greekman wrote:if luka and jokic switched places how much better would the mavs be ?
How I see things?
I see Luka & Jokic playing a very different style of play.
Luka plays intensely heliocentric, dominates the ball, struggles to get the most out of other on-ball talents, and doesn't give you much when he's off-ball.
Jokic plays a style that cannot easily be classified but has its roots in the pivot-passer model where he doesn't hold onto the ball long, allows other on-ball talents to shine, and moves without the ball in a way that provides all sorts of sneaky value.
In theory each team they are on is optimized around the respective star so we should expect some struggles if there was a shift...but then there's this matter that the Mavs never seem to do much better when Luka's out there compared to without him, while Jokic's teams generally show a night & day difference depending on whether Jokic is on the floor or not.
A variation on a simple stat I like to point to for perspective: Most times leading one particular franchise in +/- across the entirety of a season with the data going back to '93-94.
Nowitzki (DAL) 14
Duncan (SAS) 10
LeBron (CLE) 9
Curry (GSW) 8
Nash (PHX) 8
Other high scorers in the conversation here.
Embiid (PHI) 6
Jokic (DEN) 6 - and leading this year which would make 7
Tatum (BOS) 5
Giannis (MIL) 4 - and leading this year which would make 5
Other guys in discussion here tend to be young, but if the season were to end right now, all of Edwards, SGA, Hali & Kawhi would have non-zero tallies.
Doncic is the only one who has his own slot on this poll that would remain zero. We're now 6 years in, and we've seen basically no indicators that Doncic has massive impact as a matter of course the way we expect for MVP-level players.
Now don't get me wrong: I think the resilience of Luka-centrism is still very scary to playoff opponents, and in the end, that's the thing that truly matters to legacy. If Luka is never all that impactful in the regular season but proves more resilient than all comers in the playoffs, he can still be known as the best player of his generation.
But if you're skeptical that anyone could be making the Mavs considerably better than Luka has when you're watching them now, I'll tell you flat out that you're not actually looking at the impact, just the box score and the fact that Luka seems to be able to manufacture production in all situations with his preferred style of play. Because we're not talking about a close comparison between Jokic & Luka over the course of regular seasons.
Jokic is among the most impactful players we've ever seen, and Luka is perhaps the most surprisingly un-impactful guys we've ever seen.
I type all this and I think that if you're like most, you'll just roll your eyes. But this is something some of us have been watching unfold for years now and we're genuinely shocked by the lack of "they couldn't do anything without him" evidence Doncic continues to show. I don't think anyone expected to see this, and it's now a major 2020s phenomenon worthy of study in its own right.