REJECTEDBYCLARK wrote:Rapsfan07 wrote:REJECTEDBYCLARK wrote:I just thought of how I like Bogdan Bogdanovic as the template for Reed Sheppard comps. Bogdanovic is a killer at the top of his game, I think Sheppard has the ability to be similar but as a smaller peskier guard with better passing chops.
Perhaps, yeah. That's not a terrible comp.
Bogs looks a little more...idk crafty and fluid that Sheppard but Sheppard's efficiency is through the roof and he looks really good on the defensive end as well.
The Bibby comparisons that are widespread aren't awful but at the height of his game Bogie was more efficient than Bibby ever was and probably closer to what Sheppard can do which is like +3-4/+0.5. FVV provides similar value but Sheppard has a chance to do it without destroying the team framework. His numbers obviously aren't sustainable in the NBA but as of right now enough to make me believe that he can provide 1.5-1.8 stl/36 and shoot close to 40% from deep on solid volume.
Just looks like a very valuable player due to his efficiency and could in some ways be like FVV if FVV were to have ever embraced playing hot potato with the basketball instead of dominating it leading to a very high USG rating and then add Reed's superior ability to make a limited amount of shots from 2.
I'd agree with your assessment.
I think the only thing with Sheppard for me is his high floor/low ceiling. If we're talking Top 6 (or really anywhere in the draft), one of the things I consider is star potential. First, does this player have the potential to be a star. Second - if they do, how much improvement is required to get them from where they are to where we would like them to be?
The calculus is a different the deeper in the draft you get. So for example, this thinking doesn't apply as heavy later down in draft where theoretically, a player down there has far more flaws and therefore the chances of them becoming a star are a lot slimmer. So if there's a 3+D wing specialist down there or a guy who I think has a very good chance at being an NBA contributor, I would prefer to take that than a player who is a boom or bust type prospect.
All of that to say, Sheppard strikes me as guy who has a very high chance (at least as far as we can tell at this stage) to be an NBA contributor. But at 6, I think you want a guy who has even just an outside shot at being a star. Now, unlike most drafts, this one is going to be even more of crapshoot than normal so it may be better to go with a guy who you feel good about contributing and worrying about the rest later.
For this reason, I do have him on my board. FVV made an all-star team and if Sheppard is like him but with better efficiency, he's absolutely worth the pick there.