CptCrunch wrote:JMAC3 wrote:King Ken wrote:Post ups- he will lead the league in post ups. 9-9.5 a game per36. Obviously, mpg will decide if he numerically leads the league. That just depends where he lands. On average, I am expecting 4-4.5 post-ups playing 18-20mpg as a rookie.
As long as he goes to a drop coverage leaning team, he will be a NBA ready backup right now for most teams. As long as he fits defensively.
Where he goes is everything. He could go to a team like Memphis and he's never more than a 20mpg player. Just depends where he goes. Some teams are A-okay with you playing a situational role
This is why your logic is flawed. The two best centers in the league are only getting 6 post ups per game, but you think a Rookie is going to get 50% more than the back to back MVPs?
Studs like Giannis, Wemby, Sengun, Zion aren't even averaging more than 1 PPP on post touches which is why nobody in the NBA does it.
https://www.nba.com/stats/players/playtype-post-up?dir=D&sort=POSS
There we have it only Embiid, Zingis, Siakam are scoring at above league average offensive efficiency among players with >2 post ups per game. The mean offensive efficiency is 1.147 today.
The average half-court play is worth 0.989 ppp. You don't compare post-up possessions to overall offensive efficiency because it includes transition and putbacks from offensive rebounds.
Numbers need context. Use Cleaning The Glass:
https://cleaningtheglass.com/stats/league/context#tab-offense_halfcourt_putbacks
https://cleaningtheglass.com/stats/league/context#tab-offense_transition