Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons

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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#21 » by JRoy » Thu Dec 7, 2023 4:55 pm

Biff wrote:Injury free I think he would have been better than Dwight. He was bigger, had better footwork, was almost as quick and was stronger. It was clear he didn't have the IQ of someone like Duncan or KG though, he really struggled with foul issues and the speed of the NBA game was a challenge for him. But Dwight is also someone with mediocre BBIQ, so a reasonable comp.


Sounds about right.

In a summer league game he blocked a three pointer at the rim. I remember thinking, “you know you can’t do that, right?”
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#22 » by FrodoBaggins » Thu Dec 7, 2023 5:18 pm

Interesting insights from everyone. Someone said he shot 80% from the free-throw line in high school. That's intriguing; I'm trying to verify that.

Also, here's a good mix from the 2009-10 season, the best season/stretch of games of his pro career:

;ab_channel=RipCity71252

Some nice moves there, including a little face-up jump shot. Just way more fluid than Dwight ever was. A nice soft touch as well.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#23 » by Hoopz Afrik » Thu Dec 7, 2023 5:56 pm

For some reason, Mark Williams from Charlotte reminds me a lot of him.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#24 » by JRoy » Thu Dec 7, 2023 6:01 pm

Hoopz Afrik wrote:For some reason, Mark Williams from Charlotte reminds me a lot of him.


Chronic injuries?
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#25 » by scrabbarista » Thu Dec 7, 2023 6:08 pm

skillset: basketball
ceiling: at least seven feet
comparison: michael olowokandi
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#26 » by FrodoBaggins » Thu Dec 7, 2023 8:39 pm

scrabbarista wrote:skillset: basketball
ceiling: at least seven feet
comparison: michael olowokandi

Insightful.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#27 » by LascelleL » Thu Dec 7, 2023 8:52 pm

Greg Oden is the one guy I just never felt comfortable describing as a bust man...he was dominant when he played (defensively) and he had the tools and will to improve..his body just never held up
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#28 » by Ursusamericanus » Thu Dec 7, 2023 9:02 pm

I think Ewing is a solid comparison in that he was a trifle more mechanical as an athlete than D-Rob, Hakeem, or Shaq, and a notch below them overall as a player, but still had superstar potential. He was a great shot-blocker and showed the potential to develop range on his shot. Stronger base than Dwight and taller than Zo. So I always had him around the Ewing level, a bit worse than the first three guys I mentioned, but better than the last two.

I was really high on him and was excited to see his career unfold. Sad how things turned out, and hope he's doing well.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#29 » by Warriors Analyst » Thu Dec 7, 2023 9:08 pm

Rendei wrote:Greg Oden played his one college season without his dominant hand. He shot over 60% from the field and from the free throw line with his left hand. So we never really got a great image of what his ceiling was, just that his floor was ridiculous.


That really sums up the Oden hype well. In less than ideal conditions and with compromised physical ability, he was utterly dominant in college.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#30 » by Yoshun » Thu Dec 7, 2023 9:36 pm

ellobo wrote:I was never an Oden believer. He seemed to me like a really good traditional rim protecting, post defending, rebounding center, with not a whole lot of offensive game. Oden had a decent jump hook, especially with the right hand, but that's about all he had away from the rim. He had some offensive skill, so he wasn't a non-scorer, but not a guy I ever expected you could pound the ball into in the low post, or who could face up slower big men as the focus of an offense.

In other words, I never saw him at the overall level of scoring centers like Shaq, Olajuwon, Robinson, Ewing, Duncan, Moses, etc, or even down to Robert Parish/Alonzo Mourning level. He might have been as good or better than some of those guys defensively and/or on the boards, but not as an overall two way player.

He was a good defender, but he was fouling machine. He averaged 6.6 fouls per 36 and 10.1 per 100 possessions and never played more than 24 minutes per game. That's Norvel Pelle territory, although Pelle blocked almost twice as many shots per 100 (6.0 to 3.5). By comparison Jaren Jackson Jr. through last year was 4.9 and 6.5 and was limited to 27.4mpg. So Oden could reduce his fouling by over a third and still probably have it limit his playing time. Compared to say Ewing, he committed twice as many fouls per 100, while blocking slightly fewer shots, and getting slightly fewer steals and defensive rebounds.

Oden definitely had a lot of potential, but I think it gets overblown into legendary proportions that I just don't think are accurate.


It's not a popular opinion, but I agree.

I always thought he'd put up peak Rudy Gobert type numbers at his peak. Excellent defender and rebounder, raw on offense. He did average 11ppg in 23mpg in his last good season, so maybe I'm wrong, I just never saw it.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#31 » by FrodoBaggins » Fri Dec 8, 2023 4:34 am

Yoshun wrote:
ellobo wrote:I was never an Oden believer. He seemed to me like a really good traditional rim protecting, post defending, rebounding center, with not a whole lot of offensive game. Oden had a decent jump hook, especially with the right hand, but that's about all he had away from the rim. He had some offensive skill, so he wasn't a non-scorer, but not a guy I ever expected you could pound the ball into in the low post, or who could face up slower big men as the focus of an offense.

In other words, I never saw him at the overall level of scoring centers like Shaq, Olajuwon, Robinson, Ewing, Duncan, Moses, etc, or even down to Robert Parish/Alonzo Mourning level. He might have been as good or better than some of those guys defensively and/or on the boards, but not as an overall two way player.

He was a good defender, but he was fouling machine. He averaged 6.6 fouls per 36 and 10.1 per 100 possessions and never played more than 24 minutes per game. That's Norvel Pelle territory, although Pelle blocked almost twice as many shots per 100 (6.0 to 3.5). By comparison Jaren Jackson Jr. through last year was 4.9 and 6.5 and was limited to 27.4mpg. So Oden could reduce his fouling by over a third and still probably have it limit his playing time. Compared to say Ewing, he committed twice as many fouls per 100, while blocking slightly fewer shots, and getting slightly fewer steals and defensive rebounds.

Oden definitely had a lot of potential, but I think it gets overblown into legendary proportions that I just don't think are accurate.


It's not a popular opinion, but I agree.

I always thought he'd put up peak Rudy Gobert type numbers at his peak. Excellent defender and rebounder, raw on offense. He did average 11ppg in 23mpg in his last good season, so maybe I'm wrong, I just never saw it.

You have to add context to that 11 ppg in 23 minutes as well. 2009-10 Portland was the slowest-paced team in the league. They were historically slow: -5.0 rPace. Not to mention he was playing a complimentary role on a high-level team, sharing shots with Roy, Aldridge, and others.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#32 » by BarbaGrizz » Fri Dec 8, 2023 5:39 pm

I would comp him to Howard, Robinson and Ewing. Definitely a generational talent in an era where you built your around dominant centers.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#33 » by PaulKellerman » Fri Dec 8, 2023 7:36 pm

Had Roy and Oden stayed healthy, Portland would have been a dynasty. I feel they'd be more of a perennial contender than the OKC squad from 2010-2016. Oden reminded me most of Ewing (though I hadn't seen Patrick a lot), with his footwork and defensive disposition.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#34 » by D.Brasco » Fri Dec 8, 2023 9:15 pm

Wasn't he born with one leg slightly shorter than the other? Aside from surgery to correct that he was destined to be injured with that condition.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#35 » by picko » Sat Dec 9, 2023 2:04 am

Projecting Oden is incredibly difficult given we never saw him in the NBA unaffected by injury. And even in his single NCAA season he was impacted by a wrist injury.

We know that his stats were skewing upwards during his second season. That he'd become a major contributor to the Blazers success. We can only reasonably conclude that he would have continued to build on that had he not suffered serious injury. And the Blazers could have been major contenders with a healthy Roy / Oden.

And we know that in the NCAA championship game he manhandled Al Horford and Joakim Noah (combined 7 all-star appearances) despite being several years younger than both. The Ohio State version of Oden seemed to move better than any version we saw in the NBA.

I think had he never suffered any major NBA injuries - including the one caused him to miss his rookie season - then he would have been a staple of all-star teams for the next decade. And a fixture of all-NBA teams as well. His likely career projections aren't quite so favourable after suffering major injury before stepping onto a NBA court.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#36 » by Jables » Sat Dec 9, 2023 2:45 am

He was a good talent, but he has to be seen in the context of his era. He failed and became a what could've been for Centers when Dwight Howard was the guy and the news stories every summer were "I'll learn some post moves this time, I promise." The Dwight hate is kinda getting forgotten over time, but the perception of Oden has to be remembered in context with Dwight.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#37 » by afarmenian » Sat Dec 9, 2023 3:12 am

Where are these Robinson Ewing comparisons coming from? Ridiculous. He had not even a hint of touch outside 10 feet. No mid range strictly a power baby hook game Stronger Rudy Gobert is all he was. Or a bigger Dwight with less mobilty. Lighter shaq with worse footwork.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#38 » by Braggins » Sat Dec 9, 2023 3:51 am

I really hate the narrative that Oden was a bust and that taking him over KD was an epicly terribly mistake by Portland.

I think its safe to say in hindsight that KD's ceiling was very likely higher than Oden's, but Oden was a legitimately elite prospect and he was already playing very well when he was on the court before his injuries became too much and the Blazers were fantastic with him + Brandon Roy in the lineup.

I think its fair to say that Oden wasn't the best pick regardless of injuries and they should have taken KD, but the only thing that made the pick actually turn out as bad as it did was injuries ruining Oden's career.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#39 » by Myth » Sat Dec 9, 2023 4:10 am

FrodoBaggins wrote:
Yoshun wrote:
ellobo wrote:I was never an Oden believer. He seemed to me like a really good traditional rim protecting, post defending, rebounding center, with not a whole lot of offensive game. Oden had a decent jump hook, especially with the right hand, but that's about all he had away from the rim. He had some offensive skill, so he wasn't a non-scorer, but not a guy I ever expected you could pound the ball into in the low post, or who could face up slower big men as the focus of an offense.

In other words, I never saw him at the overall level of scoring centers like Shaq, Olajuwon, Robinson, Ewing, Duncan, Moses, etc, or even down to Robert Parish/Alonzo Mourning level. He might have been as good or better than some of those guys defensively and/or on the boards, but not as an overall two way player.

He was a good defender, but he was fouling machine. He averaged 6.6 fouls per 36 and 10.1 per 100 possessions and never played more than 24 minutes per game. That's Norvel Pelle territory, although Pelle blocked almost twice as many shots per 100 (6.0 to 3.5). By comparison Jaren Jackson Jr. through last year was 4.9 and 6.5 and was limited to 27.4mpg. So Oden could reduce his fouling by over a third and still probably have it limit his playing time. Compared to say Ewing, he committed twice as many fouls per 100, while blocking slightly fewer shots, and getting slightly fewer steals and defensive rebounds.

Oden definitely had a lot of potential, but I think it gets overblown into legendary proportions that I just don't think are accurate.


It's not a popular opinion, but I agree.

I always thought he'd put up peak Rudy Gobert type numbers at his peak. Excellent defender and rebounder, raw on offense. He did average 11ppg in 23mpg in his last good season, so maybe I'm wrong, I just never saw it.

You have to add context to that 11 ppg in 23 minutes as well. 2009-10 Portland was the slowest-paced team in the league. They were historically slow: -5.0 rPace. Not to mention he was playing a complimentary role on a high-level team, sharing shots with Roy, Aldridge, and others.

Plus that was already post serious injury.
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Re: Greg Oden: skillset, ceiling, comparisons 

Post#40 » by brutalitops » Sat Dec 9, 2023 6:25 am

76ciology wrote:He moved well because he played in limited minutes and limited games.

Everyone can move well if they are not tired.

His per 36 numbers is good but he fouls like crazy. And if you let a guy like Nic Claxton foul like crazy he might get you 12-13rpg on 4-6bpg.

mix as well, He looked great in spurts, Also he didnt really have a season to get fit, It's not like he had a soft pre season to get fit and have a run, He's coming in with limited work, already half a season down with injury and rehabbed knee's.
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