Oscirus wrote:jets are short on picks, they cant really afford to be moving up, esp with no 2nd this year
I like this article. It's a good example of what a crapshoot the draft is, and how easy it is to get wrong, or, the flip side of that coin, maybe the guys making the choices are dumb. I think the truth is that it's a bit of both, not one or the other.
https://gnnhd.tv/news/29333/dan-marino-brett-favre-peyton-manning-the-jets-could-have-drafted-a-future-hof-qbIn 1983 the Jets considered, but didn't draft Dan Marino. They considered him, but they liked Ken O'Brien more. Took him at 24. Marino went at 27. The crowd, the article says, wanted Marino.
Skip ahead to 1991, the Jets wanted Farve. The story is that they REALLY liked him. He was 100% their guy and when he fell to the 2nd round, the Jets "frantically" started to try to trade down to get him, and they almost did, but the trade down fell when the Cards had their guy fall to 32. Then Atlanta snatched Farve at 33, one pick before the Jets 34, and a year later, sold him to the Packers for pick #19 because Atlanta decided to go with Chris Miller, so "lets sell the back-up for a #19 pick - makes sense right?"
With Farve gone, the Jets went with their 2nd option, who they also liked, Browning's Bagels, I mean, Browning Nagle. But, it wouldn't have been any worse if they'd traded that #34 pick for a bag of bagels. Browning spent 1991 was Ken O'Brien's backup and future replacement, so maybe the Jets believed in him when Farve was traded in 1992. He'd spent most of the year on the bench, so . . . I get that.
But if they believed in Farve as much as they said, the Jets could have offered more than the #19 pick for Farve in 1992, traded Nagle in another trade for a 2nd rounder or something or in 1991 they could have tried to trade up sooner to get a pick before Atlanta, to draft Farve in 1991. They didn't do either, and this was a player they really liked, but for some reason, didn't want to spend a little extra to get him. I see no other way to look at that.
So . . . if you wanted to call the Jets dumb, especially in 1983 and 1991, I don't have a good counter argument to that,, but I also think it's a crap shoot. It's hard to know if the guy you pick is going to work out. If it was easy, draft blunders wouldn't be so common.
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I'm no genius. I don't know a lot about football, but I do know that sometimes, trading up is the way to go. Toss in a 2025 or 2026 2nd rounder and get it done. If, the player there at #7 or #8 is really worth it. The Jets are going to have to rebuild eventually. Maybe as soon as 2025. I have a tough time seeing them put a winning team on the field in 2027, so trade a few future picks now. It's the time to do it.
. . .
I figure the Jets have maybe a one in 3, or one in 4 chance of finding the right kind of magic and putting together a playoff run. Maybe an AFC championship game - and even a loss there, I'd call that a successful season. Possibly even more than that. It's a long shot, but if it was me, I'd role the dice and nothing would be off the table, including trading up.
There are no Ted Stepien rules in football, just limitations to 3 years out. And, OK, they probably shouldn't trade away too many future picks, but a few, maybe 2 or 3 future picks? I'd be OK with trading a 2 or 3 future picks to set up 2024.
too long? too random? Sometimes I type too much.
No ears were harmed. Carry on with your Sunday afternoon