2024 NBA Draft Thread

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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#581 » by Duke4life831 » Tue Nov 28, 2023 6:43 pm

FarBeyondDriven wrote:Holland, Castle, Walter, Collier, Buzelis, Bradshaw and Carrington would all be top 5 to end of lottery picks in every draft since 2020. Combined with an excellent international class it's far from a weak class. Of course, people wont' change their minds until the YT video they got their opinion from changes theirs first. For everyone like me sick of this narrative being pushed, just be patient


I mean you have to admit there is a big difference between top 5 and end of lotto picks. And that difference alone is enough for a draft to be considered a strong or weak draft. I dont think anyone here is claiming there is no talent at all in this draft.

Maybe its not that a lot of us just wait for a youtuber to tell us if its a strong class or not. But we follow this stuff and this class heading into this year was not strong and so far the top guys havent done anything yet to change our minds.

Holland has been horrible.
Walter cant pass and isnt a stand out athlete
Carrington has been known as an inconsistent and relative unknown player and so far the only time he has played against quality opponents he hasnt looked good.
Matas hasnt played and this is coming off a year of less then stellar improvement.
Bradshaw hasnt played and we see almost a Bradshaw type player every year and they're not top 10 picks.
Castle has potential but we've only seen him play 2 games and yet to see him play against actual competition.

Right now I dont see any domestic player let alone multiple players that is making the top end of this lotto look solid. Now if the international players are the ones this year that will fill that void, cool. I have no clue, I dont follow international players. But as of right now, I see a big void of top end domestic talent. I thought that going in, havent seen anything yet to have changed that. Could it happen? Ya, hopefully it does.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#582 » by clyde21 » Tue Nov 28, 2023 6:45 pm

FarBeyondDriven wrote:Holland, Castle, Walter, Collier, Buzelis, Bradshaw and Carrington would all be top 5 to end of lottery picks in every draft since 2020. Combined with an excellent international class it's far from a weak class. Of course, people wont' change their minds until the YT video they got their opinion from changes theirs first. For everyone like me sick of this narrative being pushed, just be patient


you're exaggerating for the sake of exaggerating.

Bradshaw hasn't even played a single minute...how are you even going to say he'd be top 5 in most drafts? based on what? Carrington also was a relatively unknown guy up until a couple of weeks ago...doubt he was even on your radar at that point...now all the sudden he's a top 5 or 10 guy in every draft?

also people keep talking about this "excellent international class" still have yet to see proof of this. Mara was supposed to be the lynchpin of the international group but he's been a disaster so far at UCLA. Almansa has been OK in GLI but we'll see. Risacher had a terrible summer even tho he's playing a bit better recently. Sarr is intriguing from a profile standpoint but so far in the NBL he himself hasn't been productive at all. what are we talking about here?
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#583 » by Saints14 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 1:35 am

Reed Sheppard is like, amazing on defense
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#584 » by EvanZ » Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:15 am

Saints14 wrote:Reed Sheppard is like, amazing on defense

I was a huge Jeff Sheppard fan back in the day


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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#585 » by Catchall » Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:47 am

Big guards like Topic, Castle, Collier, Dual and Carrington appear to be the strength of this draft. I like Risarcher's potential as a multi-faceted glue guy--e.g., Utah Gordon Hayward. Otherwise, the athletic wings have been somewhat disappointing so far (with Buzelis TBD).
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#586 » by clyde21 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 5:06 am

Saints14 wrote:Reed Sheppard is like, amazing on defense


and now in between Sheppard, Dillingham and Reeves barely any mins left for Wagner, who barely got 10 mins tonight.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#587 » by BigGargamel » Wed Nov 29, 2023 7:37 am

What do you guys think about PJ Hall as a prospect? Basically stuffs the stat sheet entirely, would you spend a second round pick on him?
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#588 » by MemphisX » Wed Nov 29, 2023 7:57 am

clyde21 wrote:
Saints14 wrote:Reed Sheppard is like, amazing on defense


and now in between Sheppard, Dillingham and Reeves barely any mins left for Wagner, who barely got 10 mins tonight.



Wagner got hurt. Was playing pretty well especially defensively.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#589 » by MemphisX » Wed Nov 29, 2023 8:02 am

[x]
Read on Twitter
?s=46&t=q0Zbv7QUrzRY6VJruFoDsg[/x]

For my sanity as a Grizzlies fan :lol:
Check out my Memphis Grizzlies Youtube Channel --->>> https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCbB6yGykQEUwl9hqWYVp45g
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#590 » by Duke4life831 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 9:23 am

Im surprised Carrington has been brought up a few times. Why? Ya he put up stats against horrific opposition to start the year. He has yet to play against high level opposition but his last 3 games have been his first 3 games against power conference teams.

He’s 11-34 shooting in those 3 games.

I get the whole triple double to start off his college career. But he did that against arguably the worst team in D1. Kenpom has NC A&T as the 360th out of 362 teams.

And again against mid level power conference teams, he hasn’t looked like a standout at all.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#591 » by HadAnEffectHere » Wed Nov 29, 2023 1:06 pm

MemphisX wrote:[x]
Read on Twitter
?s=46&t=q0Zbv7QUrzRY6VJruFoDsg[/x]

For my sanity as a Grizzlies fan :lol:


We have pretty solid confirmation that he isn't one of the 23 best players on the Grizzlies with all of their injuries so I'm a little doubtful!
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#592 » by CptCrunch » Wed Nov 29, 2023 2:11 pm

I would take Reed Sheppard top 5 with no regrets. Calling it early here.

This 4 star is special. I don't know if he has enough juice to play PG in the league since he is unfortunately a bit small for a NBA 2.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#593 » by EvanZ » Wed Nov 29, 2023 3:08 pm

CptCrunch wrote:I would take Reed Sheppard top 5 with no regrets. Calling it early here.

This 4 star is special. I don't know if he has enough juice to play PG in the league since he is unfortunately a bit small for a NBA 2.


Really the point of comparison is someone like DDV. Or like...super optimistically...bigger TJ McConnell with a 3pt shot. What people aren't going to talk about enough is that he's an old Freshman or like a young Sophomore age (June '04). Turns 20 a few days before the draft.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#594 » by Hal14 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:10 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:Im surprised Carrington has been brought up a few times. Why? Ya he put up stats against horrific opposition to start the year. He has yet to play against high level opposition but his last 3 games have been his first 3 games against power conference teams.

He’s 11-34 shooting in those 3 games.

I get the whole triple double to start off his college career. But he did that against arguably the worst team in D1. Kenpom has NC A&T as the 360th out of 362 teams.

And again against mid level power conference teams, he hasn’t looked like a standout at all.

1) Maybe this is why:
Image

2) The numbers he's putting up (PPG, 3 PT%, 3PA per 100 possessions, assist %, etc.) are extremely impressive for a freshman (especially one of the youngest freshmen in the class) regardless of competition and he's doing it while having to carry pretty much all of the ball handling, shot creation, play initiating responsibility for his team.

3) You'd think that people would stop harping so much on competition level, after what we have seen with the Thompson twins in the NBA, where the twins ended up going in the draft. Sarr and Almansa played in OTE and were both projected top 10 picks coming into the season. Sharpe played 0 college games and still went top 10 in the draft. Dillingham played OTE last year and look at what he's doing now at Kentucky. Buzelis hasn't played any games yet, played prep school ball last year and he's a projected top 5 pick.

When will people learn, sure competition level factors in, but we need to use our eyes and actually watch these kids play. Talent is talent, regardless of competition level, and we can't just completely dismiss a guy's stats, just because they came against low major or mid major teams.

For crying out loud, you're probably one of the people who was criticizing Chet because he had worse shooting splits vs top 50 ranked teams. Well, look at him now in the NBA! Very efficient scorer/shooter as a rookie in the NBA. You were probably one of the ones criticizing Brandon Miller for the same thing, yet here he is dropping 20 points in his rookie year in the NBA.

If you actually watch Carrington play (games for Pitt, EYBL games for Team Melo, HS games for St Frances) you see that he's silky smooth, rarely gets sped up, rarely out of control with the ball, sees the floor, manipulates a defense, is patient with the ball, lets the play develop, has soft touch on his shot, soft touch when needed on his passes, can run PnR very effectively, has a killer pull-up jumper from 3 and from mid-range. Keeps his head up when dribbling, doesn't pick the ball up when dribble until he's ready to pass/shoot it. Finishes well around the rim, even through contact. Does a nice job of knowing when to drive, when to shoot, when to pass..god balance of being a scorer and finding the open teammate..good size for a PG at 6'5".

4) Let's not act like Carrington is some random kid who showed up out of nowhere and never picked up a basketball prior to the start of Pitt's season. He was a top performer on Team Melo, one of the top teams on the 2022 EYBL circuit. They went head to head against some of the top teams/players from around the country.

And he was a top performer on St Frances Academy, one of the top prep school teams in the country. They played a very competitive schedule, including a game vs Link Academy (who won GEICO National Championship, led by Eliott Cadeau, Ja'Kobe Walter, Cameron Carr, etc.) and barely lost the game, 68-64 (was 66-64 before Link scored a bucket at the last second that had no impact on the outcome of the game). Carrington was on fire in the 2nd half of that game to allow St Frances to stay in the game and be right there until the end with the champs.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#595 » by Hal14 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:17 pm

EvanZ wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:I would take Reed Sheppard top 5 with no regrets. Calling it early here.

This 4 star is special. I don't know if he has enough juice to play PG in the league since he is unfortunately a bit small for a NBA 2.


Really the point of comparison is someone like DDV. Or like...super optimistically...bigger TJ McConnell with a 3pt shot. What people aren't going to talk about enough is that he's an old Freshman or like a young Sophomore age (June '04). Turns 20 a few days before the draft.

So basically the same age as Chet was when he was drafted. Several months younger than the THompson twins when they were drafted. And about 8 months younger than Brandon Miller when he was drafted.

Got it.

And surely we can come up with better draft analysis than comparing him to a couple of guys who have the same skin color as him..
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#596 » by Duke4life831 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 4:52 pm

Hal14 wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:Im surprised Carrington has been brought up a few times. Why? Ya he put up stats against horrific opposition to start the year. He has yet to play against high level opposition but his last 3 games have been his first 3 games against power conference teams.

He’s 11-34 shooting in those 3 games.

I get the whole triple double to start off his college career. But he did that against arguably the worst team in D1. Kenpom has NC A&T as the 360th out of 362 teams.

And again against mid level power conference teams, he hasn’t looked like a standout at all.

1) Maybe this is why:
Image

2) The numbers he's putting up (PPG, 3 PT%, 3PA per 100 possessions, assist %, etc.) are extremely impressive for a freshman (especially one of the youngest freshmen in the class) regardless of competition and he's doing it while having to carry pretty much all of the ball handling, shot creation, play initiating responsibility for his team.

3) You'd think that people would stop harping so much on competition level, after what we have seen with the Thompson twins in the NBA, where the twins ended up going in the draft. Sarr and Almansa played in OTE and were both projected top 10 picks coming into the season. Sharpe played 0 college games and still went top 10 in the draft. Dillingham played OTE last year and look at what he's doing now at Kentucky. Buzelis hasn't played any games yet, played prep school ball last year and he's a projected top 5 pick.

When will people learn, sure competition level factors in, but we need to use our eyes and actually watch these kids play. Talent is talent, regardless of competition level, and we can't just completely dismiss a guy's stats, just because they came against low major or mid major teams.

For crying out loud, you're probably one of the people who was criticizing Chet because he had worse shooting splits vs top 50 ranked teams. Well, look at him now in the NBA! Very efficient scorer/shooter as a rookie in the NBA. You were probably one of the ones criticizing Brandon Miller for the same thing, yet here he is dropping 20 points in his rookie year in the NBA.

If you actually watch Carrington play (games for Pitt, EYBL games for Team Melo, HS games for St Frances) you see that he's silky smooth, rarely gets sped up, rarely out of control with the ball, sees the floor, manipulates a defense, is patient with the ball, lets the play develop, has soft touch on his shot, soft touch when needed on his passes, can run PnR very effectively, has a killer pull-up jumper from 3 and from mid-range. Keeps his head up when dribbling, doesn't pick the ball up when dribble until he's ready to pass/shoot it. Finishes well around the rim, even through contact. Does a nice job of knowing when to drive, when to shoot, when to pass..god balance of being a scorer and finding the open teammate..good size for a PG at 6'5".

4) Let's not act like Carrington is some random kid who showed up out of nowhere and never picked up a basketball prior to the start of Pitt's season. He was a top performer on Team Melo, one of the top teams on the 2022 EYBL circuit. They went head to head against some of the top teams/players from around the country.

And he was a top performer on St Frances Academy, one of the top prep school teams in the country. They played a very competitive schedule, including a game vs Link Academy (who won GEICO National Championship, led by Eliott Cadeau, Ja'Kobe Walter, Cameron Carr, etc.) and barely lost the game, 68-64 (was 66-64 before Link scored a bucket at the last second that had no impact on the outcome of the game). Carrington was on fire in the 2nd half of that game to allow St Frances to stay in the game and be right there until the end with the champs.


I do watch. I watch most ACC teams and especially Pit because of Capel. I also had Chet #1 for that year. My point is, the main reason people are talking about him is because he put up a triple double against arguably the worst team in college basketball (the worst defense statistically). While the 3 times he’s played against actual solid competition (mid level college basketball teams) he’s putting up

10/5/5 on 32/17/87 (42 TS%)

Is it really “harping on competition level” if we talk about that there is a clear difference between putting up stats against teams like NC A&T and actual legit competition? If you had Carrington high before the season, cool. I just don’t get the reasoning on jumping a player from basically off your board to your top 10 because of what he did to start the year against bottom level college basketball teams.

We’ve had this discussion for years on here and it’s been one of the most talked about things from college basketball talking heads lately as well. Early season college basketball sucks. The vast majority of out of conference games are against teams that shouldn’t even be in discussion for D1 and you can’t learn anything about the teams or anything legit about the players as prospects when they play games beating up on these teams.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#597 » by EvanZ » Wed Nov 29, 2023 6:01 pm

Hal14 wrote:
EvanZ wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:I would take Reed Sheppard top 5 with no regrets. Calling it early here.

This 4 star is special. I don't know if he has enough juice to play PG in the league since he is unfortunately a bit small for a NBA 2.


Really the point of comparison is someone like DDV. Or like...super optimistically...bigger TJ McConnell with a 3pt shot. What people aren't going to talk about enough is that he's an old Freshman or like a young Sophomore age (June '04). Turns 20 a few days before the draft.

So basically the same age as Chet was when he was drafted. Several months younger than the THompson twins when they were drafted. And about 8 months younger than Brandon Miller when he was drafted.

Got it.

And surely we can come up with better draft analysis than comparing him to a couple of guys who have the same skin color as him..


Chet was old, so yeah. As for color...feel free to give me a different name and color. Cason maybe?
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#598 » by Hal14 » Wed Nov 29, 2023 7:44 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:I do watch. I watch most ACC teams and especially Pit because of Capel.

That's great! You could try showing that you've watched by actually talking about his game, the pace that he plays with, his court vision, maybe break down his strengths/weaknesses a little bit so we know you've watched him play...rather than just posting cherry picked stats on a small sample size of games.

Duke4life831 wrote:I also had Chet #1 for that year.

Great! That only proves my point. IIRC, Chet's PPG and shooting splits were WAY higher vs weaker teams than they were vs top 25 or top 50 ranked teams. Yet you ranked Chet #1 and you completely dismiss Carrington as someone we shouldn't even discuss (You said "Im surprised Carrington has been brought up a few times. Why?").

That makes no sense.

Duke4life831 wrote:My point is, the main reason people are talking about him is because he put up a triple double against arguably the worst team in college basketball (the worst defense statistically).

I didn't bring that game up in my post and I don't see many people talking about that game on here.

However, I do think that:
a) getting a triple double in your first ever college game (especially when you're one of the youngest freshmen in college basketball and have to carry the load as your team's PG and pretty much the only guy on the team running the offense, creating shots, facilitating, etc.) is impressive, regardless of competition level

b) Competition aside, if we watch the film of that game I was impressed with his poise, just seems like he really belongs out there, doesn't make silly freshman mistakes (like we've seen quite a few times from guys like Wagner and Collier) the way he sees the floor, plays with good pace, seems to have good feel for running the PnR, etc.

Duke4life831 wrote:While the 3 times he’s played against actual solid competition (mid level college basketball teams) he’s putting up

10/5/5 on 32/17/87 (42 TS%)

Cherry picked games on a small sample size.

Carrington has played 7 games. That sample size is small enough. Let's not make it smaller to try and fit your agenda.

You're not really making some insightful observation here. Gee, a guy has better numbers vs low major/mid major teams who aren't ranked in the top 25 than he does vs high major teams - wow, no kidding! Ya don't say! That's probably true about pretty much every college basketball player ever. It was true about Chet (yet you still ranked him no. 1), it was true about Brandon Miller. It was true about most every player who got drafted in the lottery...ever.

Duke4life831 wrote:Is it really “harping on competition level” if we talk about that there is a clear difference between putting up stats against teams like NC A&T and actual legit competition?

Hmm, since you seem to be implying that NC A&T is a trash team that anybody could easily get a triple double on with high efficiency, let's take a look here...

BY that logic, Reece Beekman should have also put up an 18 point triple double with high shooting efficiency, right? Sure, Beekman isn't a projected lottery pick, but many people do have him going 2nd round (some even have him going 1st round) and he's FOUR years older than Carrington, has played in big march madness and ACC games, has one of the best coaches in college basketball guiding him, etc.

So surely by your logic, Beekman must have had a career night vs NC A&T, right?

Here's their stats vs NC A&T:
Carrington at age 18: 18/12/10 on 7/12 FG, 4/7 from 3 and 1 turnover
Beekman at age 22: 5/4/7 on 2/9 FG, 1/3 from 3 and 0 turnovers

No one is throwing Beekman's stats from that game out. They count. Everyone is including that NC A&T game in Beekman's stats. Only fair that we do the same for Carrington.

Duke4life831 wrote:If you had Carrington high before the season, cool. I just don’t get the reasoning on jumping a player from basically off your board to your top 10 because of what he did to start the year against bottom level college basketball teams

Perhaps you missed this part of my post:
Spoiler:
Let's not act like Carrington is some random kid who showed up out of nowhere and never picked up a basketball prior to the start of Pitt's season. He was a top performer on Team Melo, one of the top teams on the 2022 EYBL circuit. They went head to head against some of the top teams/players from around the country.

And he was a top performer on St Frances Academy, one of the top prep school teams in the country. They played a very competitive schedule, including a game vs Link Academy (who won GEICO National Championship, led by Eliott Cadeau, Ja'Kobe Walter, Cameron Carr, etc.) and barely lost the game, 68-64 (was 66-64 before Link scored a bucket at the last second that had no impact on the outcome of the game). Carrington was on fire in the 2nd half of that game to allow St Frances to stay in the game and be right there until the end with the champs.


When watching his pre-college film, it was clear that Carrington is a guy who moves really smooth out there, really smooth with the ball in his hands. Can play on ball or off ball, but is a legit PG prospect at 6'5" who can distribute the ball, run offense, run PnR and was one of the better shooters in this year's freshman class. That's a nice baseline to have coming into college, especially when you're one of the youngest players in the freshman class and the 2024 draft class is weaker at the top..and teams (when seeing the success of Haliburton) might not want to miss again on a skinny 6'5" PG who can handle the ball, drop dimes and stroke the 3 ball..

Duke4life831 wrote:We’ve had this discussion for years on here and it’s been one of the most talked about things from college basketball talking heads lately as well. Early season college basketball sucks. The vast majority of out of conference games are against teams that shouldn’t even be in discussion for D1 and you can’t learn anything about the teams or anything legit about the players as prospects when they play games beating up on these teams.

Here's a live look at Duke4life831:

Image

Look, dude. Every game is a data point. Some data points mean more than others. UConn beat UNH the other night, a school that's never made the tournament and never sent a player to the NBA. But Clingan looked good. His footwork looked good, his aggressiveness around the basket was good. Showed some soft touch around the rim, made a nice pass to an open teammate, etc. Is it gonna drastically change my eval on him? Of course not. But it's a data point. And it's encouraging to see the way he was moving out there, coming back from the foot injury.

Am I going to base my whole eval on Clingan off the UNH game? Of course not. Am I going to factor in what I saw on film from Clingan in that game? Yeah. Am I going to completely dismiss that game, just because it was against a weaker team? Nope..

If your main point is that early season games vs low major or mid major schools don't matter, then whatever. We can agree to disagree. I don't even disagree completely with that. I think those games mean less..they certainly don't mean a ton. But they do mean something, imo. Every game is a data point. A game vs Duke matters more, but a game vs NC A&T or a game vs the YNG Dreamerz matters too, imo.
Nothing wrong with having a different opinion - as long as it's done respectfully. It'd be lame if we all agreed on everything :)
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#599 » by Chuck Everett » Wed Nov 29, 2023 10:06 pm

CptCrunch wrote:I would take Reed Sheppard top 5 with no regrets. Calling it early here.

This 4 star is special. I don't know if he has enough juice to play PG in the league since he is unfortunately a bit small for a NBA 2.


So you would need to play him with a big PG for him to be effective? That doesn't scream take him top 5 with no regrets.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#600 » by The-Power » Wed Nov 29, 2023 10:21 pm

Oh good, back to @Hal14 getting all up in arms when people dare urging caution when it comes to players they like. Exciting!

edit:

And it's particularly funny in this case when this was literally a comment 12 days ago:

Hal14 wrote:He plays smooth. Intrigued to see how he looks vs some tough teams..


But somehow @Duke is crazy for pointing out how he looked versus tougher teams. Makes sense.

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