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What do you expect for next season?

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What kind of team will the Raptors be in 2024-2025

Competing for the worst record
32
29%
Miss Play In
35
32%
Play In tournament
29
26%
Playoff team
6
5%
Home court playoff team
0
No votes
2nd round
1
1%
3rd round
0
No votes
Finals
0
No votes
Champions
8
7%
 
Total votes: 111

wegotthabeet
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#101 » by wegotthabeet » Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:48 pm

Harry Palmer wrote:
wegotthabeet wrote:
Harry Palmer wrote:Bit surprised that so many are seeing IQ and RJB as core players.

What are people seeing that suggests an upside in either that heads higher than average starter and a probability of grading out lower than that? Never say never I guess, but as the foundation for organizational strategy it’s all too familiar helium imo.

I’m not even sure Scottie can be The Man, and probably needs a comparable to better talent onboard to get excited about being real contenders built around our young talent. But as is he’s head and shoulders above anyone on the team despite being younger, because that’s how actual ~ franchise level players do. Do people think Quickly or Barret are going to do complete 180’s as defenders/playmakers? And if not do you see their offensive talent as great enough to overcome the other flaws to the point where they are better than whoever you think the average players at their position…so not too far below 10th best in the league? Who do you have as the top 10 at pg and sf in the league and who amongst them do you see IQ or Barrett equaling or surpassing? (Saying top 10 for several reasons, primarily as you get lower you tend to get more guys splitting time as opposed to straight up starting and to simplify but make it 12th/13th if you feel that’s fairer.)


define core.

every franchise should try to have two pillars to build around/with. to me those pillars are what i would call "the core". Scottie is 100% one of those two pillars or core players. they're still trying to find the other one imo.

so contending team = core (2 or 3 players) + rotation (5 or 6 players)

every contending team has about 8 players roughly that make up the playoff roster.

rj + iq fall into the rotation category. if those guys are somewhere between 3 to 8 in the rotation then that's perfectly fine.

using the 2019 team as an example.

core = Leonard + Lowry
rotation = Siakam + Gasol + Ibaka + Green + Van vleet + Powell + (OG)

current team

core = Barnes + ?
rotation = Barrett + Quickly + ? + ? + ? + ?

and it's all still in flux since this team is no where near ready to compete. if one of Barrett + Quickly establishes themselves as a core piece it would be like with DeMar where at some point the team parlays that player + additional assets to upgrade the core.


Don’t think we disagree too much in terms of how we scale things. I’m maybe more of the opinion that acquiring rotation players is much, much, much easier than acquiring core guys, much more interchangeable and therefore not even something that should be on our radar until we have our core. Especially if they are established enough to marginalize your lottery capital, though I still haven’t figured out how much the new rules broadly speaking affect lottery results and therefore value.


It is much much easier to acquire rotation pieces than core pieces and I agree they are far more interchangeable.

There are two paths to getting that second guy to go along with Scottie. One is through the draft with a lot of luck. That player can be drafted 1st overall or even in the 2nd round. Either way it requires a lot of luck. The other is through asset consolidation. Also very difficult and requires a lot of luck.

So RJ and IQ are necessary before and/or after establishing a core. The hope is they continue to progress and become viewed as valuable to both this team and others.

Your franchise is either in asset accumulation mode or asset consolidation mode. This team pivoted to asset accumulation mode for the first time since the Ibaka trade in the last two months. IQ and RJ are just the first step in that pivot. They are lucky to already start building with one core player. The rest are just potential assets for now at least. Same thing happened last time. They already had a core player although it wasn’t as obvious at the time. Then they spent four years accumulating assets between 2013 - 2017.

That’s my hope at least. Keep accumulating assets and by 2026/27 they’re ready to start consolidating towards contention.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#102 » by MiamiSPX » Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:58 pm

Stability first and foremost, followed by noticeable progress from each of BBQ DIck. That's all, the rest will take care of itself.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#103 » by JShuttlesworth » Fri Feb 16, 2024 11:09 pm

Im actually surprised at how many people have us play-in bound. I thought we'd be play in each of the last two seasons, I bar which I thought was pretty low, but we haven't really been close. Fool me twice I guess...

It's hard to say what happens with teams like Atlanta, Brooklyn, and Chicago, but it's not like we've been winning a lot of games since the trades have been made.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#104 » by akakalakin » Fri Feb 16, 2024 11:15 pm

surely better than the Jays on year 9 of a 5 year plan, lets hope neither becomes multiple decades- but yeah that's what it looks like
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#105 » by Basketball_Jones » Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:11 am

deeps6x wrote:Draft the LeBron spawn and have daddy come play here for the vet min with him.
Bring OG home with cap space.

And hopefully we'll have tanked hard enough this season to keep our pick.

Playoffs baby.


lol OG got out of this hell hole of a situation and is playing meaningful games as long as Randle and Brunson have legs. It’s a bit like when Kyle/Demar were next to him. No reason for him to come back here.
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There are only 2 teams in the league that rank in the top 6 in offensive and defensive efficiency: the Golden State Warriors and the Toronto Raptors.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#106 » by C_Money » Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:28 am

JShuttlesworth wrote:Im actually surprised at how many people have us play-in bound. I thought we'd be play in each of the last two seasons, I bar which I thought was pretty low, but we haven't really been close. Fool me twice I guess...


Wait until you see the win-now moves we make in the off-season.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#107 » by Kingsway_fan » Sat Feb 17, 2024 2:03 am

ItsDanger wrote:
ConSarnit wrote:
Kingsway_fan wrote:Not bad enough for top 6 pick... nowhere near play in....


This doesn't make sense.

If we're not close to the play-in then we're in the exact same spot we're in right now... 6th worst.

If you're not competing for the play-in you are, by default, in the bottom 8 of the league.

Essentially describing the 7/11 scenario. When looking back at stretches of bad teams (often referenced on this board), they've been in this range too often.


Exactly. The other commentators failed school math, I guess... we are a treadmill 7-11 team. Not good enough to compete for a playoff, and not perennial tanking top 6 worse teams like Washington, Charlotte, Detroit, etc.

Though Detroit's core, with another top pick >>> Raptors...
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#108 » by billy_hoyle » Sat Feb 17, 2024 3:17 am

Kingsway_fan wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
ConSarnit wrote:
This doesn't make sense.

If we're not close to the play-in then we're in the exact same spot we're in right now... 6th worst.

If you're not competing for the play-in you are, by default, in the bottom 8 of the league.

Essentially describing the 7/11 scenario. When looking back at stretches of bad teams (often referenced on this board), they've been in this range too often.


Exactly. The other commentators failed school math, I guess... we are a treadmill 7-11 team. Not good enough to compete for a playoff, and not perennial tanking top 6 worse teams like Washington, Charlotte, Detroit, etc.

Though Detroit's core, with another top pick >>> Raptors...


Raptors core with a top pick is better than Detroit's with a top pick, no?
Barnes > Cade
RJ = Ivey
IQ > Sasser
Dick = Ausar
16th < Duren
Ochai = Grimes

Plus we have better vets in Yak, Brown and Nwora.

There's almost no way I'd rather switch places with the Pistons.
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Re: What do you expect for next season? 

Post#109 » by wegotthabeet » Sat Feb 17, 2024 3:48 am

Kingsway_fan wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
ConSarnit wrote:
This doesn't make sense.

If we're not close to the play-in then we're in the exact same spot we're in right now... 6th worst.

If you're not competing for the play-in you are, by default, in the bottom 8 of the league.

Essentially describing the 7/11 scenario. When looking back at stretches of bad teams (often referenced on this board), they've been in this range too often.


Exactly. The other commentators failed school math, I guess... we are a treadmill 7-11 team. Not good enough to compete for a playoff, and not perennial tanking top 6 worse teams like Washington, Charlotte, Detroit, etc.

Though Detroit's core, with another top pick >>> Raptors...


Personally I would always take the core with the best player or with the player who has the highest upside. It’s basketball after all and top tier talent > than a collection of talented prospects in this sport.

Scottie is better than Cade or anyone else on Detroit currently, has a higher ceiling than anyone on the Pistons and it appears as of now better than any prospect in this draft. Who cares which team is better next year. They’ll both be bad. Toronto still has the highest upside player of either group. That can change pretty quickly though.

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