tsherkin wrote:Owly wrote:As I said ... I "selected" (read: listed) the bigs from his draft class. And and this point was defending them from being "no consequence" (which you've since acknowledged was ... not a phrasing properly aligned with your intent). And went to lower significance ones despite knowing it included Turner ... and I included Perkins as context in the original post. Bowie was tolerable from three for a big, for the time, too.I don't think the sample was biased, just direct peers. If one wanted to say Perkins had some room for some heaves ... maybe ... that's one guy and Barkley seemingly wasn't throwing them later so I don't think it changes the argument.
I don't purport it was biased, I just don't think it's a relevant sample. Barkley had skills they didn't, so pushing the boundary of those skills made any kind of sense. I can't even envision some of those guys CONSIDERING 3s. Not that Barkley should have, but he did have more of a J than most of those guys. Direct peers isn't a terrible starting point, but it does go only so far.
If I was feeling mean towards him I'd (half-joking) suggest "crap-ass shooter who couldn't stick a 20-footer, let alone a 3" ... might not separate them from Barkley. His late career 15ft-3pt is solid though. That said a contemporary review said 15ft jump/set shot was useful but shouldn't go beyond 18 so ... the bearish take if one buys that as true would be perhaps is that he's just taking the shorter end of that range and the jokey comment still kind of land [general context not directly pertaining to point - as before also that early era's shot tracking is less accurate] ... a bullish take could buy that and suggest he traded his long twos for 3s and praise the shot selection ... even if that were the case though ... let someone else take the long shots.
Yeah, I mean, if you're looking to see if I support Barkley's decision to shoot 3s, I don't. I think it was a mistake and I think his increasing volume in later years had more to do with aging and injuries and ebbing athleticism than it did with anything else. He shot a couple of them per game after a few years in the league, but it's also not surprising after how physical he was on all of his other shots. There are very few guys who just bull around the basket in volume across league history and he was shouldering primary scoring volume on a nightly basis, so it isn't surprising to me, nor any kind of outlier. Later in his career, of course, more of an issue.
I just find it semantically challenging to line up with your characterization of "loving" the 3 ball over his first decade on such a trivial sample, regardless of it being an outlier relative to draft class peers in the frontcourt, that's all. That's where we differ, I think, more than anywhere else. Now, come the mid-90s... well, that's a separate discussion.
Part of me is worried perhaps I was wrong to bite. This should be my last on it within this exchange. Otherwise at best a constant loop.
I felt the implication of the list being "selected" was a curation towards a particular perspective. And it was in the first instance players drafted within one year who were genuinely great shooters for the time and direct positional and era peer/rival. And then the bigs from the same same class. That's where the defense against bias came from.
Barkley having skill they didn't ... they weren't shooting skills so I don't see why it would matter. Malone provides context of a star with perhaps a marginally better pure shot (cf previous posts regarding FT%). Fwiw Willis, Bowie and McCormick sit (with Barkley and Malone) within the 70-75% range. Thorpe and Cage below. Turpin and Turner above (Perkins above, fwiw Ellis above). He possessed an adequate PF stroke. There was no signal for him to gun away.
2nd para was really just playing with ""crap-ass shooter who couldn't stick a 20-footer, let alone a 3" and giving some context around that, playing with limited data and ideas around it. No I haven't said you support it.
That being said I don't understand the he took mostly physical shots so ... what, he's entitled to jack up some terrible low contact ones? I don't know what the conclusion from the premise is.
"nor any kind of outlier" without any kind of specifics is I would suggest, outright wrong (I'm not entirely sure what you mean here to honest, given you grant he is an outlier among his peers which would be one kind of outlier ... maybe the idea is that Philly-only he isn't, though see below....). If you say just volume or just accuracy and don't account for position sure. We've already seen Trupin and Secor Couzens suggest he "lost" more than 2.5x as many points as any other player by taking 3s in '89. If you don't like the assumption he could continue making 2s at the same rate arguably implied in that measure (particularly with the use of "lost") sure it's not perfect but he is an outlier taking so many of them and being so bad ... and moreso accounting for position and the other options available to him.
In '93 STATS Inc looked at the largest gap between 3pt % and 2pt%. Again one can argue that this penalizes him for being good and quibble at the margins...
He's the clear leader in difference (.607 - .254 =
.354 [their rounding]) from Worthy's .538 - .227 =
.311And of all these bad outside shooters, (requiring a minimum of 200 attempts for qualification) Pippen shot the most at 453 ... Barkley shot nearly 2.5 times as many at 1108. Nobody at that time shot that much. For older guys Worthy took 375, Pressey 356, Cheeks 204. So just in case we're punishing him for shooting accurately from 2 ... going way down the extended list in the appendix ... there's 2 players who attempted as many as 500 on lower than .300. Both are small guards. Spud Webb is just under .300 at .294 (coming off a down year - he ends his career at .314) and Isiah Thomas - who himself isn't a bastion of shot selection - at .288 off 1247 attempts (finishes career at .290 - the generous would grant that with playoffs included he gets close to 30%) ... and Thomas played longer to get those shots off.
He's very bad at it and among those very bad at it he has the most or at best second most absolute attempts ...
though Thomas played longer (rate wise he''s at 1.8 per 100pos, Barkley at 2.1 for that time)
and shot not insignificantly better (I'm not sure he qualifies for "really bad" at that time, idk)
and was a small guard
and didn't have an efficient inside game as a possible alternative
... among forwards who weren't great shooters he was an outlier in terms of attempts. Among bigs moreso. He was substantially outpacing some spacing/shooting specialists (e.g. Turner ... getting to different generations but cf Sikma, Laimbeer). There are various ways of arranging the data where I can't see the data points that are sitting close to Barkley. Even when looking through a prism of what is mainly just his Philly career and entirely within his first decade.
Those shots are bad shots, he's very bad at them taking them very often given the context even within this window. Not it's wouldn't be many now, no it doesn't stop him being net very efficient. It's still, even just 87-92, it's 1.8 possessions a game with an awful shot. Fwiw, If I were told I'd have to take that as a given I'd be annoyed and I'd ask why. Now, if you told me I got Barkley that would dwarf that concern, but that hasn't been the point ... if he were occasionally shooting his free throws backwards he wouldn't have to shoot many to call him an outlier or suggest he must really love doing it because it's patently bad, weird and harmful ... the example is absurd but the adjectives ... still apply. In relative terms (to norms general context - not relative to Barkley's net value) it was a lot, in absolute terms not nothing.
But I'm repeating myself "nobody that bad shooting them that much ... especially big, especially one with better options ... is an outlier, justifies "loving" as a term" blah, blah ... so ... yeah I'll leave it.