NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? )

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Who SHOULD and WILL win the 2024 NBA MVP award? (Vote for 2 options)

Nikola Jokic SHOULD win MVP
136
31%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander SHOULD win MVP
26
6%
Luka Doncic SHOULD win MVP
64
15%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SHOULD win MVP
8
2%
Jayson Tatum SHOULD win MVP
4
1%
Nikola Jokic WILL win MVP
155
36%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander WILL win MVP
12
3%
Luka Doncic WILL win MVP
26
6%
Giannis Antetokounmpo WILL win MVP
3
1%
Jayson Tatum WILL win MVP
2
0%
 
Total votes: 436

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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#101 » by Andri » Tue Apr 2, 2024 2:54 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
Oscar9992 wrote:
Kyrie has missed 22 games, Exum 25 games, Green 21 games, Lively 19 games, and 37 games for Kleber. Despite all that, Luka kept his team’s playoff hopes alive when the injuries were at their worst, they’re now 2 games behind the 4th seed. When these guys were all healthy (apart from Green), the team is 19-6 (that’s a 62 win pace season). 34/9/10 on top of all that? Luka is my MVP for sure


Green and Kleber are replacement level players
Lively is a rookie

by comparison:
Murray has missed 21, KCP 6, AG 7

Murray's 21 is obviously a wash with Kyrie's 22 and while Exum has missed more than KCP and AG combined - they are the two best and main defenders in the Nuggets starting five. they are each more important to the Nuggets than Exum is to the Mavs

now in the new look Mavs all of Exum, Green, Kleber etc are bench players..Nnaji missed 20+ games and he's the only big body the Nuggets have on the bench aside from the corpse of DAJ. u think such woes haven affected the Nuggets as well? watch the games Braun and Watson are stepping in to play PF haha

Mavs had more injuries and obviously more turmoil leading up to the deadline and then the trades, but it's not as dramatic or as clear cut as some Mavs posters itt are making it out to be


It was damatric, you are comparing very lightly the differences in injuries. KCP 6 games is very little, same as AG's 7 games.

Also, and very telling. you dismiss the importance of Lively because is a rookie, and Klebber or Green because they are not very good. Yes, that is the point. Before the mid season trades, 2/3 of the season, these were starters! You had a worse option for that Rookie, Powell! that was the real drama. A below average team, missing his second best player for 22 games, and even missing some of the below average players, forcing to play even worse ones.

Once you have a slightly better roster, or the previous replacement players healthy, along with Kyrie recovered, Mavs have been on a roll. If they finish around 51 wins, that means that after the trade, they would have a .73 winning record over 30 games in the Wild Wild West, and IMO, if Joker don't finish 1st seed, the MVP should go to Luka
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#102 » by Exp0sed » Tue Apr 2, 2024 2:55 pm

MoneyTalks41890 wrote:I think if your team plays Reggie Jackson any meaningful minutes there should be some kind of award if you’re able to overcome that and still win games.


even DAJ started two games this season haha

ya know, i'm too lazy to look it up but I wouldn'nt be surprised if Reggie has a higher usage as a starter than Jokic haha
he's a nice boy but always was a certified chucker
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#103 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 2:56 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
they did

and Reggie Jackson started 21 games, Justin Holiday started 9, Braun started a couple, Watson started in 4 or 5
i'd say Nuggets had about 40 starts from replacement level players. yes, 40 isn't 80 it's exactly half, but 40 games over the course of a season isn't a dramatic factor, it's pretty neglible factor imo all in all


What about Williams, DJJ, THJ? Another 100+ starts for not starters for contenders.


what does that have to do with anything?
Nuggets have better starters than the Mavs and that was much truer before the deadline trades but is still true now

Nuggets are a better team..that has nothing to do with what we're discussing


It has everything to do with it. Those replacement players that missed a lot of games were Mavs starters. The best what they have got. Rookie Lively is still 10x better than Powell. That's why Mavs are one of the best teams in the league when healthy and having better roster after the trade.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#104 » by Exp0sed » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:02 pm

Andri wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
Oscar9992 wrote:




It was damatric, you are comparing very lightly the differences in injuries. KCP 6 games is very little, same as AG's 7 games.

Also, and very telling. you dismiss the importance of Lively because is a rookie, and Klebber or Green because they are not very good. Yes, that is the point. Before the mid season trades, 2/3 of the season, these were starters! You had a worse option for that Rookie, Powell! that was the real drama. A below average team, missing his second best player for 22 games, and even missing some of the below average players, forcing to play even worse ones.

Once you have a slightly better roster, or the previous replacement players healthy, along with Kyrie recovered, Mavs have been on a roll. If they finish around 51 wins, that means that after the trade, they would have a .73 winning record over 30 games in the Wild Wild West, and IMO, if Joker don't finish 1st seed, the MVP should go to Luka


no, i'm not
AG and KCP are crucial to the Nuggets

Exum is so important that he's starting games on the bench, AG and KCP's 13 games are much more detrimental to the Nuggets than 25 games missed by Exum, get real :)

as for their winning record post the deadline, hey I love this new look Mavs team. I posted about it at the time of the trade, I wasn't as familiar with PJ's game (because ya know...who watched the Hornets? but wasn't hard to guess he'd be an upgrade of Grant Williams) but I had my eye on Gafford for a couple of years and was well aware he'd shine outside Washington on a good team and the fit with Luka was very obvious to anyone who knew Gafford's game

I predicted in this forum (and itt actually) that they will go on a run. Luka is special, a true superstar and Kyrie is also incredible, with some decent pieces around them that fit - they can go all the way

but as for "winning record" well ya know, that's a particular sample and a small one at that. it's one thing to be on a heater as a team for a month or two and quite another to actually sustain it over the course of a season

73% is a 60 wins team, i'll make a friendly wager with u that the Mavs won't win 60 games next season :)

p.s, I think that's a big part of what the Jokic haters don't get (I don't mean u). Jokic is an insane floor raiser and thus he has a knack to keep the team playing at a decent level (even in very tough parts of the schedule, injuries etc) and he does it while rarely missing games, Reggie Jackson said in the presser after the Cavs game that Jokic is the sun (on the court) and they all revolve around him. Luka does a similar thing but he's not as consistent as Jokic is and isn't as durable

it doesn't make him a worse player than Jokic but it does put him at a disadvantage as it pertains to MVP, because MVP is a cummulative award, that takes all that and the entire season into account

Jokic is extremely good in that regard which is why he's been the front runner for MVP year in and year out since he peaked and this year is no different
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#105 » by Exp0sed » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:22 pm

Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:




It has everything to do with it. Those replacement players that missed a lot of games were Mavs starters. The best what they have got. Rookie Lively is still 10x better than Powell. That's why Mavs are one of the best teams in the league when healthy and having better roster after the trade.


i edited that post and added:

the point was when u lose a replamcent level player cuz of injuries - you don't lose much on the court, so by in large it's meaningless to list missed games by insignificant players

Mavs are one of the best teams in the league since the trade because they made a major upgrade in two starting positions (and are healthy) and they already had a superstar Luka and Kyrie :)
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#106 » by MoneyTalks41890 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:25 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
MoneyTalks41890 wrote:I think if your team plays Reggie Jackson any meaningful minutes there should be some kind of award if you’re able to overcome that and still win games.


even DAJ started two games this season haha

ya know, i'm too lazy to look it up but I wouldn'nt be surprised if Reggie has a higher usage as a starter than Jokic haha
he's a nice boy but always was a certified chucker


RJ is one of those lifetime beefs OKC fans inherited because of Russell.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#107 » by Exp0sed » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:35 pm

Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Is he Denver's ball handler? In half court offense it takes a pretty big % of possession before the ball even comes to Jokic. The most touches in the league enables Jokic to do what he does.


just like other ball handlers, he shares that duty but to ur question - yes, he is the primary ball handler on the Nuggets
obviously if a guy like Murray grabs a board and is open then he's gonna bring the ball up the court (unless Jokic the floor general dictates to him otherwise, btw) but Jokic is routinely grabbing alot of defensive boards and bringing the ball up the court, even running the break. when rebounds or steals are collected in the backourt by the low i.q bunch, say MPJ or AG they routinely hand the rock over to Jokic to bring the ball up the court

just watch some Nuggets games bro :)


I said half court offense. I'm pretty sure that Jokic is not main player to bring the ball up the court, like Luka is. Far the most touches in the league for Jokic means that he can be involved nonstop without having big usage.


I told u, those duties are shared. Jokic gets his fair share on getting the inbounds after a made basket. he's now even routinely insisting they roll the ball when they have a lead later in a game (to use the shot clock loophole) and u can routinely see the ball rolled and he's the one that let's it roll and picks it up, sometimes even after it crossed the halfline

in all shapes and forms - Jokic is bringing the ball up the court frequently and guess what? that frequency rises if the other team is say on a run, or in the 4th or a clutch situation - when it matters, he does that more often and obviously lets someone else do it (usually) when they're up big

he uses his frame and wits (and handle) to shield the ball well, rarely gets stripped even by guards and the reason the Nuggets are doing it these past few years and found great success with it is it opens up alot of great opportunities

you can't blitz him or double because he'll pass to the open man under the basket or in the corner every time and at 6'11 can just throw over the top of smaller blitzing player and can also see above them, in a way a 6'2 PG just can't. Magic had that going for him as well :)

if u don't put a body on him he starts to just go downhill while putting ALOT of pressure on the defense and obviously can pass if they react a certain way and help comes and in any given moment he can make some ridicilous pass, from anywhere on the floor

he's a GOAT level passer (so is Luka, very little differentiates guys at that level, Magic, LBJ, Kidd, whomever u want to put on this list) and Murray, KCP etc. are nowhere near him as passers, so it makes sense for him to have the ball in his hands even in his own half, in the event he sees an opening for a crucial pass, he can attempt (and make) passes Murray or KCP could neither see (in terms of vision) or execute

so yeah, he's the PG and the main ball handler

as for touches, their styles are different
Jokic gets the ball all around the court but obviously mainly thru the PNR, the high post and the block. he probes, if there isn't anything exciting he'll just pass and move without the ball, dictate some action, lurk for a defensive lapse, set a new screen etc

so alot of touches but alot less time per touch
Luka dribbles alot more and has the ball in his hands significantly longer per touch and as his usage rate suggests: the final play comes through him 36% of the time which is about 20% more often than Jokic and it should result (in a vacuum) in alot more pts and assists (while slightly more TO's as well, that's true)

from about 10:00 in this video, you can watch Rondo and S-Jax talking about the "death of the PG" and specifcally mentioning Jokic as a PG (whose not a PG,obviously). I guess they watch the games too :)

I like what Rondo is saying about the old-school PG's being a kind of extention of the coach on the floor, as far as leadership but also in terms of knowing all the plays, even if the coach gets ejected, the PG can kind of step in to call the plays etc

Jokic checks all those boxes, that's precisely what he's been doing these past few season. he's a floor general who unlike Kidd or Magic is also an elite scorer and is also one of the better rebounders in the game

that's why he's been breaking basketball, a 6'11 strong, bulky and crafty floor general whose also a basketball savant..that has been a recipe for success. even if he can't jump at all, if he could jump he might have been the GOAT lol

;t=627s


Jokic didn't start out this way but in the last couple of years he's been the Nuggets floor general and imo he is the GOAT floor general, at least in the modern era. better than Magic, Kidd etc. in controliing the game, the tempo of the game and in getting everybody involved.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#108 » by Andri » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:45 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
Andri wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:


It was damatric, you are comparing very lightly the differences in injuries. KCP 6 games is very little, same as AG's 7 games.

Also, and very telling. you dismiss the importance of Lively because is a rookie, and Klebber or Green because they are not very good. Yes, that is the point. Before the mid season trades, 2/3 of the season, these were starters! You had a worse option for that Rookie, Powell! that was the real drama. A below average team, missing his second best player for 22 games, and even missing some of the below average players, forcing to play even worse ones.

Once you have a slightly better roster, or the previous replacement players healthy, along with Kyrie recovered, Mavs have been on a roll. If they finish around 51 wins, that means that after the trade, they would have a .73 winning record over 30 games in the Wild Wild West, and IMO, if Joker don't finish 1st seed, the MVP should go to Luka


no, i'm not
AG and KCP are crucial to the Nuggets

Exum is so important that he's starting games on the bench, AG and KCP's 13 games are much more detrimental to the Nuggets than 25 games missed by Exum, get real :)

as for their winning record post the deadline, hey I love this new look Mavs team. I posted about it at the time of the trade, I wasn't as familiar with PJ's game (because ya know...who watched the Hornets? but wasn't hard to guess he'd be an upgrade of Grant Williams) but I had my eye on Gafford for a couple of years and was well aware he'd shine outside Washington on a good team and the fit with Luka was very obvious to anyone who knew Gafford's game

I predicted in this forum (and itt actually) that they will go on a run. Luka is special, a true superstar and Kyrie is also incredible, with some decent pieces around them that fit - they can go all the way

but as for "winning record" well ya know, that's a particular sample and a small one at that. it's one thing to be on a heater as a team for a month or two and quite another to actually sustain it over the course of a season

73% is a 60 wins team, i'll make a friendly wager with u that the Mavs won't win 60 games next season :)

p.s, I think that's a big part of what the Jokic haters don't get (I don't mean u). Jokic is an insane floor raiser and thus he has a knack to keep the team playing at a decent level (even in very tough parts of the schedule, injuries etc) and he does it while rarely missing games, Reggie Jackson said in the presser after the Cavs game that Jokic is the sun (on the court) and they all revolve around him. Luka does a similar thing but he's not as consistent as Jokic is and isn't as durable

it doesn't make him a worse player than Jokic but it does put him at a disadvantage as it pertains to MVP, because MVP is a cummulative award, that takes all that and the entire season into account

Jokic is extremely good in that regard which is why he's been the front runner for MVP year in and year out since he peaked and this year is no different


Again, you are recognizing the low level of this Mavs team. Without Kyrie and with Exum out, who is going to handle the ball apart from Luka, forcing him to be literally the alpha and omega for the Mavs? Without Lively, you have to start a non even a bench player as C, and then you have no option in the bench. And so. When you have a very limited roster, every injury impacts more marginally.

I love Jokic, I think he and luka are the two best players. It is just that if the Mavs end the season 4th, Luka could win the MVP, and that the reasons against him regarding +/- compared to others simplify the context. On the other hand, Luka has still room for improvement, and I see him learning to take care of the ball better with more consistency for example or stick even more to a few super efficient moves instead of trying sometimes the fancy stuff.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#109 » by iggymcfrack » Tue Apr 2, 2024 3:56 pm

Is the consensus really that Luka > SGA now or is it just that Luka has more fanboys that are willing to put him #1 over Jokic while most of the SGA supporters are more realistic and have him at #2? SGA still leads Luka in the vast majority of advanced stats, has played more, plays better defense, and has had much more team success. I guess Luka’s case for #2 is…. that he’s on a winning streak?
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#110 » by mcmurphy » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:01 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
Andri wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:


It was damatric, you are comparing very lightly the differences in injuries. KCP 6 games is very little, same as AG's 7 games.

Also, and very telling. you dismiss the importance of Lively because is a rookie, and Klebber or Green because they are not very good. Yes, that is the point. Before the mid season trades, 2/3 of the season, these were starters! You had a worse option for that Rookie, Powell! that was the real drama. A below average team, missing his second best player for 22 games, and even missing some of the below average players, forcing to play even worse ones.

Once you have a slightly better roster, or the previous replacement players healthy, along with Kyrie recovered, Mavs have been on a roll. If they finish around 51 wins, that means that after the trade, they would have a .73 winning record over 30 games in the Wild Wild West, and IMO, if Joker don't finish 1st seed, the MVP should go to Luka


no, i'm not
AG and KCP are crucial to the Nuggets

Exum is so important that he's starting games on the bench, AG and KCP's 13 games are much more detrimental to the Nuggets than 25 games missed by Exum, get real :)

as for their winning record post the deadline, hey I love this new look Mavs team. I posted about it at the time of the trade, I wasn't as familiar with PJ's game (because ya know...who watched the Hornets? but wasn't hard to guess he'd be an upgrade of Grant Williams) but I had my eye on Gafford for a couple of years and was well aware he'd shine outside Washington on a good team and the fit with Luka was very obvious to anyone who knew Gafford's game

I predicted in this forum (and itt actually) that they will go on a run. Luka is special, a true superstar and Kyrie is also incredible, with some decent pieces around them that fit - they can go all the way

but as for "winning record" well ya know, that's a particular sample and a small one at that. it's one thing to be on a heater as a team for a month or two and quite another to actually sustain it over the course of a season

73% is a 60 wins team, i'll make a friendly wager with u that the Mavs won't win 60 games next season :)

p.s, I think that's a big part of what the Jokic haters don't get (I don't mean u). Jokic is an insane floor raiser and thus he has a knack to keep the team playing at a decent level (even in very tough parts of the schedule, injuries etc) and he does it while rarely missing games, Reggie Jackson said in the presser after the Cavs game that Jokic is the sun (on the court) and they all revolve around him. Luka does a similar thing but he's not as consistent as Jokic is and isn't as durable

it doesn't make him a worse player than Jokic but it does put him at a disadvantage as it pertains to MVP, because MVP is a cummulative award, that takes all that and the entire season into account

Jokic is extremely good in that regard which is why he's been the front runner for MVP year in and year out since he peaked and this year is no different


G W L W/L% Starting Lineup
11 11 0 1.000 L. Dončić · D. Gafford · K. Irving · D. Jones · P. Washington (small sample size but impressive)
45 35 10 .778 K. Caldwell-Pope · A. Gordon · N. Jokić · J. Murray · M. Porter
35 27 8 .771 J. Brown · J. Holiday · K. Porziņģis · J. Tatum · D. White
61 44 17 .721 L. Dort · J. Giddey · S. Gilgeous-Alexander · C. Holmgren · J. Williams
40 28 12 .700 P. George · J. Harden · K. Leonard · T. Mann · I. Zubac
42 29 13 .690 M. Conley · A. Edwards · R. Gobert · J. McDaniels · K. Towns
38 25 13 .658 G. Antetokounmpo · M. Beasley · D. Lillard · B. Lopez · K. Middleton

if all the teams are healthy in the playoffs it will be fun
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#111 » by Exp0sed » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:02 pm

Andri wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
Andri wrote:




Again, you are recognizing the low level of this Mavs team. Without Kyrie and with Exum out, who is going to handle the ball apart from Luka, forcing him to be literally the alpha and omega for the Mavs? Without Lively, you have to start a non even a bench player as C, and then you have no option in the bench. And so. When you have a very limited roster, every injury impacts more marginally.

I love Jokic, I think he and luka are the two best players. It is just that if the Mavs end the season 4th, Luka could win the MVP, and that the reasons against him regarding +/- compared to others simplify the context. On the other hand, Luka has still room for improvement, and I see him learning to take care of the ball better with more consistency for example or stick even more to a few super efficient moves instead of trying sometimes the fancy stuff.


same here, i'm a big fan of Luka's game and I agree they're the two best players in the league currently

i'll admit, I like Jokic's persona and demeanor alot more. I love his attitude and find his views and reluctance to do the media stuff etc. very refreshing

Jokic actually made me tune in to Nuggets games like 5 years ago, he was doing incredible stuff on a nightly basis
Nuggets games! I mean i'm a Euro, I don't have a favorite NBA franchises I mostly follow players I get entertained by, I think the last time I was sometimes tuning in to Nuggets games was when Camby and K-Mart were in town :)

oh and if u thing West coast games hours aren't comfy for East coast Americans, u can imagine how hard it is to follow them over in Europe haha

but I am thouroughly entertained by Luka as well :)

as for +-, if u read back itt u can see countless posts discussing the issue with Bob and Doctor MJ, I am completely with Bob on this, I know Luka is an MVP caliber player even if his +- suggests otherwise, so we're in agreement on that

with that said, as for your Alpha and Omega comment - Luka's usage has barely gone down since they got healthy AND got better players. why is that, is there still no one that can bring up the ball or that could use the ball in his hands more?

I doubt that
unlike Jokic, Luka def cares alot about accolades and MVP etc. and it's very clear to me that he's actively going for it
i'm not saying that's a bad thing but he's going for it and the team is helping him on and supporting him in that and...it shows

Luka is like: huh, ur going to give it to SGA? Jokic? i'mma go every night and light the opponent up
that's his mentality and has been imo for a while this season. like I said, nothing bad about that but that's how I see it anyway.

edit:

p.s, that doesn't mean I don't think he's capable of doing it over a season, it just won't be this one
if he'll go out next season with this mentality, stay heathy and carry these improved Mavs (who will probably improve the roster further over the summer) to a high seed, doing what he's doing this season well..he will rightfully win MVP but it won't be this season. not with all the "what ifs" in the world, meaning the injuries and the roster overhaul. all indications are this Mavs team is now for real, but u don't give out MVP for "what if". next season, if he manages to do it over a season he'll win his first MVP.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#112 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:14 pm

iggymcfrack wrote:Is the consensus really that Luka > SGA now or is it just that Luka has more fanboys that are willing to put him #1 over Jokic while most of the SGA supporters are more realistic and have him at #2? SGA still leads Luka in the vast majority of advanced stats, has played more, plays better defense, and has had much more team success. I guess Luka’s case for #2 is…. that he’s on a winning streak?


Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#113 » by Cubbies2120 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:28 pm

Bob8 wrote:
iggymcfrack wrote:Is the consensus really that Luka > SGA now or is it just that Luka has more fanboys that are willing to put him #1 over Jokic while most of the SGA supporters are more realistic and have him at #2? SGA still leads Luka in the vast majority of advanced stats, has played more, plays better defense, and has had much more team success. I guess Luka’s case for #2 is…. that he’s on a winning streak?


Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.


Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]
Jokic 5x MVP train
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#114 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:29 pm

[youtube][/youtube]
Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:


It has everything to do with it. Those replacement players that missed a lot of games were Mavs starters. The best what they have got. Rookie Lively is still 10x better than Powell. That's why Mavs are one of the best teams in the league when healthy and having better roster after the trade.


i edited that post and added:

the point was when u lose a replamcent level player cuz of injuries - you don't lose much on the court, so by in large it's meaningless to list missed games by insignificant players

Mavs are one of the best teams in the league since the trade because they made a major upgrade in two starting positions (and are healthy) and they already had a superstar Luka and Kyrie :)


And you're wrong, Lively was 2nd most important player in first half of the season, (Kyrie being a lot out). D totally dependent on him. Exum has the best on/off net rtg. And it's easy to understand why. He's additonal ball handler, when Luka is doubled or blitzed, is the best guard defender and is capable to hit wide open shots. 50% for 3 on low volume. He's not starting because Mavs have Luka and Kyrie, but he's finishing games. Mavs were solid, when they played without Kyrie but with Lively and Exum, they have fallen apart, when all 3 were out.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#115 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:31 pm

Cubbies2120 wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
iggymcfrack wrote:Is the consensus really that Luka > SGA now or is it just that Luka has more fanboys that are willing to put him #1 over Jokic while most of the SGA supporters are more realistic and have him at #2? SGA still leads Luka in the vast majority of advanced stats, has played more, plays better defense, and has had much more team success. I guess Luka’s case for #2 is…. that he’s on a winning streak?


Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.


Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


Jokic is clear favourite of course. But Luka the only one with outside chance. I guess that outside chance will be over with 1st defeat. It might happen already tonight.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#116 » by Woodsanity » Tue Apr 2, 2024 4:55 pm

Cubbies2120 wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
iggymcfrack wrote:Is the consensus really that Luka > SGA now or is it just that Luka has more fanboys that are willing to put him #1 over Jokic while most of the SGA supporters are more realistic and have him at #2? SGA still leads Luka in the vast majority of advanced stats, has played more, plays better defense, and has had much more team success. I guess Luka’s case for #2 is…. that he’s on a winning streak?


Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.


Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


That's pretty crazy. I have Jokic as the favorite but I don't think he is the favorite by 35x over Luka or 174x over SGA. :o
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PF: Karl Malone
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#117 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 5:01 pm

Woodsanity wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.


Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


That's pretty crazy. I have Jokic as the favorite but I don't think he is the favorite by 35x over Luka or 174x over SGA. :o


It's not that crazy. + 500 means that Luka has 16.7% to win MVP, not very probable but not impossible either.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#118 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Apr 2, 2024 6:21 pm

Bob8 wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Not only fanboys. ;)

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/mvp/

The best odds you can get for Luka is + 600 and the best odds for SGA + 2.500. That isn't particularly close.


Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


Jokic is clear favourite of course. But Luka the only one with outside chance. I guess that outside chance will be over with 1st defeat. It might happen already tonight.


How many games do you think the Mavs will have to win in order for Luka to win MVP? 51?
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#119 » by Bob8 » Tue Apr 2, 2024 6:31 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


Jokic is clear favourite of course. But Luka the only one with outside chance. I guess that outside chance will be over with 1st defeat. It might happen already tonight.


How many games do you think the Mavs will have to win in order for Luka to win MVP? 51?


He won't get it. Outside chance means more or less all remaining games and Denver finishing 3rd. Both highly unlikely.
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Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#120 » by dygaction » Tue Apr 2, 2024 6:42 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Those odds are pretty telling.

$100 on Jokic to win MVP wins you $14.29 (-700 odds)
$100 on Luka to win MVP wins you $500 (+500 odds) or [35x the Jokic bet]
$100 on SGA to win MVP wins you $2500 (+2500 odds) or [174x the Jokic bet]


Jokic is clear favourite of course. But Luka the only one with outside chance. I guess that outside chance will be over with 1st defeat. It might happen already tonight.


How many games do you think the Mavs will have to win in order for Luka to win MVP? 51?


This is not entirely on luka's hand. Mavs can win the rest and it is still not enough.

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