Colbinii wrote:JMAC3 wrote:Colbinii wrote:
Yeah, Trey Murphy is excellent. Ranks 45th in BPM, 39th in OBPM, 19% USG [FVV, Buddy Hield, Derreck White level of Usage] and scoring right at league efficient.
That's a very good starting caliber wing, an absurd 4.0 TOV% with Massive On-Court +/- and On/Off +/-
I would be surprised if anyone from this draft is as good as Trey Murphy III is in year 3. He ranks 4th in BPM & VORP from his draft class is the best shooter from his draft class.
Do you consider anyone from this draft class, 2024, to be the same level prospects as Cade/Mobley/Barnes or as good in the NBA by year 3 as Sengun/Wagner? I don't think I would for either of these questions. Trey Murphy III is right behind this group of 5 from the 2021 Draft class as an NBA Product.
I would fully expect 3 of the first 5 picks to be better than Trey Murphy is right now by their 3rd year yes.
I would bet than 3 of the first 5 picks will not be eclipsing Murphy's metrics in BPM, +/-, On/Off or even Usage Rate [19%, alluded to earlier].
You are expecting 3/5 players to basically be Top 100 players by year 3. That's incredibly rare for a draft, especially one without a Zion/Wemby level prospect to almost assuredly produce 1 Top 100 player.
So you are trading #1 pick for Murphy if you could?