakKid » Mon Oct 9, 2023 6:27 am

If it was just an error then Pippen should win.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/9/23) 

Post#159 » by WestGOAT » Mon Oct 9, 2023 7:07 am

To be fair to Doc MJ, I can see why he overlooked HCL vote as it was in a quote. I won't comment on what the outcome sould be as I obviously don't think Stockton should be placed this high.

I say bring back One_and_Done so they can do an extra vote check and would help prevent situations like these ;)
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #32 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 10/8/23) 

Post#160 » by MrLurker » Mon Oct 9, 2023 7:34 am

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
MrLurker wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:

PER is a idiotic stat lol, “as far as I know” was because there’s nothing on it that shows it’s not arbitrary lmfao

What ur basically saying is why would this one guys arbitrary box score formula generalized towards every player in history that was slightly adjusted for when inputs in it weren’t available are better than anyone that has the intelligence to actually look at different individuals in context.

Idk why u die on this hill cuz I saw you arguing that it wasn’t a garbage stat awhile back too, it absolutely is. It’s not even like RAPTOR or one of the bad plus minus stuff, PER is one of the few things that anyone with any mild Python or R experience could make something better than in less than a day lol


A stat being listed in an advanced stat category doesn’t mean it’s not garbage. PER is garbage and if u don’t think so then u don’t understand NBA data lol

How do you distinguish between bad stats and good stats?

All-in-ones like PER are pretty commonplace. Popularity does not necessitate quality but if we are bucking what is common then I wonder what would be considered a reasonable alternative and how one determines which alternatives are reasonable


It’s about knowing the “story behind” and justification/validation of that data and how that is (real bad way to explain it lol) and how to use it

Everyone’s gonna have their opinion I know a lot of people here don’t like all in ones (docs said his stuff about ESPN RPM which isn’t a good all in one anyways with them being weird with their formula but it applies I think) but a lot of them have their uses

PER sucks in the same way skmething like winshares kind of sucks but worse, saying player X had this PER is basically another way to say player X had bad box score data but in a more vague and worse way

What would you consider an example of using an All-in-one well?

If I understand correctly, the foremost problem with all-in-ones is that they have intrinsic player preferences because of how they are crafted.

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