EvanZ wrote:
I had Ausar 13 and Amen 14. As good as Ausar looks on defense if he shoots 14.8% on 3s for his career, that ranking might start to look generous.
I don't know what it will take to get through to people like you, but I guess it is what it is. The cake is baked.
I get being extreme in victory lapping a guy 10 games in, anyone calling Scoot a bust or saying Jordan Hawkins is better than Amen based on a small sample size is dangerous.
But you also can get a pretty good idea of who is who from 10 games. For example: Brandon Miller is a real NBA starter on the wing with an advanced midrange game, defensive upside and already has shown he is a better athlete than 90% of scouting reports had him. Nearly all his weaknesses pre-draft look better than expected. Chances of him not being a top 7 from this class are very low just based on what we have seen.
Same with Wemby, if anyone tried to be wild and list him outside the top 10, he has already shown enough to prove them wrong.
Typically, if a guy looks awesome his first 20 games they are going to be a good player 80% of the time. There are the one offs like MCW etc but you will go broke trying to fade guys who play well from day 1. So yeah, you can hold out hope that Ausar ends up being bad but history leans heavily in his favor.